NYSE: DBD

Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$63.26−0.41 (−0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Diebold Nixdorf draws attention this week largely on a new fintech deployment with stc pay Bahrain, where its DN Series cash recyclers and Vynamic software are being used to integrate physical kiosks with a digital wallet ecosystem, extending the company's push into telecom-affiliated financial platforms across Bahrain. Separately, Diebold Nixdorf received a Buy rating, with commentary noting that converting backlog and inventory into revenue in the fourth quarter is seen as important to meeting 2026 goals; the retail segment posted a 24% revenue increase while banking segment margins improved, even as lower margins and rising memory costs weighed on profitability. The company also confirmed it will hold its third-quarter investor call on 28 October.

The stock closed at $63.26, down 0.6%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $67.21 and 200-day average of $75.16, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reading of 61.9 places it in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 39.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $104.93.

Earnings are due 28 October, 16 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day hold, following a quarter where EPS of $1.10 matched estimates but the stock reacted -21.5%. Over the last 90 days there has been 1 open-market insider purchase. Seasonality from this point has averaged +10.7% over the next 20 trading days across 3 years, rising in 3 of them.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Diebold Nixdorf price vs fair value

$104.93$63.26Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $63.26200-day averageGekko Fair Value $104.93

Diebold Nixdorf quick facts

Market cap
$2.15B
P/E ratio
21.6
Forward P/E
12.2
EPS, TTM
$3.01
Revenue, TTM
$3.87B
Profit margin
2.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.19
Volume
173,243 avg 244,662
1-year return
+7.8%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
50-day average
$67.21
200-day average
$75.16
Next earnings
Oct 28 before open
Shares outstanding
33.95M
52-week range
$54.48$92.09

Diebold Nixdorf swing-trade checklist

Diebold Nixdorf scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $63.26 is below the 50-day ($67.21) and 200-day ($75.16) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.9, Accumulation

    Reading 61.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    39.7% below

    Price is 39.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +10.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +10.7% over 3 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Diebold Nixdorf stock chart and price history

Diebold Nixdorf closed at $63.26 on Oct 12, 2026, +7.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $54.48 to $92.09.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Diebold Nixdorf share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$60$70$80$90NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct63.26

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.6%
3 months
−26.1%
6 months
−25.9%
1 year
+7.8%
The full DBD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DBD in Gekko

Follow Diebold Nixdorf through every session

Put DBD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Diebold Nixdorf

Diebold Nixdorf helps banks and retailers automate and digitize the way they interact with customers. On the banking side, it builds hardware such as cash recycling and dispensing machines, deposit units, teller automation tools, kiosks and security equipment, paired with software that supports customer-facing engagement and back-end functions like transaction management, omnichannel delivery, asset monitoring and analytics. For retail clients, it supplies mobile point-of-sale systems, self-checkout kiosks, peripherals such as printers, scales and scanners, and cash processing equipment.

The company organizes its work around these two segments, Banking and Retail, each combining equipment sales with ongoing services. Banking customers receive system monitoring, incident response, maintenance, upgrades, outsourcing and cash management support, along with its DN Vynamic software suite aimed at improving the customer experience. Retail customers are offered consulting, support, implementation help, managed mobility services, monitoring with analytics, and store lifecycle management, reflecting a business built on continuing service relationships with banking and retail operators.

Diebold Nixdorf traces its history to 1859, operating for many years as Diebold, Incorporated before adopting its current name in December 2016. The company is headquartered in Hudson, Ohio, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker DBD.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Electronic equipment/Instruments
Website
dieboldnixdorf.com

Diebold Nixdorf GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Diebold Nixdorf’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.4 points over five sessions.

010061.9Accumulation

Up 2.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying17+7.3%+10.7%+14.2%+14.1%
Accumulation (current zone)182+1.2%+3.0%+7.1%+11.9%
Neutral402+0.2%+0.4%+1.0%+5.2%
Distribution70+0.6%+0.4%−1.2%+3.5%
Selling11+2.2%+2.4%+9.8%+10.8%

Average DBD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DBD price, zone by zone.Track DBD in Gekko

Is Diebold Nixdorf stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Diebold Nixdorf trades 39.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $104.93, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Diebold Nixdorf shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$104.93

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

39.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 40.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$105$63Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DBD in Gekko

Diebold Nixdorf insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Diebold Nixdorf worth $51K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$51Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Jul 31Thomas S Timko
EVP, CFO
Purchase700$51K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DBD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DBD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DBD in Gekko

Buybacks

Diebold Nixdorf has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$60.40M
As a share of market cap
2.81%
Trailing four quarters
$211.8M

From company filings.

