NYSE: TDC

Teradata (TDC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$30.68+0.09 (+0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's attention on Teradata centers on broader AI infrastructure spending and company-specific product news. Shares were mentioned alongside Palantir, Doximity and Snowflake after a report pointed to more than double the increase in infrastructure service spending in the third quarter, tied to accelerating AI adoption. Separately, Teradata highlighted new enterprise AI customer engagements in healthcare and life sciences, while Argus raised its price target on the stock to $28.00 from $30.59 in an October 7 report.

Teradata closed at $30.68, up 0.3%, with the price sitting above both its 50-day average of $28.69 and its 200-day average of $29.77. The stock's one-month return stands at 10.2%, though it is down 2.4% over three months and up 17.9% over six months. The GekkoIndex reading of 50.9 places the stock in the Neutral zone, and the price remains 17.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $37.39.

Teradata's next earnings report is set for 3 November, 22 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior report on 4 August saw a 18.3% reaction after EPS of $0.42 beat the $0.36 estimate. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 4.6% move across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst views are split, with 6 firms covering the stock across 1 buy, 4 hold and 1 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $33.50.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Teradata price vs fair value

$37.39$30.68Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $30.68200-day averageGekko Fair Value $37.39

Teradata quick facts

Market cap
$2.89B
P/E ratio
6.4
Forward P/E
9.6
EPS, TTM
$4.76
Revenue, TTM
$1.69B
Profit margin
27.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.62
Volume
1.40M avg 1.66M
1-year return
+41.3%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
50-day average
$28.69
200-day average
$29.77
Next earnings
Nov 3 after close
Shares outstanding
93.00M
52-week range
$20.33$41.78

Teradata swing-trade checklist

Teradata scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $30.68 sits between the 50-day ($28.69) and 200-day ($29.77) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.9, Neutral

    Reading 50.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    17.9% below

    Price is 17.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +4.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Teradata stock chart and price history

Teradata closed at $30.68 on Oct 12, 2026, +41.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $20.33 to $41.78.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Teradata share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct30.68

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+10.2%
3 months
−2.4%
6 months
+17.9%
1 year
+41.3%
The full TDC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TDC in Gekko

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About Teradata

Teradata builds software that lets large organizations pull their data together and study it at scale, no matter which cloud systems they rely on. Its flagship offering, Vantage, is meant to give companies a single view of information spread across different parts of the business, making it easier to combine data sources and move operations into the cloud without losing track of complexity.

Beyond the platform itself, Teradata works directly with clients through consulting engagements, helping them map out a strategy for analytics, spot where data can be put to practical use, and build cloud setups that justify their cost. It also provides ongoing support and maintenance once systems are in place. Its customers come from fields such as banking, government, healthcare, manufacturing, retail, telecom, and transportation, and the company reaches them through sales teams covering the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Japan.

Teradata traces back to 1979 and runs its main operations out of San Diego, California. The stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker TDC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
teradata.com

Teradata GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Teradata’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.9, in the Neutral zone, down 2.9 points over five sessions.

010050.9Neutral

Down 2.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40+3.0%+1.7%+0.5%+0.9%
Accumulation293+0.5%+0.5%+1.0%+0.5%
Neutral (current zone)321−1.0%−1.4%−2.6%−2.7%
Distribution27−1.6%−0.2%+0.3%−6.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average TDC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TDC price, zone by zone.Track TDC in Gekko

Is Teradata stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Teradata trades 17.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.39, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Teradata shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$37.39

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

17.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 31.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$37$31Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TDC in Gekko

Teradata insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Teradata, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TDC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TDC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TDC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TDC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TDC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TDC in Gekko

Buybacks

Teradata has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$40.00M
As a share of market cap
1.39%
Trailing four quarters
$142.0M

From company filings.

