NASDAQ: PANW

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Technology services sector, packaged software industry. Market cap $296.3B.

$363.58−11.48 (−3.1%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:14 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Palo Alto Networks closes at $363.58, down 3.1%, but remains above both its 50-day average of $352.78 and its 200-day average of $240.58, with the shorter average also above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 55, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 8 points over the last five readings. Price sits 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $333.76.

Cybersecurity names including CrowdStrike and Okta posted strong weekly gains alongside PANW after AI-related warnings from industry leaders shifted investor attention toward infrastructure protection, though shares slid on Friday. Separately, Bernstein analyst Peter Weed removed his buy rating, moving to Market Perform while raising his price target to $351 from $253. PANW's SASE bookings are described as surging 40% in fiscal 2026 amid platform consolidation, and Gonen Fink, who built the company's Cortex and Israeli operations, is departing after a decade.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date is 18 November 2026, after the close, 59 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 1 September showed an EPS beat but a -14% reaction, with six beats in the last eight quarters and an average absolute reaction of 6.3%. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sales; over the last 30 days there was 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $5.6 million versus put premium of $332,814. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +4.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $363.58200-day averageGekko Fair Value $333.76

Key stats

Market cap
$296.3B
P/E ratio
886.8
Forward P/E
90.1
EPS, TTM
$0.41
Revenue, TTM
$11.48B
Profit margin
2.7%
Dividend yield
Beta
0.91
Volume
13.37M avg 6.81M
1-year return
+79.0%
Typical daily move
±5.3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.1%
50-day average
$352.78
200-day average
$240.58
Next earnings
Nov 18 after close
Shares outstanding
818.0M
52-week range
$139.57$398.88

Palo Alto Networks swing-trade checklist

Palo Alto Networks scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $363.58 is above the 50-day ($352.78) and 200-day ($240.58) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55, Neutral

    Reading 55 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    8.9% above

    Price is 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 59 days

    Next report Nov 18, 2026, 59 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Palo Alto Networks stock chart and price history

Palo Alto Networks closed at $363.58 on Sep 18, 2026, +79.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $139.57 to $398.88.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.1%
3 months
+26.3%
6 months
+114.2%
1 year
+79.0%
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About Palo Alto Networks

Palo Alto Networks develops cybersecurity technology built around firewalls, offered both as physical devices and as software. A management platform called Panorama lets customers oversee these firewalls from a single point, regardless of whether they sit on hardware, run as virtual instances, or operate in cloud settings. The company also sells add-ons that boost the processing capacity of its physical firewall units, and it backs its core lineup with numerous subscription services covering threat detection, malware defense, web filtering, and protection for computers and mobile devices, along with more targeted options like DNS and IoT protection, SaaS safeguards, threat data feeds, and tools to prevent data leaks.

Its offerings extend into services such as cloud protection, secure access setups, analytics-driven security automation, and consulting tied to threat intelligence, plus help with system design, rollout, configuration, and firewall transitions, alongside training and support programs. Sales run through its own teams and a broad set of partners, reaching mid-size and large businesses, service providers, and government agencies across fields like education, energy, banking, healthcare, media, manufacturing, government, and telecom.

The company traces back to 2005 and operates out of Santa Clara, California. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker PANW.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
paloaltonetworks.com

Palo Alto Networks GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Palo Alto Networks’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55, in the Neutral zone, down 8 points over five sessions.

010055Neutral

Down 8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying44+2.5%+2.9%+7.1%+11.9%
Accumulation170+0.2%+1.1%+1.9%+9.2%
Neutral (current zone)391+1.0%+1.5%+3.3%+8.7%
Distribution52−1.0%+0.3%+0.3%+6.7%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average PANW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PANW price, zone by zone.Track PANW in Gekko

Is Palo Alto Networks stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Palo Alto Networks trades 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $333.76, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Palo Alto Networks shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$333.76

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

8.9% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PANW in Gekko

Palo Alto Networks insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Palo Alto Networks, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PANW in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PANW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PANW in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Josh S. Gottheimer
House, NJ, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 11
traded Jul 16
Josh S. Gottheimer
House, NJ, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 11
traded Jul 15

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Palo Alto Networks has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$1.00B, Mar 11, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Apr 30, 2026
$1.00B
As a share of market cap
0.34%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 94% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 4, $5.91M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold PANW.

