Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AMPL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AMPL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMPL in Gekko
NASDAQ: AMPL
Amplitude (AMPL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$15.53−0.14 (−0.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeAmplitude shares touched fresh 52-week highs this week, trading as high as $16.17 before last changing hands around current levels, continuing a run that has taken the stock well above where it traded just a week earlier. Coverage also compared Amplitude against peers such as SailPoint and Ingram Micro on valuation and investment merit. Separately, two directors, Erica Schultz and Tien Tzuo, received restricted stock unit grants in lieu of retainer fees, part of routine director compensation.
At $15.53, Amplitude sits above both its 50-day average of $13.20 and its 200-day average of $9.25, with the shorter average above the longer one, pointing to an established uptrend. The GekkoIndex reads 41.8, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, down 4 points over five sessions. Price trades 13.7% above the Gekko Fair Value of $13.66, a gap worth noting given the otherwise constructive trend.
Amplitude's next earnings report is due 4 November 2026 after the close, 23 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report produced a 9% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality has been favorable from this point in the calendar, with the next 20 trading days averaging +14.7% over five years and rising in four of them, a historical pattern rather than a forecast.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Amplitude price vs fair value
Close $15.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.66
Amplitude quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.06B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 69.4
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.75
- Revenue, TTM
- $374.4M
- Profit margin
- -26.6%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.50
- Volume
- 1.66M avg 1.77M
- 1-year return
- +49.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.4%
- 50-day average
- $13.20
- 200-day average
- $9.25
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 101.3M
Amplitude swing-trade checklist
Amplitude scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $15.53 is above the 50-day ($13.20) and 200-day ($9.25) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
41.8, Distribution
Reading 41.8 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
13.7% above
Price is 13.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+14.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +14.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Amplitude stock chart and price history
Amplitude closed at $15.53 on Oct 12, 2026, +49.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.51 to $16.18.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +23.4%
- 3 months
- +60.3%
- 6 months
- +161.0%
- 1 year
- +49.9%
The full AMPL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AMPL in Gekko
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About Amplitude
Amplitude builds software that helps businesses understand how customers use their digital products and then act on that behavior. Its tools track user activity, suggest personalized content and features without requiring custom code, and let teams test different versions of a product to see what works best. A proprietary behavioral graph sits at the center of the platform, connecting user actions to outcomes like engagement and growth so that companies can tailor experiences based on real behavior rather than guesswork.
The company also handles the underlying data work needed to make this possible, including organizing information from multiple sources, resolving user identities, and applying security and privacy protections. It serves businesses in the United States and abroad, delivering its platform through a cloud-based subscription model. Customer support is part of the offering as well, covering setup, ongoing help, and training on the software.
Amplitude was founded in 2011 under the name Sonalight, Inc. and adopted its current name in December 2014. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker AMPL.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Packaged software
- Website
- amplitude.com
Amplitude GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Amplitude’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.8, in the Distribution zone, down 4 points over five sessions.
41.8Distribution
Down 4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 47 | +1.6% | +0.9% | ||
| Accumulation | 243 | −0.3% | +1.7% | ||
| Neutral | 347 | +0.9% | +1.8% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 42 | 0.0% | −1.6% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AMPL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AMPL price, zone by zone.Track AMPL in Gekko
Is Amplitude stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Amplitude trades 13.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $13.66, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Amplitude shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$13.66
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
13.7% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.6% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AMPL in Gekko
Amplitude insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Amplitude, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AMPL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AMPL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMPL in Gekko
Buybacks
Amplitude has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $68.73M
- As a share of market cap
- 3.33%
- Trailing four quarters
- $117.7M
From company filings.
Amplitude earnings: next date and track record
Amplitude reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected after the close, 23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.03
- Revenue estimate
- $107.0M
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.9%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Amplitude reported a strong Q2 2026 quarter: revenue of $101M (up 21% YoY), ARR of $410M (up 22% YoY), a record quarterly free cash flow of $23.7M, and $69M returned via share repurchases. Growth drivers included organic ARR growth ($19M) and $17M of inorganic ARR from the Statsig acquisition. Management highlighted transformation to an AI-native company (Wade, custom agents, agent analytics), positive early customer traction for Wade and Statsig, and adoption of new pricing and packaging (70% of ARR closed on the new model in Q2). They acknowledged margin pressure due to Statsig’s Google cloud environment and ongoing investments (AI engineering, token spend), but emphasized that new pricing, product innovations, and increasing event ingestion are leading indicators for durable upsell and consolidation opportunities.
