Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NRG in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NRG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NRG in Gekko
NYSE: NRG
NRG Energy (NRG) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$97.00−3.37 (−3.4%)
Gekko Brief
NRG Energy closed at $97.00 on 28 September 2026, -3.4% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($117.42) and 200-day ($142.23) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $96.86 to $189.96. The GekkoIndex reads 71.3, in the Buying zone, up 4.8 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $194.00, so the price is 50% below it.
The next earnings report is due on 5 November 2026, 37 days away (before open). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 5 times, with an average move of 9.3% across the report. Over the last 30 days there was 1 unusual options signal. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +3.6% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
12 firms rate the stock: 10 buy, 2 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $188.56. A typical daily move is about 3.9%, and a typical 20-day move about 6.3%. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (trend).
Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
NRG Energy price vs fair value
Close $97.00200-day averageGekko Fair Value $194.00
NRG Energy quick facts
- Market cap
- $20.47B
- P/E ratio
- 25.5
- Forward P/E
- 9
- EPS, TTM
- $3.84
- Revenue, TTM
- $33.12B
- Profit margin
- 2.6%
- Dividend yield
- 1.85%
- Beta
- 1.17
- Volume
- 2.83M avg 2.79M
- 1-year return
- −40.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.3%
- 50-day average
- $117.42
- 200-day average
- $142.23
- Next earnings
- Nov 5 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 210.2M
NRG Energy swing-trade checklist
NRG Energy scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $97.00 is below the 50-day ($117.42) and 200-day ($142.23) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
71.3, Buying
Reading 71.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
50.0% below
Price is 50% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
NRG Energy stock chart and price history
NRG Energy closed at $97.00 on Sep 28, 2026, −40.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $96.86 to $189.96.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −15.2%
- 3 months
- −34.9%
- 6 months
- −34.3%
- 1 year
- −40.5%
The full NRG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NRG in Gekko
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NRG Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
NRG Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.3, in the Buying zone, up 4.8 points over five sessions.
71.3Buying
Up 4.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
| Accumulation | 207 | +1.2% | +5.0% | ||
| Neutral | 397 | 0.0% | +1.8% | ||
| Distribution | 54 | +2.6% | +4.8% | ||
| Selling | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NRG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NRG price, zone by zone.Track NRG in Gekko
Is NRG Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
NRG Energy trades 50.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $194.00, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what NRG Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$194.00
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
50.0% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NRG in Gekko
NRG Energy insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NRG Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NRG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NRG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NRG in Gekko
Buybacks
NRG Energy has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $470.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.30%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.98B
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 16, $1.30M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds NRG.
1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
NRG Energy earnings: next date and track record
NRG Energy reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Expected before the open, 37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.16
- Revenue estimate
- $9.33B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- NRG Energy reported solid Q2 2026 results and provided a detailed update on its Bring Your Own Power (BYOP) strategy. Financially, adjusted EBITDA was $1.2 billion (up 34% YoY), adjusted net income was $315 million, adjusted EPS was $1.49, and free cash flow before growth was $1.025 billion. Strength was driven by the acquired LS Power portfolio, higher PJM capacity values, and Smart Home growth; offsetting items included acquisition-related interest expense, depreciation & amortization, lower ERCOT load and power prices, and some pre-existing hedges. Management announced principal commercial terms with a leading global cloud/AI hyperscaler for a 1.2 GW BYOP project in Texas (potential to expand to 2.4 GW), characterized as the company’s first BYOP project with long-term committed economics and targeted returns in the 12%–15% range. The first COD is late 2029 with serial 1.2 GW blocks thereafter, subject to customary approvals and land/timing issues. Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance (noting they expect to be below the midpoint but within the range) and reiterated capital allocation priorities (funding growth, deleveraging toward target leverage, and opportunistic buybacks if cash flow allows).
