Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MTRN in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MTRN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MTRN in Gekko
NYSE: MTRN
Materion (MTRN) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$261.99−2.97 (−1.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryMaterion shares move this week amid a valuation debate playing out in coverage: one report flags the stock as significantly overvalued relative to a $152.62 intrinsic value estimate after shares rose 3.4% to $264.96, while a separate discounted cash flow analysis suggests the $256.14 price sits below estimated fair value. A comparison piece also weighs Materion against peer Triple Flag Precious Metals across ownership, earnings and profitability metrics. Separately, a filing shows Bank of America Corp DE adding a $51.48 million stake in the company.
Materion last closed at $261.99, down 1.1%, holding above both its 50-day average of $248.86 and its 200-day average of $196.31, with the shorter-term average also above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 53.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, and the current price sits 9.2% above the Gekko Fair Value of $239.83.
The next earnings report is set for 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.9% return over the past 5 years, with gains in 3 of those years. The gap to Gekko Fair Value alongside the Neutral GekkoIndex reading is worth noting heading into that stretch.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Materion price vs fair value
Close $261.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $239.83
Materion quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.45B
- P/E ratio
- 59.6
- Forward P/E
- 29.7
- EPS, TTM
- $4.30
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.10B
- Profit margin
- 4.3%
- Dividend yield
- 0.22%
- Beta
- 1.08
- Volume
- 206,434 avg 233,680
- 1-year return
- +122.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.3%
- 50-day average
- $248.86
- 200-day average
- $196.31
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 20.83M
Materion swing-trade checklist
Materion scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $261.99 is above the 50-day ($248.86) and 200-day ($196.31) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
53.2, Neutral
Reading 53.2 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
9.2% above
Price is 9.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Materion stock chart and price history
Materion closed at $261.99 on Sep 28, 2026, +122.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $109.61 to $304.58.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +6.4%
- 3 months
- −9.5%
- 6 months
- +85.3%
- 1 year
- +122.0%
The full MTRN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MTRN in Gekko
Follow Materion through every session
Put MTRN on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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Materion GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Materion’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.2, in the Neutral zone, down 2.9 points over five sessions.
53.2Neutral
Down 2.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 30 | +5.5% | +4.8% | ||
| Accumulation | 235 | +0.4% | +1.4% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 341 | +0.9% | +3.5% | ||
| Distribution | 63 | −0.8% | +4.1% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MTRN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MTRN price, zone by zone.Track MTRN in Gekko
Is Materion stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Materion trades 9.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $239.83, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Materion shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$239.83
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
9.2% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MTRN in Gekko
Materion insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Materion, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MTRN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MTRN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MTRN in Gekko
Buybacks
Materion has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
- $102K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Materion earnings: next date and track record
Materion reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.89
- Revenue estimate
- $611.4M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Materion reported a milestone Q2 2026 with record value-added sales and adjusted earnings. Management highlighted double-digit sales growth across all three business segments (Performance Materials +13%, Electronic Materials +15%, Precision Optics +26%), record adjusted EBITDA of $71.8 million (23.3% margin) and record adjusted EPS of $1.90 (up ~39% year-over-year). The company cited strong end-market demand—especially defense, space, semiconductor, telecom & data center, industrial and new energy—and substantial new business wins and a growing order book. Management emphasized operational execution, price/mix gains and working capital improvement driving strong free cash flow, and noted onetime items that added a few million to results. They signaled continued momentum into the second half of 2026, confidence in sustaining structurally higher margins (Electronic Materials notably at a record 32% adjusted EBITDA margin), and longer-term ambition to sustain ~23% company adjusted EBITDA. Management stressed prudent capital allocation and leveraging customer/government funding for CapEx and R&D investments.
