Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ALRM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ALRM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALRM in Gekko
NASDAQ: ALRM
Alarm.com (ALRM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$55.93+0.28 (+0.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeAlarm.com's week centers on quarterly results and product expansion. The company reported Q2 2026 SaaS and license revenue up 11% year-over-year to $188.8 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $57.7 million, alongside growth in its Energy Hub utility programs and commercial platform, including a new fire communicator. Separately, Alarm.com released the 781B Battery Video Doorbell, extending intelligent video protection to entryways without existing wiring. The company also appeared in a broader industry outlook piece alongside Allegion, ADT and Ituran Location and Control.
Shares closed at $55.93, up 0.5%, sitting above both the 50-day average of $55.62 and the 200-day average of $49.39, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 56, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price stands 37.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.90.
Looking ahead, Alarm.com's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 November 2026, after close, which falls within a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the past eight quarters the company has beaten EPS estimates each time, with its last reaction of 0.8% following a beat. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 0.5% return, with gains in 2 of those years.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Alarm.com price vs fair value
Close $55.93200-day averageGekko Fair Value $89.90
Alarm.com quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.77B
- P/E ratio
- 24.5
- Forward P/E
- 26.3
- EPS, TTM
- $2.26
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.06B
- Profit margin
- 11.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.76
- Volume
- 261,122 avg 428,388
- 1-year return
- +7.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.6%
- 50-day average
- $55.62
- 200-day average
- $49.39
- Next earnings
- Nov 5 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 49.09M
Alarm.com swing-trade checklist
Alarm.com scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $55.93 is above the 50-day ($55.62) and 200-day ($49.39) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
56, Neutral
Reading 56 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
37.8% below
Price is 37.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 24 days
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+0.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Alarm.com stock chart and price history
Alarm.com closed at $55.93 on Oct 12, 2026, +7.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $41.49 to $58.15.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +1.0%
- 3 months
- +7.1%
- 6 months
- +28.8%
- 1 year
- +7.1%
The full ALRM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ALRM in Gekko
Follow Alarm.com through every session
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About Alarm.com
Alarm.com builds cloud-connected technology that helps homeowners and businesses keep watch over their properties. Customers use its platform to run security setups and smart devices together, including door locks, motion detectors, garage openers, thermostats and cameras. The company is widely recognized for its video monitoring features, such as live feeds, recorded footage, automatic alerts and round-the-clock recording, as well as tools that manage home automation and energy use through scheduling, climate adjustments and consumption tracking.
Internally, the company splits its business into two segments, Alarm.com and Other. Commercial customers can tap into offerings built for surveillance, cutting energy costs, protecting assets, tracking temperature, overseeing multiple locations and controlling access. Alarm.com additionally supports service providers through a dedicated online platform covering account handling, sales, marketing, training and support, and it runs its own sales, marketing and training efforts, including initiatives aimed at home builders. Its customers range from everyday homeowners to a variety of commercial organizations.
Alarm.com traces its founding to 2000 and runs its headquarters out of Tysons, Virginia. The company trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker ALRM.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Packaged software
- Website
- alarm.com
Alarm.com GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Alarm.com’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56, in the Neutral zone, up 3.2 points over five sessions.
56Neutral
Up 3.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 39 | +1.0% | +3.8% | ||
| Accumulation | 294 | −0.1% | +0.9% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 315 | −0.1% | −1.9% | ||
| Distribution | 31 | +0.6% | +4.0% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ALRM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ALRM price, zone by zone.Track ALRM in Gekko
Is Alarm.com stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Alarm.com trades 37.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.90, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Alarm.com shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$89.90
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
37.8% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.3% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ALRM in Gekko
Alarm.com insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Alarm.com, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ALRM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ALRM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALRM in Gekko
Buybacks
Alarm.com has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $45.02M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.63%
- Trailing four quarters
- $96.41M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ALRM.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Alarm.com earnings: next date and track record
Alarm.com reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Expected after the close, 24 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.74
- Revenue estimate
- $265.8M
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Alarm.com reported Q4 2025 SaaS and license revenue of $180 million, up 8.8% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA of $55 million. The company achieved a major milestone of over $1 billion in annual total revenue. Their business model differs from traditional SaaS companies as revenue is driven by connected IoT devices rather than seat-based pricing, with devices typically remaining in service for nearly a decade.
