NYSE: AVA

Avista (AVA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$35.83+0.34 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news flow around Avista centers on administrative and scheduling items rather than operating results: the company confirmed its third-quarter 2026 earnings call for 4 November 2026 at 10:30 a.m. EDT, with the release due earlier that day, and analysts are projecting earnings of $0.3535 per share on revenues of $410.70 million for the quarter. Separately, Avista announced leadership changes, promoting Alicia Gibbs and Patrick Ehrbar to vice president roles as part of a succession plan tied to the retirement of Senior Vice President Jason Thackston.

Shares closed at $35.83, up 1% on the day, but remain below both the 50-day average of $37.06 and the 200-day average of $39.87, with the shorter average also under the longer one. The stock sits 14% lower over three months and 3.5% lower over the past year, trading closer to its 52-week low of $34.46 than its high of $43.50. The GekkoIndex reads 60.9, placing it in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 0.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.11.

Looking ahead, the 4 November earnings date falls within the next 20 trading days, a window that has historically averaged a 4.2% move over five years, with gains in four of those years. The prior quarter saw an EPS beat of $0.17 versus a $0.14 estimate, though shares reacted with a 3.1% decline. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Avista price vs fair value

$36.11$35.83Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $35.83200-day averageGekko Fair Value $36.11

Avista quick facts

Market cap
$3.00B
P/E ratio
12.7
Forward P/E
13
EPS, TTM
$2.77
Revenue, TTM
$1.92B
Profit margin
11.8%
Dividend yield
5.59%
Beta
0.21
Volume
550,630 avg 728,922
1-year return
−3.5%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.6%
50-day average
$37.06
200-day average
$39.87
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
83.75M
52-week range
$34.46$43.50

Avista swing-trade checklist

Avista scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $35.83 is below the 50-day ($37.06) and 200-day ($39.87) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.9, Accumulation

    Reading 60.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.8% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.8% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Avista stock chart and price history

Avista closed at $35.83 on Oct 12, 2026, −3.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $34.46 to $43.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Avista share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$38$40$42NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct35.83

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.6%
3 months
−14.3%
6 months
−13.2%
1 year
−3.5%
The full AVA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AVA in Gekko

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About Avista

Avista supplies electricity and natural gas to homes and businesses across parts of the Pacific Northwest and Alaska. It is perhaps best recognized for its utility work in eastern Washington and northern Idaho, where it handles both electric distribution and transmission alongside natural gas delivery, and for extending gas service into pockets of Oregon. The company also produces power using a mix of hydroelectric, thermal, and wind sources, drawing on generating sites spread across Washington, Idaho, Oregon, and Montana.

The business runs through two main segments. Avista Utilities covers the bulk of its electric and gas operations, including wholesale trading of power and gas, while AEL&P provides electrical service to roughly 17,400 customers in Juneau, Alaska. As of February 2022, the company counted about 406,000 electric customers and 372,000 natural gas customers. Alongside its utility activities, Avista also places money into venture funds, real estate, and other outside investments.

Avista traces back to 1889 and is headquartered in Spokane, Washington. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AVA.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
investor.avistacorp.com

Avista GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Avista’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.9, in the Accumulation zone, down 6.5 points over five sessions.

010060.9Accumulation

Down 6.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+0.6%+0.2%+2.4%+9.0%
Accumulation (current zone)232+0.2%+0.5%+1.1%+4.2%
Neutral3700.0%0.0%0.0%−0.8%
Distribution42−0.6%−0.8%−2.7%−2.2%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average AVA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AVA price, zone by zone.Track AVA in Gekko

Is Avista stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Avista trades 0.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.11, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Avista shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$36.11

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

0.8% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 17.4% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$36$35Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AVA in Gekko

Avista insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Avista, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AVA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AVA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AVA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AVA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AVA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AVA in Gekko

