NYSE: TXNM

TXNM Energy (TXNM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$58.27−0.25 (−0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

TXNM Energy's board declared a quarterly common stock dividend of $0.4225 per share at its regular meeting on 22 September, keeping the company's shareholder-return policy in focus during the week.

The stock closed at $58.27, down 0.4%, sitting between its 50-day average of $57.85 and its 200-day average of $58.44, with a 52-week range of $55.64 to $59.53. The GekkoIndex reads 55.9, placing TXNM in the Neutral zone, and the price sits 1.2% below the Gekko Fair Value of $58.98.

Over the next 20 trading days, attention turns to the next earnings report, due 30 October, 31 days out and beyond a typical holding window of that length; the prior release on 1 May saw EPS of $0.21 against a $0.33 estimate and a 0.2% reaction, with 3 beats over the last 8 quarters. One trailblazer holder is currently recorded, and the sole covering analyst maintains a buy rating with a consensus target of $60.70, implying 4.2% upside from current levels. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 0.6% return over the past 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the still-unwound gap to fair value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

TXNM Energy price vs fair value

$58.98$58.27Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $58.27200-day averageGekko Fair Value $58.98

TXNM Energy quick facts

Market cap
$6.45B
P/E ratio
31.8
Forward P/E
18
EPS, TTM
$1.83
Revenue, TTM
$2.23B
Profit margin
8.8%
Dividend yield
2.87%
Beta
0.17
Volume
1.59M avg 1.63M
1-year return
+2.9%
Typical daily move
±0.7%
Typical 20-day move
±1.5%
50-day average
$57.85
200-day average
$58.44
Next earnings
Oct 30
Shares outstanding
110.1M
52-week range
$55.64$59.53

TXNM Energy swing-trade checklist

TXNM Energy scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $58.27 sits between the 50-day ($57.85) and 200-day ($58.44) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55.9, Neutral

    Reading 55.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.2% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.2% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Oct 30, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

TXNM Energy stock chart and price history

TXNM Energy closed at $58.27 on Sep 28, 2026, +2.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $55.64 to $59.53.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
TXNM Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$54$56NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep58.27

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.3%
3 months
+2.4%
6 months
−0.1%
1 year
+2.9%
The full TXNM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TXNM in Gekko

Follow TXNM Energy through every session

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About TXNM Energy

TXNM Energy provides electric power and associated services to homes, businesses and industrial users across New Mexico and Texas. The company is best known for running the electric grid infrastructure that keeps these regions connected, drawing on a broad mix of generation types to keep power flowing to end users.

The company works through two main arms. One, Public Service Company of New Mexico, handles the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity, drawing on coal, natural gas, oil, nuclear fuel, and renewable sources such as solar, wind, geothermal power and battery storage. The other, Texas-New Mexico Power Company, concentrates on regulated transmission and distribution, maintaining the vehicles, service facilities and office sites needed to move power through its territory. Together these divisions support customers ranging from households to commercial and industrial operations.

Founded in 1882 and headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico, the company operated for years as PNM Resources before taking on the TXNM Energy name in August 2024. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker TXNM.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
txnmenergy.com

TXNM Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

TXNM Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.9, in the Neutral zone, up 10 points over five sessions.

010055.9Neutral

Up 10 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying17+0.7%+0.7%+2.4%+2.3%
Accumulation129+1.2%+2.0%+3.3%+5.1%
Neutral (current zone)465+0.2%+0.5%+1.1%+3.2%
Distribution55+0.1%+0.1%+0.6%+6.1%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average TXNM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TXNM price, zone by zone.Track TXNM in Gekko

Is TXNM Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

TXNM Energy trades 1.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $58.98, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what TXNM Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$58.98

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

1.2% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TXNM in Gekko

TXNM Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TXNM Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TXNM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TXNM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TXNM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TXNM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TXNM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TXNM in Gekko

Buybacks

TXNM Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$980K
As a share of market cap
0.02%
Trailing four quarters
$10.09M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TXNM.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

TXNM Energy earnings: next date and track record

TXNM Energy reports on Oct 30, 2026 (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±0.8%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.3%Jul ’24−2.0%Nov ’24+1.7%Feb ’25+0.6%May ’25+0.6%Aug ’25+0.1%Oct ’25+0.1%Feb ’26+0.2%May ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 1, 2026$0.21
est $0.33
−36.4%$505.0M
est $506.2M
−0.2%+0.2%
Feb 27, 2026$0.48
est $0.61
−20.9%$533.2M
est $504.9M
+5.6%+0.1%
Oct 31, 2025$1.33
est $0.60
+120.9%$647.2M
est $593.3M
+9.1%+0.1%
Aug 1, 2025$0.25
est $0.46
−45.7%$502.4M
est $608.6M
−17.5%+0.6%
May 9, 2025$0.19
est $0.20
−5.0%$482.8M
est $476.7M
+1.3%+0.6%
Feb 21, 2025$0.30
est $0.30
0.0%$477.0M
est $457.8M
+4.2%+1.7%
Nov 1, 2024$1.43
est $1.42
+0.7%$569.3M
est $488.5M
+16.5%−2.0%
Jul 31, 2024$0.60
est $0.55
+9.1%$488.1M
est $481.0M
+1.5%+1.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

TXNM Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for TXNM Energy is $60.70, +4.2% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$60.70consensus 12-month target, +4.2% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 1BarclaysBuy, reiterated$61+4.7%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±0.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

TXNM Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, TXNM Energy averaged +0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.4%2021−0.4%2022−0.8%2023+3.8%2024+0.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.7%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.2%3 of 5

For scale, TXNM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 1.5%.

TXNM Energy market cap and key statistics

TXNM Energy’s market cap is $6.45B, with a P/E ratio of 31.8 and revenue of $2.23B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.45B
P/E ratio
31.8
Forward P/E
18
EPS, TTM
$1.83
Gekko Fair Value
$58.98

Trading

Volume
1.59M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.63M
52-week high
$59.53
52-week low
$55.64
Shares outstanding
110.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.23B
Profit margin
8.8%
Return on equity
6.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+190.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.17
Typical daily move
±0.7%
Typical 20-day move
±1.5%
Dividend yield
2.87%

TXNM Energy stock news this week

2 headlines about TXNM Energy from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

TXNM Energy peers

TXNM Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy−0.7%Buying24.8% below
SOSouthern−0.7%Buying0.3% above
CEGConstellation Energy−0.5%Accumulation0.3% above
DUKDuke Energy−0.1%Buying10.3% above
AEPAmerican Electric Power+0.1%Buying7.2% above
DDominion Energy−0.6%Accumulation11.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

TXNM Energy stock FAQ

What is TXNM Energy’s market cap?

TXNM Energy’s market cap is $6.45B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $58.27, with 110.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.8.

What is the TXNM Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for TXNM Energy is $60.70, +4.2% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is TXNM Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate TXNM Energy is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $58.27 is 1.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $58.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does TXNM Energy report earnings next?

TXNM Energy is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026 (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.58 per share on revenue of $649.6M. TXNM Energy beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 0.8% on average across the report.

What is TXNM Energy’s 52-week high and low?

TXNM Energy’s 52-week high is $59.53 and its 52-week low is $55.64; it closed at $58.27 on Sep 28, 2026, +2.9% over the past year.

Is TXNM Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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