Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MSTR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MSTR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSTR in Gekko
NASDAQ: MSTR
Strategy (MSTR) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$142.54+6.91 (+5.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeStrategy's week centers on its Bitcoin accumulation strategy and Q3 2026 results. The company reported record Q3 figures, with $20.9B operating income, $19.1B net income, and $44.75 diluted EPS, beating the $20.19 estimate and driven largely by a $21B fair value gain on its Bitcoin holdings, which now total 848,517 BTC. Despite the beat, the stock fell 10.1% in reaction to the report. Separate disclosures show continued Bitcoin purchases of 811 coins alongside a sale of 1.18 million Class A shares generating $164.0 million in net proceeds, and commentary has turned to a pending MSCI index decision that could affect the company's buying posture.
Shares closed at $142.54, up 5.1%, sitting between the 50-day average of $144.47 and the 200-day average of $134.08. The GekkoIndex reads 59, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 20.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $178.84. Over the past month the stock is down 13.4%, though it remains up 47.2% over three months and down 46.1% over the past year.
Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 4 February 2027, outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. Options activity over the past 30 days shows 3 unusual signals, with call premium of $48,986,361 against put premium of $3,144,225. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 3.5% from this point, though gains occurred in only 2 of those years. Analyst consensus among 14 firms stands at 13 buy and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $234.27.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Strategy price vs fair value
Close $142.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $178.84
Strategy quick facts
- Market cap
- $57.36B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 5.3
- EPS, TTM
- −$52.33
- Revenue, TTM
- $495.1M
- Profit margin
- 0%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 3.61
- Volume
- 18.59M avg 17.71M
- 1-year return
- −46.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±6.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±17.4%
- 50-day average
- $144.47
- 200-day average
- $134.08
- Next earnings
- Feb 4 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 403.9M
Strategy swing-trade checklist
Strategy scores 3 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $142.54 sits between the 50-day ($144.47) and 200-day ($134.08) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
59, Neutral
Reading 59 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
20.3% below
Price is 20.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 91 days
Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+3.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Strategy stock chart and price history
Strategy closed at $142.54 on Nov 4, 2026, −46.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $81.81 to $258.21.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −13.4%
- 3 months
- +47.2%
- 6 months
- −23.7%
- 1 year
- −46.1%
The full MSTR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MSTR in Gekko
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About Strategy
Strategy positions itself around holding and managing Bitcoin as a core financial asset, packaging that exposure into equity and fixed income products so investors can participate in Bitcoin's value in different ways. Beyond this, it develops analytics software driven by artificial intelligence, including a product called Strategy One, built to let everyday business users pull practical insights from data without needing technical expertise. It also offers Strategy Mosaic, a layer meant to standardize definitions and oversight across scattered data sources and tools within an organization.
Its reach spans customers in the United States as well as Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and other regions worldwide, blending its Bitcoin-related financial activities with software sold to enterprise clients. The business traded under the name MicroStrategy Incorporated until it was renamed Strategy Inc in August 2025.
Strategy traces its incorporation back to 1989 and operates out of Tysons Corner, Virginia. Shares of the company are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MSTR.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Internet software/Services
- Website
- strategy.com
Strategy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Strategy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59, in the Neutral zone, down 0.4 points over five sessions.
59Neutral
Down 0.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 37 | +1.9% | +1.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 277 | −0.5% | +1.8% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 332 | +3.3% | +8.9% | ||
| Distribution | 48 | +1.5% | +28.4% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MSTR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MSTR price, zone by zone.Track MSTR in Gekko
Is Strategy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Strategy trades 20.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $178.84, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Strategy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$178.84
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
20.3% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 26.8% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MSTR in Gekko
Strategy insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Strategy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MSTR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MSTR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSTR in Gekko
Buybacks
Strategy has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2020
- $123.2M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.21%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
3signals, 94% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 21, $5.07M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MSTR.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Strategy earnings: next date and track record
Strategy reports on Feb 4, 2027, after the close (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 4, 2027
Expected after the close, 91 days away
- EPS estimate
- $32.24
- Revenue estimate
- $128.3M
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Strategy reported record Q3 2026 results with $20.9B operating income, $19.1B net income, and $44.75 diluted EPS, driven by a $21B fair value gain on Bitcoin holdings. The company holds 848,517 BTC (~4% of all Bitcoin ever), valued at ~$71B at quarter end. Market cap reached $62B, up 76% in Q3. Total treasury assets grew to $74B, ranking Strategy 7th among S&P 500 companies by treasury size. YTD capital raised totaled $21.2B.
