Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AUR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AUR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AUR in Gekko
NASDAQ: AUR
Aurora Innovation (AUR) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$5.29−0.75 (−12.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryAurora Innovation held its 2026 Analyst and Investor Day in Dallas, where management outlined a 2030 target of more than 30,000 driverless trucks generating $5 billion in annual revenue, an ambitious scale-up from an expected 200 driverless trucks and roughly an $80 million revenue run rate by the end of 2026. The plan includes an asset-light Driver-as-a-Service model and follows commercial freight runs already underway in Texas. Coverage of the event, including a CFO interview and an investor day transcript, dominated the week's news alongside a related SEC Form 8-K filing.
AUR closed at $5.29, down 12.4% on the week, sitting between its 50-day average of $6.32 and 200-day average of $5.51, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 68.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 14.2 over five days. Price sits 31.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $7.74.
Aurora's next earnings report is set for 27 October 2026, after the close, 28 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a beat with a 0.5% reaction. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -5.7% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows, while one billionaire holder is on record. Nine analysts carry a consensus target of $12.05, with 6 buy and 3 hold ratings.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Aurora Innovation price vs fair value
Close $5.29200-day averageGekko Fair Value $7.74
Aurora Innovation quick facts
- Market cap
- $10.37B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- —
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.46
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.00M
- Profit margin
- 0%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 2.63
- Volume
- 46.34M avg 33.81M
- 1-year return
- −5.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±7.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±13.8%
- 50-day average
- $6.32
- 200-day average
- $5.51
- Next earnings
- Oct 27 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 1.71B
Aurora Innovation swing-trade checklist
Aurora Innovation scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $5.29 sits between the 50-day ($6.32) and 200-day ($5.51) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
68.3, Accumulation
Reading 68.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
31.7% below
Price is 31.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 28 days
Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−5.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −5.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Aurora Innovation stock chart and price history
Aurora Innovation closed at $5.29 on Sep 28, 2026, −5.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $3.60 to $8.57.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −7.0%
- 3 months
- −20.1%
- 6 months
- +28.4%
- 1 year
- −5.4%
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About Aurora Innovation
Aurora Innovation builds technology aimed at letting vehicles drive themselves. Its central product, called the Aurora Driver, brings together hardware, software and data services into a single platform designed to work across different kinds of vehicles rather than being built for just one. The company is best known for this effort to create a unified system that can be applied broadly across passenger cars, light commercial vans and heavy-duty trucks.
Rather than offering separate solutions for each vehicle segment, Aurora structures its work around this one adaptable platform, applying the same underlying technology to different transportation uses. This approach ties its business to the broader push toward self-driving capability across multiple types of road vehicles.
Aurora Innovation was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker AUR.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Packaged software
- Website
- aurora.tech
Aurora Innovation GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Aurora Innovation’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 14.2 points over five sessions.
68.3Accumulation
Up 14.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 35 | −0.9% | +13.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 260 | +2.4% | +7.4% | ||
| Neutral | 349 | +0.7% | +1.4% | ||
| Distribution | 25 | −3.1% | −6.1% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AUR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AUR price, zone by zone.Track AUR in Gekko
Is Aurora Innovation stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Aurora Innovation trades 31.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $7.74, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Aurora Innovation shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$7.74
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
31.7% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AUR in Gekko
Aurora Innovation insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Aurora Innovation, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AUR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AUR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AUR in Gekko
Buybacks
Aurora Innovation has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $27.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.26%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AUR.
0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Aurora Innovation earnings: next date and track record
Aurora Innovation reports on Oct 27, 2026, after the close (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
Expected after the close, 28 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$0.12
- Revenue estimate
- $2.99M
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Aurora reported Q2 2026 results and used the call to highlight a major product milestone and commercial progress. Management debuted Aurora Driver 2 and a new driverless truck fleet based on the International LT series, stating this marks the start of commercial scaling. The company is fully allocated to exit 2026 with ~200 driverless trucks and projects 2026 revenue of $14M–$16M (midpoint up ~400% YoY), with Q4 contributing over half of full-year revenue. Q2 actual revenue was $2M; operating loss (including SBC) was $266M. Cash and short-term investments totaled nearly $1.2B at quarter end after issuing 30M shares via ATM for net proceeds of $215M. Management emphasized strong commercial momentum (multiple Transportation-as-a-Service wins and ongoing DaaS negotiations for 2027), supply partnerships (Roush, Volvo), cost-reduction progress for Gen2 (targeting ~50% hardware cost reduction versus Gen1), and confidence in hardware durability and insurance performance. They reiterated a transition plan from TaaS toward Driver-as-a-Service in 2027 and signaled flexibility to support additional test units if needed.
