Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for XEL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every XEL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XEL in Gekko
NASDAQ: XEL
Xcel Energy (XEL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$72.30−1.33 (−1.8%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryXcel Energy closes at $72.30, down 1.8%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $77.62 and its 200-day average of $78.36, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 71.3, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while price trades 3.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $70.01.
This week's coverage centers on valuation and ownership shifts alongside project news. Morgan Stanley cut its price target to $83 from $89 while keeping an Equalweight rating, and a separate DCF analysis put estimated worth at $51, even as a dividend discount model described the roughly $74 share price as broadly in line with intrinsic value. Institutional activity was mixed, with Corient Private Wealth LP raising its stake by 38.2% and Bank of America holding a $2.40 billion position, while Integrated Wealth Concepts LLC cut its stake by 45.7%. Separately, Xcel Energy proposed new generation projects in Texas and New Mexico totaling 3,928 megawatts targeted for 2030, and the company paid a $0.59 per share dividend with an ex-dividend date of 15 September.
Xcel Energy's next earnings report is set for 29 October, 39 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the last quarter produced EPS of $0.93 against a $0.79 estimate with a -0.7% reaction. Over the last 30 days, one unusual options signal appeared, with call premium of $786,170 against put premium of $413,875. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.6% over 5 years, higher in 3 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to Gekko Fair Value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $72.30200-day averageGekko Fair Value $70.01
Key stats
- Market cap
- $45.16B
- P/E ratio
- 19.9
- Forward P/E
- 16.5
- EPS, TTM
- $3.70
- Revenue, TTM
- $14.62B
- Profit margin
- 15.3%
- Dividend yield
- 3.20%
- Beta
- 0.40
- Volume
- 8.94M avg 5.72M
- 1-year return
- +0.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.5%
- 50-day average
- $77.62
- 200-day average
- $78.36
- Next earnings
- Oct 29
- Shares outstanding
- 624.6M
Xcel Energy swing-trade checklist
Xcel Energy scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $72.30 is below the 50-day ($77.62) and 200-day ($78.36) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
71.3, Buying
Reading 71.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.3% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.3% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 39 days
Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
−0.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Xcel Energy stock chart and price history
Xcel Energy closed at $72.30 on Sep 18, 2026, +0.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $71.35 to $84.23.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −9.0%
- 3 months
- −6.6%
- 6 months
- −9.1%
- 1 year
- +0.3%
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About Xcel Energy
Xcel Energy handles the full path of electricity, generating and buying power, moving it across transmission lines, and delivering it to homes and businesses. It draws on a mix of sources for generation, including coal, nuclear, natural gas and oil alongside renewables such as hydro, solar, biomass, wood and refuse, and wind. Alongside electricity, it also acquires, transports, stores and sells natural gas, and moves gas owned by its customers through its pipeline network.
The company runs its work through three divisions: a regulated electric utility, a regulated natural gas utility, and a broader segment covering other activities, which includes rental housing investments and sourcing equipment for new renewable power projects. It also builds and leases natural gas infrastructure such as pipelines, storage sites and compression stations. Its customers span residential, commercial and industrial users across parts of Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas and Wisconsin, with roughly 3.7 million electric customers and about 2.1 million natural gas customers.
Xcel Energy was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker XEL.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Utilities
- Industry
- Electric utilities
- Website
- my.xcelenergy.com
Xcel Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Xcel Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.3, in the Buying zone, up 5.7 points over five sessions.
71.3Buying
Up 5.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 26 | +0.9% | +2.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 184 | +0.8% | +1.7% | ||
| Neutral | 422 | 0.0% | +0.7% | ||
| Distribution | 29 | −0.2% | −1.0% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average XEL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the XEL price, zone by zone.Track XEL in Gekko
Is Xcel Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Xcel Energy trades 3.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $70.01, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Xcel Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$70.01
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
3.3% above fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open XEL in Gekko
Xcel Energy insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Xcel Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in XEL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for XEL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XEL in Gekko
Buybacks
Xcel Energy has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2018
- $1.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 66% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 16, $1.20M in unusual premium.
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium.Unlock in Gekko
Xcel Energy earnings: next date and track record
Xcel Energy reports on Oct 29, 2026 (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
39 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.35
- Revenue estimate
- $4.24B
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Xcel Energy reported solid Q2 2026 results driven by higher electric revenues, AFUDC, and lower depreciation, delivering EPS of $0.93 versus $0.75 a year ago. Management highlighted heavy capital deployment ($3B in the quarter, $6B YTD) across generation, transmission and distribution, commercial operation of additional Colorado Power Pathway Group 2, Sherco solar Phase 3 added 710 MW, and significant wins in SPS RFPs representing ~2,600 MW and ~$6B of investment. The company emphasized line-of-sight incremental investment of $10+ billion (beyond a prior $7B base) largely from generation development and potential data-center-driven load growth (~1 GW expected this year, 3 GW next year). Management reaffirmed 2026 ongoing EPS guidance of $4.04–$4.16, reiterated long-term EPS growth targets (6%–8+% and commentary of 9+% to 2030 in prior framing), and reiterated commitment to a balanced financing plan (about 40% equity long-term; ~85% of 5-year equity need already addressed). Management discussed regulatory progress, settlements, large-load tariffs, wildfire mitigation actions in Colorado, and project timelines (some transmission may extend into early 2030s).
