NASDAQ: XEL

Xcel Energy (XEL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$80.50+1.74 (+2.2%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Xcel Energy closed at $80.50 on 4 November 2026, +2.2% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($74.83) and 200-day ($78.31) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $68.72 to $84.23. The GekkoIndex reads 46.3, in the Neutral zone, down 2.9 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $68.10, so the price is 18.2% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 4 February 2027, 91 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 2 times, with an average move of 2.6% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +2.6% over the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

13 firms rate the stock: 12 buy, 1 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $89.67. A typical daily move is about 2%, and a typical 20-day move about 3.5%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (fair value).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Xcel Energy price vs fair value

$80.50$68.10Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $80.50200-day averageGekko Fair Value $68.10

Xcel Energy quick facts

Market cap
$51.67B
P/E ratio
21.7
Forward P/E
18.1
EPS, TTM
$3.65
Revenue, TTM
$14.87B
Profit margin
17.9%
Dividend yield
2.91%
Beta
0.35
Volume
11.90M avg 6.52M
1-year return
−0.9%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
50-day average
$74.83
200-day average
$78.31
Next earnings
Feb 4
Shares outstanding
641.9M
52-week range
$68.72$84.23

Xcel Energy swing-trade checklist

Xcel Energy scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $80.50 sits between the 50-day ($74.83) and 200-day ($78.31) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    46.3, Neutral

    Reading 46.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    18.2% above

    Price is 18.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 91 days

    Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Xcel Energy stock chart and price history

Xcel Energy closed at $80.50 on Nov 4, 2026, −0.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $68.72 to $84.23.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Xcel Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$70$75DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct80.50

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+10.7%
3 months
+4.6%
6 months
−0.1%
1 year
−0.9%
The full XEL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open XEL in Gekko

Follow Xcel Energy through every session

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About Xcel Energy

Xcel Energy handles the full path of electricity, generating and buying power, moving it across transmission lines, and delivering it to homes and businesses. It draws on a mix of sources for generation, including coal, nuclear, natural gas and oil alongside renewables such as hydro, solar, biomass, wood and refuse, and wind. Alongside electricity, it also acquires, transports, stores and sells natural gas, and moves gas owned by its customers through its pipeline network.

The company runs its work through three divisions: a regulated electric utility, a regulated natural gas utility, and a broader segment covering other activities, which includes rental housing investments and sourcing equipment for new renewable power projects. It also builds and leases natural gas infrastructure such as pipelines, storage sites and compression stations. Its customers span residential, commercial and industrial users across parts of Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas and Wisconsin, with roughly 3.7 million electric customers and about 2.1 million natural gas customers.

Xcel Energy was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker XEL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
my.xcelenergy.com

Xcel Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Xcel Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.3, in the Neutral zone, down 2.9 points over five sessions.

010046.3Neutral

Down 2.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+0.4%+1.0%+3.6%+4.2%
Accumulation197+0.7%+0.7%+1.2%+4.3%
Neutral (current zone)434+0.1%+0.4%+0.6%+1.9%
Distribution29−0.2%−0.1%−1.0%−1.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average XEL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the XEL price, zone by zone.Track XEL in Gekko

Is Xcel Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Xcel Energy trades 18.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $68.10, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Xcel Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$68.10

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

18.2% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 18.5% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$68$79Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open XEL in Gekko

Xcel Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Xcel Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for XEL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every XEL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XEL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in XEL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for XEL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XEL in Gekko

Buybacks

Xcel Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2018
$1.00M
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Xcel Energy earnings: next date and track record

