NASDAQ: DLO

DLocal (DLO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$13.82−0.26 (−1.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

DLocal's stock this week continues to trade against the backdrop of its take-rate compression story, with commentary pointing to a rate now at 0.71%, attributed to merchant mix, volume tiers, and local-to-local transaction growth rather than competitive pressure alone. This follows the company's single-integration model spanning 60+ emerging markets, which underpins its ongoing total payment volume and revenue trajectory.

DLO closed at $13.82, down 1.8%, sitting between its 50-day average of $14.67 and 200-day average of $13.52, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 66.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 40.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.32. Returns over the past month show a decline of 8.7%, while the three-month and six-month windows show gains of 7.5% and 12.6% respectively; the one-year return stands at -4.8%.

The next earnings date falls on 11 November 2026, 43 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS of $0.18 against a $0.20 estimate, with a -0.8% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.2% across 5 years, with gains in 3 of those years. Consensus among 3 covering firms stands at buy, with a consensus target of $18.80 and consensus upside of 36%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

DLocal price vs fair value

▲$23.32$13.82Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $13.82200-day averageGekko Fair Value $23.32

DLocal quick facts

Market cap
$4.06B
P/E ratio
20.7
Forward P/E
19.6
EPS, TTM
$0.68
Revenue, TTM
$1.36B
Profit margin
15%
Dividend yield
1.40%
Beta
0.87
Volume
1.81M avg 1.63M
1-year return
−4.8%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±9.2%
50-day average
$14.67
200-day average
$13.52
Next earnings
Nov 11 after close
Shares outstanding
178.0M
52-week range
$10.64$16.78

DLocal swing-trade checklist

DLocal scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $13.82 sits between the 50-day ($14.67) and 200-day ($13.52) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.8, Accumulation

    Reading 66.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    40.7% below

    Price is 40.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 11, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

DLocal stock chart and price history

DLocal closed at $13.82 on Sep 28, 2026, −4.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $10.64 to $16.78.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
DLocal share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$11$12$13$15$16NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep13.82

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.7%
3 months
+7.5%
6 months
+12.6%
1 year
−4.8%
The full DLO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DLO in Gekko

Follow DLocal through every session

Put DLO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About DLocal

DLocal provides payment processing infrastructure that helps merchants operating across borders collect and send money in different markets. Its pay-in tools cover a wide range of methods, including domestic and international cards, bank transfers, direct debit, cash, and numerous alternative payment options, allowing businesses to accept funds from customers in various regions. Alongside this, the company offers pay-out capabilities and cross-border as well as local-to-local transaction handling.

Its offering also includes a platform-focused product, dLocal for Platforms, built to help manage payments across global platforms. Customers span a wide mix of industries, among them commerce, streaming, ride-hailing, financial services, remittances, advertising, software-as-a-service, travel, online education, on-demand delivery, gaming, and crypto.

DLocal was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker DLO.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
dlocal.com

DLocal GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

DLocal’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.

010066.8Accumulation

Up 4.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying65−2.8%−3.2%−5.2%−5.4%
Accumulation (current zone)201+0.9%+2.4%+2.5%+7.2%
Neutral370+0.3%+0.3%+1.2%+1.0%
Distribution27+0.4%−2.0%0.0%+0.6%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average DLO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DLO price, zone by zone.Track DLO in Gekko

Is DLocal stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

DLocal trades 40.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.32, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what DLocal shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$23.32

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

40.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DLO in Gekko

DLocal insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DLocal, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DLO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DLO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DLO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DLO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DLO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DLO in Gekko

Buybacks

DLocal has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$75.94M
As a share of market cap
1.87%

From company filings.

