NASDAQ: VRNS

Varonis Systems (VRNS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$47.93+1.68 (+3.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Varonis Systems this week saw a law firm, Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman, LLC, announce an investigation into potential corporate wrongdoing by officers and directors, alongside recognition from Gartner as a Pace Setter in its Emerging Market Quadrant for AI Application Security among established vendors. The stock also drew continued attention around its stock price and recent performance metrics amid these developments.

Varonis closed at $47.93, up 3.6%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $44.53 and 200-day average of $33.72, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 52.5, placing it in the Neutral zone, and the price sits 1.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $47.25. Over the past year the stock has returned -18.2%, though six-month returns stand at 126%.

Varonis next reports earnings on 27 October 2026, after the close, 28 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 28 July 2026 saw an EPS beat with a -12.9% reaction, part of a track record of 7 beats in 8 quarters with an average absolute reaction of 14%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 3% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in all 5. Analyst consensus among 21 firms stands at 15 buy and 6 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $51.32.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Varonis Systems price vs fair value

$47.93$47.25Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $47.93200-day averageGekko Fair Value $47.25

Varonis Systems quick facts

Market cap
$5.50B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
140.9
EPS, TTM
−$1.21
Revenue, TTM
$688.1M
Profit margin
-20.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.82
Volume
1.75M avg 2.05M
1-year return
−18.2%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%
50-day average
$44.53
200-day average
$33.72
Next earnings
Oct 27 after close
Shares outstanding
114.9M
52-week range
$19.70$63.90

Varonis Systems swing-trade checklist

Varonis Systems scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $47.93 is above the 50-day ($44.53) and 200-day ($33.72) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52.5, Neutral

    Reading 52.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.4% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.4% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Varonis Systems stock chart and price history

Varonis Systems closed at $47.93 on Sep 28, 2026, −18.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.70 to $63.90.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Varonis Systems share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$30$40$60NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep47.93

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+7.0%
3 months
+19.2%
6 months
+126.0%
1 year
−18.2%
The full VRNS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VRNS in Gekko

Follow Varonis Systems through every session

Put VRNS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Varonis Systems

Varonis Systems builds software that helps large organizations monitor, analyze, and secure their sensitive digital information, whether stored on company servers or in the cloud. It serves organizations across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and other regions, protecting materials such as private files, customer and employee records, financial data, and strategic business documents. The company is recognized for tools that track data access, flag unusual user behavior, classify information, and manage who can reach specific files, along with capabilities for migrating data and searching across an organization's systems.

Varonis reaches its customers through a network of authorized distributors and resellers rather than direct sales alone. Its typical clients include IT staff, security teams, and business executives who rely on its products to oversee data access and respond to potential threats.

The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker VRNS.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
varonis.com

Varonis Systems GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Varonis Systems’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.5, in the Neutral zone, up 4 points over five sessions.

010052.5Neutral

Up 4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying44+2.1%−0.5%+0.9%+1.1%
Accumulation232−0.2%−0.3%−0.2%+1.8%
Neutral (current zone)334+0.4%+0.9%+1.4%+1.5%
Distribution60+0.7%+3.4%+5.1%+14.8%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average VRNS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VRNS price, zone by zone.Track VRNS in Gekko

Is Varonis Systems stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Varonis Systems trades 1.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $47.25, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Varonis Systems shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$47.25

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

1.4% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VRNS in Gekko

Varonis Systems insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Varonis Systems, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VRNS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VRNS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VRNS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VRNS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VRNS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VRNS in Gekko

Buybacks

Varonis Systems has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$3.00M
As a share of market cap
0.05%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds VRNS.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Varonis Systems earnings: next date and track record

Varonis Systems reports on Oct 27, 2026, after the close (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±14%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.5%Oct ’24−5.5%Feb ’25+3.3%May ’25+5.0%Jul ’25−48.4%Oct ’25−19.1%Feb ’26+8.9%Apr ’26−12.9%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Varonis reported Q2 2026 SaaS ARR of $726M total, with new logo SaaS ARR growing over 20% YoY. Excluding conversions, SaaS ARR grew 25% YoY to $598.1M. Some large deals slipped in the final week due to market rumors but have since closed in July. Growth drivers include AI data security demand, newer products like Atlas Interceptor and database activity monitoring.
Guidance
Management raised full year SaaS ARR guidance above the Q2 beat, citing strong Q3 start with recovered slipped deals. Pipeline momentum is building driven by AI security tailwinds and expanded product offerings.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$0.04
est $0.01
+409.6%$180.0M
est $176.8M
+1.8%−12.9%
Apr 28, 2026$0.06
est −$0.05
+220.0%$173.1M
est $165.5M
+4.6%+8.9%
Feb 3, 2026$0.08
est $0.03
+166.7%$173.4M
est $168.5M
+2.9%−19.1%
Oct 28, 2025$0.06
est $0.05
+10.7%$161.6M
est $166.5M
−2.9%−48.4%
Jul 29, 2025$0.03
est $0.01
+200.0%$152.2M
est $163.6M
−7.0%+5.0%
May 6, 2025−$0.31
est −$0.05
−520.0%$136.4M
est $147.8M
−7.7%+3.3%
Feb 4, 2025$0.18
est $0.14
+28.6%$158.5M
est $132.9M
+19.3%−5.5%
Oct 29, 2024$0.10
est $0.07
+42.9%$148.1M
est $165.0M
−10.2%−8.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Varonis Systems stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Varonis Systems is $51.32, +7.1% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$51.32consensus 12-month target, +7.1% from the last close
Low $43High $60
Buy15
Hold6
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$55+14.8%
Sep 10WedbushHold, downgraded$46−4.0%
Sep 9NeedhamBuy, reiterated$55+14.8%
Sep 4D.A. DavidsonBuy, reiterated$55+14.8%
Sep 3D.A. DavidsonBuy, reiterated$55+14.8%
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Varonis Systems seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Varonis Systems averaged +3.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.8%2021+0.4%2022+3.2%2023+1.6%2024+5.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.0%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.5%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.0%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days−11.7%1 of 5

For scale, VRNS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.2%.

Varonis Systems market cap and key statistics

Varonis Systems’s market cap is $5.50B and revenue of $688.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.50B
Forward P/E
140.9
EPS, TTM
−$1.21
Gekko Fair Value
$47.25

Trading

Volume
1.75M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.05M
52-week high
$63.90
52-week low
$19.70
Shares outstanding
114.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$688.1M
Profit margin
-20.5%
Return on equity
-36%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.82
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%

Varonis Systems peers

Varonis Systems’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Varonis Systems stock FAQ

What is Varonis Systems’s market cap?

Varonis Systems’s market cap is $5.50B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $47.93, with 114.9M shares outstanding.

What is the Varonis Systems stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Varonis Systems is $51.32, +7.1% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Varonis Systems stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Varonis Systems is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $47.93 is 1.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $47.25. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Varonis Systems report earnings next?

Varonis Systems is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, after the market closes (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.03 per share on revenue of $186.8M. Varonis Systems beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 14% on average across the report.

What is Varonis Systems’s 52-week high and low?

Varonis Systems’s 52-week high is $63.90 and its 52-week low is $19.70; it closed at $47.93 on Sep 28, 2026, −18.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $67.76 on Oct 26, 2021.

Is Varonis Systems stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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