Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for UMAC in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every UMAC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UMAC in Gekko
NYSE Arca: UMAC
Unusual Machines (UMAC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$19.64−1.19 (−5.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeUnusual Machines slipped this week amid a string of Needham notes reiterating a Buy rating and a $40.00 price target, citing production progress observed during a facility tour, strong demand for the company's low-cost C-UAS interceptors, and advancements toward 100,000 motors per month. Shareholders also backed leadership at the 2026 Annual Meeting, electing five directors, ratifying Ernst & Young LLP as auditor, and approving a warrant grant to the CEO. A separate note pointed out that the stock has lost 36% since mid-August even as Needham's Austin Bohlig sees 83% upside from the $21.88 close on 7 October.
UMAC closed at $19.64, down 5.7%, sitting between its 50-day average of $24.54 and 200-day average of $18.99, with a 1-month return of -14.4% against a 6-month gain of 40.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 66.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 3.7 over five days. Price sits 25.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.43.
Earnings are set for 5 November, 23 days out and inside a typical 20-day holding window; the last report showed EPS of -$0.16 matching estimate with a 1.5% reaction, against an average absolute move of 6.9%. Six analysts carry a consensus Buy with a $39 target, implying 98.6% consensus upside. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, leaving the upcoming report as the main scheduled catalyst.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Unusual Machines price vs fair value
Close $19.64200-day averageGekko Fair Value $26.43
Unusual Machines quick facts
- Market cap
- $938.7M
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 67.6
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.25
- Revenue, TTM
- $31.85M
- Profit margin
- -20.3%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 14.73
- Volume
- 2.34M avg 2.56M
- 1-year return
- +28.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±21.9%
- 50-day average
- $24.54
- 200-day average
- $18.99
- Next earnings
- Nov 5 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 49.96M
Unusual Machines swing-trade checklist
Unusual Machines scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $19.64 sits between the 50-day ($24.54) and 200-day ($18.99) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66.5, Accumulation
Reading 66.5 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
25.7% below
Price is 25.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 24 days
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityno data
No data
Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Unusual Machines stock chart and price history
Unusual Machines closed at $19.64 on Oct 12, 2026, +28.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.25 to $34.93.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −14.4%
- 3 months
- +5.1%
- 6 months
- +40.3%
- 1 year
- +28.8%
The full UMAC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UMAC in Gekko
Follow Unusual Machines through every session
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About Unusual Machines
Unusual Machines makes its living in the commercial drone space, supplying small drones along with the core parts that go into them. Its products reach buyers through a mix of direct business-to-business sales, an online store, and retail outlets, giving it several paths into the market rather than relying on one channel alone.
Beyond selling hardware, the company works with Lantronix Inc. on a joint effort to build autonomous drone components that pair edge AI processing with flight control systems, pointing to an interest in more capable, self-operating aircraft technology alongside its standard product lines.
The company was incorporated in 2019 and originally operated as AerocarveUS Corporation before taking the Unusual Machines name in July 2022. It is based in Orlando, Florida, and its shares trade on NYSE Arca under the ticker UMAC.
- Listed
- NYSE Arca
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Electronic equipment/Instruments
- Website
- unusualmachines.com
Unusual Machines GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Unusual Machines’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.7 points over five sessions.
66.5Accumulation
Up 3.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 19 | +4.4% | +18.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 242 | Not available | |||
| Neutral | 334 | +3.0% | +13.3% | ||
| Distribution | 57 | Not available | |||
| Selling | 9 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average UMAC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UMAC price, zone by zone.Track UMAC in Gekko
Is Unusual Machines stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Unusual Machines trades 25.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.43, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Unusual Machines shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$26.43
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
25.7% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 28.9% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UMAC in Gekko
Unusual Machines insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Unusual Machines, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in UMAC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for UMAC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UMAC in Gekko
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold UMAC.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Unusual Machines earnings: next date and track record
Unusual Machines reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 7 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Expected before the open, 24 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$0.16
- Revenue estimate
- $12.18M
2 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Unusual Machines reported Q2 2026 revenue of $16.7 million, representing 687% year-over-year growth and 107% sequential growth, driven entirely by Enterprise customers (95% of revenue). Gross margin was 34.7% while adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $400K from $1.6M in Q1. GAAP net loss was $7.8 million ($0.16/share). The company raised $60 million via ATM and holds $367.5 million in working capital with no debt.
