Insider buying last 90 days
$999Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22 | Phong Le President & CEO | Purchase | $999K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NASDAQ: MSTR
Strategy (MSTR) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$153.92+21.67 (+16.4%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryStrategy trades at $153.92, up 16.4% on the day, with the stock above both its 50-day average of $110.82 and its 200-day average of $137.04. The GekkoIndex reading of 50.3 places it in the Neutral zone, down 3.2 points over the past five sessions. Price sits 2.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $157.90. Over the past month the stock has returned 47.6%, and over three months 36.8%, though it remains down 53.3% over the past year.
The week's activity centers on Bitcoin's price action and related regulatory and legislative developments. Bitcoin reclaimed the $80,000 level, with reports citing $80,888.81 and a 5.5% 24-hour move, lifting crypto-linked equities including Strategy, which gained about 12% and also gained 4% on a separate session tied to Bitcoin mining stocks. Shares also fell after the Senate blocked the CLARITY Act from reaching the floor, before crypto stocks including Coinbase and Robinhood ticked up again. Separately, Strategy resumed Bitcoin purchases, buying 4,603 Bitcoin for $370 million in late August, and VerifiedX joined the Strategy-backed Bitcoin For Corporations network.
The next earnings report is set for 29 October 2026, 39 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold, with the prior quarter showing an EPS miss against a $52.04 estimate and a -0.1% reaction. Smart money shows one insider purchase of $998,756 over the last 90 days, alongside 11 unusual options signals over the last 30 days, with call premium of $425.3 million against put premium of $234.0 million. Seasonality for this calendar stretch averaged a 12.4% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. All 13 covering analysts rate the stock buy, with a consensus target of $228.53.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $153.92200-day averageGekko Fair Value $157.90
Key stats
- Market cap
- $50.92B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 5.1
- EPS, TTM
- −$99.16
- Revenue, TTM
- $498.3M
- Profit margin
- 0%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 3.60
- Volume
- 54.03M avg 27.10M
- 1-year return
- −53.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±6.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±17.2%
- 50-day average
- $110.82
- 200-day average
- $137.04
- Next earnings
- Oct 29 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 377.6M
Strategy swing-trade checklist
Strategy scores 3 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $153.92 sits between the 50-day ($110.82) and 200-day ($137.04) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
50.3, Neutral
Reading 50.3 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
2.5% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 11 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 39 days
Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+12.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +12.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Strategy stock chart and price history
Strategy closed at $153.92 on Sep 18, 2026, −53.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $81.81 to $365.21.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +47.6%
- 3 months
- +36.8%
- 6 months
- +11.3%
- 1 year
- −53.3%
The full MSTR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MSTR in Gekko
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About Strategy
Strategy positions itself around holding and managing Bitcoin as a core financial asset, packaging that exposure into equity and fixed income products so investors can participate in Bitcoin's value in different ways. Beyond this, it develops analytics software driven by artificial intelligence, including a product called Strategy One, built to let everyday business users pull practical insights from data without needing technical expertise. It also offers Strategy Mosaic, a layer meant to standardize definitions and oversight across scattered data sources and tools within an organization.
Its reach spans customers in the United States as well as Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and other regions worldwide, blending its Bitcoin-related financial activities with software sold to enterprise clients. The business traded under the name MicroStrategy Incorporated until it was renamed Strategy Inc in August 2025.
Strategy traces its incorporation back to 1989 and operates out of Tysons Corner, Virginia. Shares of the company are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MSTR.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Internet software/Services
- Website
- strategy.com
Strategy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Strategy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.3, in the Neutral zone, down 3.2 points over five sessions.
50.3Neutral
Down 3.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 37 | +1.9% | +1.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 274 | −0.6% | +1.5% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 300 | +3.5% | +9.1% | ||
| Distribution | 48 | +1.5% | +28.3% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MSTR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MSTR price, zone by zone.Track MSTR in Gekko
Is Strategy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Strategy trades 2.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $157.90, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Strategy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$157.90
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
2.5% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MSTR in Gekko
Strategy insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Strategy worth $999K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MSTR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MSTR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSTR in Gekko
Buybacks
Strategy has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2020
- $123.2M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.24%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
11signals, 65% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $232.8M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MSTR.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Strategy earnings: next date and track record
Strategy reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
Expected after the close, 39 days away
- EPS estimate
- $13.99
- Revenue estimate
- $128.1M
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Hercules Capital (HTGC) reported record Q2 2026 performance with originations of $927M+ and gross fundings of $647M+. First-half 2026 originations reached a record $2.74B, up 35.6% YoY, with fundings of $1.35B, up 8.5% YoY. Net investment income covered base distributions by 125%. Total AUM grew 14.4% YoY to $6.1B, with 87% first-lien exposure maintained.
