Insider buying last 90 days
$3.48Min 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | RUSCKOWSKI STEPHEN H director | Purchase | $3.48M |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NYSE: ORCL
Oracle (ORCL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$123.77−2.44 (−1.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeOracle falls this week after scrapping a tentative $7 billion chip-leasing deal with Tencent that would have given the Chinese company access to up to 100,000 AI chips at Asia-based data centers over a five-year term, reportedly following pushback tied to US export controls. Separately, Oracle and Credo Technology Group advanced optical transceiver telemetry standards with the Open Compute Project community, and commentary continues to contrast Oracle against peers including Accenture. Some coverage also notes two desks issuing $400 price targets even as shares have pulled back sharply over the past year.
Shares closed at $123.77, down 1.9%, sitting below both the 50-day average of $140.50 and the 200-day average of $156.00, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Returns over the past month, three months, six months and year are all negative, with 1-month returns at -14.5% and 1-year at -52%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.5, placing Oracle in the Accumulation zone, while the stock trades 29.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $175.99.
Oracle's next earnings report is scheduled for 14 December 2026, after the close, 39 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days there has been 1 open-market insider purchase valued at $3.5 million, while the last 30 days show 4 unusual options signals, with put premium of $424.3 million against call premium of $34.1 million. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years, worth noting alongside the 29.7% gap to fair value.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Oracle price vs fair value
Close $123.77200-day averageGekko Fair Value $175.99
Oracle quick facts
- Market cap
- $374.2B
- P/E ratio
- 20.5
- Forward P/E
- 16.1
- EPS, TTM
- $5.82
- Revenue, TTM
- $71.78B
- Profit margin
- 26.4%
- Dividend yield
- 1.53%
- Beta
- 1.78
- Volume
- 111.4M avg 40.99M
- 1-year return
- −52.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±6.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.1%
- 50-day average
- $140.50
- 200-day average
- $156.00
- Next earnings
- Dec 14 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 3.03B
Oracle swing-trade checklist
Oracle scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $123.77 is below the 50-day ($140.50) and 200-day ($156.00) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64.5, Accumulation
Reading 64.5 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
29.7% below
Price is 29.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneymixed
Mixed
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 4 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 39 days
Next report Dec 14, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
−0.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Oracle stock chart and price history
Oracle closed at $123.77 on Nov 4, 2026, −52.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $114.50 to $255.28.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −14.5%
- 3 months
- −13.7%
- 6 months
- −36.2%
- 1 year
- −52.0%
The full ORCL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ORCL in Gekko
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About Oracle
Oracle builds and sells enterprise software and computing infrastructure used by organizations to run their business operations. Its offerings include cloud applications covering finance, supply chain, manufacturing and workforce management, along with tools for advertising, sales, service and marketing, and the NetSuite suite for smaller businesses. The company is widely associated with the Oracle Database and the Java programming language, both long-standing pillars of its technology stack.
Beyond applications, Oracle supplies the infrastructure that supports them, offering cloud computing, storage and networking capacity, an autonomous database, MySQL HeatWave, IoT platforms, digital assistants and blockchain services. It also sells hardware such as engineered systems, servers and storage, plus supporting software like virtualization tools and operating systems, and rounds out its offerings with consulting and customer support. Oracle sells mainly through its own direct sales force, reaching companies, government agencies and schools worldwide, while also working through a network of indirect partners.
Founded in 1977, Oracle is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ORCL.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Packaged software
- Website
- oracle.com
Oracle GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Oracle’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 10 points over five sessions.
64.5Accumulation
Up 10 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 45 | +0.8% | +1.9% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 221 | −0.3% | +0.2% |
| Neutral | 355 | +0.9% | +2.6% |
| Distribution | 64 | 0.0% | +0.8% |
| Selling | 12 | +1.2% | +2.4% |
Average ORCL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ORCL price, zone by zone.Track ORCL in Gekko
Is Oracle stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Oracle trades 29.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $175.99, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Oracle shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$175.99
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
29.7% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 28.3% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ORCL in Gekko
Oracle insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Oracle worth $3.48M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ORCL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ORCL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ORCL in Gekko
Buybacks
Oracle has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Feb 28, 2026
- $2.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
- Trailing four quarters
- $356.0M
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
4signals, 7% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bearish flow on Oct 30, $142.7M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ORCL.
0added0opened1trimmed3sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Oracle earnings: next date and track record
Oracle reports on Dec 14, 2026, after the close (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 14, 2026
Expected after the close, 39 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.88
- Revenue estimate
- $21.33B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Sep 10, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Oracle reported record Q1 FY2027 revenue of $19.3 billion, up 30% YoY, with cloud infrastructure revenue surging 121% to $7.4 billion. Non-GAAP EPS grew 30% to $1.92, and non-GAAP operating income rose 31% to $8.2 billion. Operating margin held flat at 42%. RPO increased $26 billion from Q4, with half expected to convert to revenue within 36 months. Record operating cash flow of $23 billion was reported, though CapEx of $28 billion resulted in negative free cash flow.
