Insider buying last 90 days
$110Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13 | Glenn Schiffman Director | Purchase | $110K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NASDAQ: MTCH
Match (MTCH) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$39.51−1.04 (−2.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryMatch fell this week amid broader concern about structural disruption to digital marketplaces, as shares of Match Group traded down alongside LegalZoom, LendingTree and Yelp following news of Meta's autonomous AI assistant, Muse, which can research products and book travel. Separately, commentary on the stock noted a GF Value of $37.87 with shares described as overvalued by 10.1% despite a GF Score of 80/100, while the stock also underperformed the S&P 500 on multiple trading days during the week.
Match closes at $39.51, down 2.6%, sitting between its 50-day average of $40.25 and 200-day average of $35.34, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 63.3, placing it in the Accumulation zone, up 13.7 over the past five sessions. Price sits 22.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.95. Over the past year the stock has returned 10.1%, with a 6-month gain of 32.9% and a one-month decline of 4.1%.
Match Group's next earnings date falls on 3 November 2026, 35 days out, beyond a typical 20-day hold. In the last 90 days there has been 1 open-market insider purchase valued at $109,890, and in the last 30 days 1 unusual options signal, with put premium of $695,768 against no call premium. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -6.1% across 5 years, rising in 1 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 3 buy, 6 hold, 0 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $41.88.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Match price vs fair value
Close $39.51200-day averageGekko Fair Value $50.95
Match quick facts
- Market cap
- $9.22B
- P/E ratio
- 14.4
- Forward P/E
- 9.7
- EPS, TTM
- $2.82
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.51B
- Profit margin
- 20.2%
- Dividend yield
- 1.91%
- Beta
- 1.32
- Volume
- 2.85M avg 3.55M
- 1-year return
- +10.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.8%
- 50-day average
- $40.25
- 200-day average
- $35.34
- Next earnings
- Nov 3
- Shares outstanding
- 233.3M
Match swing-trade checklist
Match scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $39.51 sits between the 50-day ($40.25) and 200-day ($35.34) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
63.3, Accumulation
Reading 63.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
22.5% below
Price is 22.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneymixed
Mixed
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 35 days
Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−6.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6.1% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Match stock chart and price history
Match closed at $39.51 on Sep 28, 2026, +10.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $28.81 to $44.94.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.1%
- 3 months
- +2.0%
- 6 months
- +32.9%
- 1 year
- +10.1%
The full MTCH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MTCH in Gekko
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About Match
Match operates a group of digital dating platforms serving users in the United States and other countries. Its collection of brands includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty Of Fish, Azar, BLK, and additional names, each designed to help people meet and connect. The company adapts its offerings across these brands to suit different user preferences and dating styles.
The business is structured into four segments: Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia. This arrangement separates its most recognized platforms from a broader set of brands and its Asian operations, reflecting how the company organizes its various dating products and the markets they serve.
Match was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker MTCH.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Internet software/Services
- Website
- mtch.com
Match GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Match’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 13.7 points over five sessions.
63.3Accumulation
Up 13.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 22 | +2.6% | +4.6% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 235 | +0.5% | +1.0% | ||
| Neutral | 391 | 0.0% | +0.5% | ||
| Distribution | 23 | −1.7% | −1.7% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MTCH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MTCH price, zone by zone.Track MTCH in Gekko
Is Match stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Match trades 22.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.95, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Match shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$50.95
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
22.5% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MTCH in Gekko
Match insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Match worth $110K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MTCH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MTCH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MTCH in Gekko
Buybacks
Match has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $110.4M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.20%
- Trailing four quarters
- $614.5M
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 23, $696K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold MTCH.
0added0opened0trimmed3sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Match earnings: next date and track record
Match reports on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
35 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.05
- Revenue estimate
- $891.7M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Match Group reported a mixed but overall constructive quarter: total revenue was $853M, down 1% (down 2% FXN), while adjusted EBITDA grew 14% to $331M with a 39% margin. Tinder showed product-driven engagement improvements (DAU trends improving and expected to turn positive year-over-year imminently) and experienced a small, temporary negative revenue impact (~$8M) from user-experience tests. Hinge delivered strong growth (direct revenue +22%, payers +17%, EBITDA +48%), while the Everyone & Everywhere (E&E) segment declined (~17%) largely due to Azar’s App Store removal and redesign. Management highlighted material product launches (events, double date, modes, recommendation improvements, Face Check), faster execution enabled by AI, and strategic consolidation and replatforming across E&E brands. They reduced the expected full-year negative revenue impact from user-experience tests from $60M to $30–$40M and reiterated capital returns and efficiency gains from changes to in-app payment economics.
