NASDAQ: EXC

Exelon (EXC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$46.24+0.74 (+1.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Exelon's week centers on third-quarter results and regulatory and capital-spending moves. The company reported adjusted operating earnings of $0.87 per diluted share, ahead of expectations, narrowed its 2026 outlook, and declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.42 per share. Exelon also filed a complaint with FERC challenging PJM Interconnection's capacity auction schedule, seeking auction timing that better aligns with supply and demand forecasts, and outlined plans to invest up to $8 billion in regulated energy storage, including a 500-MW project in New Jersey tied to PJM supply constraints. Shares fell 2.05% on Tuesday to $45.50, ending a six-day winning streak, even as the broader utilities sector outperformed in October.

Exelon closed at $46.24, up 1.6%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $42.97 and its 200-day average of $45.63. The GekkoIndex reading of 45.9 places the stock in the Neutral zone, down 2.8 over five days. Price stands 25.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $36.79.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 11 February 2027, outside this window. Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells in the past 90 days, and one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 0.4% from this point, positive in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus among 12 firms includes 1 buy, 10 hold, and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $47.71.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Exelon price vs fair value

$46.24$36.79Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $46.24200-day averageGekko Fair Value $36.79

Exelon quick facts

Market cap
$47.73B
P/E ratio
18.1
Forward P/E
15.1
EPS, TTM
$2.56
Revenue, TTM
$25.94B
Profit margin
10.2%
Dividend yield
3.60%
Beta
0.34
Volume
12.56M avg 7.78M
1-year return
+0.1%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
50-day average
$42.97
200-day average
$45.63
Next earnings
Feb 11
Shares outstanding
1.03B
52-week range
$39.73$50.65

Exelon swing-trade checklist

Exelon scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $46.24 sits between the 50-day ($42.97) and 200-day ($45.63) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    45.9, Neutral

    Reading 45.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    25.7% above

    Price is 25.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 98 days

    Next report Feb 11, 2027, 98 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Exelon stock chart and price history

Exelon closed at $46.24 on Nov 4, 2026, +0.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $39.73 to $50.65.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Exelon share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$42$44$48$50DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct46.24

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+10.9%
3 months
+2.0%
6 months
+2.7%
1 year
+0.1%
The full EXC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open EXC in Gekko

Follow Exelon through every session

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About Exelon

Exelon operates as an energy company producing and supplying power throughout the United States and Canada. It draws electricity from varied sources such as nuclear reactors, fossil fuels, wind turbines, hydroelectric dams, biomass, and solar panels, giving it a wide-ranging generation base. Alongside power sales to wholesale and retail buyers, it offers natural gas and renewable energy products.

The company also handles the regulated buying and selling of electricity and gas directly to households and businesses, while running the pipelines and power lines that carry these resources to end users. To keep these operations running, Exelon relies on internal teams covering legal matters, staffing, technology, finance, procurement, engineering, and customer relations. Its client base includes utility distributors, city governments, cooperatives, banks, and a mix of commercial, industrial, and residential customers.

Founded in 1999, Exelon is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker EXC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
exeloncorp.com

Exelon GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Exelon’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.9, in the Neutral zone, down 2.8 points over five sessions.

010045.9Neutral

Down 2.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32+0.5%+1.0%+4.6%+9.5%
Accumulation242+0.1%+0.2%+0.7%+4.9%
Neutral (current zone)387+0.3%+0.4%+0.6%−0.4%
Distribution35+0.3%+0.7%+0.2%−0.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average EXC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EXC price, zone by zone.Track EXC in Gekko

Is Exelon stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Exelon trades 25.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $36.79, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Exelon shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$36.79

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

25.7% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 25.5% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$37$46Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EXC in Gekko

Exelon insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Exelon, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EXC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EXC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Exelon has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$860.0M
As a share of market cap
1.80%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds EXC.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Exelon earnings: next date and track record

