NASDAQ: NTCT

NetScout Systems (NTCT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$40.05−0.64 (−1.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

NetScout Systems reported fiscal Q1 2027 results this week, with revenue up 12.7% to $210.4 million, driven in part by government-related orders and a contribution from a recent cloud DDoS acquisition. Product revenue grew 17.8% and service revenue grew 9.4%, while adjusted diluted EPS came in at $0.52 and gross margin improved 190 bps to 80.6%. The company also enhanced its Omnis AI Insights solution with Model Context Protocol connectivity, extending its AI-related capabilities, and Argus raised its target price on the stock to $45.00.

NTCT closed at $40.05, down 1.6% on the day, but remains above both its 50-day average of $39.07 and its 200-day average of $35.54, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at 5.3% and its one-year return at 51.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 56, placing it in the Neutral zone, while the price sits 17.1% above the Gekko Fair Value of $34.19.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main event is the fiscal Q2 2027 earnings report due 5 November 2026 before the open, 24 days away, with analysts anticipating $0.6630 per share on revenue of $222.42 million. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality has historically been supportive, with the next 20 trading days averaging a 6.3% gain over five years, rising in four of those years. The sole covering analyst holds a consensus target of $43.38, implying 8.3% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

NetScout Systems price vs fair value

$40.05$34.19Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $40.05200-day averageGekko Fair Value $34.19

NetScout Systems quick facts

Market cap
$2.91B
P/E ratio
24.1
Forward P/E
15.2
EPS, TTM
$1.63
Revenue, TTM
$883.2M
Profit margin
13.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.69
Volume
442,630 avg 618,488
1-year return
+51.1%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%
50-day average
$39.07
200-day average
$35.54
Next earnings
Nov 5 before open
Shares outstanding
72.71M
52-week range
$25.20$45.28

NetScout Systems swing-trade checklist

NetScout Systems scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $40.05 is above the 50-day ($39.07) and 200-day ($35.54) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56, Neutral

    Reading 56 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    17.1% above

    Price is 17.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NetScout Systems stock chart and price history

NetScout Systems closed at $40.05 on Oct 12, 2026, +51.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $25.20 to $45.28.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
NetScout Systems share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30$35$45NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct40.05

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.3%
3 months
−7.3%
6 months
+22.7%
1 year
+51.1%
The full NTCT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NTCT in Gekko

Follow NetScout Systems through every session

Put NTCT on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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NetScout Systems GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NetScout Systems’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56, in the Neutral zone, up 7.4 points over five sessions.

010056Neutral

Up 7.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying27+1.7%+1.9%+2.0%+12.0%
Accumulation173+0.9%+0.8%+3.6%+5.6%
Neutral (current zone)456+0.5%+1.2%+1.7%+5.3%
Distribution24−1.5%−1.3%−1.1%−2.0%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average NTCT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NTCT price, zone by zone.Track NTCT in Gekko

Is NetScout Systems stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NetScout Systems trades 17.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $34.19, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NetScout Systems shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$34.19

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

17.1% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 26.7% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$34$41Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NTCT in Gekko

NetScout Systems insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NetScout Systems, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NTCT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NTCT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NTCT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NTCT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NTCT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NTCT in Gekko

Buybacks

NetScout Systems has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$25.34M
As a share of market cap
0.87%
Trailing four quarters
$87.02M

From company filings.