DLocal earnings: next date and track record

DLocal reports on Nov 11, 2026, after the close (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.0%Aug ’24+9.1%Nov ’24−31.7%Feb ’25+14.1%May ’25+39.9%Aug ’25−4.6%Nov ’25+6.8%Mar ’26−0.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
dLocal reported a very strong Q2 2026 driven by exceptional TPV growth and improved operating leverage. TPV reached $17.7 billion, up 92% year-over-year, with net revenue retention at 153% and gross profit of $127 million (up 29% YoY), putting the company on an annualized gross profit run-rate above $500 million. Operating profit as a percentage of gross profit rose 6 percentage points sequentially to 50%, and net income and EPS grew materially; adjusted free cash flow conversion was strong at 86% of net income for H1. Key drivers included pronounced growth in ride-hailing and travel, share-of-wallet gains with large global merchants, local-to-local volume (61% of TPV), and favorable FX in some markets. Management highlighted AI and automation initiatives as catalysts for further operating leverage in H2. They updated guidance upward for volume and gross profit while keeping operating profit growth guidance unchanged due to a prior-year tax item and FX headwinds. Management remained confident in the underlying growth thesis but flagged volatility from FX, tax/regulatory changes, take-rate pressure from pricing tiers and local-to-local mix, and specific cost issues (e.g., Mexico).
Guidance
Updated full-year guidance: TPV growth 60%–70% year-over-year; gross profit growth 25%–30% year-over-year; operating profit growth maintained at 27.5%–32.5% year-over-year.
Risks flagged
FX volatility and currency dislocations (country pockets with variable FX spreads); tax and regulatory uncertainty including potential upward pressure on effective tax rate from OECD Pillar 2 starting 2027; take-rate compression driven by pricing tiers and local-to-local mix (particularly ride-hailing); concentration risks and dependency on ramp of a few large global merchants; slower-than-expected ramp of new products; country-level cost structure issues (notably Mexico).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026$0.18
est $0.20
−10.0%$399.7M
est $366.8M
+9.0%−0.8%
Mar 18, 2026$0.22
est $0.18
+22.2%$337.9M
est $296.3M
+14.0%+6.8%
Nov 12, 2025$0.17
est $0.17
+2.8%$282.5M
est $262.0M
+7.8%−4.6%
Aug 13, 2025$0.14
est $0.13
+7.7%$256.5M
est $240.4M
+6.7%+39.9%
May 14, 2025$0.17
est $0.12
+41.7%$216.8M
est $209.9M
+3.3%+14.1%
Feb 27, 2025$0.10
est $0.14
−28.6%$204.5M
est $206.3M
−0.9%−31.7%
Nov 13, 2024$0.15
est $0.10
+46.5%$185.8M
est $181.5M
+2.4%+9.1%
Aug 14, 2024$0.15
est $0.09
+66.7%$171.3M
est $203.7M
−15.9%+2.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

DLocal stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for DLocal is $18.80, +36.0% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$18.80consensus 12-month target, +36.0% from the last close
Low $18High $20
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 30Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$18+30.2%
Aug 27Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$18+30.2%
Aug 14Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Jul 30Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$19+37.5%
Jul 28Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$17+23.0%
+2.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

DLocal seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, DLocal averaged −0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−11.9%2021+5.9%2022−11.2%2023+13.6%2024+5.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.5%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.8%2 of 5

For scale, DLO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.2%.

DLocal market cap and key statistics

DLocal’s market cap is $4.06B, with a P/E ratio of 20.7 and revenue of $1.36B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.06B
P/E ratio
20.7
Forward P/E
19.6
EPS, TTM
$0.68
Gekko Fair Value
$23.32

Trading

Volume
1.81M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.63M
52-week high
$16.78
52-week low
$10.64
Shares outstanding
178.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.36B
Profit margin
15%
Return on equity
41.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+28.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.87
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±9.2%
Dividend yield
1.40%

DLocal stock news this week

1 headline about DLocal from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

DLocal peers

DLocal’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

DLocal stock FAQ

What is DLocal’s market cap?

DLocal’s market cap is $4.06B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.82, with 178.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.7.

What is the DLocal stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for DLocal is $18.80, +36.0% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is DLocal stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate DLocal is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.82 is 40.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.32. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does DLocal report earnings next?

DLocal is expected to report on Nov 11, 2026, after the market closes (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.22 per share on revenue of $407.8M. DLocal beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.6% on average across the report.

What is DLocal’s 52-week high and low?

DLocal’s 52-week high is $16.78 and its 52-week low is $10.64; it closed at $13.82 on Sep 28, 2026, −4.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $63.61 on Sep 28, 2021.

Is DLocal stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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