NYSE: ORCL

Oracle (ORCL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oracle Corporation. Technology services sector, packaged software industry. Market cap $425.2B.

$147.60−2.99 (−2.0%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:14 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Oracle (ORCL) closes at $147.60, down 2% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $141.00 and 200-day average of $166.25. The GekkoIndex reads 58, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price stands 17.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $179.42, a gap that bears watching.

This week's coverage centers on Oracle's AI infrastructure buildout and its financing. Reports note the company's backlog of $664 billion, up 45.9% year over year, alongside discussion of debt levels described as nearly twice book value, with liquidity said to remain significant. Separate reporting flagged $18 billion in loans tied to a New Mexico data center project trading at a discount amid local opposition over water and air quality, and the stock fell 3% on concerns about how the AI buildout will be financed, extending a 24% year-to-date decline. Other coverage touched on enterprise security repositioning around the data layer and an upcoming quarterly dividend payment on 23 October 2026.

Looking ahead, Oracle's next earnings report is scheduled for 9 December 2026, 80 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. The prior report on 10 September 2026 showed EPS of $1.92 against an estimate of $1.74, with a subsequent reaction of -7%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +1.3% across 5 years, positive in 2 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows, while analyst coverage from 29 firms shows 25 buy ratings and a consensus target of $239.00.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $147.60200-day averageGekko Fair Value $179.42

Key stats

Market cap
$425.2B
P/E ratio
22.4
Forward P/E
17.6
EPS, TTM
$6.72
Revenue, TTM
$71.78B
Profit margin
26.4%
Dividend yield
1.40%
Beta
1.73
Volume
38.14M avg 29.45M
1-year return
−51.0%
Typical daily move
±5.6%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
50-day average
$141.00
200-day average
$166.25
Next earnings
Dec 9 after close
Shares outstanding
3.02B
52-week range
$114.50$329.50

Oracle swing-trade checklist

Oracle scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $147.60 sits between the 50-day ($141.00) and 200-day ($166.25) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58, Neutral

    Reading 58 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    17.7% below

    Price is 17.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 80 days

    Next report Dec 9, 2026, 80 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Oracle stock chart and price history

Oracle closed at $147.60 on Sep 18, 2026, −51.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $114.50 to $329.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+2.6%
3 months
−19.9%
6 months
−5.1%
1 year
−51.0%
The full ORCL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ORCL in Gekko

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About Oracle

Oracle builds and sells enterprise software and computing infrastructure used by organizations to run their business operations. Its offerings include cloud applications covering finance, supply chain, manufacturing and workforce management, along with tools for advertising, sales, service and marketing, and the NetSuite suite for smaller businesses. The company is widely associated with the Oracle Database and the Java programming language, both long-standing pillars of its technology stack.

Beyond applications, Oracle supplies the infrastructure that supports them, offering cloud computing, storage and networking capacity, an autonomous database, MySQL HeatWave, IoT platforms, digital assistants and blockchain services. It also sells hardware such as engineered systems, servers and storage, plus supporting software like virtualization tools and operating systems, and rounds out its offerings with consulting and customer support. Oracle sells mainly through its own direct sales force, reaching companies, government agencies and schools worldwide, while also working through a network of indirect partners.

Founded in 1977, Oracle is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ORCL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
oracle.com

Oracle GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Oracle’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58, in the Neutral zone, down 0.1 points over five sessions.

010058Neutral

Down 0.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying45+0.8%−0.5%+1.9%−2.2%
Accumulation203−0.5%+0.2%+0.4%+6.6%
Neutral (current zone)338+1.3%+1.9%+3.3%+5.3%
Distribution640.0%+0.2%+0.8%−2.0%
Selling12+1.2%+3.1%+2.4%+12.7%

Average ORCL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ORCL price, zone by zone.Track ORCL in Gekko

Is Oracle stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Oracle trades 17.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $179.42, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Oracle shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$179.42

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

17.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ORCL in Gekko

Oracle insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Oracle, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ORCL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ORCL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ORCL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ORCL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ORCL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ORCL in Gekko

Buybacks

Oracle has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Feb 28, 2026
$2.00M
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$356.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ORCL.

