NASDAQ: OTTR

Otter Tail (OTTR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$88.35+0.89 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Otter Tail's recent move follows a Q2 earnings beat paired with a cut to full-year diluted EPS guidance, tied to settlement-related costs. Revenue for the quarter came in at $334.4 million, with adjusted EPS of $1.66 topping consensus estimates, leaving the stock with a mixed reaction to results that beat on the bottom line even as forward guidance moved lower.

Shares close at $88.35, up 1% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $90.14 and the 200-day average of $88.35, a trend picture that is not clearly directional. The GekkoIndex reads 60, placing OTTR in the Accumulation zone, with a 5-day change of 1.7%. Gekko Fair Value stands at $90.45, putting the current price about 2.3% below that mark.

The next earnings date falls on 2 November, 20 days out, landing inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window and carrying an average absolute reaction of 4.9% based on prior quarters, with 8 beats across 8 recent quarters. Seasonality for this point in the calendar shows a 6.8% average 20-day return over 5 years, with gains in 4 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst coverage shows a single hold rating with a consensus target of $90.50, implying 2.4% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Otter Tail price vs fair value

$90.45$88.35Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $88.35200-day averageGekko Fair Value $90.45

Otter Tail quick facts

Market cap
$3.71B
P/E ratio
19.1
Forward P/E
16.1
EPS, TTM
$4.63
Revenue, TTM
$1.32B
Profit margin
14.8%
Dividend yield
2.50%
Beta
0.45
Volume
169,025 avg 256,849
1-year return
+15.7%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
50-day average
$90.14
200-day average
$88.35
Next earnings
Nov 2
Shares outstanding
41.99M
52-week range
$74.15$95.09

Otter Tail swing-trade checklist

Otter Tail scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $88.35 sits between the 50-day ($90.14) and 200-day ($88.35) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60, Accumulation

    Reading 60 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.3% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.3% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Otter Tail stock chart and price history

Otter Tail closed at $88.35 on Oct 12, 2026, +15.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $74.15 to $95.09.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Otter Tail share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$75$80$85$90$95NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct88.35

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.3%
3 months
−1.9%
6 months
−3.8%
1 year
+15.7%
The full OTTR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OTTR in Gekko

Follow Otter Tail through every session

Put OTTR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Otter Tail

Otter Tail operates three separate business lines rather than a single core activity: supplying electric power, manufacturing industrial goods, and making plastic piping. The company is most widely recognized for its utility operations, which handle every step of getting electricity to customers, from generation through to final sale, for an area spanning three upper-Midwest states.

That utility business serves around 133,000 homes, farms and companies across Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota, drawing electricity from coal, wind, hydro and natural gas sources and taking part in the regional MISO power market. On the industrial side, Otter Tail makes machined and stamped metal parts along with thermoformed plastic items like horticultural containers, shipping materials for life sciences and industry, and protective packaging such as clamshells and blister trays used by customers in medicine, electronics and recreation. A third unit produces PVC piping for water-related infrastructure, including municipal supply lines, rural systems, drainage and wastewater projects, reaching wholesale buyers through a mix of independent agents, direct sales staff and support teams.

The company traces its roots to 1907 and keeps its headquarters in Fergus Falls, Minnesota, having been called Otter Tail Power Company before switching to its current name in 2001. Otter Tail is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker OTTR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
ottertail.com

Otter Tail GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Otter Tail’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.7 points over five sessions.

010060Accumulation

Up 1.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+1.1%+2.7%+2.5%+6.7%
Accumulation (current zone)216+0.7%+0.8%+1.7%+2.4%
Neutral408−0.3%−0.3%−0.6%−0.6%
Distribution22−2.5%−4.8%−5.7%−3.6%
Selling13+4.0%+6.1%+1.0%−3.2%

Average OTTR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OTTR price, zone by zone.Track OTTR in Gekko

Is Otter Tail stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Otter Tail trades 2.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $90.45, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Otter Tail shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$90.45

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

2.3% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 5.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$90$87Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OTTR in Gekko

Otter Tail insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Otter Tail, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for OTTR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every OTTR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OTTR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in OTTR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for OTTR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OTTR in Gekko

Buybacks

Otter Tail has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$3.97M
As a share of market cap
0.11%

From company filings.