- Guidance
- Updated UX-related revenue impact: full-year expected at $30M–$40M (down from prior $60M). Quarter breakdown: Q1 was $5M, Q2 $8M, Q3 ~$10M, Q4 expected $7M–$17M. Expect payer declines to lessen in H2 (from -5% noted). Expect MAU to be flat by end of Q4 next year. Estimated $130M of savings from alternative payments in 2026 (better than prior expectations). Google Play fee changes expected to yield minimal benefit (~$5M in 2027).
- Risks flagged
- Azar’s App Store removal and redesign causing ~ $15M quarterly revenue headwind; legal and regulatory uncertainty around app-store payments (Epic v. Apple, Google fee changes) that could change economics; potential revenue impact from ongoing user-experience tests and product redesigns; macro advertiser weakness affecting indirect revenue; payers and MAU declines (though trends improving).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $0.72 est $0.76 | $853.1M est $857.8M | −5.9% |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.97 est $0.86 | $863.9M est $854.7M | −0.4% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $0.86 est $0.81 | $878.0M est $871.7M | −2.9% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.82 est $0.63 | $914.3M est $914.9M | +2.1% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.72 est $0.81 | $863.7M est $890.7M | +10.0% |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.67 est $0.38 | $831.2M est $829.4M | −10.5% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $0.59 est $0.55 | $860.2M est $851.0M | −5.1% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.79 est $0.79 | $895.5M est $901.0M | −15.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Match stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Match is $41.88, +6.0% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$41.88consensus 12-month target, +6.0% from the last close
Now $39.51Avg $41.88
Low $38High $51
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6 | Wells Fargo | $40 | +1.2% |
| Aug 5 | Truist Financial | $41 | +3.8% |
| Aug 5 | Evercore ISI | $39 | −1.3% |
| Aug 5 | RBC Capital | $42 | +6.3% |
| Aug 5 | Morgan Stanley | $40 | +1.2% |
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−6.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Match seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Match averaged −6.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −5.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −4.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −6.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −9.9% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, MTCH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.8%.
Match market cap and key statistics
Match’s market cap is $9.22B, with a P/E ratio of 14.4 and revenue of $3.51B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $9.22B
- P/E ratio
- 14.4
- Forward P/E
- 9.7
- EPS, TTM
- $2.82
- Gekko Fair Value
- $50.95
Trading
- Volume
- 2.85M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.55M
- 52-week high
- $44.94
- 52-week low
- $28.81
- Shares outstanding
- 233.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.51B
- Profit margin
- 20.2%
- Return on equity
- 49.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +50.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.32
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.91%
Match stock news this week
Coverage of Match this week reads negative: 2 positive, 3 neutral and 6 negative headlines.
- Match Group stock falls 0.61 percent to USD 40.55 at the last close on September 25, 2026AD HOC NEWS, Sep 26
- NewEdge Advisors LLC Sells 14,964 Shares of Match Group Inc. $MTCHDefense World, Sep 26
- Match Group stock last at USD 40.88, up 0.20 percent in New York tradingAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- Zacks.com featured highlights include Match Group, monday.com, Ubiquiti and SemtechYahoo Finance, Sep 25
- Match Group Inc. stock outperforms competitors despite losses on the dayMarketWatch, Sep 23
- Match Group stock falls 5 percent as Q2 metrics divergeAD HOC NEWS, Sep 23
Match peers
Match’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GOOGLAlphabet | Neutral | 7.1% above |
| GOOGAlphabet | Neutral | 7.4% above |
| METAMeta Platforms | Neutral | 22.3% above |
| NFLXNetflix | Accumulation | 28.2% below |
| SPOTSpotify Technology | Accumulation | 10.3% above |
| MSTRStrategy | Neutral | 3.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Match stock FAQ
What is Match’s market cap?
Match’s market cap is $9.22B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $39.51, with 233.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.4.
What is the Match stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Match is $41.88, +6.0% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Match stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Match is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $39.51 is 22.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.95. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Match report earnings next?
Match is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.05 per share on revenue of $891.7M. Match beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.6% on average across the report.
What is Match’s 52-week high and low?
Match’s 52-week high is $44.94 and its 52-week low is $28.81; it closed at $39.51 on Sep 28, 2026, +10.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $182.00 on Oct 21, 2021.
Is Match stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and smart money) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Match?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Match over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $696K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 23, 2026 with $696K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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