Exelon reports on Feb 11, 2027 (98 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.6%Oct ’24+1.4%Feb ’25−0.9%May ’25+0.9%Jul ’25−0.1%Nov ’25+9.1%Feb ’26−3.8%May ’26−2.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Exelon held its Q2 2026 earnings call reporting adjusted operating earnings of $0.43 per share, up from $0.39 year over year and consistent with expectations. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 per share and reiterated objectives to deploy roughly $10 billion of capital in 2026 and to pursue $41 billion of total capital through 2029. Operational highlights included top-quartile reliability across utilities (ComEd and PHI top decile), strong storm-response performance (restoring 90% of impacted customers within 48 hours during recent storms), and customer savings from avoided outages. Management emphasized disciplined, measured capital deployment, particularly on transmission and distribution to support resilience, data center-related growth with a refined 36 GW figure (11 GW high-probability), and a $12B–$17B identified upside in transmission-related opportunities. Regulatory topics dominated Q&A: continued engagement with PJM on resource adequacy, discussion of PECO rate-case pause and ongoing talks with Pennsylvania officials, leveraging state mechanisms (DISC, TSAs, RISE PA grants) to support affordability and economic development, and exploring competitive transmission opportunities in PJM and MISO. Management expressed confidence in its diversified platform, operational execution, and ability to navigate jurisdictional/regulatory headwinds while continuing to pursue grid investments, battery storage, and transmission solutions.
Guidance
Reaffirmed full-year adjusted operating earnings guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 per share; consolidated operating ROE target of 9% to 10%; deploying approximately $10 billion of capital in 2026; $41 billion of capital projected through 2029; third-quarter earnings expected to be ~27% of midpoint of full-year guidance; continuing to pursue $12B–$17B upside in transmission opportunities.
Risks flagged
Severe weather and storm frequency (noted 16 major weather events and recent storm impacting ~530,000 customers); labor disruptions (PECO employee strike at beginning of July); PJM resource adequacy concerns and broader market dysfunction; regulatory and political uncertainty (PA rate case withdrawal, affordability focus from state leadership); potential attrition or reclassification of data center projects leading to pipeline variability; higher credit loss expense at BGE; interest expense at corporate and PECO; timing and recovery of storm costs and bad debt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.43
est $0.43
0.0%$5.97B
est $5.44B
+9.6%−2.6%
May 6, 2026$0.91
est $0.90
+1.7%$7.24B
est $6.93B
+4.6%−3.8%
Feb 12, 2026$0.59
est $0.57
+3.2%$5.41B
est $5.39B
+0.4%+9.1%
Nov 4, 2025$0.86
est $0.78
+10.5%$6.71B
est $6.43B
+4.3%−0.1%
Jul 31, 2025$0.39
est $0.37
+6.2%$5.43B
est $5.38B
+0.9%+0.9%
May 1, 2025$0.92
est $0.88
+4.9%$6.71B
est $6.52B
+3.0%−0.9%
Feb 12, 2025$0.64
est $0.59
+8.1%$5.47B
est $4.51B
+21.2%+1.4%
Oct 30, 2024$0.71
est $0.67
+6.0%$6.15B
est $5.85B
+5.1%−0.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Exelon stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Exelon is $47.71, +3.2% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$47.71consensus 12-month target, +3.2% from the last close
Low $41High $49
Buy1
Hold10
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3Goldman SachsSell, maintained$45−2.7%
Nov 2BTIGHold, maintained——
Nov 2BMO CapitalHold, maintained$47+1.6%
Oct 26Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained$48+3.8%
Oct 22HSBCHold, initiated$44−4.8%
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Exelon seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Exelon averaged +0.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.5%2021+12.3%2022−3.8%2023+0.4%2024−4.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.4%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.5%1 of 5

For scale, EXC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.9%.

Exelon market cap and key statistics

Exelon’s market cap is $47.73B, with a P/E ratio of 18.1 and revenue of $25.94B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$47.73B
P/E ratio
18.1
Forward P/E
15.1
EPS, TTM
$2.56
Gekko Fair Value
$36.79

Trading

Volume
12.56M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.78M
52-week high
$50.65
52-week low
$39.73
Shares outstanding
1.03B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$25.94B
Profit margin
10.2%
Return on equity
9.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−18.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.34
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
Dividend yield
3.60%

Exelon peers

Exelon’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy+1.1%Distribution15.3% below
SOSouthern+0.9%Neutral21.9% above
DUKDuke Energy+1.7%Neutral24.2% above
CEGConstellation Energy−1.2%Accumulation1.1% below
AEPAmerican Electric Power+0.9%Neutral9.3% above
DDominion Energy+0.7%Distribution5.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Electric utilities

Exelon stock FAQ

What is Exelon’s market cap?

Exelon’s market cap is $47.73B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $46.24, with 1.03B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.1.

What is the Exelon stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Exelon is $47.71, +3.2% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Exelon stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Exelon is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $46.24 is 25.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $36.79. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Exelon report earnings next?

Exelon is expected to report on Feb 11, 2027 (98 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.73 per share on revenue of $5.36B. Exelon beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.4% on average across the report.

What is Exelon’s 52-week high and low?

Exelon’s 52-week high is $50.65 and its 52-week low is $39.73; it closed at $46.24 on Nov 4, 2026, +0.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $50.71 on Apr 21, 2022.

Is Exelon stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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