- Guidance
- Oracle expects cloud infrastructure growth acceleration to continue throughout FY2027 as RPO converts to revenue. Full-year CapEx guidance is $90-95 billion, with net cash CapEx not exceeding $70 billion. Management anticipates continued sequential revenue growth, a departure from historical Q1 seasonal patterns.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | $1.92 est $1.74 | $19.35B est $19.13B | −7.0% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | $2.11 est $1.96 | $19.18B est $19.10B | −10.5% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | $1.79 est $1.70 | $17.19B est $16.93B | +7.6% |
| Dec 10, 2025 | $2.26 est $1.64 | $16.06B est $16.19B | −10.2% |
| Sep 9, 2025 | $1.47 est $1.48 | $14.93B est $15.04B | +37.7% |
| Jun 11, 2025 | $1.70 est $1.64 | $15.90B est $15.58B | +12.6% |
| Mar 10, 2025 | $1.47 est $1.49 | $14.13B est $14.38B | −7.1% |
| Dec 9, 2024 | $1.47 est $1.48 | $14.06B est $14.12B | −7.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Oracle stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Oracle is $234.10, +89.1% from the last close, from 32 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$234.10consensus 12-month target, +89.1% from the last close
Now $123.77Avg $234.10
Low $110High $400
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 32 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | UBS | $250 | +102.0% |
| Nov 4 | Phillip Securities | $225 | +81.8% |
| Nov 3 | Morgan Stanley | $210 | +69.7% |
| Nov 2 | Stephens | $213 | +72.1% |
| Oct 30 | Bank of America Securities | $240 | +93.9% |
+0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Oracle seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Oracle averaged −0.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −4.8% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, ORCL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.1%.
Oracle market cap and key statistics
Oracle’s market cap is $374.2B, with a P/E ratio of 20.5 and revenue of $71.78B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $374.2B
- P/E ratio
- 20.5
- Forward P/E
- 16.1
- EPS, TTM
- $5.82
- Gekko Fair Value
- $175.99
Trading
- Volume
- 111.4M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 40.99M
- 52-week high
- $255.28
- 52-week low
- $114.50
- Shares outstanding
- 3.03B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $71.78B
- Profit margin
- 26.4%
- Return on equity
- 41.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +54.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.78
- Typical daily move
- ±6.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.1%
- Dividend yield
- 1.53%
Oracle stock news this week
Coverage of Oracle this week reads positive: 7 positive, 0 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Oracle (ORCL) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You TradeZacks Investment Research, Nov 4
- Wednesday's Final Takeaways: CVS Splitting in Two, ORCL Scraps Tencent DealSchwab Network, Nov 4
- Stock Market Today, Nov. 4: Oracle Falls on Canceled $7 Billion Tencent Chip-Leasing DealThe Motley Fool, Nov 4
- Credo and Oracle Advance Optical Transceiver Telemetry Standardization with OCP CommunityCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd - Investor Relations, Nov 4
- Oracle nixes $7B chip leasing deal with China's Tencent after Trump admin pushback: reportNew York Post, Nov 4
- Accenture vs. Oracle: Which Technology Stock Is a Better Buy in 2027?The Motley Fool, Nov 4
Oracle peers
Oracle’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSFTMicrosoft | Neutral | 17.8% above |
| PLTRPalantir Technologies | Accumulation | 4.7% below |
| PANWPalo Alto Networks | Accumulation | 7.4% above |
| CRWDCrowdStrike | Neutral | 8.1% above |
| CRMSalesforce | Accumulation | 9.3% below |
| ADPAutomatic Data Processing | Neutral | 2.5% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Oracle stock FAQ
What is Oracle’s market cap?
Oracle’s market cap is $374.2B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $123.77, with 3.03B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.5.
What is the Oracle stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Oracle is $234.10, +89.1% from the last close. Of the 32 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 28 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Oracle stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Oracle is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $123.77 is 29.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $175.99. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Oracle report earnings next?
Oracle is expected to report on Dec 14, 2026, after the market closes (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.88 per share on revenue of $21.33B. Oracle beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.5% on average across the report.
What is Oracle’s 52-week high and low?
Oracle’s 52-week high is $255.28 and its 52-week low is $114.50; it closed at $123.77 on Nov 4, 2026, −52.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $345.72 on Sep 10, 2025.
Is Oracle stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (smart money and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Oracle?
Gekko flagged 4 unusual options signals in Oracle over the last 30 days, with $34.08M of flagged premium in calls and $424.3M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Oct 30, 2026 with $142.7M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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