- Guidance
- Management gave qualitative forward-looking guidance: continued momentum into the back half of 2026; expectation that defense and space demand trends will continue to be strong drivers for 2026 and into future years; Electronic Materials margins are expected to be structurally ahead of last year (though Q2 mix may be richer than the full year); Precision Optics is expected to continue improving and contribute toward the company's midterm 23% adjusted EBITDA target. No specific numeric revenue or EPS guidance for 2027 was provided on the call.
- Risks flagged
- Risks discussed or implied on the call include: exposure to cyclicality and variability in end markets (defense/space, semiconductor, aerospace, energy); potential impacts from inflationary pressures, energy and freight cost volatility; reliance on contract/award timing and customer-funded CapEx or R&D arrangements; potential for order/backlog volatility or prebuying dynamics (management argued current orders are broad-based and near-term consumption driven); and the possibility that unusually strong quarter-specific mix or onetime items may not fully repeat.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $1.90 est $1.55 | $613.9M est $549.8M | +22.5% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $1.27 est $1.25 | $549.8M est $479.0M | +3.7% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $1.53 est $1.51 | $489.8M est $448.8M | +1.6% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $1.41 est $1.41 | $438.4M est $448.8M | −13.7% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $1.37 est $1.18 | $431.7M est $441.4M | +14.4% |
| May 1, 2025 | $1.13 est $1.12 | $420.3M est $413.7M | −1.3% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $1.55 est $1.46 | $436.9M est $422.4M | +0.4% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $1.41 est $1.41 | $436.7M est $434.9M | −4.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Materion stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Materion is $303.75, +15.9% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$303.75consensus 12-month target, +15.9% from the last close
Now $261.99Avg $303.75
Low $306High $314
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2 | Jefferies | $314 | +19.9% |
| Aug 9 | Seaport Global | — | — |
| Aug 7 | KeyBanc | $306 | +16.8% |
+3.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Materion seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Materion averaged +2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +9.0% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, MTRN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.3%.
Materion market cap and key statistics
Materion’s market cap is $5.45B, with a P/E ratio of 59.6 and revenue of $2.10B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.45B
- P/E ratio
- 59.6
- Forward P/E
- 29.7
- EPS, TTM
- $4.30
- Gekko Fair Value
- $239.83
Trading
- Volume
- 206,434
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 233,680
- 52-week high
- $304.58
- 52-week low
- $109.61
- Shares outstanding
- 20.83M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.10B
- Profit margin
- 4.3%
- Return on equity
- 9.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +52.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.08
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.3%
- Dividend yield
- 0.22%
Materion stock news this week
Coverage of Materion this week reads positive: 2 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Materion Corp (MTRN) Stock Up 3.4% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 82/100GuruFocus, Sep 25
- Materion (MTRN) Stock Trades Below Fair Value On Cash FlowYahoo Finance, Sep 24
- Bank of America Corp DE Invests $51.48 Million in Materion Corporation $MTRNMarketBeat, Sep 21
- Head-To-Head Comparison: Materion (NYSE:MTRN) & Triple Flag Precious Metals (NYSE:TFPM)Defense World, Sep 21
Materion peers
Materion’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| EMREmerson Electric | Neutral | 14.8% above |
| KEYSKeysight Technologies | Neutral | 14.3% above |
| QQnity Electronics | Neutral | 3.4% below |
| FTVFortive | Accumulation | 3.6% below |
| ONTOOnto Innovation | Neutral | 2.1% above |
| NXTNextpower | Accumulation | 24.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Materion stock FAQ
What is Materion’s market cap?
Materion’s market cap is $5.45B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $261.99, with 20.83M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 59.6.
What is the Materion stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Materion is $303.75, +15.9% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Materion stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Materion is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $261.99 is 9.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $239.83. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Materion report earnings next?
Materion is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.89 per share on revenue of $611.4M. Materion beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.8% on average across the report.
What is Materion’s 52-week high and low?
Materion’s 52-week high is $304.58 and its 52-week low is $109.61; it closed at $261.99 on Sep 28, 2026, +122.0% over the past year.
Is Materion stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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