NYSE: NXDR

Nextdoor (NXDR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$2.59+0.02 (+0.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Nextdoor's recent news centers on product and marketing initiatives rather than financial results, with the return of its Treat Map feature for Halloween, sponsored by Reese's, marking its 14th year, alongside coverage describing the company's advertising strategy as leaning on neighborhood-level engagement to attract advertisers.

NXDR closed at $2.59, up 0.8%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $2.42 and 200-day average of $2.02, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 51.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 4 points over five sessions. Price sits 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $2.79. Returns over the past month stand at 14.1%, with the six-month figure at 85% and the one-year figure at 23.3%.

Nextdoor reports earnings on 4 November, 23 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report showed a loss of $0.01 per share against a $0.03 estimate and a 5.5% reaction, with average absolute reactions around 12.5% historically. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, though one trailblazer holder is recorded. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 1.5% from this point, rising in 2 of those years. Analyst coverage from 5 firms includes 2 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $3.35.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Nextdoor price vs fair value

$2.79$2.59Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $2.59200-day averageGekko Fair Value $2.79

Nextdoor quick facts

Market cap
$1.00B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$0.08
Revenue, TTM
$274.6M
Profit margin
-11.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.41
Volume
1.60M avg 2.22M
1-year return
+23.3%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±9.8%
50-day average
$2.42
200-day average
$2.02
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
259.4M
52-week range
$1.33$3.72

Nextdoor swing-trade checklist

Nextdoor scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $2.59 is above the 50-day ($2.42) and 200-day ($2.02) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    51.6, Neutral

    Reading 51.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.2% below

    Price is 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Nextdoor stock chart and price history

Nextdoor closed at $2.59 on Oct 12, 2026, +23.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $1.33 to $3.72.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Nextdoor share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$1.50$2.00NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct2.59

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+14.1%
3 months
+3.6%
6 months
+85.0%
1 year
+23.3%
The full NXDR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NXDR in Gekko

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About Nextdoor

Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. runs a social networking platform built around local life, giving people a place to connect with neighbors and with businesses operating nearby. The platform is the core of what the company is recognized for, serving as a digital gathering point for residents in a given area.

As a holding entity, Nextdoor oversees this platform business, with its service aimed at linking everyday users to the local commercial activity around them. The company's role centers on maintaining and operating this network rather than offering separate, unrelated product lines.

Nextdoor was founded by Nirav Tolia in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker NXDR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Internet software/Services
Website
nextdoor.com

Nextdoor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Nextdoor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.6, in the Neutral zone, down 4 points over five sessions.

010051.6Neutral

Down 4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying61+1.3%+2.3%+3.0%+9.2%
Accumulation182−0.3%+0.7%+2.5%+6.1%
Neutral (current zone)381+1.1%+1.6%+3.1%+3.3%
Distribution44−0.4%−0.6%−4.5%+0.7%
Selling14−0.6%−3.0%+1.2%+12.9%

Average NXDR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NXDR price, zone by zone.Track NXDR in Gekko

Is Nextdoor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Nextdoor trades 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $2.79, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Nextdoor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$2.79

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

7.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 25.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$3$3Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NXDR in Gekko

Nextdoor insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nextdoor, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NXDR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NXDR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NXDR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NXDR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NXDR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NXDR in Gekko

Buybacks

Nextdoor has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$100.0M, May 6, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$28.66M
As a share of market cap
2.86%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds NXDR.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Nextdoor earnings: next date and track record

