NYSE: IBTA

Ibotta (IBTA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$42.96−0.11 (−0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Ibotta's announcement that it will report third-quarter 2026 results on 2 November drew attention alongside continued commentary on its valuation, with one piece noting a hold rating tied to an 83% year-to-date share price surge and premium valuation versus digital advertising peers, despite negative near-term EBITDA growth and expansion including a new 7-Eleven partnership. Separate filings disclosed a correction to a director's stock award report and insider share sales by the Chief Technology Officer and CEO under existing Rule 10b5-1 trading plans.

Shares closed at $42.96, down 0.3%, sitting above both the 50-day average of $38.92 and the 200-day average of $31.07, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 49.4, placing IBTA in the Neutral zone, down 3.5 over the past five sessions. Price remains 25.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $34.16, a gap flagged as a headwind in the trend checklist.

The next earnings date falls on 2 November, after market close, 21 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 3 August saw a 55.6% reaction against an EPS miss of -0.19 versus a 0.06 estimate. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Analyst coverage from 6 firms shows 1 buy, 3 hold, and 2 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $36.14, implying a -15.9% consensus upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Ibotta price vs fair value

$42.96$34.16Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $42.96200-day averageGekko Fair Value $34.16

Ibotta quick facts

Market cap
$1.09B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
24.7
EPS, TTM
−$0.47
Revenue, TTM
$343.2M
Profit margin
-3.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
-0.28
Volume
315,770 avg 224,810
1-year return
+40.0%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±11.8%
50-day average
$38.92
200-day average
$31.07
Next earnings
Nov 2 after close
Shares outstanding
20.15M
52-week range
$19.10$43.85

Ibotta swing-trade checklist

Ibotta scores 1 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $42.96 is above the 50-day ($38.92) and 200-day ($31.07) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.4, Neutral

    Reading 49.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    25.8% above

    Price is 25.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ibotta stock chart and price history

Ibotta closed at $42.96 on Oct 12, 2026, +40.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.10 to $43.85.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ibotta share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$30$35$40$45NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct42.96

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+4.4%
3 months
+41.1%
6 months
+28.8%
1 year
+40.0%
The full IBTA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open IBTA in Gekko

Follow Ibotta through every session

Put IBTA on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Ibotta

Ibotta builds digital promotion technology, helping shoppers access offers tied to everyday purchases. The company's main product, the Ibotta Performance Network, gives consumer packaged goods brands a way to push digital discounts straight to buyers. This network is the piece Ibotta is most associated with in its field.

Beyond brands themselves, Ibotta's platform reaches a wider set of partners, connecting publishers, retailers, and advertisers into the same promotional system. This structure lets the company act as a middle layer, moving offers from brands through multiple channels until they reach the end consumer.

Ibotta traces its start to 2011, when it was first set up under the name Zing Enterprises, Inc., before taking on the Ibotta name in 2012. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker IBTA.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
ibotta.com

Ibotta GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ibotta’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.4, in the Neutral zone, down 3.5 points over five sessions.

010049.4Neutral

Down 3.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying700.0%+1.7%+4.4%+2.1%
Accumulation2370.0%+0.3%+0.3%+3.7%
Neutral (current zone)295−0.1%−1.2%−2.4%−9.5%
Distribution15−5.3%−9.0%−20.5%−26.1%
Selling0Not available

Average IBTA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the IBTA price, zone by zone.Track IBTA in Gekko

Is Ibotta stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ibotta trades 25.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $34.16, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ibotta shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$34.16

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

25.8% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.0% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$34$43Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open IBTA in Gekko

Ibotta insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ibotta, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for IBTA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every IBTA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IBTA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in IBTA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for IBTA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IBTA in Gekko

Buybacks

Ibotta has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$100.0M, Mar 12, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$25.95M
As a share of market cap
2.38%
Trailing four quarters
$163.6M

From company filings.