- Risks flagged
- Integration-related costs and complexity (Statsig integration, migration to a new cloud environment), gross margin pressure from Statsig's Google cloud footprint (gross margins in the low 50s for that environment), increased COGS and token spend tied to AI initiatives, need to educate customers and salesforce on expanded product suite (risk to cross-sell speed), seasonality and timing of enterprise deals (Q1 historically weak), and general execution risk tied to monetizing new AI products and achieving margin leverage.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | −$0.22 est −$0.18 | $100.9M est $98.16M | +9.0% |
| May 6, 2026 | −$0.02 est −$0.01 | $93.49M est $92.95M | −25.7% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $0.04 est $0.05 | $91.43M est $90.34M | +12.9% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.02 est $0.01 | $88.57M est $90.35M | +4.5% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.01 est $0.03 | $83.27M est $84.01M | +3.0% |
| May 7, 2025 | −$0.17 est −$0.01 | $79.95M est $81.29M | +12.1% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $0.02 est $0.01 | $78.13M est $79.81M | +19.2% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.03 est $0.01 | $75.22M est $76.68M | −0.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Amplitude stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Amplitude is $14.55, −6.3% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$14.55consensus 12-month target, −6.3% from the last close
Now $15.53Avg $14.55
Low $11High $18
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | Piper Sandler | $18 | +15.9% |
| Sep 28 | D.A. Davidson | $16 | +3.0% |
| Aug 27 | Needham | $18 | +15.9% |
| Aug 19 | Bank of America Securities | $14 | −9.9% |
| Aug 13 | Morgan Stanley | $16 | +3.0% |
−1.6%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+14.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Amplitude seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Amplitude averaged +14.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +5.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +8.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +13.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +14.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +9.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, AMPL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.4%.
Amplitude market cap and key statistics
Amplitude’s market cap is $2.06B and revenue of $374.4M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.06B
- Forward P/E
- 69.4
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.75
- Gekko Fair Value
- $13.66
Trading
- Volume
- 1.66M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.77M
- 52-week high
- $16.18
- 52-week low
- $5.51
- Shares outstanding
- 101.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $374.4M
- Profit margin
- -26.6%
- Return on equity
- -47.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.50
- Typical daily move
- ±4.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.4%
Amplitude stock news this week
Coverage of Amplitude this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Amplitude (NASDAQ:AMPL) Sets New 52-Week High – Should You Buy?Defense World, Oct 12
- In lieu of retainer fees, Amplitude (AMPL) grants director Erica Schultz 892 stock units.Stock Titan, Oct 8
- Retainer fees become a stock grant: Amplitude (AMPL) director Tien Tzuo receives 818 share rights.Stock Titan, Oct 8
- Head to Head Analysis: Amplitude (NASDAQ:AMPL) and SailPoint (NASDAQ:SAIL)Defense World, Oct 8
- Amplitude CEO Spenser Skates' Spouse Sells 70,087 AMPL Shares Following Conversion on October 2, 2026Kalkine Media, Oct 7
- INGM vs. AMPL: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?Zacks Investment Research, Oct 5
Amplitude peers
Amplitude’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSFTMicrosoft | Neutral | 21.7% above |
| PLTRPalantir Technologies | Distribution | 22.3% above |
| ORCLOracle | Neutral | 24.3% below |
| PANWPalo Alto Networks | Neutral | 21.6% above |
| CRWDCrowdStrike | Neutral | 23.7% above |
| CRMSalesforce | Neutral | 3.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Amplitude stock FAQ
What is Amplitude’s market cap?
Amplitude’s market cap is $2.06B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $15.53, with 101.3M shares outstanding.
What is the Amplitude stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Amplitude is $14.55, −6.3% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Amplitude stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Amplitude is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $15.53 is 13.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $13.66. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Amplitude report earnings next?
Amplitude is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.03 per share on revenue of $107.0M. Amplitude beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.9% on average across the report.
What is Amplitude’s 52-week high and low?
Amplitude’s 52-week high is $16.18 and its 52-week low is $5.51; it closed at $15.53 on Oct 12, 2026, +49.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $87.98 on Nov 4, 2021.
Is Amplitude stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality) and 3 as headwinds (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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