Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TTD in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TTD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TTD in Gekko
NASDAQ: TTD
Trade Desk (TTD) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$12.34−0.26 (−2.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryTrade Desk continues to trade well off its highs, with coverage this week framing the stock's steep year-to-date decline and drawing comparisons to peers such as AppLovin and Digital Turbine, alongside commentary weighing it against Reddit as a media investment. On the partnership front, OptimizeRx announced an integration with OpenPath, Trade Desk's supply path optimization solution, giving advertisers using Trade Desk access to OptimizeRx's network of authenticated healthcare professional inventory. Broader narrative attention has also focused on the company's cash flow position amid questions about leadership and competition.
The stock closed at $12.34, down 2.1%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $14.98 and 200-day average of $23.10, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Returns have been negative across recent stretches, including a 1-month decline of 8% and a 1-year drop of 73.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 69.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price remains 39.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.52.
The next earnings date falls on 5 November, 37 days out and after market close, outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days shows 3 Congress buys and 0 sells. Analyst coverage spans 30 firms, with 3 buy, 21 hold, and 6 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $13.60. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows an average 20-day return of -0.2% from this point in the calendar, positive in 3 of those years.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Trade Desk price vs fair value
Close $12.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $20.52
Trade Desk quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.80B
- P/E ratio
- 15
- Forward P/E
- 13.9
- EPS, TTM
- $0.84
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.99B
- Profit margin
- 13.6%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.00
- Volume
- 22.74M avg 25.90M
- 1-year return
- −73.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.4%
- 50-day average
- $14.98
- 200-day average
- $23.10
- Next earnings
- Nov 5 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 429.7M
Trade Desk swing-trade checklist
Trade Desk scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $12.34 is below the 50-day ($14.98) and 200-day ($23.10) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
69.5, Accumulation
Reading 69.5 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
39.9% below
Price is 39.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 3 buys / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
−0.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Trade Desk stock chart and price history
Trade Desk closed at $12.34 on Sep 28, 2026, −73.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $12.18 to $56.39.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.0%
- 3 months
- −33.8%
- 6 months
- −42.0%
- 1 year
- −73.6%
The full TTD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TTD in Gekko
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About Trade Desk
Trade Desk builds a cloud-based platform that advertising buyers use on a self-service basis to plan, run and refine digital ad campaigns. The system supports a wide mix of formats, covering display, video, audio, native and social placements, and it delivers those ads to viewers on computers, phones and connected televisions. The company is best known for giving buyers the tools to manage data-driven campaigns across this range of channels from one platform.
Beyond the core platform, Trade Desk supplies supporting data offerings and other value-added services that complement campaign management. Its customer base centers on advertising agencies and similar firms that act on behalf of advertisers, rather than on advertisers directly.
The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Ventura, California. Trade Desk shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker TTD.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Packaged software
- Website
- thetradedesk.com
Trade Desk GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Trade Desk’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.4 points over five sessions.
69.5Accumulation
Up 5.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 81 | −1.7% | −6.5% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 233 | −1.1% | −2.6% |
| Neutral | 310 | −0.6% | −3.4% |
| Distribution | 37 | +1.3% | −0.1% |
| Selling | 11 | +1.3% | +14.3% |
Average TTD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TTD price, zone by zone.Track TTD in Gekko
Is Trade Desk stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Trade Desk trades 39.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.52, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Trade Desk shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$20.52
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
39.9% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TTD in Gekko
Trade Desk insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Trade Desk, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Cisneros House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 11 traded Aug 18 |
| Gilbert Ray Cisneros House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 7 traded Jul 17 |
| Gilbert Ray Cisneros House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 7 traded Jul 16 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Trade Desk has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $350.0M, Feb 25, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $77.82M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.34%
- Trailing four quarters
- $974.7M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold TTD.
0added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Trade Desk earnings: next date and track record
Trade Desk reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Expected after the close, 37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.05
- Revenue estimate
- $650.9M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±17.8%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- The Trade Desk reported Q2 2026 results with revenue of $715 million (up 3% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of $241 million (34% margin). Management acknowledged revenue growth below expectations, attributing underperformance to macro pressures (consumer softness leading some advertisers to prioritize cheaper media) and execution shortcomings. Management emphasized strategic priorities to stabilize and grow the business: platform/usability upgrades (Kokai/Zuma), expanded AI capabilities, measurement improvements, ramping Audience Unlimited, enterprise Kokai sales, and focused go-to-market hires. CTV and audio continued to show strong double-digit growth; video (including CTV) remained the largest channel. Management highlighted geographic momentum in EMEA and APAC and signed 200+ JBPs YTD. During Q&A, management was generally candid and confident about long-term opportunity, but cautious about near-term visibility and guiding conservatively based on current data.
