NASDAQ: CARG

CarGurus (CARG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$28.39−0.46 (−1.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news for CarGurus is largely comparison coverage, with the stock weighed against EBAY, Phoenix New Media, and Reddit as value and business-quality matchups in the internet and communication services space. Alongside this, CEO Jason Trevisan filed a Form 4 disclosing a share withholding tied to restricted stock unit vesting, disposing of 21,509 shares at $29.73 each to cover tax obligations, while CMO Dafna Sarnoff sold shares under a Rule 10b5-1 plan and for tax liability.

CARG closed at $28.39, down 1.6%, with the stock sitting below both its 50-day average of $33.98 and its 200-day average of $33.34. Shares are down 17.5% over one month, 16.6% over three months, 18.5% over six months, and 16.5% over the past year, trading closer to the 52-week low of $26.39 than the high of $41.22. The GekkoIndex reads 71.5, placing CARG in the Buying zone, though the reading has slipped 2.3 points over five sessions. Price sits 4.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.74.

CarGurus next reports earnings on 5 November 2026, after the close, 24 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior quarter saw an EPS beat of $0.66 versus $0.61 estimated, with a 7.1% reaction, and the company has beaten in 7 of 8 recent quarters, averaging an 8.1% absolute move on results. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.6% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 10 firms shows 7 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a target of $41.27.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

CarGurus price vs fair value

$29.74$28.39Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $28.39200-day averageGekko Fair Value $29.74

CarGurus quick facts

Market cap
$2.74B
P/E ratio
15.6
Forward P/E
8.5
EPS, TTM
$1.88
Revenue, TTM
$967.3M
Profit margin
18.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.22
Volume
1.17M avg 1.65M
1-year return
−16.5%
Typical daily move
±4.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.1%
50-day average
$33.98
200-day average
$33.34
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
75.31M
52-week range
$26.39$41.22

CarGurus swing-trade checklist

CarGurus scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $28.39 sits between the 50-day ($33.98) and 200-day ($33.34) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    71.5, Buying

    Reading 71.5 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.5% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

CarGurus stock chart and price history

CarGurus closed at $28.39 on Oct 12, 2026, −16.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $26.39 to $41.22.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
CarGurus share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct28.39

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−17.5%
3 months
−16.6%
6 months
−18.5%
1 year
−16.5%
The full CARG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CARG in Gekko

Follow CarGurus through every session

Put CARG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About CarGurus

CarGurus runs an online marketplace that connects people buying and selling cars with dealerships across the United States and beyond. Shoppers use the platform to browse new and used vehicle listings, while dealers gain access to a large pool of active buyers along with market data to guide their pricing and inventory decisions. The company is particularly known for tools that move transactions online, including options to start a purchase directly from a listing, arrange financing in advance, and get trade-in or instant cash offers for a car being sold.

The business is organized into two segments, a U.S. Marketplace and a Digital Wholesale operation. Revenue comes from dealership partners through listing packages and data products, as well as from advertising sold to vehicle manufacturers and other companies seeking brand visibility or targeted exposure to car shoppers. CarGurus also operates Autolist, a separate vehicle marketplace reachable through apps and the web, and PistonHeads, a site combining a marketplace, auction listings and editorial content for car enthusiasts.

CarGurus was founded in Boston, Massachusetts, in 2005, and took on its present corporate name in 2015 after previously being known as CarGurus LLC. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker CARG.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Internet software/Services
Website
cargurus.com

CarGurus GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

CarGurus’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.5, in the Buying zone, down 2.3 points over five sessions.

010071.5Buying

Down 2.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)62+1.1%+1.3%+3.7%+17.2%
Accumulation130+0.2%+1.2%+5.1%+11.2%
Neutral451+0.5%+0.6%+0.7%+1.4%
Distribution32−2.2%−1.4%−4.1%−2.1%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average CARG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CARG price, zone by zone.Track CARG in Gekko

Is CarGurus stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

CarGurus trades 4.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.74, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what CarGurus shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$29.74

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

4.5% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 18.1% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$30$29Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CARG in Gekko

CarGurus insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CarGurus, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CARG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CARG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CARG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CARG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CARG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CARG in Gekko