- Guidance
- Management expects continued margin fluctuations through remainder of 2026 due to growth initiatives, with margins anticipated to recover as manufacturing scales. Operating expenses will increase with additional hiring and manufacturing expansion.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | −$0.16 est −$0.16 | $16.72M est $9.19M | +1.5% |
| May 14, 2026 | $0.21 est −$0.08 | $8.10M est $5.54M | +8.2% |
| Mar 9, 2026 | −$0.30 est −$0.09 | $4.90M est $3.59M | +12.5% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | −$0.03 est $0.13 | $2.13M est $3.59M | −11.1% |
| Aug 14, 2025 | −$0.32 est −$0.07 | $2.12M est $2.88M | −5.7% |
| May 8, 2025 | −$0.21 est −$0.12 | $2.04M est $1.68M | +4.7% |
| Mar 27, 2025 | −$0.06 est −$0.12 | $2.00M est $2.25M | −3.7% |
| Nov 14, 2024 | −$0.30 | $1.53M | −8.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Unusual Machines stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Unusual Machines is $39.00, +98.6% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$39.00consensus 12-month target, +98.6% from the last close
Now $19.64Avg $39.00
Low $30High $42
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | Needham | $40 | +103.7% |
| Sep 22 | H.C. Wainwright | $42 | +113.8% |
| Aug 17 | ThinkEquity | $35 | +78.2% |
| Aug 12 | Piper Sandler | $38 | +93.5% |
| Aug 11 | Roth MKM | $40 | +103.7% |
±8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Unusual Machines market cap and key statistics
Unusual Machines’s market cap is $938.7M and revenue of $31.85M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $938.7M
- Forward P/E
- 67.6
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.25
- Gekko Fair Value
- $26.43
Trading
- Volume
- 2.34M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.56M
- 52-week high
- $34.93
- 52-week low
- $7.25
- Shares outstanding
- 49.96M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $31.85M
- Profit margin
- -20.3%
- Return on equity
- -2.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 14.73
- Typical daily move
- ±8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±21.9%
Unusual Machines stock news this week
Coverage of Unusual Machines this week reads positive: 7 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Form 4 Unusual Machines Inc For: 11 October By Investing.comInvesting.com Nigeria, Oct 11
- Unusual Machines Has Lost 36% Since Mid-August: Needham Sees 83% UpsideYahoo Finance, Oct 11
- Analysts Offer Insights on Technology Companies: Parsons (PSN) and Unusual Machines Inc. (UMAC)The Globe and Mail, Oct 9
- Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) options chain – Yahoo FinanceYahoo Finance Singapore, Oct 9
- Unusual Machines Shareholders Back Leadership at Annual MeetingTipRanks, Oct 7
- Needham reiterates Unusual Machines stock rating on production progressInvesting.com, Oct 7
Unusual Machines peers
Unusual Machines’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| EMREmerson Electric | Neutral | 16.0% above |
| KEYSKeysight Technologies | Neutral | 17.2% above |
| QQnity Electronics | Neutral | 3.5% below |
| FTVFortive | Neutral | 0.3% below |
| ONTOOnto Innovation | Neutral | 4.7% below |
| NXTNextpower | Neutral | 18.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Unusual Machines stock FAQ
What is Unusual Machines’s market cap?
Unusual Machines’s market cap is $938.7M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $19.64, with 49.96M shares outstanding.
What is the Unusual Machines stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Unusual Machines is $39.00, +98.6% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Unusual Machines stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Unusual Machines is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $19.64 is 25.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.43. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Unusual Machines report earnings next?
Unusual Machines is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.16 per share on revenue of $12.18M. Unusual Machines beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 7 reports, moving 6.9% on average across the report.
What is Unusual Machines’s 52-week high and low?
Unusual Machines’s 52-week high is $34.93 and its 52-week low is $7.25; it closed at $19.64 on Oct 12, 2026, +28.8% over the past year.
Is Unusual Machines stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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