- Guidance
- Management highlighted a stronger capital base entering the next Bitcoin appreciation phase, positioning for amplified BTC yield long-term. Combined Bitcoin and dollar reserves provide 49 years of interest and dividend coverage. No specific revenue or earnings targets were provided in this excerpt.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | $44.75 est $20.19 | $125.4M est $127.8M | −10.1% |
| Jul 30, 2026 | −$24.45 est $52.04 | $122.4M est $123.0M | −0.1% |
| May 5, 2026 | −$38.25 est −$0.86 | $124.3M est $120.8M | +1.6% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | −$42.93 est −$0.08 | $123.0M est $119.1M | +4.5% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $8.42 est −$0.10 | $128.7M est $116.7M | −2.1% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $32.60 est −$0.10 | $114.5M est $113.5M | −7.2% |
| May 1, 2025 | −$16.49 est −$2.44 | $111.1M est $116.2M | +3.8% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | −$3.03 est −$0.13 | $120.7M est $122.4M | −6.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Strategy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Strategy is $234.27, +64.4% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$234.27consensus 12-month target, +64.4% from the last close
Now $142.54Avg $234.27
Low $100High $350
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | B. Riley Securities | $180 | +26.3% |
| Nov 2 | Maxim Group | $215 | +50.8% |
| Nov 2 | Barclays | $175 | +22.8% |
| Oct 30 | H.C. Wainwright | $250 | +75.4% |
| Oct 30 | Canaccord Genuity | $179 | +25.6% |
+8.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Strategy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Strategy averaged +3.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −0.6% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, MSTR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 17.4%.
Strategy market cap and key statistics
Strategy’s market cap is $57.36B and revenue of $495.1M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $57.36B
- Forward P/E
- 5.3
- EPS, TTM
- −$52.33
- Gekko Fair Value
- $178.84
Trading
- Volume
- 18.59M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 17.71M
- 52-week high
- $258.21
- 52-week low
- $81.81
- Shares outstanding
- 403.9M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $495.1M
- Profit margin
- 0%
- Return on equity
- -21.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +431.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 3.61
- Typical daily move
- ±6.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±17.4%
Strategy stock news this week
Coverage of Strategy this week reads positive: 3 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Michael Saylor Keeps Buying Bitcoin While ETF Investors Sell. Strategy Added 811 Coins While BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Saw $405.3 Million Pulled Out In A Single Day24/7 Wall Street, Nov 4
- A director proposes selling 950 Strategy (MSTR) shares acquired through stock options.Stock Titan, Nov 3
- Strategy’s Bitcoin Bet Just Produced a Monster Quarter. Here’s the Bigger Question.247 Wallst, Nov 3
- Strategy Stock Fell 15% in October: Is MSTR Crashing or Just Finding a Bottom?24/7 Wall Street, Nov 2
- Strategy Inc Reports Purchase of 811 BTC and Sale of 1.18M MSTR Shares from Oct 26 to Nov 1, 2026Kalkine Media, Nov 2
- MSTR Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Digital Credit ExpansionZacks Investment Research, Nov 2
Strategy peers
Strategy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GOOGAlphabet | Buying | 2.4% below |
| GOOGLAlphabet | Buying | 1.7% below |
| METAMeta Platforms | Accumulation | 4.1% above |
| NFLXNetflix | Accumulation | 27.7% below |
| SPOTSpotify Technology | Distribution | 30.1% above |
| TRIThomson Reuters | Neutral | 14.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Strategy stock FAQ
What is Strategy’s market cap?
Strategy’s market cap is $57.36B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $142.54, with 403.9M shares outstanding.
What is the Strategy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Strategy is $234.27, +64.4% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Strategy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Strategy is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $142.54 is 20.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $178.84. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Strategy report earnings next?
Strategy is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027, after the market closes (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $32.24 per share on revenue of $128.3M. Strategy beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.
What is Strategy’s 52-week high and low?
Strategy’s 52-week high is $258.21 and its 52-week low is $81.81; it closed at $142.54 on Nov 4, 2026, −46.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $543.00 on Nov 21, 2024.
Is Strategy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Strategy?
Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Strategy over the last 30 days, with $48.99M of flagged premium in calls and $3.14M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 21, 2026 with $5.07M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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