NYSE: PD

PagerDuty (PD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$16.24+0.08 (+0.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

PagerDuty shares touched a new 52-week high this week, trading as high as $16.57, following the company's recent earnings beat and customer growth. Coverage points to ARR surpassing $500 million for the first time, enterprise accounts with ARR over $100,000 growing, and retention rates improving sequentially, alongside continued expansion of AI tools with the introduction of SRE Agent Skills for incident response. Commentary also notes PagerDuty's standing among cloud monitoring peers such as Datadog, Dynatrace and Nutanix, and questions around valuation after the recent run.

PD closed at $16.24, up 0.5%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $13.58 and 200-day average of $9.82, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 46.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 1.5 over five days. Despite the recent highs, price remains 15.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.17.

The next earnings report is set for 24 November 2026, after the close, 43 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Smart money data shows no insider, Congress or unusual options activity recorded in their respective windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 1.7% return over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst views remain split, with 3 buy, 4 hold and 2 sell ratings and a consensus target of $12.64.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

PagerDuty price vs fair value

$19.17$16.24Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $16.24200-day averageGekko Fair Value $19.17

PagerDuty quick facts

Market cap
$1.48B
P/E ratio
7.8
Forward P/E
11
EPS, TTM
$2.02
Revenue, TTM
$494.7M
Profit margin
37.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.97
Volume
1.34M avg 1.69M
1-year return
−0.7%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±8.1%
50-day average
$13.58
200-day average
$9.82
Next earnings
Nov 24 after close
Shares outstanding
78.65M
52-week range
$5.70$16.57

PagerDuty swing-trade checklist

PagerDuty scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $16.24 is above the 50-day ($13.58) and 200-day ($9.82) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    46.4, Neutral

    Reading 46.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    15.3% below

    Price is 15.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 24, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

PagerDuty stock chart and price history

PagerDuty closed at $16.24 on Oct 12, 2026, −0.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.70 to $16.57.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
PagerDuty share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct16.24

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+15.3%
3 months
+47.8%
6 months
+168.0%
1 year
−0.7%
The full PD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PD in Gekko

Follow PagerDuty through every session

Put PD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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PagerDuty GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

PagerDuty’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.4, in the Neutral zone, down 1.5 points over five sessions.

010046.4Neutral

Down 1.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying55+0.2%−0.6%−3.3%−13.7%
Accumulation298+0.1%+0.2%−2.2%−2.5%
Neutral (current zone)3070.0%−0.2%+1.6%+1.8%
Distribution19−4.1%−4.0%−0.7%+5.2%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average PD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PD price, zone by zone.Track PD in Gekko

Is PagerDuty stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

PagerDuty trades 15.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.17, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what PagerDuty shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$19.17

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

15.3% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 32.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$19$16Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PD in Gekko

PagerDuty insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PagerDuty, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PD in Gekko

Buybacks

PagerDuty has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$100.0M, May 28, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026
$8.29M
As a share of market cap
0.56%
Trailing four quarters
$208.7M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold PD.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

PagerDuty earnings: next date and track record

PagerDuty reports on Nov 24, 2026, after the close (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.7%Nov ’24+13.1%Mar ’25−10.9%May ’25+2.8%Sep ’25−21.7%Nov ’25−4.1%Mar ’26+38.4%May ’26+13.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
PagerDuty reported Q2 FY2027 results with ARR surpassing $500 million for the first time, driven by new customer wins and existing customer expansions that exceeded guidance. Enterprise accounts with ARR over $100,000 grew, retention rates improved sequentially, and operating margin and EPS beat guidance. The company announced a restructuring and sees AI-driven software complexity as a major growth catalyst for its Operations Cloud platform.
Guidance
Management expects to accelerate progress toward its 30% long-term non-GAAP operating margin target in Q3 and Q4, partially driven by the restructuring announced. Full financial guidance for the remainder of FY2027 was to be detailed by CFO Eric Prengel.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 27, 2026$0.32
est $0.31
+4.3%$124.4M
est $123.3M
+1.0%+13.5%
May 28, 2026$0.00
est $0.25
−100.0%$121.0M
est $119.5M
+1.2%+38.4%
Mar 12, 2026$0.29
est $0.24
+20.8%$124.8M
est $123.2M
+1.3%−4.1%
Nov 25, 2025$0.33
est $0.25
+32.5%$124.5M
est $125.0M
−0.4%−21.7%
Sep 3, 2025$0.30
est $0.20
+50.0%$123.4M
est $125.1M
−1.4%+2.8%
May 29, 2025$0.24
est $0.19
+26.3%$119.8M
est $123.4M
−2.9%−10.9%
Mar 13, 2025$0.22
est $0.16
+37.5%$121.4M
est $119.5M
+1.6%+13.1%
Nov 26, 2024$0.26
est $0.17
+52.9%$118.9M
est $117.2M
+1.5%+1.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

PagerDuty stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for PagerDuty is $12.64, −22.2% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$12.64consensus 12-month target, −22.2% from the last close
Low $9.50High $15
Buy3
Hold4
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$10−38.4%
Aug 28Craig-HallumHold, maintained$12−26.1%
Aug 28Morgan StanleySell, maintained$10−38.4%
Aug 28Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$9.50−41.5%
Aug 28Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$15−7.6%
+1.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

PagerDuty seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, PagerDuty averaged +1.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+9.8%2021−7.8%2022+0.8%2023+11.8%2024−4.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.7%1 of 5

For scale, PD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.1%.

PagerDuty market cap and key statistics

PagerDuty’s market cap is $1.48B, with a P/E ratio of 7.8 and revenue of $494.7M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.48B
P/E ratio
7.8
Forward P/E
11
EPS, TTM
$2.02
Gekko Fair Value
$19.17

Trading

Volume
1.34M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.69M
52-week high
$16.57
52-week low
$5.70
Shares outstanding
78.65M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$494.7M
Profit margin
37.5%
Return on equity
82.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−40.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.97
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±8.1%

PagerDuty stock news this week

Coverage of PagerDuty this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 9 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

PagerDuty peers

PagerDuty’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

PagerDuty stock FAQ

What is PagerDuty’s market cap?

PagerDuty’s market cap is $1.48B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $16.24, with 78.65M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.8.

What is the PagerDuty stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for PagerDuty is $12.64, −22.2% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is PagerDuty stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate PagerDuty is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $16.24 is 15.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.17. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does PagerDuty report earnings next?

PagerDuty is expected to report on Nov 24, 2026, after the market closes (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.35 per share on revenue of $124.2M. PagerDuty beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.3% on average across the report.

What is PagerDuty’s 52-week high and low?

PagerDuty’s 52-week high is $16.57 and its 52-week low is $5.70; it closed at $16.24 on Oct 12, 2026, −0.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $44.93 on Nov 5, 2021.

Is PagerDuty stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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