NASDAQ: CHKP

Check Point Software Technologies (CHKP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$129.27−1.97 (−1.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news centers on Check Point's commercial and leadership activity rather than financial results. Clalit Health Services announced a multi-million-dollar partnership with Check Point to secure patient medical data, and the company named Krishnan V V as Managing Director and Country Head for India and South Asia. Separately, brokerages issued a consensus "Hold" rating, with nineteen analysts recommending hold and eight suggesting buy, alongside an average 12-month price target cited at $148.74, and coverage noted the stock's move relative to its 200-day moving average following July's quarterly results, which had beaten EPS estimates.

CHKP closed at $129.27, down 1.5%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $132.24 and 200-day average of $146.85. The GekkoIndex reads 61.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $200.35.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is scheduled for 3 November 2026, before the open, which falls outside this window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 3% return across 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage shows 9 buy and 16 hold ratings among 25 firms, with a consensus target of $145.83.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Check Point Software Technologies price vs fair value

$200.35$129.27Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $129.27200-day averageGekko Fair Value $200.35

Check Point Software Technologies quick facts

Market cap
$13.20B
P/E ratio
13.5
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$9.75
Revenue, TTM
$2.76B
Profit margin
37.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.50
Volume
937,722 avg 1.17M
1-year return
−36.5%
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$132.24
200-day average
$146.85
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
102.1M
52-week range
$112.23$210.66

Check Point Software Technologies swing-trade checklist

Check Point Software Technologies scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $129.27 is below the 50-day ($132.24) and 200-day ($146.85) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.2, Accumulation

    Reading 61.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    35.5% below

    Price is 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Check Point Software Technologies stock chart and price history

Check Point Software Technologies closed at $129.27 on Sep 28, 2026, −36.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $112.23 to $210.66.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Check Point Software Technologies share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$140$160$180$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep129.27

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.0%
3 months
+0.4%
6 months
−6.9%
1 year
−36.5%
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About Check Point Software Technologies

Check Point Software Technologies designs and supports a broad range of cybersecurity products for businesses around the world. Its central offering, the Infinity Architecture, ties together protection for networks, endpoints, cloud systems, workloads, connected devices and mobile tools into one framework meant to address newer and more advanced forms of cyberattack. The company is also recognized for its security gateways and software platforms, which scale from small business needs up through large corporate and telecom-level deployments, with an emphasis on catching threats early, including previously unseen exploits.

Its catalog extends into cloud-specific tools, covering protection for cloud networks, oversight of security posture, workload defense and safeguards for web-facing APIs. For people working remotely, the Harmony line handles secure connections and endpoint safety. Alongside its products, Check Point provides customer support, help with setting up and fine-tuning systems, and training courses leading to certification. Customers reach these offerings through a network of distributors, resellers, system integrators, equipment manufacturers and managed security providers spread across many regions.

Check Point Software Technologies was founded in 1993 and is based in Tel Aviv, Israel. Shares of the company trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker CHKP.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Internet software/Services
Website
checkpoint.com

Check Point Software Technologies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Check Point Software Technologies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.4 points over five sessions.

010061.2Accumulation

Up 5.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying38+1.5%+1.6%+2.2%+1.4%
Accumulation (current zone)228+0.2%+0.1%−0.2%−1.0%
Neutral365−0.3%−0.3%−0.5%−1.4%
Distribution36+0.1%−0.5%+0.2%+3.7%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average CHKP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CHKP price, zone by zone.Track CHKP in Gekko

Is Check Point Software Technologies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Check Point Software Technologies trades 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $200.35, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Check Point Software Technologies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$200.35

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

35.5% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CHKP in Gekko

Check Point Software Technologies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Check Point Software Technologies, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CHKP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CHKP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CHKP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CHKP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CHKP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CHKP in Gekko

Buybacks

Check Point Software Technologies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$324.9M
As a share of market cap
2.46%
Trailing four quarters
$1.44B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold CHKP.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Check Point Software Technologies earnings: next date and track record

