Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NVMI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NVMI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NVMI in Gekko
NASDAQ: NVMI
Nova (NVMI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$370.42+2.19 (+0.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's news on Nova centers on an insider transaction: CTO Shay Wolfing sold 3,864 ordinary shares at $363.28 each on 21 September 2026 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan, a sale valued at approximately $1.4 million and representing 15% of his direct holdings. Following the transaction, Wolfing retains 21,409 ordinary-share equivalents, including shares and RSUs vesting through 2030.
Nova closed at $370.42, up 0.6%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $383.18 and its 200-day average of $441.81, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. Over the past three months the stock is down 28.8%, though it remains up 20.7% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 58.1, placing it in the Neutral zone, and the current price sits 1.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $376.94.
Nova's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 November 2026, before the open, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 6 August showed EPS of $2.35 against an estimate of $2.23, with a -2.3% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -6.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the stock's typical 20-day move of 9.2%.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Nova price vs fair value
Close $370.42200-day averageGekko Fair Value $376.94
Nova quick facts
- Market cap
- $11.77B
- P/E ratio
- 45.7
- Forward P/E
- 25.8
- EPS, TTM
- $8.03
- Revenue, TTM
- $937.5M
- Profit margin
- 28.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.76
- Volume
- 198,076 avg 586,076
- 1-year return
- +20.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.2%
- 50-day average
- $383.18
- 200-day average
- $441.81
- Next earnings
- Nov 5 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 31.81M
Nova swing-trade checklist
Nova scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $370.42 is below the 50-day ($383.18) and 200-day ($441.81) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
58.1, Neutral
Reading 58.1 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
1.7% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.7% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−6.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Nova stock chart and price history
Nova closed at $370.42 on Sep 28, 2026, +20.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $266.43 to $615.99.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −0.1%
- 3 months
- −28.8%
- 6 months
- −16.0%
- 1 year
- +20.7%
The full NVMI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NVMI in Gekko
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About Nova
Nova builds equipment that keeps semiconductor fabrication on track, focusing on process control tools sold to chip manufacturers. Its core offering is a line of metrology systems capable of reading dimensions, film layers, material composition and chemical makeup on a wafer, which helps engineers monitor steps like lithography, etching, planarization, deposition, plating and packaging as chips move through production. The company reaches customers across Israel, Taiwan, the United States, China, Korea and other markets worldwide.
Buyers of its systems include producers of logic, foundry and memory chips, as well as companies that manufacture the equipment used elsewhere in chip production. Nova operated for years under the name Nova Measuring Instruments Ltd. before it was renamed Nova Ltd. in July 2021.
Based in Rehovot, Israel, the company traces its founding back to 1993. Nova is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker NVMI.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Electronic equipment/Instruments
- Website
- novami.com
Nova GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Nova’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.1, in the Neutral zone, down 3.1 points over five sessions.
58.1Neutral
Down 3.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 10 | +11.0% | +8.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 192 | +0.8% | +3.3% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 389 | +0.9% | +4.1% | ||
| Distribution | 78 | +0.7% | +2.3% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NVMI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NVMI price, zone by zone.Track NVMI in Gekko
Is Nova stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Nova trades 1.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $376.94, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Nova shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$376.94
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
1.7% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NVMI in Gekko
Nova insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nova, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NVMI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NVMI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NVMI in Gekko
Buybacks
Nova has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
- $15.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.13%
- Trailing four quarters
- $90.12M
From company filings.
Nova earnings: next date and track record
Nova reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Expected before the open, 37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.75
- Revenue estimate
- $282.1M
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $2.35 est $2.23 | $255.0M est $250.3M | −2.3% |
| May 14, 2026 | $2.33 est $2.20 | $235.3M est $227.0M | +1.1% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $2.14 est $2.12 | $222.6M est $220.9M | −6.7% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $2.16 est $2.15 | $224.6M est $222.2M | −10.1% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $2.20 est $2.05 | $220.0M est $217.3M | +4.9% |
| May 8, 2025 | $2.18 est $2.08 | $213.4M est $210.6M | −8.6% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $1.94 est $1.82 | $194.8M est $198.1M | +9.2% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $1.74 est $1.68 | $179.0M est $171.8M | +3.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Nova stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nova is $532.00, +43.6% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$532.00consensus 12-month target, +43.6% from the last close
Now $370.42Avg $532.00
Low $461High $600
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10 | Citi | $550 | +48.5% |
| Aug 7 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Aug 7 | Evercore ISI | $475 | +28.2% |
| Aug 7 | Morgan Stanley | $461 | +24.5% |
| Aug 7 | Needham | $570 | +53.9% |
+4.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−6.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Nova seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Nova averaged −6.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | 0.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −3.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −7.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −6.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.5% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, NVMI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.2%.
Nova market cap and key statistics
Nova’s market cap is $11.77B, with a P/E ratio of 45.7 and revenue of $937.5M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $11.77B
- P/E ratio
- 45.7
- Forward P/E
- 25.8
- EPS, TTM
- $8.03
- Gekko Fair Value
- $376.94
Trading
- Volume
- 198,076
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 586,076
- 52-week high
- $615.99
- 52-week low
- $266.43
- Shares outstanding
- 31.81M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $937.5M
- Profit margin
- 28.8%
- Return on equity
- 21.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +2.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.76
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.2%
Nova stock news this week
Coverage of Nova this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 4 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Nova's Chief Technology Officer Dumps Nearly 4,000 Shares for $1.4 MillionYahoo Finance, Sep 25
- Nova (NVMI) CTO offloads shares under preset planStock Titan, Sep 23
- Nova (NASDAQ:NVMI) Insider Shay Wolfing Sells 3,864 Shares of StockMarketBeat, Sep 22
- Form 4 NOVA LTD. For: 22 September By Investing.comInvesting.com Nigeria, Sep 22
- Form 144 NOVA LTD. For: 22 September By Investing.comInvesting.com India, Sep 22
- Nova Southeastern University President Emeritus George L. Hanbury II's Newly Published Book to Benefit Student Scholarships and ResearchGlobeNewsWire, Sep 22
Nova peers
Nova’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| EMREmerson Electric | Neutral | 14.8% above |
| KEYSKeysight Technologies | Neutral | 14.3% above |
| QQnity Electronics | Neutral | 3.4% below |
| FTVFortive | Accumulation | 3.6% below |
| ONTOOnto Innovation | Neutral | 2.1% above |
| NXTNextpower | Accumulation | 24.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Nova stock FAQ
What is Nova’s market cap?
Nova’s market cap is $11.77B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $370.42, with 31.81M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 45.7.
What is the Nova stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nova is $532.00, +43.6% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Nova stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Nova is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $370.42 is 1.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $376.94. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Nova report earnings next?
Nova is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.75 per share on revenue of $282.1M. Nova beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.8% on average across the report.
What is Nova’s 52-week high and low?
Nova’s 52-week high is $615.99 and its 52-week low is $266.43; it closed at $370.42 on Sep 28, 2026, +20.7% over the past year.
Is Nova stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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