- Guidance
- Q3 2026 prepayments expected to normalize to $200M-$300M range. Originations expected to be seasonally lower in Q3. Management maintains conservative balance sheet positioning while remaining opportunistic on deployment.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | −$24.45 est $52.04 | $122.4M est $123.0M | −0.1% |
| May 5, 2026 | −$38.25 est −$0.86 | $124.3M est $120.8M | +1.6% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | −$42.93 est −$0.08 | $123.0M est $119.1M | +4.5% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $8.42 est −$0.10 | $128.7M est $116.7M | −2.1% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $32.60 est −$0.10 | $114.5M est $113.5M | −7.2% |
| May 1, 2025 | −$16.49 est −$2.44 | $111.1M est $116.2M | +3.8% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | −$3.03 est −$0.13 | $120.7M est $122.4M | −6.6% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | −$1.56 est −$0.02 | $116.1M est $121.5M | −5.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Strategy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Strategy is $228.53, +48.5% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$228.53consensus 12-month target, +48.5% from the last close
Now $153.92Avg $228.53
Low $136High $435
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Barclays | $160 | +4.0% |
| Sep 8 | Canaccord Genuity | $179 | +16.3% |
| Sep 3 | B. Riley Securities | $175 | +13.7% |
| Sep 2 | TD Cowen | $260 | +68.9% |
| Sep 1 | Clear Street | $201 | +30.6% |
+9.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+12.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Strategy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Strategy averaged +12.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +6.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +12.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +12.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +28.8% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, MSTR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 17.2%.
Strategy market cap and key statistics
Strategy’s market cap is $50.92B and revenue of $498.3M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $50.92B
- Forward P/E
- 5.1
- EPS, TTM
- −$99.16
- Gekko Fair Value
- $157.90
Trading
- Volume
- 54.03M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 27.10M
- 52-week high
- $365.21
- 52-week low
- $81.81
- Shares outstanding
- 377.6M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $498.3M
- Profit margin
- 0%
- Return on equity
- -63.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −77.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 3.60
- Typical daily move
- ±6.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±17.2%
Strategy stock news this week
6 headlines about Strategy from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Strategy (MSTR), Coinbase as Bitcoin hits $80k again, SEC eases tokenized tradingInvezz, Sep 18
- Strategy Climbs 12%, Coinbase Jumps 10% as Bitcoin Tops $80,00024/7 Wall Street, Sep 18
- VerifiedX Joins Bitcoin For Corporations, the Strategy-Backed Network of Corporate Bitcoin HoldersGlobeNewsWire, Sep 17
- CleanSpark Climbs 5% as Bitcoin Miners Outrun the Coin; Strategy Rises 4%24/7 Wall Street, Sep 17
- Strategy Stock Falls as Bitcoin Extends Pullback After Senate VoteBenzinga, Sep 16
- Strategy Is Buying Bitcoin Again. Here's What That Means for the Price of Bitcoin.The Motley Fool, Sep 16
Strategy peers
Strategy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GOOGLAlphabet | Neutral | 9.1% above |
| GOOGAlphabet | Neutral | 8.8% above |
| METAMeta Platforms | Neutral | 19.5% above |
| NFLXNetflix | Accumulation | 26.9% below |
| SPOTSpotify Technology | Accumulation | 11.5% above |
| TRIThomson Reuters | Accumulation | 28.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Strategy stock FAQ
What is Strategy’s market cap?
Strategy’s market cap is $50.92B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $153.92, with 377.6M shares outstanding.
What is the Strategy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Strategy is $228.53, +48.5% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Strategy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Strategy is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $153.92 is 2.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $157.90. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Strategy report earnings next?
Strategy is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $13.99 per share on revenue of $128.1M. Strategy beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.9% on average across the report.
What is Strategy’s 52-week high and low?
Strategy’s 52-week high is $365.21 and its 52-week low is $81.81; it closed at $153.92 on Sep 18, 2026, −53.3% over the past year.
Is Strategy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Strategy?
Gekko flagged 11 unusual options signals in Strategy over the last 30 days, with $425.3M of flagged premium in calls and $234.0M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $232.8M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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