Diebold Nixdorf earnings: next date and track record

Diebold Nixdorf reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−17.7%Nov ’24+6.8%Feb ’25+2.5%May ’25+6.7%Aug ’25+16.6%Nov ’25+11.0%Feb ’26−6.1%Apr ’26−21.5%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
DBD reported Q2 2026 revenue of $928M (up 1% YoY, 4% sequentially), adjusted EBITDA of $121M (up 8% YoY), and adjusted EPS of $1.10 (up 17% YoY). Order entry rose 3% YoY with backlog growing to $814M, the strongest first-half order entry in 4 years. Banking wins included 1,100 DN Series units in the UK and fleet refreshes in Mexico and South Africa. Higher memory costs and inventory buildup pressured free cash flow.
Guidance
Management reaffirmed full year outlook, expecting memory cost mitigation actions to gain traction in Q3-Q4. Elevated inventory levels are expected to persist through Q3 before normalizing in Q4, with free cash flow expected to improve accordingly.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$1.10
est $1.10
0.0%$927.6M
est $923.1M
+0.5%−21.5%
Apr 30, 2026$0.67
est $0.61
+9.8%$888.2M
est $846.2M
+5.0%−6.1%
Feb 12, 2026$3.02
est $1.61
+87.6%$1.10B
est $1.11B
−0.9%+11.0%
Nov 5, 2025$1.39
est $0.66
+110.6%$945.2M
est $1.11B
−15.2%+16.6%
Aug 6, 2025$0.60
est $0.61
−1.6%$915.2M
est $885.9M
+3.3%+6.7%
May 7, 2025$0.07
est $0.55
−87.3%$841.1M
est $844.1M
−0.4%+2.5%
Feb 12, 2025$0.97
est $1.05
−7.6%$988.9M
est $988.0M
+0.1%+6.8%
Nov 7, 2024$0.53
est $1.36
−61.0%$927.1M
est $987.8M
−6.1%−17.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Diebold Nixdorf stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Diebold Nixdorf is $98.33, +55.4% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$98.33consensus 12-month target, +55.4% from the last close
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 3D.A. DavidsonBuy, maintained$100+58.1%
Jul 30WedbushBuy, reiterated$100+58.1%
Jul 30D.A. DavidsonBuy, maintained——
+7.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+10.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Diebold Nixdorf seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Diebold Nixdorf averaged +10.7% across the last 3 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.3%2023−4.0%2024+17.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.4%2 of 3
Next 10 trading days+3.4%3 of 3
Next 15 trading days+5.2%3 of 3
Next 20 trading days+10.7%3 of 3
Next 30 trading days+12.8%2 of 3

For scale, DBD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.2%.

Diebold Nixdorf market cap and key statistics

Diebold Nixdorf’s market cap is $2.15B, with a P/E ratio of 21.6 and revenue of $3.87B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.15B
P/E ratio
21.6
Forward P/E
12.2
EPS, TTM
$3.01
Gekko Fair Value
$104.93

Trading

Volume
173,243
Avg volume, 20 days
244,662
52-week high
$92.09
52-week low
$54.48
Shares outstanding
33.95M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.87B
Profit margin
2.9%
Return on equity
10.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+34.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.19
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%

Diebold Nixdorf peers

Diebold Nixdorf’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
EMREmerson Electric+0.4%Neutral16.0% above
KEYSKeysight Technologies−1.1%Neutral17.2% above
QQnity Electronics−1.7%Neutral3.5% below
FTVFortive+0.2%Neutral0.3% below
ONTOOnto Innovation−5.6%Neutral4.7% below
NXTNextpower−1.0%Neutral18.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Diebold Nixdorf stock FAQ

What is Diebold Nixdorf’s market cap?

Diebold Nixdorf’s market cap is $2.15B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $63.26, with 33.95M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.6.

What is the Diebold Nixdorf stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Diebold Nixdorf is $98.33, +55.4% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Diebold Nixdorf stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Diebold Nixdorf is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $63.26 is 39.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $104.93. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Diebold Nixdorf report earnings next?

Diebold Nixdorf is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.31 per share on revenue of $971.7M. Diebold Nixdorf beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.1% on average across the report.

What is Diebold Nixdorf’s 52-week high and low?

Diebold Nixdorf’s 52-week high is $92.09 and its 52-week low is $54.48; it closed at $63.26 on Oct 12, 2026, +7.8% over the past year.

Is Diebold Nixdorf stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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