Ibotta earnings: next date and track record

Ibotta reports on Nov 2, 2026, after the close (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±26.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−14.3%Nov ’24−47.2%Feb ’25+20.6%May ’25−28.2%Aug ’25−19.7%Nov ’25+28.2%Feb ’26−0.1%May ’26+55.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ibotta reported Q2 2026 results that beat the high end of guidance and marked a return to year-over-year revenue growth a quarter earlier than expected. Revenue was $88.9 million, up 3% year-over-year, with redemption revenue of $80.2 million (up 10% YoY). Third-party redemption revenue grew 27% YoY while D2C redemption revenue declined 24% YoY. Management attributed the top-line acceleration to improved advertiser offer supply, stronger go-to-market execution (including a verticalized sales structure and a B2B marketing function), seasonal event timing (e.g., Walmart deal days), and traction for newer capabilities like LiveLift. Redeemers reached 20.9 million (up 21% YoY), and redemptions per redeemer on third-party publishers increased YoY for the first time since Q3 2024. Management highlighted new publisher wins (7-Eleven, Uber Eats, Giant Eagle) and expansion across multiple retail verticals. CFO emphasized margin leverage as revenue growth continues, pointing to recent quarter improvement and trailing-12-month EBITDA margin of ~16% despite prior revenue declines. Management reiterated investments made in the transformation and expect those to moderate as revenue growth continues. No explicit numeric Q3 guidance was given on the live call; references were made to the Q3 2026 guidance included in the press release and investor materials.
Guidance
No new numeric forward-looking guidance was presented on the live call. Management stated they exceeded the high end of Q2 guidance and referenced guidance for Q3 2026 in the press release and accompanying investor materials, but did not provide specific Q3 numeric targets on the call.
Risks flagged
Management and the operator highlighted several risks: macroeconomic headwinds affecting CPG advertisers and their budgets, the need to continue convincing clients to reallocate budgets (annual budget cycles and marketing classification), potential delays or complexity in rolling out publisher partnerships (e.g., 7-Eleven rollout across many stores), D2C decline and the challenge of regrowing that channel, and general forward-looking uncertainty (SEC risk-factor references). Management also noted industry behaviors and the need for behavioral change among finance teams to adopt products like LiveLift.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026−$0.19
est $0.06
−416.7%$88.90M
est $84.97M
+4.6%+55.6%
May 6, 2026$0.24
est $0.26
−7.7%$82.48M
est $80.72M
+2.2%−0.1%
Feb 25, 2026−$0.04
est −$0.01
−300.0%$88.53M
est $83.23M
+6.4%+28.2%
Nov 12, 2025$0.05
est $0.35
−85.8%$83.26M
est $83.23M
0.0%−19.7%
Aug 13, 2025$0.08
est $0.18
−55.6%$86.03M
est $101.8M
−15.5%−28.2%
May 14, 2025$0.02
est $0.01
+100.0%$84.57M
est $89.21M
−5.2%+20.6%
Feb 26, 2025$2.27
est $0.44
+415.9%$98.38M
est $103.6M
−5.1%−47.2%
Nov 13, 2024$0.94
est $0.69
+36.2%$98.62M
est $94.10M
+4.8%−14.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ibotta stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ibotta is $36.14, −15.9% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$36.14consensus 12-month target, −15.9% from the last close
Low $22High $45
Buy1
Hold3
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 5UBSHold, maintained$38−11.5%
Aug 4Wells FargoHold, maintained$40−6.9%
Aug 4NeedhamBuy, reiterated$45+4.7%
Aug 4Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$22−48.8%
Aug 4Goldman SachsSell, maintained$32−25.5%
−2.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ibotta market cap and key statistics

Ibotta’s market cap is $1.09B and revenue of $343.2M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.09B
Forward P/E
24.7
EPS, TTM
−$0.47
Gekko Fair Value
$34.16

Trading

Volume
315,770
Avg volume, 20 days
224,810
52-week high
$43.85
52-week low
$19.10
Shares outstanding
20.15M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$343.2M
Profit margin
-3.2%
Return on equity
-3.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−90.2%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.28
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±11.8%

Ibotta peers

Ibotta’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ibotta stock FAQ

What is Ibotta’s market cap?

Ibotta’s market cap is $1.09B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $42.96, with 20.15M shares outstanding.

What is the Ibotta stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ibotta is $36.14, −15.9% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ibotta stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ibotta is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $42.96 is 25.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $34.16. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ibotta report earnings next?

Ibotta is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, after the market closes (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.08 per share on revenue of $88.60M. Ibotta beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 26.7% on average across the report.

What is Ibotta’s 52-week high and low?

Ibotta’s 52-week high is $43.85 and its 52-week low is $19.10; it closed at $42.96 on Oct 12, 2026, +40.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $117.59 on Apr 18, 2024.

Is Ibotta stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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