- Guidance
- No specific forward-looking financial guidance or targets were provided in this transcript excerpt. Management emphasized continued focus on ARPU expansion and leveraging AI capabilities.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | $0.72 est $0.63 | $261.7M est $250.9M | +0.8% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.76 est $0.62 | $256.4M est $250.8M | +4.6% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.60 est $0.52 | $254.3M est $250.2M | −2.4% |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.54 est $0.48 | $238.8M est $234.3M | +5.0% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $0.58 est $0.55 | $242.2M est $237.5M | −1.9% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.62 est $0.49 | $240.5M est $237.4M | +9.5% |
| Aug 8, 2024 | $0.58 est $0.49 | $233.8M est $227.1M | −5.0% |
| May 9, 2024 | $0.50 est $0.49 | $223.3M est $219.5M | −1.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Alarm.com stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Alarm.com is $63.00, +12.6% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$63.00consensus 12-month target, +12.6% from the last close
Now $55.93Avg $63.00
Low $60High $65
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10 | Barclays | $60 | +7.3% |
| Aug 7 | Raymond James | $65 | +16.2% |
| Aug 7 | William Blair | — | — |
| Aug 5 | Barclays | $55 | −1.7% |
−1.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Alarm.com seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Alarm.com averaged +0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −0.2% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, ALRM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.
Alarm.com market cap and key statistics
Alarm.com’s market cap is $2.77B, with a P/E ratio of 24.5 and revenue of $1.06B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.77B
- P/E ratio
- 24.5
- Forward P/E
- 26.3
- EPS, TTM
- $2.26
- Gekko Fair Value
- $89.90
Trading
- Volume
- 261,122
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 428,388
- 52-week high
- $58.15
- 52-week low
- $41.49
- Shares outstanding
- 49.09M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.06B
- Profit margin
- 11.1%
- Return on equity
- 13.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −23.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.76
- Typical daily move
- ±2.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.6%
Alarm.com stock news this week
Coverage of Alarm.com this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Full Transcript: Alarm.com Holdings Q2 2026 Earnings CallBenzinga, Oct 12
- ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC ALARM.CO (0HC2.L) Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcriptYahoo Finance, Oct 11
- Zacks Industry Outlook Allegion, ADT, Alarm.com Holdings and Ituran Location and ControlZacks Investment Research, Oct 9
- Alarm.com Extends Intelligent Video Protection to More Entryways with New Battery-Powered 781BBusiness Wire, Oct 6
Alarm.com peers
Alarm.com’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSFTMicrosoft | Neutral | 21.7% above |
| PLTRPalantir Technologies | Distribution | 22.3% above |
| ORCLOracle | Neutral | 24.3% below |
| PANWPalo Alto Networks | Neutral | 21.6% above |
| CRWDCrowdStrike | Neutral | 23.7% above |
| CRMSalesforce | Neutral | 3.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Alarm.com stock FAQ
What is Alarm.com’s market cap?
Alarm.com’s market cap is $2.77B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $55.93, with 49.09M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.5.
What is the Alarm.com stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Alarm.com is $63.00, +12.6% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Alarm.com stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Alarm.com is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $55.93 is 37.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.90. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Alarm.com report earnings next?
Alarm.com is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.74 per share on revenue of $265.8M. Alarm.com beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.8% on average across the report.
What is Alarm.com’s 52-week high and low?
Alarm.com’s 52-week high is $58.15 and its 52-week low is $41.49; it closed at $55.93 on Oct 12, 2026, +7.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $90.69 on Nov 9, 2021.
Is Alarm.com stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and fair value), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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