NYSE: EMR

Emerson Electric (EMR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$170.44+4.05 (+2.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Emerson Electric beat fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 estimates, with net sales of $5.2 billion, up 7%, and adjusted EPS of $1.86, ahead of expectations and up 15% year over year. The company guided fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS to $7.25 on projected 5% underlying sales growth, announced a $2.5 billion buyback and a plan to return $3.8 billion to shareholders, while flagging weakness in Europe and China. Next-quarter revenue guidance of $4.56 billion came in slightly below consensus, and shares were reported down 4.4% immediately after the release before the stock's broader weekly move. Separate filings showed Chief Technology Officer Peter Zornio and Group President Sabyaschi Mitra each reporting share transactions tied to performance awards and tax withholding.

EMR closed at $170.44, up 2.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $157.72 and 200-day average of $147.33, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reading of 46.6 places the stock in the Neutral zone, down slightly over the past five readings. Price stands 19.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $142.85.

No confirmed earnings date is currently on the calendar following the latest report. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells in EMR. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 3.2% return across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus among 14 firms shows 9 buy, 4 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $174.82.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Emerson Electric price vs fair value

$170.44$142.85Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $170.44200-day averageGekko Fair Value $142.85

Emerson Electric quick facts

Market cap
$95.07B
P/E ratio
36.1
Forward P/E
23.1
EPS, TTM
$4.60
Revenue, TTM
$18.64B
Profit margin
13.8%
Dividend yield
1.33%
Beta
1.21
Volume
4.73M avg 2.99M
1-year return
+21.7%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$157.72
200-day average
$147.33
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
557.8M
52-week range
$122.64$172.00

Emerson Electric swing-trade checklist

Emerson Electric scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $170.44 is above the 50-day ($157.72) and 200-day ($147.33) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    46.6, Neutral

    Reading 46.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    19.3% above

    Price is 19.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +3.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Emerson Electric stock chart and price history

Emerson Electric closed at $170.44 on Nov 4, 2026, +21.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $122.64 to $172.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Emerson Electric share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$130$140$150$160DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct170.44

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.6%
3 months
+8.6%
6 months
+15.2%
1 year
+21.7%
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About Emerson Electric

Emerson Electric builds and sells engineering-based equipment and technology used by factories, businesses, and homes, with customers reached across North and South America, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and Europe. The company is widely associated with instruments, valves, and control gear used in heavy industry, as well as with compressors and climate-control parts found in everyday heating and cooling systems.

Its work is split into two segments. One, Automation Solutions, makes measurement and analytical instruments, valves, and process control software for sectors including oil and gas, refining, chemicals, power generation, life sciences, food and beverage, car manufacturing, paper production, mining, and water utilities. The other, Commercial & Residential Solutions, produces compressors, thermostats, gas valves, ignition parts, sensors, and diagnostic and environmental control equipment for heating, cooling, and refrigeration, and it also provides services such as facility planning, installation support, monitoring, and energy analysis, plus tools for tradespeople, home users, and household appliances.

The company traces its founding to 1890 and runs its main offices from Saint Louis, Missouri. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker EMR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Electronic equipment/Instruments
Website
emerson.com

Emerson Electric GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Emerson Electric’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.6, in the Neutral zone, down 1 point over five sessions.

010046.6Neutral

Down 1 point over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying15+4.0%+5.0%+7.0%+16.8%
Accumulation221+0.5%+1.2%+3.5%+6.1%
Neutral (current zone)400+0.4%+0.6%+0.7%+2.5%
Distribution54+0.5%+1.4%+2.0%+0.3%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average EMR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EMR price, zone by zone.Track EMR in Gekko

Is Emerson Electric stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Emerson Electric trades 19.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $142.85, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Emerson Electric shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$142.85

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

19.3% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.1% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$143$166Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EMR in Gekko

Emerson Electric insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Emerson Electric, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EMR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EMR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EMR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Emerson Electric has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$356.0M
As a share of market cap
0.37%
Trailing four quarters
$994.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold EMR.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Emerson Electric earnings: next date and track record