- Guidance
- Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance (expects results to be below the midpoint but within the guidance range). COD for the first 1.2 GW BYOP block is targeted for late 2029, with subsequent 1.2 GW blocks expected on roughly a 12-month cadence. Return expectations for BYOP projects are targeted at 12%–15%. The company expects to deleverage toward ~3x net debt/EBITDA (previously targeted for 2028 if funded on balance sheet; funding the project on balance sheet could push that to 2029). No explicit numeric revenue or EPS guidance updates beyond reaffirmation were provided.
- Risks flagged
- Key risks mentioned include: subdued ERCOT prices and limited volatility (reducing run opportunities and commercial optimization), pre-existing below-market hedges on the acquired LS Power portfolio that dampen near-term margins (noted for 2026 and some into 2027), regulatory and political scrutiny in Texas that could affect timing/requirements for large load projects (land/timing and approvals remain outstanding), negotiation and customary condition risks for BYOP deals (including internal approvals and land issues), potential increases in turbine and EPC costs for later projects (management says they will maintain return targets), and uncertainty around collateral/credit arrangements (counterparty credit details not disclosed).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.49 est $1.66 | $7.48B est $7.31B | −12.8% |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.52 est $1.81 | $10.29B est $8.43B | −9.9% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $1.04 est $1.02 | $7.76B est $6.68B | +4.0% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $2.75 est $2.14 | $7.64B est $7.46B | −0.4% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $1.68 est $1.74 | $6.74B est $6.45B | −10.9% |
| May 12, 2025 | $2.68 est $1.69 | $8.59B est $7.92B | +31.3% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $1.52 est $0.94 | $6.82B est $7.82B | +2.6% |
| Nov 8, 2024 | $1.90 est $1.83 | $7.22B est $9.38B | −2.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
NRG Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NRG Energy is $188.56, +94.4% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$188.56consensus 12-month target, +94.4% from the last close
Now $97.00Avg $188.56
Low $159High $221
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Morgan Stanley | $159 | +63.9% |
| Sep 9 | Siebert Williams Shank & Co | $184 | +89.7% |
| Aug 21 | Morgan Stanley | $162 | +67.0% |
| Aug 19 | Exane BNP Paribas | $221 | +127.8% |
| Aug 17 | DBS | $190 | +95.9% |
+3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
NRG Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, NRG Energy averaged +3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.8% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, NRG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.3%.
NRG Energy market cap and key statistics
NRG Energy’s market cap is $20.47B, with a P/E ratio of 25.5 and revenue of $33.12B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $20.47B
- P/E ratio
- 25.5
- Forward P/E
- 9
- EPS, TTM
- $3.84
- Gekko Fair Value
- $194.00
Trading
- Volume
- 2.83M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.79M
- 52-week high
- $189.96
- 52-week low
- $96.86
- Shares outstanding
- 210.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $33.12B
- Profit margin
- 2.6%
- Return on equity
- 23.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −85.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.17
- Typical daily move
- ±3.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.85%
NRG Energy stock news this week
3 headlines about NRG Energy from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- NRG Energy (NRG) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 25
- NRG Energy (NRG) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 23
- NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 23
NRG Energy peers
NRG Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| NEENextEra Energy | Buying | 24.8% below |
| SOSouthern | Buying | 0.3% above |
| CEGConstellation Energy | Accumulation | 0.3% above |
| DUKDuke Energy | Buying | 10.3% above |
| AEPAmerican Electric Power | Buying | 7.2% above |
| DDominion Energy | Accumulation | 11.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
NRG Energy stock FAQ
What is NRG Energy’s market cap?
NRG Energy’s market cap is $20.47B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $97.00, with 210.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.5.
What is the NRG Energy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NRG Energy is $188.56, +94.4% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is NRG Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate NRG Energy is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $97.00 is 50.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $194.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does NRG Energy report earnings next?
NRG Energy is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.16 per share on revenue of $9.33B. NRG Energy beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.3% on average across the report.
What is NRG Energy’s 52-week high and low?
NRG Energy’s 52-week high is $189.96 and its 52-week low is $96.86; it closed at $97.00 on Sep 28, 2026, −40.5% over the past year.
Is NRG Energy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in NRG Energy?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in NRG Energy over the last 30 days, with $1.30M of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 16, 2026 with $1.30M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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