- Guidance
- Reaffirmed 2026 ongoing EPS guidance of $4.04 to $4.16. Long-term EPS growth target reiterated at 6% to 8+% (company also referenced 9+% through 2030 in context). Weather-adjusted electric sales expected to increase ~3% for 2026. Line of sight to $10+ billion of incremental investment beyond base plan; company targets capturing PTC-eligible renewables by end of 2030.
- Risks flagged
- Wildfire exposure and related PSPS/EPSS activity in Colorado; weather volatility (noted negative weather impact in Q1); regulatory approval and timing risk for RFPs, rate cases and large projects (e.g., Google project and interconnection approvals); interest rate environment and higher interest expense; financing/ equity issuance dilution; project timing risk (some capex may move into early 2030s); supply chain/ execution risks for large transmission and generation builds.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.93 est $0.79 | $3.12B est $3.54B | −0.7% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.91 est $0.91 | $4.02B est $4.21B | +4.8% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.96 est $0.96 | $3.56B est $3.63B | −0.4% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $1.24 est $1.32 | $3.92B est $3.89B | +1.9% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.75 est $0.65 | $3.29B est $3.21B | +1.5% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $0.84 est $0.92 | $3.91B est $3.93B | −3.6% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $0.81 est $0.88 | $3.12B est $3.77B | −2.0% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $1.25 est $1.26 | $3.64B est $3.93B | +5.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Xcel Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Xcel Energy is $91.76, +26.9% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$91.76consensus 12-month target, +26.9% from the last close
Now $72.30Avg $91.76
Low $83High $99
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Morgan Stanley | $83 | +14.8% |
| Aug 21 | Morgan Stanley | $89 | +23.1% |
| Aug 19 | J.P. Morgan | $97 | +34.2% |
| Aug 17 | Truist Financial | $88 | +21.7% |
| Aug 12 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Xcel Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Xcel Energy averaged −0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.4% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.2% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, XEL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.
Xcel Energy market cap and key statistics
Xcel Energy’s market cap is $45.16B, with a P/E ratio of 19.9 and revenue of $14.62B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $45.16B
- P/E ratio
- 19.9
- Forward P/E
- 16.5
- EPS, TTM
- $3.70
- Gekko Fair Value
- $70.01
Trading
- Volume
- 8.94M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 5.72M
- 52-week high
- $84.23
- 52-week low
- $71.35
- Shares outstanding
- 624.6M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $14.62B
- Profit margin
- 15.3%
- Return on equity
- 9.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +24.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.40
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.5%
- Dividend yield
- 3.20%
Xcel Energy stock news this week
Coverage of Xcel Energy this week reads positive: 10 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Morgan Stanley Adjusts Xcel Energy PT to $83 From $89, Maintains Equalweight RatingMoomoo, Sep 18
- Xcel Energy Inc. $XEL Shares Purchased by Corient Private Wealth LPMarketBeat, Sep 17
- Is XEL Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $51GuruFocus, Sep 17
- Integrated Wealth Concepts LLC Sells 20,005 Shares of Xcel Energy Inc. $XELMarketBeat, Sep 16
- Xcel Energy (XEL) Stock Looks Fully Priced As Dividend Growth HoldsYahoo Finance UK, Sep 15
- New power generation projects proposed in Texas, New Mexico by Xcel EnergyDaily Energy Insider, Sep 15
Xcel Energy peers
Xcel Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| NEENextEra Energy | Buying | 23.4% below |
| SOSouthern | Buying | 8.1% above |
| DUKDuke Energy | Accumulation | 14.0% above |
| CEGConstellation Energy | Accumulation | 2.8% below |
| AEPAmerican Electric Power | Buying | 3.7% above |
| DDominion Energy | Accumulation | 8.5% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Xcel Energy stock FAQ
What is Xcel Energy’s market cap?
Xcel Energy’s market cap is $45.16B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $72.30, with 624.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.9.
What is the Xcel Energy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Xcel Energy is $91.76, +26.9% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Xcel Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Xcel Energy is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $72.30 is 3.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $70.01. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Xcel Energy report earnings next?
Xcel Energy is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.35 per share on revenue of $4.24B. Xcel Energy beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.
What is Xcel Energy’s 52-week high and low?
Xcel Energy’s 52-week high is $84.23 and its 52-week low is $71.35; it closed at $72.30 on Sep 18, 2026, +0.3% over the past year.
Is Xcel Energy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Xcel Energy?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Xcel Energy over the last 30 days, with $786K of flagged premium in calls and $414K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 16, 2026 with $1.20M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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