Otter Tail earnings: next date and track record

Otter Tail reports on Nov 2, 2026 (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.8%May ’24−3.9%Aug ’24+4.4%Nov ’24+6.1%Feb ’25−6.8%May ’25+7.5%Aug ’25+6.2%Nov ’25−1.7%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 16, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Otter Tail Corporation reported 2025 diluted EPS of $6.55, down 9% year-over-year as Plastics segment earnings normalized from record levels. Otter Tail Power secured Minnesota interim rates of $28.6M effective January 2026 and South Dakota interim rates of $5.7M effective December 2025. The company increased its dividend 10% to $2.31 annually, marking a second consecutive double-digit increase. Phase 2 of Vinyltech expansion and two solar projects remain on track.
Guidance
Management initiated 2026 diluted EPS guidance with a midpoint of $5.42, reflecting continued Plastics segment normalization. Otter Tail Power reaffirms 10% five-year rate base CAGR with near 1:1 conversion to EPS growth; final Minnesota rates expected mid-2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 16, 2026$1.23
est $1.16
+6.0%$308.1M
est $311.1M
−1.0%−1.7%
Nov 3, 2025$1.86
est $1.80
+3.3%$325.6M
est $311.2M
+4.6%+6.2%
Aug 4, 2025$1.85
est $1.71
+8.2%$333.0M
est $336.9M
−1.1%+7.5%
May 5, 2025$1.62
est $1.53
+5.9%$337.4M
est $342.3M
−1.4%−6.8%
Feb 17, 2025$1.30
est $1.26
+3.2%$303.1M
est $314.8M
−3.7%+6.1%
Nov 4, 2024$2.03
est $1.98
+2.5%$338.0M
est $309.7M
+9.2%+4.4%
Aug 5, 2024$2.07
est $1.69
+22.5%$342.3M
est $367.7M
−6.9%−3.9%
May 6, 2024$1.77
est $1.45
+22.1%$347.1M
est $335.3M
+3.5%+2.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Otter Tail stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Otter Tail is $90.50, +2.4% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$90.50consensus 12-month target, +2.4% from the last close
Buy0
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 4KeyBancHold, maintained——
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Otter Tail seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Otter Tail averaged +6.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+14.9%2021−14.4%2022+7.5%2023+9.1%2024+12.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.5%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.5%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.6%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.7%4 of 5

For scale, OTTR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.9%.

Otter Tail market cap and key statistics

Otter Tail’s market cap is $3.71B, with a P/E ratio of 19.1 and revenue of $1.32B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.71B
P/E ratio
19.1
Forward P/E
16.1
EPS, TTM
$4.63
Gekko Fair Value
$90.45

Trading

Volume
169,025
Avg volume, 20 days
256,849
52-week high
$95.09
52-week low
$74.15
Shares outstanding
41.99M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.32B
Profit margin
14.8%
Return on equity
10.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+6.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.45
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
Dividend yield
2.50%

Otter Tail stock news this week

1 headline about Otter Tail from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Otter Tail peers

Otter Tail’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy+1.3%Accumulation20.2% below
CEGConstellation Energy−2.1%Neutral16.5% above
SOSouthern+1.0%Neutral8.8% above
DUKDuke Energy+0.8%Neutral4.8% above
AEPAmerican Electric Power+0.8%Neutral12.1% above
DDominion Energy+1.3%Accumulation8.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Otter Tail stock FAQ

What is Otter Tail’s market cap?

Otter Tail’s market cap is $3.71B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $88.35, with 41.99M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.1.

What is the Otter Tail stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Otter Tail is $90.50, +2.4% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Otter Tail stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Otter Tail is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $88.35 is 2.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $90.45. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Otter Tail report earnings next?

Otter Tail is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026 (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.55 per share on revenue of $327.9M. Otter Tail beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.9% on average across the report.

What is Otter Tail’s 52-week high and low?

Otter Tail’s 52-week high is $95.09 and its 52-week low is $74.15; it closed at $88.35 on Oct 12, 2026, +15.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $100.84 on Jul 26, 2024.

Is Otter Tail stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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