Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for GRND in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every GRND insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GRND in Gekko
NYSE: GRND
Grindr (GRND) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$15.11+0.08 (+0.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeGrindr trades at $15.11, sitting between its 50-day average of $15.62 and 200-day average of $13.59, with the stock little changed on the day and down 1.1% over the past month, though still up 22.4% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 59.1, placing it in the Neutral zone, down from a higher reading five days ago. Against this, Gekko Fair Value stands at $28.16, a gap of -46.3% from the current price.
No smart-money activity, insider buying, Congress trades or unusual options signals appear in their respective windows. Grindr next reports earnings on 5 November 2026 after the close, 24 days away, which falls inside the typical 20-trading-day holding period swing traders might consider. Its last report, on 6 August 2026, showed EPS of $0.10 against a $0.16 estimate, triggering a 6.7% reaction, with four beats across the last eight quarters and an average absolute reaction of 7.2%. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 8% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Four analyst firms currently rate the stock buy, with a consensus target of $20.80, implying 37.7% upside under their consensus view.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Grindr price vs fair value
Close $15.11200-day averageGekko Fair Value $28.16
Grindr quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.69B
- P/E ratio
- 31.8
- Forward P/E
- —
- EPS, TTM
- $0.47
- Revenue, TTM
- $509.8M
- Profit margin
- 18.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.19
- Volume
- 2.06M avg 1.79M
- 1-year return
- +22.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.7%
- 50-day average
- $15.62
- 200-day average
- $13.59
- Next earnings
- Nov 5 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 173.8M
Grindr swing-trade checklist
Grindr scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $15.11 sits between the 50-day ($15.62) and 200-day ($13.59) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
59.1, Neutral
Reading 59.1 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
46.3% below
Price is 46.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 24 days
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+8.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Grindr stock chart and price history
Grindr closed at $15.11 on Oct 12, 2026, +22.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.73 to $18.50.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −1.1%
- 3 months
- −3.4%
- 6 months
- +19.2%
- 1 year
- +22.4%
The full GRND chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GRND in Gekko
Follow Grindr through every session
Put GRND on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About Grindr
Grindr operates a social networking app built for LGBTQ users, giving gay, bisexual, transgender, and queer people a place to connect, share experiences and media, and express themselves openly. The platform is best known as a dedicated meeting ground for this community rather than a general-purpose social network.
The service works on two levels: anyone can use it for free with ads supported, while a paid subscription tier offers membership benefits beyond the basic experience. Its customer base consists of individuals within the LGBTQ community looking to meet others and share in a space built around their identities.
Grindr was founded in 2009 and operates out of West Hollywood, California. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker GRND.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Internet software/Services
- Website
- grindr.com
Grindr GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Grindr’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.1, in the Neutral zone, down 14.7 points over five sessions.
59.1Neutral
Down 14.7 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 57 | −1.3% | +2.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 187 | +0.5% | +1.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 378 | +0.9% | +3.3% | ||
| Distribution | 58 | +0.5% | +0.6% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average GRND share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GRND price, zone by zone.Track GRND in Gekko
Is Grindr stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Grindr trades 46.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $28.16, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Grindr shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$28.16
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
46.3% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 18.5% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GRND in Gekko
Grindr insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Grindr, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in GRND were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for GRND, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GRND in Gekko
Buybacks
Grindr has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
- $44.76M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.67%
- Trailing four quarters
- $495.3M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds GRND.
0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Grindr earnings: next date and track record
Grindr reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Expected after the close, 24 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.18
- Revenue estimate
- $135.8M
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.2%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Grindr reported Q2 2026 revenue of $138 million, up 33% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA of $58 million at a 42% margin. App-based revenue grew 30% YoY to $113 million, driven by strong conversion, ARPU, and user retention. The company highlighted AI-driven engineering productivity gains estimated at 2.5x output with the same team size, saving approximately $60 million in annual costs. Cultural activations like the Madonna partnership demonstrated expanding platform influence.
- Guidance
- Grindr raised full-year 2026 guidance to approximately $540 million in revenue and approximately $232 million in adjusted EBITDA. Management expects AI-enabled product initiatives, including the Edge tier, to be a key revenue growth driver in 2027.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $0.10 est $0.16 | $138.1M est $132.5M | −6.7% |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.14 est $0.12 | $129.9M est $119.4M | +11.9% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $0.11 est $0.12 | $126.2M est $122.0M | +1.8% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.16 est $0.12 | $115.8M est $122.0M | +14.4% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.08 est $0.10 | $104.2M est $104.8M | −15.8% |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.09 est $0.09 | $93.94M est $95.94M | −0.1% |
| Mar 7, 2025 | $0.09 est $0.08 | $97.62M est $96.43M | −2.9% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.09 est $0.07 | $89.33M est $91.17M | +3.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Grindr stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Grindr is $20.80, +37.7% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$20.80consensus 12-month target, +37.7% from the last close
Now $15.11Avg $20.80
Low $19High $22
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | Morgan Stanley | $20 | +32.4% |
| Aug 14 | TD Cowen | $22 | +45.6% |
| Aug 7 | TD Cowen | $22 | +45.6% |
| Aug 7 | Morgan Stanley | $20 | +32.4% |
| Aug 7 | Raymond James | $22 | +45.6% |
+3.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+8.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Grindr seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Grindr averaged +8.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +6.3% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +5.1% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.3% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, GRND’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.7%.
Grindr market cap and key statistics
Grindr’s market cap is $2.69B, with a P/E ratio of 31.8 and revenue of $509.8M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.69B
- P/E ratio
- 31.8
- EPS, TTM
- $0.47
- Gekko Fair Value
- $28.16
Trading
- Volume
- 2.06M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.79M
- 52-week high
- $18.50
- 52-week low
- $9.73
- Shares outstanding
- 173.8M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $509.8M
- Profit margin
- 18.8%
- Return on equity
- 108.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +25.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.19
- Typical daily move
- ±5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.7%
Grindr peers
Grindr’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GOOGLAlphabet | Neutral | 9.6% above |
| GOOGAlphabet | Neutral | 10.2% above |
| METAMeta Platforms | Neutral | 25.5% above |
| NFLXNetflix | Accumulation | 25.2% below |
| SPOTSpotify Technology | Neutral | 18.3% above |
| MSTRStrategy | Neutral | 11.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Grindr stock FAQ
What is Grindr’s market cap?
Grindr’s market cap is $2.69B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $15.11, with 173.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.8.
What is the Grindr stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Grindr is $20.80, +37.7% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Grindr stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Grindr is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $15.11 is 46.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $28.16. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Grindr report earnings next?
Grindr is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.18 per share on revenue of $135.8M. Grindr beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.2% on average across the report.
What is Grindr’s 52-week high and low?
Grindr’s 52-week high is $18.50 and its 52-week low is $9.73; it closed at $15.11 on Oct 12, 2026, +22.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $71.51 on Nov 18, 2022.
Is Grindr stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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