NASDAQ: RUM

Rumble (RUM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$6.84−0.12 (−1.7%)

Gekko Brief

Oct 12 close

Rumble closed at $6.84 on 12 October 2026, -1.7% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($7.97) and 200-day ($6.78) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $4.62 to $10.60. The GekkoIndex reads 67.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.3 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $12.22, so the price is 44% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 9 November 2026, 28 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 2 times, with an average move of 9.8% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged -0.4% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

3 firms rate the stock: 2 buy, 1 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $23.50. A typical daily move is about 7.3%, and a typical 20-day move about 10.2%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (earnings risk).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.

Rumble price vs fair value

$12.22$6.84Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $6.84200-day averageGekko Fair Value $12.22

Rumble quick facts

Market cap
$2.97B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$0.59
Revenue, TTM
$117.7M
Profit margin
-134.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.26
Volume
3.27M avg 5.03M
1-year return
−13.7%
Typical daily move
±7.3%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%
50-day average
$7.97
200-day average
$6.78
Next earnings
Nov 9 after close
Shares outstanding
276.3M
52-week range
$4.62$10.60

Rumble swing-trade checklist

Rumble scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $6.84 sits between the 50-day ($7.97) and 200-day ($6.78) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.4, Accumulation

    Reading 67.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    44.0% below

    Price is 44% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Nov 9, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Rumble stock chart and price history

Rumble closed at $6.84 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.62 to $10.60.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Rumble share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$6$8$10NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct6.84

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.6%
3 months
+14.2%
6 months
+32.0%
1 year
−13.7%
The full RUM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RUM in Gekko

Follow Rumble through every session

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About Rumble

Rumble operates a video sharing and cloud services platform serving users in the United States, Canada, and other countries. Its best-known offering is Rumble Video, which combines free viewing with paid subscription options, and it is recognized for building out a wider set of tools around content creation and online video distribution.

The company's offerings include Rumble Studio for livestreaming across multiple platforms and monetizing content, an in-house ad marketplace called Rumble Advertising Center, and Rumble Wallet, a crypto wallet built into the platform that lets viewers tip creators directly in digital currency. Beyond video, Rumble Cloud supplies infrastructure services covering computing, storage, security, and networking. Revenue comes from several channels, including banner and display ads, pre-roll and mid-roll video advertising, sponsorships with creators, subscription fees, pay-per-view content, and tipping.

Rumble was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Longboat Key, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker RUM.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Internet software/Services
Website
rum.group

Rumble GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Rumble’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.3 points over five sessions.

010067.4Accumulation

Up 2.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+7.0%+12.3%+18.9%+21.1%
Accumulation (current zone)289+0.7%+0.8%+4.0%+10.5%
Neutral321+1.0%+2.4%+1.7%+2.5%
Distribution43+0.4%−2.1%−3.2%−13.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average RUM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RUM price, zone by zone.Track RUM in Gekko

Is Rumble stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Rumble trades 44.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.22, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Rumble shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$12.22

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

44.0% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 46.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$12$7Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RUM in Gekko

Rumble insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Rumble, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RUM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RUM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RUM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RUM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RUM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RUM in Gekko

Buybacks

Rumble has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
$1.52M
As a share of market cap
0.05%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold RUM.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Rumble earnings: next date and track record

