NASDAQ: EXC

Exelon (EXC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Exelon Corporation. Utilities sector, electric utilities industry. Market cap $43.34B.

$42.07−0.57 (−1.3%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Exelon closes at $42.07, down 1.3% on the day and below both its 50-day ($45.04) and 200-day ($45.80) averages, with the shorter average under the longer one. The stock has lost 7.1% over one month, 8.2% over three months and 12.4% over six months, trading near its 52-week low of $42.01 and well off its high of $50.65. The GekkoIndex reads 70.5, placing EXC in the Buying zone, while price sits 7% above Gekko Fair Value of $39.33.

Coverage this week centers on Exelon's positioning among utilities, with one piece grouping it alongside PG&E and Centuri Holdings as stocks seen as positioned to perform despite the Federal Reserve's recent rate hike, its first since 2023. Other items compare Exelon to MGE Energy on analyst recommendations, ownership, valuation and dividends, and note a per-share dividend payment alongside Alphabet and Patterson-UTI. A separate piece frames Exelon as a value stock for long-term consideration.

Exelon's next earnings report is set for 3 November 2026, 44 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter's $0.43 per share matched estimates, with an average absolute reaction of 2.4% across past reports. Analyst consensus stands at 9 firms with 1 buy, 7 hold and 1 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $48.88. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.6% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $42.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $39.33

Key stats

Market cap
$43.34B
P/E ratio
15.7
Forward P/E
13.9
EPS, TTM
$2.72
Revenue, TTM
$25.33B
Profit margin
11%
Dividend yield
3.86%
Beta
0.39
Volume
11.19M avg 6.90M
1-year return
−2.7%
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
50-day average
$45.04
200-day average
$45.80
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
1.03B
52-week range
$42.01$50.65

Exelon swing-trade checklist

Exelon scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $42.07 is below the 50-day ($45.04) and 200-day ($45.80) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70.5, Buying

    Reading 70.5 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    7.0% above

    Price is 7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 44 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 44 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Exelon stock chart and price history

Exelon closed at $42.07 on Sep 18, 2026, −2.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $42.01 to $50.65.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.1%
3 months
−8.2%
6 months
−12.4%
1 year
−2.7%
The full EXC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open EXC in Gekko

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About Exelon

Exelon operates as an energy company producing and supplying power throughout the United States and Canada. It draws electricity from varied sources such as nuclear reactors, fossil fuels, wind turbines, hydroelectric dams, biomass, and solar panels, giving it a wide-ranging generation base. Alongside power sales to wholesale and retail buyers, it offers natural gas and renewable energy products.

The company also handles the regulated buying and selling of electricity and gas directly to households and businesses, while running the pipelines and power lines that carry these resources to end users. To keep these operations running, Exelon relies on internal teams covering legal matters, staffing, technology, finance, procurement, engineering, and customer relations. Its client base includes utility distributors, city governments, cooperatives, banks, and a mix of commercial, industrial, and residential customers.

Founded in 1999, Exelon is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker EXC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
exeloncorp.com

Exelon GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Exelon’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.5, in the Buying zone, up 4 points over five sessions.

010070.5Buying

Up 4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)21+0.6%+0.2%+2.6%+9.5%
Accumulation229+0.1%+0.5%+1.4%+5.7%
Neutral376+0.2%+0.3%+0.6%+0.2%
Distribution35+0.3%+0.7%+0.2%−0.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average EXC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EXC price, zone by zone.Track EXC in Gekko

Is Exelon stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Exelon trades 7.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $39.33, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Exelon shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$39.33

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

7.0% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EXC in Gekko

Exelon insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Exelon, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EXC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EXC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in EXC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for EXC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXC in Gekko

Buybacks

Exelon has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$860.0M
As a share of market cap
1.98%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds EXC.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Exelon earnings: next date and track record

