NASDAQ: NN

NextNav (NN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$11.77−0.58 (−4.7%)

Gekko Brief

Oct 12 close

NextNav closed at $11.77 on 12 October 2026, -4.7% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($15.33) and 200-day ($16.79) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $10.77 to $24.42. The GekkoIndex reads 71.2, in the Buying zone, up 6.7 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $21.18, so the price is 44.4% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 5 November 2026, 24 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 3 times, with an average move of 8.8% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +15% over the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

2 firms rate the stock: 2 buy, 0 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $33.67. A typical daily move is about 8.5%, and a typical 20-day move about 13%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (trend, earnings risk).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.

NextNav price vs fair value

$21.18$11.77Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $11.77200-day averageGekko Fair Value $21.18

NextNav quick facts

Market cap
$1.61B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$0.94
Revenue, TTM
$3.98M
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.16
Volume
3.19M avg 3.09M
1-year return
−18.7%
Typical daily move
±8.5%
Typical 20-day move
±13%
50-day average
$15.33
200-day average
$16.79
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
168.8M
52-week range
$10.77$24.42

NextNav swing-trade checklist

NextNav scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $11.77 is below the 50-day ($15.33) and 200-day ($16.79) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    71.2, Buying

    Reading 71.2 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    44.4% below

    Price is 44.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +15.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +15% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NextNav stock chart and price history

NextNav closed at $11.77 on Oct 12, 2026, −18.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $10.77 to $24.42.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
NextNav share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$20NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct11.77

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−22.5%
3 months
−23.1%
6 months
−24.4%
1 year
−18.7%
The full NN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NN in Gekko

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About NextNav

NextNav develops positioning, navigation, and timing technology used across the United States. Its Pinnacle service delivers precise altitude data for public safety purposes, including enhanced 911 systems used by Verizon and other national cellular carriers. The company also offers TerraPoiNT, a three-dimensional system that supplies GPS-based positioning, navigation, and timing through a ground-based satellite network, giving it a presence alongside traditional satellite-only approaches.

The company's offerings reach a range of industries, including Wi-Fi, telecommunications, public safety, location-based applications, and critical infrastructure. Its business centers on supplying location and timing data to organizations that depend on precise positioning for their own services and operations.

NextNav was founded in 2007 and operates out of Reston, Virginia. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker NN.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
nextnav.com

NextNav GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NextNav’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.2, in the Buying zone, up 6.7 points over five sessions.

010071.2Buying

Up 6.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)23+2.7%+9.4%+23.1%+30.7%
Accumulation223+2.1%+3.8%+7.6%+21.8%
Neutral358+0.9%+1.4%+3.2%+11.4%
Distribution73+0.5%+3.4%+7.6%+16.1%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average NN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NN price, zone by zone.Track NN in Gekko

Is NextNav stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NextNav trades 44.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.18, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NextNav shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$21.18

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

44.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 42.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$21$12Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NN in Gekko

NextNav insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NextNav, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NN in Gekko

Buybacks

NextNav has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2022
$3K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold NN.

1added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

NextNav earnings: next date and track record

NextNav reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.3%Aug ’24−5.0%Nov ’24+10.2%Mar ’25−9.7%Aug ’25−0.9%Nov ’25+10.1%Mar ’26+2.2%May ’26+24.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary

What they said
NextNav reported increased liquidity of approximately $300 million following balance sheet transformation actions. Key operational highlight was a new partnership with Safran Electronics & Defense to validate their terrestrial 5G-powered 3D PNT solution. SpaceX filed an ex-parte letter supporting NextNav's 900-MHz spectrum proposal at the FCC. The company continues advancing its FCC NPRM process through OIRA interagency review for GPS-alternative PNT technology.
Guidance
No specific revenue or earnings targets were provided. Management expressed confidence in regulatory momentum with FCC's strategic plan including PNT development as a priority through 2030. The $300 million liquidity position is intended to fund execution through the next growth phase.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 11, 2026−$0.18
est −$0.16
−12.5%$1.15M
est $918K
+25.3%+24.6%
May 14, 2026−$0.08
est −$0.15
+46.7%$995K
est $944K
+5.5%+2.2%
Mar 17, 2026−$0.50
est −$0.16
−212.5%$943K
est $857K
+10.0%+10.1%
Nov 6, 2025−$0.12
est −$0.14
+14.3%$887K
est $857K
+3.5%−0.9%
Aug 6, 2025−$0.30
est −$0.14
−114.3%$1.20M
est $1.13M
+6.2%−9.7%
Mar 12, 2025−$0.25
est −$0.15
−66.7%$1.91M
est $1.87M
+2.2%+10.2%
Nov 13, 2024−$0.11
est −$0.15
+26.7%$1.61M
est $1.11M
+45.4%−5.0%
Aug 7, 2024−$0.21
est −$0.14
−50.0%$1.11M
est $1.10M
+0.5%−7.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NextNav stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NextNav is $33.67, +186.1% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$33.67consensus 12-month target, +186.1% from the last close
Low $22High $24
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21Clear StreetBuy, initiated$24+103.9%
Jul 20Odeon Capital Group LLCBuy, initiated$22+86.9%
+23.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+15.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±8.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NextNav seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, NextNav averaged +15.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.1%2021+21.3%2022−8.9%2023+81.4%2024−10.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+18.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+15.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+14.5%2 of 5

For scale, NN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 13%.

NextNav market cap and key statistics

NextNav’s market cap is $1.61B and revenue of $3.98M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.61B
EPS, TTM
−$0.94
Gekko Fair Value
$21.18

Trading

Volume
3.19M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.09M
52-week high
$24.42
52-week low
$10.77
Shares outstanding
168.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.98M
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-77.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.16
Typical daily move
±8.5%
Typical 20-day move
±13%

NextNav peers

NextNav’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

NextNav stock FAQ

What is NextNav’s market cap?

NextNav’s market cap is $1.61B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.77, with 168.8M shares outstanding.

What is the NextNav stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NextNav is $33.67, +186.1% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NextNav stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NextNav is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.77 is 44.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.18. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NextNav report earnings next?

NextNav is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.12 per share on revenue of $991K. NextNav beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.8% on average across the report.

What is NextNav’s 52-week high and low?

NextNav’s 52-week high is $24.42 and its 52-week low is $10.77; it closed at $11.77 on Oct 12, 2026, −18.7% over the past year.

Is NextNav stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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