- Guidance
- Management signaled a cautious near-term outlook: Q3 guidance implies continued weakness (management and analysts referenced ~mid-to-high single-digit to low double-digit declines year-over-year, with one analyst noting ~12% decline implied by the guide). CFO Nate Olmstead said visibility is more limited than in recent history and the company is not assuming any meaningful improvement in the environment in the upcoming quarter. Management emphasized a data-driven, credible guidance approach but did not provide a detailed multi-quarter numeric long-term forecast on the call.
- Risks flagged
- Management called out macroeconomic pressures (consumer softness affecting lower-income segments), pricing pressure from advertisers seeking cheaper media, geopolitical uncertainty and input cost inflation affecting CPG, tariffs affecting automotive, limited visibility into near-term demand, customer concentration among large advertisers, and execution risks tied to product and go-to-market improvements. The opening remarks also referenced SEC-filed risk factors.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $0.14 est $0.22 | $715.1M est $752.4M | −27.2% |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.28 est $0.12 | $688.9M est $678.9M | −3.9% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $0.39 est $0.34 | $846.8M est $840.6M | −4.0% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.45 est $0.20 | $739.4M est $719.0M | −9.9% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.18 est $0.18 | $694.0M est $685.5M | −39.5% |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.10 est $0.14 | $616.0M est $575.3M | +25.8% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $0.59 est $0.57 | $741.0M est $758.9M | −31.9% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.41 est $0.39 | $628.0M est $620.2M | +0.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Trade Desk stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Trade Desk is $13.60, +10.2% from the last close, from 30 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$13.60consensus 12-month target, +10.2% from the last close
Now $12.34Avg $13.60
Low $6High $21
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 30 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | BTIG | — | — |
| Sep 18 | Guggenheim | $13 | +5.3% |
| Sep 17 | Truist Financial | — | — |
| Sep 8 | RBC Capital | $15 | +21.6% |
| Sep 8 | Evercore ISI | $14 | +13.5% |
−2.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Trade Desk seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Trade Desk averaged −0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.4% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −1.5% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, TTD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.4%.
Trade Desk market cap and key statistics
Trade Desk’s market cap is $5.80B, with a P/E ratio of 15 and revenue of $2.99B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.80B
- P/E ratio
- 15
- Forward P/E
- 13.9
- EPS, TTM
- $0.84
- Gekko Fair Value
- $20.52
Trading
- Volume
- 22.74M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 25.90M
- 52-week high
- $56.39
- 52-week low
- $12.18
- Shares outstanding
- 429.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.99B
- Profit margin
- 13.6%
- Return on equity
- 15.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −23.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.00
- Typical daily move
- ±4.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.4%
Trade Desk stock news this week
Coverage of Trade Desk this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 2 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- The Trade Desk (TTD) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for InvestorsZacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- AppLovin Jumps 4% as Buyers Return After Year-Long Slide; Trade Desk Nudges Higher, Digital Turbine Barely BudgesYahoo Finance, Sep 28
- Trade Desk Is Down 68% This Year. Is It Time to Sell, or Is This a Lifetime Opportunity?24/7 Wall Street, Sep 28
- Reddit vs. The Trade Desk: Here's the Better Media Stock to Buy in 2026The Motley Fool, Sep 26
- The Trade Desk's Cash Flow Meets a Tough Test of Leadership and CompetitionThe Motley Fool, Sep 24
- The Trade Desk (TTD) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on ItZacks Investment Research, Sep 24
Trade Desk peers
Trade Desk’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSFTMicrosoft | Neutral | 17.3% above |
| PLTRPalantir Technologies | Neutral | 15.7% above |
| ORCLOracle | Accumulation | 25.9% below |
| PANWPalo Alto Networks | Neutral | 16.1% above |
| CRWDCrowdStrike | Neutral | 27.2% above |
| CRMSalesforce | Neutral | 5.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Trade Desk stock FAQ
What is Trade Desk’s market cap?
Trade Desk’s market cap is $5.80B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $12.34, with 429.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.
What is the Trade Desk stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Trade Desk is $13.60, +10.2% from the last close. Of the 30 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 21 a hold and 6 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Trade Desk stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Trade Desk is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $12.34 is 39.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.52. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Trade Desk report earnings next?
Trade Desk is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.05 per share on revenue of $650.9M. Trade Desk beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 17.8% on average across the report.
What is Trade Desk’s 52-week high and low?
Trade Desk’s 52-week high is $56.39 and its 52-week low is $12.18; it closed at $12.34 on Sep 28, 2026, −73.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $141.53 on Dec 4, 2024.
Is Trade Desk stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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