NetScout Systems earnings: next date and track record

NetScout Systems reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.2%Oct ’24+6.7%Jan ’25+1.9%May ’25−0.6%Aug ’25+5.1%Nov ’25−2.6%Feb ’26+10.1%May ’26−6.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
NETSCOUT's Q1 FY2027 call highlighted solid financial performance with total revenue of $210.4M, up 12.7% year-over-year, driven in part by government-related orders and contribution from a recent cloud DDoS acquisition. Product revenue grew 17.8% and service revenue grew 9.4%. Gross margin improved 190 bps to 80.6% driven by favorable product mix; operating expenses rose modestly (+4.6%) but operating margin improved significantly. Management emphasized innovation (750th patent), traction in AI-enabled offerings (Omnis, Sensor, Streamer, ADP for DDoS), and continued focus on investing in R&D, expanding margins, and free cash flow. They noted a product backlog of ~$33M ($28M fulfillable). During Q&A management quantified $10-15M of government orders pulled into Q1, discussed inventory build to mitigate supply constraints (+$7M), and characterized demand/linearity dynamics in Federal and international markets. Overall tone was confident and constructive, with cautious notes on sales cycles for large AI projects, customer experimentation, supply-chain pressures, and timing of federal funding.
Guidance
Service revenue expected to grow in the low-single-digits for fiscal year 2027. Management indicated normalized growth in Q1 would have been mid-single-digits (i.e., underlying H1 growth consistent with full-year outlook). No explicit consolidated revenue or EPS guidance provided in the transcript excerpts.
Risks flagged
Supply-chain constraints and rising prices for hardware components driven by AI data center build-out; timing and magnitude of federal funding can materially impact quarter-to-quarter results; long sales cycles and customer experimentation for AI-enabled projects may delay revenue recognition; small current contribution from new AI products (sensor/streamer/Omnis) implies execution risk in scaling adoption; potential variability in product/service mix affecting margins.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.32
est $0.21
+52.4%$210.4M
est $196.2M
+7.3%−6.3%
May 7, 2026$0.52
est $0.46
+13.0%$203.0M
est $198.6M
+2.2%+10.1%
Feb 5, 2026$1.00
est $0.82
+22.0%$250.7M
est $233.5M
+7.3%−2.6%
Nov 6, 2025$0.62
est $0.45
+37.8%$219.0M
est $200.3M
+9.3%+5.1%
Aug 7, 2025$0.34
est $0.30
+13.3%$186.7M
est $198.0M
−5.7%−0.6%
May 8, 2025$0.52
est $0.49
+6.1%$205.0M
est $192.4M
+6.5%+1.9%
Jan 30, 2025$0.94
est $0.69
+36.2%$252.0M
est $194.8M
+29.4%+6.7%
Oct 24, 2024$0.47
est $0.45
+4.4%$191.1M
est $188.4M
+1.4%−1.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NetScout Systems stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NetScout Systems is $43.38, +8.3% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$43.38consensus 12-month target, +8.3% from the last close
Buy0
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 16RBC CapitalHold, maintained$43+7.4%
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+6.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NetScout Systems seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, NetScout Systems averaged +6.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+24.2%2021+8.6%2022−20.7%2023+5.3%2024+11.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.5%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.8%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.2%4 of 5

For scale, NTCT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.

NetScout Systems market cap and key statistics

NetScout Systems’s market cap is $2.91B, with a P/E ratio of 24.1 and revenue of $883.2M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.91B
P/E ratio
24.1
Forward P/E
15.2
EPS, TTM
$1.63
Gekko Fair Value
$34.19

Trading

Volume
442,630
Avg volume, 20 days
618,488
52-week high
$45.28
52-week low
$25.20
Shares outstanding
72.71M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$883.2M
Profit margin
13.7%
Return on equity
7.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−7.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.69
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%

NetScout Systems stock news this week

Coverage of NetScout Systems this week reads positive: 5 positive, 0 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

NetScout Systems peers

NetScout Systems’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

NetScout Systems stock FAQ

What is NetScout Systems’s market cap?

NetScout Systems’s market cap is $2.91B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $40.05, with 72.71M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.1.

What is the NetScout Systems stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NetScout Systems is $43.38, +8.3% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NetScout Systems stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NetScout Systems is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $40.05 is 17.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $34.19. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NetScout Systems report earnings next?

NetScout Systems is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.66 per share on revenue of $222.4M. NetScout Systems beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.

What is NetScout Systems’s 52-week high and low?

NetScout Systems’s 52-week high is $45.28 and its 52-week low is $25.20; it closed at $40.05 on Oct 12, 2026, +51.1% over the past year.

Is NetScout Systems stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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