Emerson Electric beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+15.5%Nov ’24−0.2%Feb ’25+4.8%May ’25−5.5%Aug ’25−4.5%Nov ’25+5.8%Feb ’26+9.2%May ’26+4.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Emerson reported a strong third quarter driven by 6% underlying sales growth, broad-based outperformance across business groups (Software & Systems +11%), 140 bps of adjusted segment EBITDA margin expansion to 28.5%, adjusted EPS of $1.71 (up 13% YoY), and free cash flow of $1.3 billion (up 36%). Price contributed roughly 3 points to growth, MRO remained ~65% of sales, backlog was $8.2 billion (up 7% YoY) with book-to-bill of 1.0. Key positives included strong demand in semiconductors, power (fleet modernizations and emerging greenfield opportunities like data centers), Test & Measurement strength, and software ACV growth (ACV +9%, expected to exit the year >10%). Management announced organizational changes to lead AI efforts and highlighted operational execution and innovation. Headwinds noted were supply-chain complexity affecting Middle East shipments (~$25M headwind in Q3 and similar expected in Q4), soft China (down ~3% but sequentially improving), and ongoing tariff and inflation dynamics (received $82M in tariff refunds in Q3). Management expressed confidence in order momentum and project funnel depth (nearly 1,000 projects in LNG and power; project funnel largely greenfield), and discussed segment long-range growth frameworks for planning.
Guidance
Company did not provide explicit FY2027 revenue or EPS guidance on the call. Management provided forward-looking framework and specific directional guidance: expect Q4 Middle East impact similar to Q3 (~$25M headwind); full-year price realization ~2.5%-3% (tracking to ~3%); ACV expected to exit the year at >10%; long-range / through-cycle growth frameworks: Systems & Software (including Control Systems & T&M) ~6%-9%, Intelligent Devices ~3%-6%; Test & Measurement currently in an up cycle (reported ~14% this year). Management expects China to improve into low single-digit growth in 2027 and sees semiconductor and power strength persisting into 2027.
Risks flagged
Middle East geopolitical disruption affecting shipments and revenues; supply-chain complexity; tariffs and changes to tariff landscape (timing of refunds impacts cash and GAAP results); inflationary pressures that offset tariff benefits; softer demand in China and parts of Europe; potential delays in shutdown/turnaround activity impacting MRO timing.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$1.71
est $1.68
+1.8%$4.87B
est $4.80B
+1.4%+4.9%
May 5, 2026$1.54
est $1.53
+0.7%$4.56B
est $4.59B
−0.7%+9.2%
Feb 3, 2026$1.46
est $1.42
+2.8%$4.35B
est $4.35B
0.0%+5.8%
Nov 5, 2025$1.62
est $1.62
0.0%$4.86B
est $4.90B
−0.9%−4.5%
Aug 6, 2025$1.52
est $1.51
+0.7%$4.55B
est $4.60B
−1.0%−5.5%
May 7, 2025$1.48
est $1.41
+5.0%$4.43B
est $4.39B
+1.0%+4.8%
Feb 5, 2025$1.38
est $1.28
+7.8%$4.18B
est $4.22B
−1.0%−0.2%
Nov 5, 2024$1.48
est $1.47
+0.7%$4.62B
est $4.57B
+1.1%+15.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Emerson Electric stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Emerson Electric is $174.82, +2.6% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$174.82consensus 12-month target, +2.6% from the last close
Low $140High $275
Buy9
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Nov 2Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$140−17.9%
Oct 23Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Oct 19Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$145−14.9%
Oct 15Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$180+5.6%
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Emerson Electric seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Emerson Electric averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−7.1%2021+6.8%2022−3.7%2023+21.5%2024−2.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.2%3 of 5

For scale, EMR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

Emerson Electric market cap and key statistics

Emerson Electric’s market cap is $95.07B, with a P/E ratio of 36.1 and revenue of $18.64B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$95.07B
P/E ratio
36.1
Forward P/E
23.1
EPS, TTM
$4.60
Gekko Fair Value
$142.85

Trading

Volume
4.73M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.99M
52-week high
$172.00
52-week low
$122.64
Shares outstanding
557.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$18.64B
Profit margin
13.8%
Return on equity
12.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+23.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.21
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
1.33%

Emerson Electric peers

Emerson Electric’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
KEYSKeysight Technologies−6.0%Accumulation7.6% below
QQnity Electronics−1.0%Accumulation4.4% below
FTVFortive+1.1%Distribution14.2% above
NXTNextpower+2.3%Distribution5.9% above
NVMINova+0.5%Accumulation14.2% below
ONTOOnto Innovation−6.7%Accumulation28.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Electronic equipment/Instruments

Emerson Electric stock FAQ

What is Emerson Electric’s market cap?

Emerson Electric’s market cap is $95.07B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $170.44, with 557.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 36.1.

What is the Emerson Electric stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Emerson Electric is $174.82, +2.6% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Emerson Electric stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Emerson Electric is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $170.44 is 19.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $142.85. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Emerson Electric’s 52-week high and low?

Emerson Electric’s 52-week high is $172.00 and its 52-week low is $122.64; it closed at $170.44 on Nov 4, 2026, +21.7% over the past year.

Is Emerson Electric stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and smart money), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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