Nextdoor reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+11.8%May ’24+6.3%Aug ’24+13.6%Nov ’24−30.6%Feb ’25−6.0%May ’25+18.2%Aug ’25−7.7%Nov ’25+5.5%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 18, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Nextdoor's Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings call emphasized a measured turnaround driven by product improvements, AI integration, and monetization progress. Q4 revenue was $69M (+7% YoY), the company's highest quarterly revenue, driven by self-serve advertising which grew 32% YoY and represented ~60% of revenue. Platform WAU was 21M (a 3% sequential decline), an intentional trade-off as the company prioritizes engagement quality over volume. Q4 GAAP net loss was $4M (-6% margin), with adjusted EBITDA of $8M (11% margin), both representing meaningful year-over-year improvement. Management highlighted investments in AI, the neighborhood graph as a core differentiated asset, programmatic ad stack progress, and a disciplined ‘founder’s mentality’ prioritizing long-term network health. The company ended 2025 with >$400M in cash and marketable securities and no debt. Management reiterated conservative near-term moves (limiting new user acquisition and not increasing ad load in Q1 2026) while expecting continued revenue growth and mid-single-digit adjusted EBITDA margins for full-year 2026.
Guidance
Q1 guidance: Q1 is typically the softest quarter and reflects normal seasonality; management will not increase ad load or ramp new user acquisition in Q1 2026. Full-year 2026: management expects continued revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid-single-digit range.
Risks flagged
Intentional product changes may cause near-term fluctuations in platform usage (WAU) and could impact advertiser metrics. Execution risk in AI and programmatic ad stack rollout could limit revenue upside if not implemented successfully. Macro advertising demand and competition from larger ad platforms remain potential headwinds. Management also notes the importance of preserving liquidity given potential limited access to capital markets, implying funding risks if cash management thresholds are not met.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 18, 2026−$0.01
est −$0.03
+66.7%$69.48M
est $67.77M
+2.5%+5.5%
Nov 5, 2025−$0.02
est −$0.06
+66.7%$68.90M
est $67.72M
+1.7%−7.7%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.04
est −$0.06
+33.3%$65.09M
est $60.35M
+7.9%+18.2%
May 7, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.07
+14.3%$54.18M
est $53.14M
+1.9%−6.0%
Feb 27, 2025−$0.04
est −$0.05
+20.0%$65.23M
est $63.12M
+3.3%−30.6%
Nov 6, 2024−$0.04
est −$0.05
+20.0%$65.61M
est $63.13M
+3.9%+13.6%
Aug 7, 2024−$0.11
est −$0.07
−57.1%$63.29M
est $58.33M
+8.5%+6.3%
May 7, 2024−$0.09
est −$0.07
−28.6%$53.15M
est $50.83M
+4.6%+11.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Nextdoor stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nextdoor is $3.35, +29.3% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$3.35consensus 12-month target, +29.3% from the last close
Low $2.85High $4
Buy2
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 17CitiHold, maintained$2.85+10.0%
Aug 6B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, upgraded$3.30+27.4%
Aug 6Craig-HallumBuy, maintained$4+54.4%
Aug 6Truist FinancialHold, maintained——
Aug 5Goldman SachsHold, maintained$3.25+25.5%
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Nextdoor seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Nextdoor averaged +1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+30.1%2021−8.1%2022−5.7%2023+17.4%2024−14.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.7%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.2%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.5%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−8.3%2 of 5

For scale, NXDR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.8%.

Nextdoor market cap and key statistics

Nextdoor’s market cap is $1.00B and revenue of $274.6M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.00B
EPS, TTM
−$0.08
Gekko Fair Value
$2.79

Trading

Volume
1.60M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.22M
52-week high
$3.72
52-week low
$1.33
Shares outstanding
259.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$274.6M
Profit margin
-11.1%
Return on equity
-7.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.41
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±9.8%

Nextdoor stock news this week

2 headlines about Nextdoor from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Nextdoor peers

Nextdoor’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GOOGLAlphabet+0.2%Neutral9.6% above
GOOGAlphabet+0.2%Neutral10.2% above
METAMeta Platforms+2.0%Neutral25.5% above
NFLXNetflix−1.0%Accumulation25.2% below
SPOTSpotify Technology−0.2%Neutral18.3% above
MSTRStrategy−0.5%Neutral11.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Nextdoor stock FAQ

What is Nextdoor’s market cap?

Nextdoor’s market cap is $1.00B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $2.59, with 259.4M shares outstanding.

What is the Nextdoor stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nextdoor is $3.35, +29.3% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Nextdoor stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Nextdoor is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $2.59 is 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $2.79. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Nextdoor report earnings next?

Nextdoor is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.01 per share on revenue of $77.32M. Nextdoor beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.5% on average across the report.

What is Nextdoor’s 52-week high and low?

Nextdoor’s 52-week high is $3.72 and its 52-week low is $1.33; it closed at $2.59 on Oct 12, 2026, +23.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $18.59 on Nov 8, 2021.

Is Nextdoor stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and fair value), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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