NYSE: BJ

BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$96.81+3.02 (+3.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

BJ's Wholesale Club shares rose this week, gaining 3.2% to close at $96.81, with coverage pointing to strong Q2 fiscal results as the driver. The company reported Q2 revenue of $6.23 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.36, both ahead of estimates, alongside net sales up nearly 16% year over year and merchandise comps growing 3.1%. Commentary has also framed the stock as undervalued and highlighted momentum, while at least one piece noted that BJ's scale remains limited next to larger rivals like Costco and Sam's Club. Separately, the company marked its 42nd anniversary with a storewide promotion and opened a new club location in Foley, Alabama.

The stock trades above both its 50-day average of $93.67 and its 200-day average of $93.52, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 52.1, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 6.5 points over the past five sessions. Against a Gekko Fair Value of $110.91, the current price sits 12.7% below that level.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 20 November, 52 days out, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, and no billionaire holders are on record, though trailblazer holders stand at zero. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.1% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus among 14 firms includes 8 buy and 6 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $105.65.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

BJ's Wholesale Club price vs fair value

$110.91$96.81Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $96.81200-day averageGekko Fair Value $110.91

BJ's Wholesale Club quick facts

Market cap
$12.36B
P/E ratio
20.2
Forward P/E
20
EPS, TTM
$4.50
Revenue, TTM
$22.81B
Profit margin
2.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.18
Volume
1.79M avg 1.58M
1-year return
+3.2%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$93.67
200-day average
$93.52
Next earnings
Nov 20 before open
Shares outstanding
126.3M
52-week range
$83.21$105.78

BJ's Wholesale Club swing-trade checklist

BJ's Wholesale Club scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $96.81 is above the 50-day ($93.67) and 200-day ($93.52) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52.1, Neutral

    Reading 52.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    12.7% below

    Price is 12.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 52 days

    Next report Nov 20, 2026, 52 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

BJ's Wholesale Club stock chart and price history

BJ's Wholesale Club closed at $96.81 on Sep 28, 2026, +3.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $83.21 to $105.78.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
BJ's Wholesale Club share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$85$90$95$100$105NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep96.81

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+7.0%
3 months
+8.4%
6 months
−2.8%
1 year
+3.2%
The full BJ chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BJ in Gekko

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About BJ's Wholesale Club

BJ's Wholesale Club operates a chain of membership-based warehouse stores concentrated in the eastern part of the United States. Shoppers who join as members can buy perishable foods, general merchandise and gasoline at its locations, along with a number of add-on services. The retailer is recognized for this warehouse-club format paired with fuel stations attached to many of its sites.

Beyond its physical clubs, the company reaches customers online through several branded websites and a mobile app, giving members additional ways to shop and arrange delivery. Its business depends on membership sign-ups and renewals as much as on direct sales of goods, with warehouse locations and gas stations spread across a number of states. The company was originally formed under the name Beacon Holding Inc. before adopting its current name in 2018.

BJ's Wholesale Club traces its founding back to 1984 and keeps its headquarters in Westborough, Massachusetts. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker BJ.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
bjs.com

BJ's Wholesale Club GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

BJ's Wholesale Club’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.1, in the Neutral zone, down 6.5 points over five sessions.

010052.1Neutral

Down 6.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying17+1.8%+3.7%+6.1%+12.0%
Accumulation215+1.2%+1.2%+1.1%+1.6%
Neutral (current zone)402−0.1%+0.3%+1.1%+2.8%
Distribution35−0.6%−0.3%+1.1%+4.9%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average BJ share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BJ price, zone by zone.Track BJ in Gekko

Is BJ's Wholesale Club stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

BJ's Wholesale Club trades 12.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $110.91, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what BJ's Wholesale Club shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$110.91

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 24, 2026

12.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BJ in Gekko

BJ's Wholesale Club insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BJ's Wholesale Club, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BJ in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BJ insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BJ in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BJ were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BJ, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BJ in Gekko

Buybacks

BJ's Wholesale Club has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
$123.0M
As a share of market cap
1.00%
Trailing four quarters
$552.7M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BJ.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