Rumble reports on Nov 9, 2026, after the close (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.6%Aug ’24−14.7%Nov ’24+22.4%May ’25+0.5%Aug ’25+4.2%Nov ’25−11.5%Mar ’26−13.3%May ’26+8.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
RUM Group completed a transformational acquisition of Northern Data, renaming the parent company and creating two business units: Rumble (video platform) and Quake AI (cloud & AI infrastructure). Q2 revenue was $40.4M, up 61% year-over-year, driven by the combined company. Quake AI now controls an estate of roughly 22,000 NVIDIA H100 and H200 GPUs and is running at >85% utilization. Management highlighted a multiyear agreement with Together AI and emphasized Quake AI as the future financial engine. Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $16.6M from $20.5M year-over-year, but GAAP net loss widened to $80.3M primarily due to $28.3M of acquisition-related transaction costs and higher noncash depreciation and amortization. The company ended the quarter with total liquidity of $220.5M (including cash and Bitcoin) and invested significantly (~$47M) in IT CapEx tied to data center and AI compute buildout. Management signaled focus on monetizing ~250MW of unmonetized capacity, cautious M&A discipline, and confidence in sustained AI compute demand.
Guidance
Management said they anticipate posting another all-time revenue record in the upcoming quarter but provided no formal numeric guidance.
Risks flagged
Acquisition-related transaction costs and higher noncash depreciation/amortization; execution risk in securing hardware and equipment to fulfill AI compute contracts; operational risk in monetizing ~250MW of unmonetized capacity; integration risk from Northern Data; reliance on large customer deals to ramp utilization.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 10, 2026−$0.15
est −$0.10
−50.0%$40.37M
est $31.23M
+29.3%+8.3%
May 14, 2026−$0.12
est −$0.08
−50.0%$25.46M
est $25.98M
−2.0%−13.3%
Mar 5, 2026−$0.13
est −$0.09
−36.8%$27.07M
est $27.09M
−0.1%−11.5%
Nov 10, 2025−$0.08
est −$0.07
−14.3%$24.76M
est $27.09M
−8.6%+4.2%
Aug 11, 2025−$0.14
est −$0.08
−75.0%$25.08M
est $26.77M
−6.3%+0.5%
May 8, 2025−$0.01
est −$0.11
+89.8%$23.71M
est $22.77M
+4.1%+22.4%
Nov 12, 2024−$0.15
est −$0.13
−15.4%$25.06M
est $29.25M
−14.3%−14.7%
Aug 12, 2024−$0.13
est −$0.15
+13.3%$22.47M
est $19.70M
+14.1%+3.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Rumble stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Rumble is $23.50, +243.6% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$23.50consensus 12-month target, +243.6% from the last close
Low $15High $22
Buy2
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 29Texas Capital SecuritiesBuy, initiated$15+119.3%
Aug 25Maxim GroupBuy, reiterated$22+221.6%
Aug 18Maxim GroupBuy, reiterated$22+221.6%
Aug 17OppenheimerHold, maintained——
+4.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±7.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Rumble seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Rumble averaged −0.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.3%2021+12.9%2022−4.8%2023+8.3%2024−21.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−3.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−8.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.4%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.4%2 of 5

For scale, RUM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.2%.

Rumble market cap and key statistics

Rumble’s market cap is $2.97B and revenue of $117.7M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.97B
EPS, TTM
−$0.59
Gekko Fair Value
$12.22

Trading

Volume
3.27M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.03M
52-week high
$10.60
52-week low
$4.62
Shares outstanding
276.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$117.7M
Profit margin
-134.6%
Return on equity
-18.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.26
Typical daily move
±7.3%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%

Rumble stock news this week

1 headline about Rumble from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Rumble peers

Rumble’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GOOGLAlphabet+0.2%Neutral9.6% above
GOOGAlphabet+0.2%Neutral10.2% above
METAMeta Platforms+2.0%Neutral25.5% above
NFLXNetflix−1.0%Accumulation25.2% below
SPOTSpotify Technology−0.2%Neutral18.3% above
MSTRStrategy−0.5%Neutral11.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Rumble stock FAQ

What is Rumble’s market cap?

Rumble’s market cap is $2.97B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $6.84, with 276.3M shares outstanding.

What is the Rumble stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Rumble is $23.50, +243.6% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Rumble stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Rumble is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $6.84 is 44.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.22. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Rumble report earnings next?

Rumble is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026, after the market closes (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.15 per share on revenue of $89.10M. Rumble beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.8% on average across the report.

What is Rumble’s 52-week high and low?

Rumble’s 52-week high is $10.60 and its 52-week low is $4.62; it closed at $6.84 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $18.52 on Feb 7, 2022.

Is Rumble stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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