Xcel Energy reports on Feb 4, 2027 (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.8%Oct ’24−2.0%Feb ’25−3.6%Apr ’25+1.5%Jul ’25+1.9%Oct ’25−0.4%Feb ’26+4.8%Apr ’26−0.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Xcel Energy reported solid Q2 2026 results driven by higher electric revenues, AFUDC, and lower depreciation, delivering EPS of $0.93 versus $0.75 a year ago. Management highlighted heavy capital deployment ($3B in the quarter, $6B YTD) across generation, transmission and distribution, commercial operation of additional Colorado Power Pathway Group 2, Sherco solar Phase 3 added 710 MW, and significant wins in SPS RFPs representing ~2,600 MW and ~$6B of investment. The company emphasized line-of-sight incremental investment of $10+ billion (beyond a prior $7B base) largely from generation development and potential data-center-driven load growth (~1 GW expected this year, 3 GW next year). Management reaffirmed 2026 ongoing EPS guidance of $4.04–$4.16, reiterated long-term EPS growth targets (6%–8+% and commentary of 9+% to 2030 in prior framing), and reiterated commitment to a balanced financing plan (about 40% equity long-term; ~85% of 5-year equity need already addressed). Management discussed regulatory progress, settlements, large-load tariffs, wildfire mitigation actions in Colorado, and project timelines (some transmission may extend into early 2030s).
Guidance
Reaffirmed 2026 ongoing EPS guidance of $4.04 to $4.16. Long-term EPS growth target reiterated at 6% to 8+% (company also referenced 9+% through 2030 in context). Weather-adjusted electric sales expected to increase ~3% for 2026. Line of sight to $10+ billion of incremental investment beyond base plan; company targets capturing PTC-eligible renewables by end of 2030.
Risks flagged
Wildfire exposure and related PSPS/EPSS activity in Colorado; weather volatility (noted negative weather impact in Q1); regulatory approval and timing risk for RFPs, rate cases and large projects (e.g., Google project and interconnection approvals); interest rate environment and higher interest expense; financing/ equity issuance dilution; project timing risk (some capex may move into early 2030s); supply chain/ execution risks for large transmission and generation builds.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.93
est $0.79
+17.7%$3.12B
est $3.54B
−12.0%−0.7%
Apr 30, 2026$0.91
est $0.91
0.0%$4.02B
est $4.21B
−4.5%+4.8%
Feb 5, 2026$0.96
est $0.96
−0.2%$3.56B
est $3.63B
−1.8%−0.4%
Oct 30, 2025$1.24
est $1.32
−6.1%$3.92B
est $3.89B
+0.6%+1.9%
Jul 31, 2025$0.75
est $0.65
+16.3%$3.29B
est $3.21B
+2.4%+1.5%
Apr 24, 2025$0.84
est $0.92
−8.8%$3.91B
est $3.93B
−0.7%−3.6%
Feb 6, 2025$0.81
est $0.88
−8.0%$3.12B
est $3.77B
−17.3%−2.0%
Oct 31, 2024$1.25
est $1.26
−0.8%$3.64B
est $3.93B
−7.2%+5.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Xcel Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Xcel Energy is $89.67, +11.4% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$89.67consensus 12-month target, +11.4% from the last close
Low $77High $97
Buy12
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2BMO CapitalBuy, reiterated$90+11.8%
Nov 2BarclaysBuy, maintained$94+16.8%
Oct 30BarclaysBuy, maintained$94+16.8%
Oct 30BTIGBuy, reiterated$92+14.3%
Oct 30Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$86+6.8%
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Xcel Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Xcel Energy averaged +2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.3%2021+4.8%2022+0.8%2023+7.9%2024−3.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.9%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.5%4 of 5

For scale, XEL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.

Xcel Energy market cap and key statistics

Xcel Energy’s market cap is $51.67B, with a P/E ratio of 21.7 and revenue of $14.87B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$51.67B
P/E ratio
21.7
Forward P/E
18.1
EPS, TTM
$3.65
Gekko Fair Value
$68.10

Trading

Volume
11.90M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.52M
52-week high
$84.23
52-week low
$68.72
Shares outstanding
641.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$14.87B
Profit margin
17.9%
Return on equity
11.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+72.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.35
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
Dividend yield
2.91%

Xcel Energy stock news this week

Coverage of Xcel Energy this week reads positive: 11 positive, 10 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Xcel Energy peers

Xcel Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy+1.1%Distribution15.3% below
SOSouthern+0.9%Neutral21.9% above
DUKDuke Energy+1.7%Neutral24.2% above
CEGConstellation Energy−1.2%Accumulation1.1% below
AEPAmerican Electric Power+0.9%Neutral9.3% above
DDominion Energy+0.7%Distribution5.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Electric utilities

Xcel Energy stock FAQ

What is Xcel Energy’s market cap?

Xcel Energy’s market cap is $51.67B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $80.50, with 641.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.7.

What is the Xcel Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Xcel Energy is $89.67, +11.4% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Xcel Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Xcel Energy is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $80.50 is 18.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $68.10. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Xcel Energy report earnings next?

Xcel Energy is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027 (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.86 per share on revenue of $4.10B. Xcel Energy beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.

What is Xcel Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Xcel Energy’s 52-week high is $84.23 and its 52-week low is $68.72; it closed at $80.50 on Nov 4, 2026, −0.9% over the past year.

Is Xcel Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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