1added1opened1trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Palo Alto Networks earnings: next date and track record

Palo Alto Networks reports on Nov 18, 2026, after the close (59 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.5%Nov ’24+1.7%Feb ’25−6.7%May ’25+2.5%Aug ’25−7.9%Nov ’25−8.7%Feb ’26−6.7%Jun ’26−14.0%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 1, 2026 AI summary

What they said
PANW reported record Q4 FY26 results, exceeding guidance across all metrics. RPO surpassed $20B threshold reaching $21.2B (up 34%), while NGS ARR hit $9.1B (up 63%), adding nearly $1B in net new NGS ARR in Q4 alone. Prisma AIRS surpassed $100M ARR within 4 quarters, the fastest-scaling product in company history. Acquisitions of CyberArk and Chronosphere are exceeding initial expectations. Platformization accelerated with ~22 net new wins in Q4, with platformized cohort NRR exceeding 120%.
Guidance
Management targets over 4,000 platformizations by fiscal 2030 and a $20B NGS ARR long-term goal. Bookings momentum accelerated for the second consecutive quarter, signaling continued growth trajectory into FY27.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 1, 2026$0.53
est $0.51
+3.9%$3.41B
est $3.35B
+1.7%−14.0%
Jun 2, 2026$0.32
est $0.43
−25.6%$3.00B
est $2.94B
+2.0%−6.7%
Feb 17, 2026$1.03
est $0.94
+9.7%$2.59B
est $2.58B
+0.4%−8.7%
Nov 19, 2025$0.93
est $0.89
+4.4%$2.47B
est $2.46B
+0.5%−7.9%
Aug 18, 2025$0.95
est $0.89
+7.3%$2.54B
est $2.50B
+1.4%+2.5%
May 20, 2025$0.80
est $0.77
+3.6%$2.29B
est $2.28B
+0.4%−6.7%
Feb 13, 2025$0.81
est $0.78
+4.0%$2.26B
est $2.24B
+0.7%+1.7%
Nov 20, 2024$0.78
est $1.48
−47.3%$2.14B
est $2.12B
+0.9%+2.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Palo Alto Networks stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Palo Alto Networks is $395.38, +8.7% from the last close, from 41 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$395.38consensus 12-month target, +8.7% from the last close
Low $300High $475
Buy33
Hold8
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 41 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17BernsteinHold, downgraded$351−3.5%
Sep 10WedbushBuy, initiated$400+10.0%
Sep 7Phillip SecuritiesHold, downgraded$346−4.8%
Sep 3CitiBuy, maintained$410+12.8%
Sep 3Wells FargoBuy, maintained$475+30.6%
+3.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Palo Alto Networks seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Palo Alto Networks averaged +4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+8.6%2021−9.6%2022+10.8%2023+12.8%2024−0.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.6%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.2%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.5%4 of 5

For scale, PANW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.1%.

Palo Alto Networks market cap and key statistics

Palo Alto Networks’s market cap is $296.3B, with a P/E ratio of 886.8 and revenue of $11.48B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$296.3B
P/E ratio
886.8
Forward P/E
90.1
EPS, TTM
$0.41
Gekko Fair Value
$333.76

Trading

Volume
13.37M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.81M
52-week high
$398.88
52-week low
$139.57
Shares outstanding
818.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$11.48B
Profit margin
2.7%
Return on equity
1.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+60.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.91
Typical daily move
±5.3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.1%

Palo Alto Networks peers

Palo Alto Networks’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft−0.8%Neutral13.4% above
ORCLOracle−1.9%Neutral17.7% below
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.3%Neutral11.3% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−3.8%Neutral19.0% above
CRMSalesforce−2.6%Neutral1.3% below
NOWServiceNow−3.0%Neutral9.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Palo Alto Networks stock FAQ

What is Palo Alto Networks’s market cap?

Palo Alto Networks’s market cap is $296.3B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $363.58, with 818.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 886.8.

What is the Palo Alto Networks stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Palo Alto Networks is $395.38, +8.7% from the last close. Of the 41 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 33 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Palo Alto Networks stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Palo Alto Networks is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $363.58 is 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $333.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Palo Alto Networks report earnings next?

Palo Alto Networks is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026, after the market closes (59 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.97 per share on revenue of $3.31B. Palo Alto Networks beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is Palo Alto Networks’s 52-week high and low?

Palo Alto Networks’s 52-week high is $398.88 and its 52-week low is $139.57; it closed at $363.58 on Sep 18, 2026, +79.0% over the past year.

Is Palo Alto Networks stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Palo Alto Networks?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Palo Alto Networks over the last 30 days, with $5.57M of flagged premium in calls and $333K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 4, 2026 with $5.91M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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