- Guidance
- 2026 revenue guidance of $14 million to $16 million (back-end loaded, with Q4 >50% of full year). Company expects to exit 2026 with ~200 driverless trucks in operation, representing an approximate $80 million revenue run rate for the Transportation-as-a-Service business. Management expects the core Driver-as-a-Service model to commence in 2027. (No explicit 2027 financial guidance or cash usage guidance provided.)
- Risks flagged
- Operational and execution risk related to scaling vehicle production and ramping Roush's finishing capacity; potential component cost/headwinds from inflation (though management currently expects limited margin impact); supply/demand matching risk as they balance development, spare, and commercial trucks; regulatory, safety, and insurance uncertainties inherent in autonomous vehicle deployment (noted reliance on DOT holdings and insurance coverage); general macroeconomic and market uncertainty as referenced in SEC filings. Also potential customer adoption timing risk and integration/route expansion challenges.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | −$0.14 est −$0.12 | $2.00M est $1.66M | +0.5% |
| May 6, 2026 | −$0.11 est −$0.12 | $1.00M est $967K | +9.3% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | −$0.12 est −$0.12 | $1.00M est $1.69M | −5.4% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | −$0.08 est −$0.12 | $1.00M est $1.47M | −3.2% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | −$0.11 est −$0.12 | $1.00M est $1.02M | −2.7% |
| May 8, 2025 | −$0.12 est −$0.11 | — est $150K | −0.4% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | −$0.09 est −$0.12 | — est $267K | +34.6% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | −$0.13 est −$0.11 | — est $1.58M | −24.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Aurora Innovation stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Aurora Innovation is $12.05, +127.8% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$12.05consensus 12-month target, +127.8% from the last close
Now $5.29Avg $12.05
Low $7High $18
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | Needham | $13 | +145.7% |
| Sep 24 | Craig-Hallum | — | — |
| Sep 24 | Canaccord Genuity | $17 | +221.4% |
| Sep 23 | Goldman Sachs | $7 | +32.3% |
| Sep 15 | Evercore ISI | $8 | +51.2% |
+7.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−5.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±7.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Aurora Innovation seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Aurora Innovation averaged −5.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −5.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −4.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −5.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −14.2% | 0 of 5 |
For scale, AUR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 13.8%.
Aurora Innovation market cap and key statistics
Aurora Innovation’s market cap is $10.37B and revenue of $5.00M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $10.37B
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.46
- Gekko Fair Value
- $7.74
Trading
- Volume
- 46.34M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 33.81M
- 52-week high
- $8.57
- 52-week low
- $3.60
- Shares outstanding
- 1.71B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.00M
- Profit margin
- 0%
- Return on equity
- -45.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.63
- Typical daily move
- ±7.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±13.8%
Aurora Innovation stock news this week
6 headlines about Aurora Innovation from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Aurora CFO says 30,000 driverless trucks by 2030 isn't as far-fetched as it soundsTechCrunch, Sep 28
- Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 27
- Aurora Innovation Announces Analyst and Investor Day Event in Dallas with SEC FilingKalkine Media, Sep 24
- Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Analyst/Investor Day TranscriptSeeking Alpha, Sep 24
- Aurora Innovation Targets 30,000 Driverless Trucks, $5B Revenue by 2030Defense World, Sep 24
- State Street Corp Has $156.33 Million Holdings in Aurora Innovation, Inc. $AURDefense World, Sep 24
Aurora Innovation peers
Aurora Innovation’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSFTMicrosoft | Neutral | 17.3% above |
| PLTRPalantir Technologies | Neutral | 15.7% above |
| ORCLOracle | Accumulation | 25.9% below |
| PANWPalo Alto Networks | Neutral | 16.1% above |
| CRWDCrowdStrike | Neutral | 27.2% above |
| CRMSalesforce | Neutral | 5.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Aurora Innovation stock FAQ
What is Aurora Innovation’s market cap?
Aurora Innovation’s market cap is $10.37B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $5.29, with 1.71B shares outstanding.
What is the Aurora Innovation stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Aurora Innovation is $12.05, +127.8% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Aurora Innovation stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Aurora Innovation is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $5.29 is 31.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $7.74. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Aurora Innovation report earnings next?
Aurora Innovation is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, after the market closes (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.12 per share on revenue of $2.99M. Aurora Innovation beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.1% on average across the report.
What is Aurora Innovation’s 52-week high and low?
Aurora Innovation’s 52-week high is $8.57 and its 52-week low is $3.60; it closed at $5.29 on Sep 28, 2026, −5.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $17.77 on Nov 19, 2021.
Is Aurora Innovation stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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