Exelon reports on Nov 3, 2026 (44 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.6%Oct ’24+1.4%Feb ’25−0.9%May ’25+0.9%Jul ’25−0.1%Nov ’25+9.1%Feb ’26−3.8%May ’26−2.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Exelon held its Q2 2026 earnings call reporting adjusted operating earnings of $0.43 per share, up from $0.39 year over year and consistent with expectations. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 per share and reiterated objectives to deploy roughly $10 billion of capital in 2026 and to pursue $41 billion of total capital through 2029. Operational highlights included top-quartile reliability across utilities (ComEd and PHI top decile), strong storm-response performance (restoring 90% of impacted customers within 48 hours during recent storms), and customer savings from avoided outages. Management emphasized disciplined, measured capital deployment, particularly on transmission and distribution to support resilience, data center-related growth with a refined 36 GW figure (11 GW high-probability), and a $12B–$17B identified upside in transmission-related opportunities. Regulatory topics dominated Q&A: continued engagement with PJM on resource adequacy, discussion of PECO rate-case pause and ongoing talks with Pennsylvania officials, leveraging state mechanisms (DISC, TSAs, RISE PA grants) to support affordability and economic development, and exploring competitive transmission opportunities in PJM and MISO. Management expressed confidence in its diversified platform, operational execution, and ability to navigate jurisdictional/regulatory headwinds while continuing to pursue grid investments, battery storage, and transmission solutions.
Guidance
Reaffirmed full-year adjusted operating earnings guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 per share; consolidated operating ROE target of 9% to 10%; deploying approximately $10 billion of capital in 2026; $41 billion of capital projected through 2029; third-quarter earnings expected to be ~27% of midpoint of full-year guidance; continuing to pursue $12B–$17B upside in transmission opportunities.
Risks flagged
Severe weather and storm frequency (noted 16 major weather events and recent storm impacting ~530,000 customers); labor disruptions (PECO employee strike at beginning of July); PJM resource adequacy concerns and broader market dysfunction; regulatory and political uncertainty (PA rate case withdrawal, affordability focus from state leadership); potential attrition or reclassification of data center projects leading to pipeline variability; higher credit loss expense at BGE; interest expense at corporate and PECO; timing and recovery of storm costs and bad debt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.43
est $0.43
0.0%$5.97B
est $5.44B
+9.6%−2.6%
May 6, 2026$0.91
est $0.90
+1.7%$7.24B
est $6.93B
+4.6%−3.8%
Feb 12, 2026$0.59
est $0.57
+3.2%$5.41B
est $5.39B
+0.4%+9.1%
Nov 4, 2025$0.86
est $0.78
+10.5%$6.71B
est $6.43B
+4.3%−0.1%
Jul 31, 2025$0.39
est $0.37
+6.2%$5.43B
est $5.38B
+0.9%+0.9%
May 1, 2025$0.92
est $0.88
+4.9%$6.71B
est $6.52B
+3.0%−0.9%
Feb 12, 2025$0.64
est $0.59
+8.1%$5.47B
est $4.51B
+21.2%+1.4%
Oct 30, 2024$0.71
est $0.67
+6.0%$6.15B
est $5.85B
+5.1%−0.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Exelon stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Exelon is $48.88, +16.2% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$48.88consensus 12-month target, +16.2% from the last close
Low $45High $50
Buy1
Hold7
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$50+18.8%
Sep 14Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained$50+18.8%
Aug 24J.P. MorganHold, maintained$47+11.7%
Aug 21Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$53+26.0%
Aug 17Truist FinancialHold, maintained$48+14.1%
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Exelon seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Exelon averaged −0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.4%2021−14.5%2022−2.5%2023+3.8%2024+10.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.0%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.6%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.2%3 of 5

For scale, EXC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.

Exelon market cap and key statistics

Exelon’s market cap is $43.34B, with a P/E ratio of 15.7 and revenue of $25.33B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$43.34B
P/E ratio
15.7
Forward P/E
13.9
EPS, TTM
$2.72
Gekko Fair Value
$39.33

Trading

Volume
11.19M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.90M
52-week high
$50.65
52-week low
$42.01
Shares outstanding
1.03B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$25.33B
Profit margin
11%
Return on equity
9.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−0.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.39
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
Dividend yield
3.86%

Exelon stock news this week

5 headlines about Exelon from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Exelon peers

Exelon’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy−0.2%Buying23.4% below
SOSouthern−0.9%Buying8.1% above
DUKDuke Energy−0.3%Accumulation14.0% above
CEGConstellation Energy−2.1%Accumulation2.8% below
AEPAmerican Electric Power−0.5%Buying3.7% above
DDominion Energy−0.7%Accumulation8.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Exelon stock FAQ

What is Exelon’s market cap?

Exelon’s market cap is $43.34B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $42.07, with 1.03B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.7.

What is the Exelon stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Exelon is $48.88, +16.2% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Exelon stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Exelon is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $42.07 is 7.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $39.33. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Exelon report earnings next?

Exelon is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (44 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.80 per share on revenue of $6.81B. Exelon beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.4% on average across the report.

What is Exelon’s 52-week high and low?

Exelon’s 52-week high is $50.65 and its 52-week low is $42.01; it closed at $42.07 on Sep 18, 2026, −2.7% over the past year.

Is Exelon stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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