NASDAQ: OMDA

Omada Health (OMDA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$21.87+0.32 (+1.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Omada Health's quarterly results and outlook dominate recent news. The company reported its strongest quarter ever in Q2 2026, with record revenue of $88 million, up 43% year-over-year, and GAAP gross margin expanding to 73%. Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was raised to $334-340 million, with adjusted EBITDA guidance lifted to $21-27 million. Total members reached 1.1 million, up 45% year-over-year, and the company generated $5 million net income and $11 million adjusted EBITDA versus a loss in the prior-year period. Alongside these results, CEO Sean Duffy announced a transition to Executive Chairman, with Wei-… named to succeed him.

OMDA closed at $21.87, up 1.5%, sitting almost exactly at its 50-day average of $21.88 and well above its 200-day average of $17.47. The stock has gained 11.2% over the past month and 80.4% over six months, though it remains down 9.7% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 56.2, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 6.1 points over five days. Gekko Fair Value stands at $24.47, putting the current price 10.6% below that level.

Earnings are scheduled for 5 November 2026, after the close, 24 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report saw a 23.9% reaction versus an average absolute move of 9.9%. Analyst coverage from 12 firms shows 11 buy ratings and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $28.42, implying 29.9% upside. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears within their respective windows.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Omada Health price vs fair value

$24.47$21.87Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $21.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $24.47

Omada Health quick facts

Market cap
$1.30B
P/E ratio
86.8
Forward P/E
137
EPS, TTM
$0.24
Revenue, TTM
$309.8M
Profit margin
1.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
594,683 avg 1.27M
1-year return
−9.7%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±13.8%
50-day average
$21.88
200-day average
$17.47
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
61.22M
52-week range
$10.28$26.92

Omada Health swing-trade checklist

Omada Health scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $21.87 sits between the 50-day ($21.88) and 200-day ($17.47) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.2, Neutral

    Reading 56.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.6% below

    Price is 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Omada Health stock chart and price history

Omada Health closed at $21.87 on Oct 12, 2026, −9.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $10.28 to $26.92.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Omada Health share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct21.87

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+11.2%
3 months
−6.7%
6 months
+80.4%
1 year
−9.7%
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Omada Health GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Omada Health’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.2, in the Neutral zone, down 6.1 points over five sessions.

010056.2Neutral

Down 6.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36−2.3%−0.1%+3.6%+6.3%
Accumulation111+1.5%+3.3%+3.7%+7.8%
Neutral (current zone)161+0.8%+1.1%+2.3%+8.7%
Distribution25−1.5%−3.0%−1.2%+3.1%
Selling0Not available

Average OMDA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OMDA price, zone by zone.Track OMDA in Gekko

Is Omada Health stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Omada Health trades 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.47, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Omada Health shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$24.47

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

10.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$24$22Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OMDA in Gekko

Omada Health insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Omada Health, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for OMDA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every OMDA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OMDA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in OMDA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for OMDA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OMDA in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold OMDA.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Omada Health earnings: next date and track record

Omada Health reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 6 reports.

5 of 6reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.9%average move across the report
2 of 5reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.2%Aug ’25−12.8%Nov ’25+3.9%Mar ’26−6.6%May ’26+23.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Omada Health reported its strongest quarter ever in Q2 2026, achieving 43% year-over-year revenue growth and expanding GAAP gross margin by 700 basis points to 73%. Total members reached 1.1 million, up 45% year-over-year. The company generated $5 million net income and $11 million adjusted EBITDA versus a loss in the prior year period. CEO Sean Duffy announced he will transition to Executive Chair on January 1, 2027, with President Wei-Li Shao assuming the CEO role.
Guidance
Management raised full-year 2026 outlook following Q2 results that exceeded consensus estimates. Strategic focus areas include expanding covered lives, GLP-1 integration, and AI-driven personalized care delivery.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.15
est $0.06
+141.2%$87.84M
est $80.04M
+9.7%+23.9%
May 7, 2026$0.01
est −$0.08
+112.5%$78.05M
est $74.09M
+5.3%−6.6%
Mar 5, 2026$0.16
est $0.03
+440.0%$75.85M
est $70.21M
+8.0%+3.9%
Nov 6, 2025$0.02
est −$0.10
+120.0%$68.03M
est $69.04M
−1.5%−12.8%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.09
est −$0.10
+10.0%$61.37M
est $55.45M
+10.7%−2.2%
May 9, 2025−$0.13
est −$0.12
−9.9%$54.96M
est $55.33M
−0.7%—

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Omada Health stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Omada Health is $28.42, +29.9% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$28.42consensus 12-month target, +29.9% from the last close
Low $22High $35
Buy11
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$30+37.2%
Sep 14Wells FargoHold, maintained$22+0.6%
Sep 14Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, reiterated$35+60.0%
Sep 11BarclaysBuy, maintained$27+23.5%
Sep 11BTIGBuy, reiterated$35+60.0%
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Omada Health market cap and key statistics

Omada Health’s market cap is $1.30B, with a P/E ratio of 86.8 and revenue of $309.8M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.30B
P/E ratio
86.8
Forward P/E
137
EPS, TTM
$0.24
Gekko Fair Value
$24.47

Trading

Volume
594,683
Avg volume, 20 days
1.27M
52-week high
$26.92
52-week low
$10.28
Shares outstanding
61.22M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$309.8M
Profit margin
1.4%
Return on equity
1.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±13.8%

Omada Health stock news this week

Coverage of Omada Health this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 7 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Omada Health peers

Omada Health’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GOOGLAlphabet+0.2%Neutral9.6% above
GOOGAlphabet+0.2%Neutral10.2% above
METAMeta Platforms+2.0%Neutral25.5% above
NFLXNetflix−1.0%Accumulation25.2% below
SPOTSpotify Technology−0.2%Neutral18.3% above
MSTRStrategy−0.5%Neutral11.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Omada Health stock FAQ

What is Omada Health’s market cap?

Omada Health’s market cap is $1.30B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $21.87, with 61.22M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 86.8.

What is the Omada Health stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Omada Health is $28.42, +29.9% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Omada Health stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Omada Health is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $21.87 is 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.47. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Omada Health report earnings next?

Omada Health is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.07 per share on revenue of $85.64M. Omada Health beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 6 reports, moving 9.9% on average across the report.

What is Omada Health’s 52-week high and low?

Omada Health’s 52-week high is $26.92 and its 52-week low is $10.28; it closed at $21.87 on Oct 12, 2026, −9.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $28.40 on Jun 6, 2025.

Is Omada Health stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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