BJ's Wholesale Club earnings: next date and track record

BJ's Wholesale Club reports on Nov 20, 2026, before the open (52 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+12.9%Nov ’24+15.4%Mar ’25−0.9%May ’25−10.2%Aug ’25−2.9%Nov ’25−3.2%Mar ’26−10.1%May ’26+7.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 21, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BJ's Wholesale Club reported Q2 FY2026 net sales up nearly 16% YoY with merchandise comps growing 3.1%, marking 18 consecutive quarters of traffic growth and 15 consecutive quarters of market share gains. Adjusted EPS of $1.36 rose 19% YoY. Membership reached a milestone 8.5 million members with membership fee income up ~10% YoY. General Merchandise comps grew 5.3% while Perishables/Grocery grew 2.8%; fuel profit also exceeded plan.
Guidance
Management indicated results came in ahead of expectations across sales, membership, margin dollars, and EPS. No specific forward guidance numbers were provided in this excerpt, but momentum across traffic, membership growth, and improving price gaps suggest continued positive outlook.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 21, 2026$1.36
est $1.16
+17.2%$6.23B
est $5.97B
+4.3%+7.9%
May 22, 2026$1.10
est $1.03
+6.8%$5.66B
est $5.44B
+4.1%−10.1%
Mar 5, 2026$0.96
est $0.92
+4.0%$5.58B
est $5.55B
+0.5%−3.2%
Nov 21, 2025$1.16
est $1.09
+6.4%$5.35B
est $5.34B
+0.1%−2.9%
Aug 22, 2025$1.14
est $1.09
+4.6%$5.38B
est $5.49B
−1.9%−10.2%
May 22, 2025$1.14
est $0.92
+23.4%$5.15B
est $5.19B
−0.7%−0.9%
Mar 6, 2025$0.93
est $0.88
+5.9%$5.28B
est $5.26B
+0.3%+15.4%
Nov 21, 2024$1.18
est $0.91
+29.7%$5.10B
est $5.12B
−0.4%+12.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

BJ's Wholesale Club stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BJ's Wholesale Club is $105.65, +9.1% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$105.65consensus 12-month target, +9.1% from the last close
Low $97High $115
Buy8
Hold6
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 24Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$100+3.3%
Aug 24Roth MKMHold, maintained$97+0.2%
Aug 24UBSBuy, maintained$115+18.8%
Aug 24UBSBuy, reiterated$115+18.8%
Aug 24Deutsche Bank Hold, maintained$103+6.4%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

BJ's Wholesale Club seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, BJ's Wholesale Club averaged +1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.9%2021+2.7%2022−3.0%2023+3.5%2024−0.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.6%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.5%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days0.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.7%3 of 5

For scale, BJ’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

BJ's Wholesale Club market cap and key statistics

BJ's Wholesale Club’s market cap is $12.36B, with a P/E ratio of 20.2 and revenue of $22.81B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.36B
P/E ratio
20.2
Forward P/E
20
EPS, TTM
$4.50
Gekko Fair Value
$110.91

Trading

Volume
1.79M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.58M
52-week high
$105.78
52-week low
$83.21
Shares outstanding
126.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$22.81B
Profit margin
2.6%
Return on equity
27.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+19.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.18
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%

BJ's Wholesale Club peers

BJ's Wholesale Club’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMTWalmart+0.8%Neutral5.0% below
COSTCostco Wholesale−0.2%Neutral12.6% above
TGTTarget+1.2%Neutral10.7% above
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive+0.8%Neutral6.0% below
CVNACarvana−5.0%Accumulation18.8% below
AZOAutoZone+1.2%Neutral28.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

BJ's Wholesale Club stock FAQ

What is BJ's Wholesale Club’s market cap?

BJ's Wholesale Club’s market cap is $12.36B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $96.81, with 126.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.2.

What is the BJ's Wholesale Club stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BJ's Wholesale Club is $105.65, +9.1% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is BJ's Wholesale Club stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate BJ's Wholesale Club is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $96.81 is 12.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $110.91. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does BJ's Wholesale Club report earnings next?

BJ's Wholesale Club is expected to report on Nov 20, 2026, before the market opens (52 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.22 per share on revenue of $5.93B. BJ's Wholesale Club beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.9% on average across the report.

What is BJ's Wholesale Club’s 52-week high and low?

BJ's Wholesale Club’s 52-week high is $105.78 and its 52-week low is $83.21; it closed at $96.81 on Sep 28, 2026, +3.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $121.10 on Apr 15, 2025.

Is BJ's Wholesale Club stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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