Check Point Software Technologies reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−16.4%Oct ’24+6.9%Jan ’25−1.6%Apr ’25−14.7%Jul ’25+2.9%Oct ’25−2.8%Feb ’26−18.2%Apr ’26−9.0%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Check Point reported Q2 2026 results roughly in line with expectations: total revenue of $674 million (1% growth year-over-year), subscription revenue growth of 12% to $333 million, product revenues down 14% due to lower demand for firewall appliances and go-to-market disruption. Non-GAAP EPS of $2.55 exceeded guidance and adjusted free cash flow was $161 million (24% of revenues). Deferred revenue increased 7% to $2.025 billion and Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO) grew 7% to $2.55 billion (current RPO $1.6 billion, +4% YoY). Management reiterated full-year 2026 guidance, characterized Q3 as a trough and expects a stronger Q4 and back-to-growth in product revenues in Q4. The company announced a major hiring campaign (~300 go-to-market hires by year-end) to expand sales capacity (impact expected in 2027) and introduced an AI Network Firewall as part of an AI Defense Plane and broader open-platform strategy (including SASE readiness and NVIDIA collaboration). Management emphasized prevention-first security, the accelerating threat environment driven by AI (democratization of attacker capabilities), and investments in next-generation AI-driven capabilities and unified management. Management described a stronger qualified pipeline for Q4 but acknowledged internal execution disruption in earlier quarters that pressured appliance/product demand.
Guidance
Management reiterated 2026 full-year guidance and expects Q3 to be the trough with a stronger Q4 that supports second-half performance. They expect product revenues to remain pressured in Q3 and return to growth in Q4. The hiring of hundreds of sellers is expected to materially impact results beginning in Q1–Q2 2027; this ramp is not included in 2026 guidance.
Risks flagged
Key risks mentioned: internal go-to-market disruption that reduced product (appliance) sales (product revenue down 14% in Q2); softer demand for firewall appliances; high execution risk given Q4 is back-end-loaded (high bar for Q4); timing/billing effects from contract timing (annual vs. quarterly billing); potential margin pressure from planned sales hiring (impact expected in 2027); rapidly evolving AI-driven attacker capabilities that could create unforeseen threats and require continued investment; macro/seasonal timing (summer quarter impacts).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$2.05
est $1.95
+5.1%$673.6M
est $675.5M
−0.3%−9.0%
Apr 30, 2026$2.50
est $2.42
+3.3%$668.4M
est $672.5M
−0.6%−18.2%
Feb 12, 2026$3.40
est $2.77
+22.7%$744.9M
est $746.3M
−0.2%−2.8%
Oct 28, 2025$3.94
est $2.45
+60.8%$677.5M
est $673.2M
+0.6%+2.9%
Jul 30, 2025$2.37
est $2.36
+0.4%$665.2M
est $661.7M
+0.5%−14.7%
Apr 23, 2025$2.21
est $2.19
+0.9%$637.8M
est $636.2M
+0.2%−1.6%
Jan 30, 2025$2.70
est $2.66
+1.5%$703.7M
est $698.8M
+0.7%+6.9%
Oct 29, 2024$2.25
est $2.25
0.0%$635.1M
est $635.0M
0.0%−16.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Check Point Software Technologies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Check Point Software Technologies is $145.83, +12.8% from the last close, from 25 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$145.83consensus 12-month target, +12.8% from the last close
Low $105High $188
Buy9
Hold16
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 25 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 10WedbushHold, downgraded$135+4.4%
Aug 4BarclaysHold, maintained$140+8.3%
Aug 3Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$133+2.9%
Aug 3CitiHold, maintained$130+0.6%
Aug 3Goldman SachsHold, reiterated$150+16.0%
−0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Check Point Software Technologies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Check Point Software Technologies averaged +3.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.8%2021+12.8%2022−1.1%2023+7.9%2024−6.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.9%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.8%3 of 5

For scale, CHKP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

Check Point Software Technologies market cap and key statistics

Check Point Software Technologies’s market cap is $13.20B, with a P/E ratio of 13.5 and revenue of $2.76B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$13.20B
P/E ratio
13.5
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$9.75
Gekko Fair Value
$200.35

Trading

Volume
937,722
Avg volume, 20 days
1.17M
52-week high
$210.66
52-week low
$112.23
Shares outstanding
102.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.76B
Profit margin
37.9%
Return on equity
37.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+1.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.50
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%

Check Point Software Technologies peers

Check Point Software Technologies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GOOGLAlphabet+0.6%Neutral7.1% above
GOOGAlphabet+0.5%Neutral7.4% above
METAMeta Platforms−4.6%Neutral22.3% above
NFLXNetflix−3.2%Accumulation28.2% below
SPOTSpotify Technology−1.9%Accumulation10.3% above
MSTRStrategy−0.4%Neutral3.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Check Point Software Technologies stock FAQ

What is Check Point Software Technologies’s market cap?

Check Point Software Technologies’s market cap is $13.20B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $129.27, with 102.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.5.

What is the Check Point Software Technologies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Check Point Software Technologies is $145.83, +12.8% from the last close. Of the 25 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 16 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Check Point Software Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Check Point Software Technologies is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $129.27 is 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $200.35. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Check Point Software Technologies report earnings next?

Check Point Software Technologies is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.49 per share on revenue of $671.9M. Check Point Software Technologies beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.1% on average across the report.

What is Check Point Software Technologies’s 52-week high and low?

Check Point Software Technologies’s 52-week high is $210.66 and its 52-week low is $112.23; it closed at $129.27 on Sep 28, 2026, −36.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $234.36 on Mar 28, 2025.

Is Check Point Software Technologies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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