Avista earnings: next date and track record

Avista reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.8%Nov ’24+3.2%Feb ’25−3.1%May ’25−2.1%Aug ’25+4.5%Nov ’25−6.8%Feb ’260.0%May ’26−3.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
The call was dominated by discussion of multiple wildfires near Spokane, Washington that have caused customer outages, displacement of residents (including employees), and damage to transmission and distribution infrastructure. Management provided outage counts (about 7,300 electric and 5,300 gas customers currently out), described repairs (a key transmission line re-energized), and emphasized ongoing assessment and safety constraints. Management stressed that company facilities did not start the fires, highlighted proactive wildfire mitigation efforts (public safety power shutoffs, vegetation management, situational awareness) and said those measures reduced risk. Questions from analysts covered damage extent, cost recovery and insurance treatment (including securitization legislation), the paused MOU and data center negotiations (company will only proceed if there is a net benefit and protections for existing customers), and the Washington 4-year rate case (noting fundamental differences among parties and a low likelihood of settlement). Management noted strong performance in a nonregulated fund with gains from an EIP-related IPO, but warned of near-term volatility. The company intends to work with regulators and the community (workshops) to define processes for large loads and data center requests. No new financial guidance was given on the call; management referenced the press release and 10-Q filed premarket.
Risks flagged
Wildfire-related physical damage to transmission and distribution infrastructure, customer outages and displacement, uncertainty on the extent and duration of repairs, potential costs associated with damage (insurance and recovery uncertain), regulatory and ratemaking risk (differences in the Washington 4-year rate case, potential difficulty reaching settlement), community and stakeholder concerns around large data center load requests, volatility in nonregulated investments (exposure to public market price movements for EIP-related holdings).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$0.17
est $0.14
+21.4%$426.9M
est $426.9M
0.0%−3.1%
May 5, 2026$1.11
est $1.03
+7.8%$555.0M
est $643.5M
−13.8%0.0%
Feb 25, 2026$0.88
est $1.01
−12.9%$518.0M
est $515.9M
+0.4%−6.8%
Nov 5, 2025$0.36
est $0.27
+33.3%$403.0M
est $541.1M
−25.5%+4.5%
Aug 6, 2025$0.17
est $0.28
−39.3%$411.0M
est $408.5M
+0.6%−2.1%
May 7, 2025$0.98
est $1.03
−4.9%$617.0M
est $416.1M
+48.3%−3.1%
Feb 26, 2025$0.85
est $0.87
−2.0%$532.8M
est $487.5M
+9.3%+3.2%
Nov 6, 2024$0.23
est $0.13
+76.9%$393.7M
est $491.8M
−19.9%−1.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Avista stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Avista is $41.33, +15.4% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$41.33consensus 12-month target, +15.4% from the last close
Low $35High $39
Buy0
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9BarclaysHold, maintained$35−2.3%
Aug 4BarclaysHold, maintained$37+3.3%
Jul 22Wells FargoHold, maintained$39+8.8%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Avista seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Avista averaged +4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.0%2021−0.1%2022+7.7%2023−1.7%2024+10.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.2%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.2%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.1%5 of 5

For scale, AVA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.6%.

Avista market cap and key statistics

Avista’s market cap is $3.00B, with a P/E ratio of 12.7 and revenue of $1.92B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.00B
P/E ratio
12.7
Forward P/E
13
EPS, TTM
$2.77
Gekko Fair Value
$36.11

Trading

Volume
550,630
Avg volume, 20 days
728,922
52-week high
$43.50
52-week low
$34.46
Shares outstanding
83.75M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.92B
Profit margin
11.8%
Return on equity
8.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+147.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.21
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.6%
Dividend yield
5.59%

Avista stock news this week

Coverage of Avista this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Avista peers

Avista’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy+1.3%Accumulation20.2% below
CEGConstellation Energy−2.1%Neutral16.5% above
SOSouthern+1.0%Neutral8.8% above
DUKDuke Energy+0.8%Neutral4.8% above
AEPAmerican Electric Power+0.8%Neutral12.1% above
DDominion Energy+1.3%Accumulation8.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Avista stock FAQ

What is Avista’s market cap?

Avista’s market cap is $3.00B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $35.83, with 83.75M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.7.

What is the Avista stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Avista is $41.33, +15.4% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Avista stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Avista is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $35.83 is 0.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.11. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Avista report earnings next?

Avista is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.35 per share on revenue of $410.7M. Avista beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.

What is Avista’s 52-week high and low?

Avista’s 52-week high is $43.50 and its 52-week low is $34.46; it closed at $35.83 on Oct 12, 2026, −3.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $46.90 on Mar 7, 2022.

Is Avista stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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