Buybacks

CarGurus has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$27.70M
As a share of market cap
1.01%
Trailing four quarters
$369.5M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CARG.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

CarGurus earnings: next date and track record

CarGurus reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.8%Nov ’24−18.3%Feb ’25+9.6%May ’25−8.5%Aug ’25−2.1%Nov ’25+6.6%Feb ’26−7.1%May ’26+7.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
CarGurus reported Q2 revenue of $251M, up 13% YoY, exceeding guidance midpoint. International revenue grew 28% YoY. Adjusted EBITDA rose 7% to $85M at a 34% margin, converting 103% to free cash flow ($88M). Dealer caution from FTC pricing requirements and margin pressure were viewed as temporary. AI investments are accelerating product innovation and driving 28% YoY growth in average dealer sessions.
Guidance
Full year revenue growth guidance unchanged. Management raised full year profitability outlook, now expecting non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin compression of approximately 50-150 basis points in 2026 versus 2025, better than initial expectations due to AI-driven efficiency gains.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.66
est $0.61
+7.7%$251.0M
est $249.9M
+0.4%+7.1%
May 7, 2026$0.58
est $0.56
+3.0%$243.6M
est $243.1M
+0.2%−7.1%
Feb 19, 2026$0.63
est $0.63
−0.4%$241.1M
est $239.0M
+0.9%+6.6%
Nov 6, 2025$0.57
est $0.55
+3.6%$238.7M
est $239.1M
−0.2%−2.1%
Aug 7, 2025$0.57
est $0.54
+5.6%$234.0M
est $232.2M
+0.8%−8.5%
May 8, 2025$0.46
est $0.42
+9.5%$225.2M
est $233.1M
−3.4%+9.6%
Feb 20, 2025$0.55
est $0.50
+10.0%$228.5M
est $231.7M
−1.4%−18.3%
Nov 7, 2024$0.45
est $0.42
+7.1%$231.4M
est $231.1M
+0.1%+5.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

CarGurus stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for CarGurus is $41.27, +45.4% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$41.27consensus 12-month target, +45.4% from the last close
Low $35High $46
Buy7
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 7UBSHold, maintained$35+23.3%
Oct 6BarclaysBuy, maintained$38+33.8%
Aug 14CitiHold, maintained$39+37.4%
Aug 13CitiHold, maintained$39+37.4%
Aug 12OppenheimerBuy, maintained$44+55.0%
+3.7%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

CarGurus seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, CarGurus averaged +3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.2%2021+1.1%2022+3.3%2023+10.1%2024−0.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.4%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.3%4 of 5

For scale, CARG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.1%.

CarGurus market cap and key statistics

CarGurus’s market cap is $2.74B, with a P/E ratio of 15.6 and revenue of $967.3M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.74B
P/E ratio
15.6
Forward P/E
8.5
EPS, TTM
$1.88
Gekko Fair Value
$29.74

Trading

Volume
1.17M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.65M
52-week high
$41.22
52-week low
$26.39
Shares outstanding
75.31M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$967.3M
Profit margin
18.2%
Return on equity
53.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+141.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.22
Typical daily move
±4.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.1%

CarGurus stock news this week

5 headlines about CarGurus from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

CarGurus peers

CarGurus’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GOOGLAlphabet+0.2%Neutral9.6% above
GOOGAlphabet+0.2%Neutral10.2% above
METAMeta Platforms+2.0%Neutral25.5% above
NFLXNetflix−1.0%Accumulation25.2% below
SPOTSpotify Technology−0.2%Neutral18.3% above
MSTRStrategy−0.5%Neutral11.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

CarGurus stock FAQ

What is CarGurus’s market cap?

CarGurus’s market cap is $2.74B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.39, with 75.31M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.6.

What is the CarGurus stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for CarGurus is $41.27, +45.4% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is CarGurus stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate CarGurus is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.39 is 4.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.74. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does CarGurus report earnings next?

CarGurus is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.66 per share on revenue of $256.5M. CarGurus beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.1% on average across the report.

What is CarGurus’s 52-week high and low?

CarGurus’s 52-week high is $41.22 and its 52-week low is $26.39; it closed at $28.39 on Oct 12, 2026, −16.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $50.03 on Feb 28, 2022.

Is CarGurus stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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