0added0opened1trimmed3sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Oracle earnings: next date and track record

Oracle reports on Dec 9, 2026, after the close (80 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.3%Dec ’24−7.1%Mar ’25+12.6%Jun ’25+37.7%Sep ’25−10.2%Dec ’25+7.6%Mar ’26−10.5%Jun ’26−7.0%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Oracle reported record Q1 FY2027 revenue of $19.3 billion, up 30% YoY, with cloud infrastructure revenue surging 121% to $7.4 billion. Non-GAAP EPS grew 30% to $1.92, and non-GAAP operating income rose 31% to $8.2 billion. Operating margin held flat at 42%. RPO increased $26 billion from Q4, with half expected to convert to revenue within 36 months. Record operating cash flow of $23 billion was reported, though CapEx of $28 billion resulted in negative free cash flow.
Guidance
Oracle expects cloud infrastructure growth acceleration to continue throughout FY2027 as RPO converts to revenue. Full-year CapEx guidance is $90-95 billion, with net cash CapEx not exceeding $70 billion. Management anticipates continued sequential revenue growth, a departure from historical Q1 seasonal patterns.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 10, 2026$1.92
est $1.74
+10.3%$19.35B
est $19.13B
+1.1%−7.0%
Jun 10, 2026$2.11
est $1.96
+7.7%$19.18B
est $19.10B
+0.4%−10.5%
Mar 10, 2026$1.79
est $1.70
+5.3%$17.19B
est $16.93B
+1.6%+7.6%
Dec 10, 2025$2.26
est $1.64
+37.8%$16.06B
est $16.19B
−0.8%−10.2%
Sep 9, 2025$1.47
est $1.48
−0.7%$14.93B
est $15.04B
−0.8%+37.7%
Jun 11, 2025$1.70
est $1.64
+3.7%$15.90B
est $15.58B
+2.1%+12.6%
Mar 10, 2025$1.47
est $1.49
−1.3%$14.13B
est $14.38B
−1.7%−7.1%
Dec 9, 2024$1.47
est $1.48
−0.7%$14.06B
est $14.12B
−0.4%−7.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Oracle stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Oracle is $239.00, +61.9% from the last close, from 29 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$239.00consensus 12-month target, +61.9% from the last close
Low $145High $400
Buy25
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 29 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$210+42.3%
Sep 15Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$320+116.8%
Sep 15Evercore ISIBuy, maintained
Sep 14Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, reiterated$205+38.9%
Sep 14Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$210+42.3%
+3.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Oracle seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Oracle averaged +1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+12.0%2021−3.0%2022−3.3%2023+4.8%2024−5.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−3.3%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.5%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.4%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.1%3 of 5

For scale, ORCL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8%.

Oracle market cap and key statistics

Oracle’s market cap is $425.2B, with a P/E ratio of 22.4 and revenue of $71.78B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$425.2B
P/E ratio
22.4
Forward P/E
17.6
EPS, TTM
$6.72
Gekko Fair Value
$179.42

Trading

Volume
38.14M
Avg volume, 20 days
29.45M
52-week high
$329.50
52-week low
$114.50
Shares outstanding
3.02B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$71.78B
Profit margin
26.4%
Return on equity
41.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+54.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.73
Typical daily move
±5.6%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
Dividend yield
1.40%

Oracle peers

Oracle’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft−0.8%Neutral13.4% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.3%Neutral11.3% above
PANWPalo Alto Networks−3.1%Neutral8.9% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−3.8%Neutral19.0% above
CRMSalesforce−2.6%Neutral1.3% below
NOWServiceNow−3.0%Neutral9.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Oracle stock FAQ

What is Oracle’s market cap?

Oracle’s market cap is $425.2B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $147.60, with 3.02B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.4.

What is the Oracle stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Oracle is $239.00, +61.9% from the last close. Of the 29 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 25 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Oracle stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Oracle is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $147.60 is 17.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $179.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Oracle report earnings next?

Oracle is expected to report on Dec 9, 2026, after the market closes (80 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.88 per share on revenue of $21.30B. Oracle beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.5% on average across the report.

What is Oracle’s 52-week high and low?

Oracle’s 52-week high is $329.50 and its 52-week low is $114.50; it closed at $147.60 on Sep 18, 2026, −51.0% over the past year.

Is Oracle stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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