Teradata earnings: next date and track record

Teradata reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±15.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−14.3%Nov ’24−20.4%Feb ’25+1.1%May ’25+7.3%Aug ’25+27.2%Nov ’25+33.9%Feb ’26+3.3%May ’26−18.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Teradata reported a solid Q2 2026 driven by ARR and recurring revenue growth, margin expansion, and improved free cash flow. Management highlighted hybrid and on-premise strengths (Teradata Factory and Teradata 3.0 vision), product innovation, and a strong balance sheet after debt retirement. Key financials: total ARR +1% (2% cc), cloud ARR +8% (9% cc), recurring revenue +3% YoY, total revenue $410M (flat), non-GAAP operating margin 21.5% (vs 16.4% prior year), adjusted free cash flow $127M in Q2. Management reaffirmed full-year ARR, revenue, and recurring revenue outlooks, raised non-GAAP EPS guidance to $2.65–$2.73, and increased adjusted free cash flow guidance to $330–$350M. Management emphasized Teradata’s hybrid differentiation (on-prem + cloud) and partnership with Dell for Teradata Factory (GPU-enabled on-prem architecture) as a catalyst for future growth. They prioritized R&D spending, continuation of a share buyback (50% of FCF), and selective M&A. Headwinds discussed included revenue timing/linearity due to ASC 606 revenue recognition, consulting services revenue weakness, potential supply-chain/ hardware pricing pressures for the new Factory platform, and a slowdown in cloud migration activity versus prior years. Overall tone was confident and forward-looking, with measured caution around timing and some near-term pressures.
Guidance
Reaffirmed outlook for total ARR, total revenue, and recurring revenue for FY2026. Increased non-GAAP EPS range to $2.65 - $2.73. Increased Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance to $330M - $350M. (No other numeric revenue or ARR ranges were restated on the call.)
Risks flagged
Mentioned risks and headwinds: potential supply-chain and hardware pricing pressure for Teradata Factory (possible impact into FY2027), revenue timing/linearity effects from ASC 606 causing first-half concentration, consulting services softness (down 24% YoY), a slowdown in cloud migrations (peak migrations likely a year or two ago), and general macro/FX uncertainty (details referenced in supplemental disclosures). Also noted broader industry risk that many AI pilots fail to reach production due to inadequate infrastructure.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.42
est $0.36
+16.7%$410.0M
est $396.1M
+3.5%−18.3%
May 5, 2026$0.88
est $0.77
+14.3%$444.0M
est $430.1M
+3.2%+3.3%
Feb 10, 2026$0.74
est $0.56
+32.1%$421.0M
est $400.5M
+5.1%+33.9%
Nov 4, 2025$0.72
est $0.54
+33.3%$416.0M
est $399.5M
+4.1%+27.2%
Aug 5, 2025$0.47
est $0.40
+17.5%$408.0M
est $411.5M
−0.8%+7.3%
May 6, 2025$0.66
est $0.56
+17.9%$418.0M
est $423.2M
−1.2%+1.1%
Feb 11, 2025$0.53
est $0.43
+23.3%$409.0M
est $441.2M
−7.3%−20.4%
Nov 4, 2024$0.69
est $0.56
+23.2%$440.0M
est $416.5M
+5.6%−14.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Teradata stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Teradata is $33.50, +9.2% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$33.50consensus 12-month target, +9.2% from the last close
Low $27High $36
Buy1
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12BarclaysSell, maintained$27−12.0%
Sep 21UBSHold, reiterated$32+4.3%
Aug 10Morgan StanleyHold, downgraded$29−5.5%
Aug 6CitiBuy, maintained$36+17.3%
Aug 5Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$35+14.1%
−2.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Teradata seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Teradata averaged +4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−7.9%2021+1.1%2022−0.9%2023−5.9%2024+35.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.9%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.9%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.6%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.4%3 of 5

For scale, TDC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.7%.

Teradata market cap and key statistics

Teradata’s market cap is $2.89B, with a P/E ratio of 6.4 and revenue of $1.69B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.89B
P/E ratio
6.4
Forward P/E
9.6
EPS, TTM
$4.76
Gekko Fair Value
$37.39

Trading

Volume
1.40M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.66M
52-week high
$41.78
52-week low
$20.33
Shares outstanding
93.00M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.69B
Profit margin
27.1%
Return on equity
119.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+433.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.62
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%

Teradata stock news this week

Coverage of Teradata this week reads positive: 2 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Teradata peers

Teradata’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Teradata stock FAQ

What is Teradata’s market cap?

Teradata’s market cap is $2.89B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $30.68, with 93.00M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 6.4.

What is the Teradata stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Teradata is $33.50, +9.2% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Teradata stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Teradata is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $30.68 is 17.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.39. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Teradata report earnings next?

Teradata is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.58 per share on revenue of $395.8M. Teradata beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 15.7% on average across the report.

What is Teradata’s 52-week high and low?

Teradata’s 52-week high is $41.78 and its 52-week low is $20.33; it closed at $30.68 on Oct 12, 2026, +41.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $59.38 on Oct 22, 2021.

Is Teradata stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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