NASDAQ: RDVT

Red Violet (RDVT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$80.17+0.39 (+0.5%)
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Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Red Violet shares have been buoyed this week by continued attention on its Q2 2026 results, which showed revenue of $26.7 million, up 23% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 48% to $11.2 million and EPS of $0.50 against an estimate of $0.33. Wall Street Zen upgraded the stock from "hold" to "buy," adding to a consensus "Buy" rating, and coverage has noted the shares trading near their 52-week high while sitting below the average analyst target, with growth investors highlighted for projected EPS growth of 23.5% for the current year.

RDVT closed at $80.17, up 0.5%, and remains above both its 50-day average of $73.97 and 200-day average of $55.26, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reading of 51.9 places the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 16% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.12.

Red Violet's next earnings date is 4 November 2026, after the close, falling within the next 20 trading days; its last reaction to results was a move of 8.7%, against an average absolute reaction of 10.8% across prior quarters. Smart money activity in the last 90 days includes one open-market insider purchase valued at $142,980. Seasonality over this stretch of the calendar has averaged a 20-day return of 8.9% over 5 years, with gains in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the proximity of the earnings date.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Red Violet price vs fair value

$80.17$69.12Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $80.17200-day averageGekko Fair Value $69.12

Red Violet quick facts

Market cap
$1.13B
P/E ratio
70
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
$1.14
Revenue, TTM
$99.02M
Profit margin
16.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.78
Volume
99,778 avg 183,373
1-year return
+52.8%
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
50-day average
$73.97
200-day average
$55.26
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
16.05M
52-week range
$33.40$81.80

Red Violet swing-trade checklist

Red Violet scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $80.17 is above the 50-day ($73.97) and 200-day ($55.26) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    51.9, Neutral

    Reading 51.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    16.0% above

    Price is 16% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +8.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Red Violet stock chart and price history

Red Violet closed at $80.17 on Oct 12, 2026, +52.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.40 to $81.80.

5Y and weekly in Gekko
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Red Violet share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct80.17

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+6.9%
3 months
+17.2%
6 months
+119.1%
1 year
+52.8%
The full RDVT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RDVT in Gekko

Follow Red Violet through every session

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About Red Violet

Red Violet builds software and data-driven tools that help organizations verify identities and assess risk, mostly for clients in the United States. Its main product, idiCORE, is an investigative platform used for due diligence, risk screening, identity verification, and compliance work. It also offers FOREWARN, an app that gives professionals quick background information before meeting consumers in person, so they can spot potential risks ahead of time.

The company serves a wide range of sectors, including financial services, insurance, healthcare, retail, and telecommunications, as well as law enforcement, government bodies, collections agencies, corporate security teams, and investigative firms. These customers use Red Violet's tools to reduce risk, detect and prevent fraud, meet regulatory requirements, and support customer acquisition. Red Violet reaches these markets through a mix of direct sales, resellers, distributors, and partnerships, backed by marketing efforts such as trade shows, advertising, and public relations.

Red Violet was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker RDVT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
redviolet.com

Red Violet GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Red Violet’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.9, in the Neutral zone, up 1.5 points over five sessions.

010051.9Neutral

Up 1.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying11+1.6%0.0%+5.5%+14.0%
Accumulation156+1.4%+3.0%+7.0%+19.0%
Neutral (current zone)439+1.5%+2.8%+5.2%+12.4%
Distribution73−0.3%0.0%+1.0%+7.4%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average RDVT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RDVT price, zone by zone.Track RDVT in Gekko

Is Red Violet stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Red Violet trades 16.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.12, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Red Violet shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$69.12

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

16.0% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$69$80Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RDVT in Gekko

Red Violet insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Red Violet worth $143K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$143Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 27LIVEK WILLIAM PAUL
director		Purchase2,000$143K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RDVT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RDVT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RDVT in Gekko

Buybacks

Red Violet has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$2.69M
As a share of market cap
0.24%
Trailing four quarters
$4.13M

From company filings.

Red Violet earnings: next date and track record

Red Violet reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.8%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+13.4%Nov ’24+3.2%Feb ’25+17.8%May ’25−3.6%Aug ’25+13.9%Nov ’25+4.6%Mar ’26+21.4%May ’26+8.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Red Violet reported record Q2 2026 results with revenue of $26.7M, up 23% YoY, marking 31 consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth. Adjusted gross margin hit a record 86%, adjusted EBITDA surged 48% to $11.2M (42% margin), and adjusted net income rose 58% to $7.2M ($0.50 diluted EPS). Cash flow from operations increased 42% to $10.6M. The company also recorded its highest single-quarter customer additions in company history.
Guidance
Management did not provide specific numerical guidance in this excerpt but expressed confidence that growth momentum is not slowing, citing AI-driven demand acceleration for identity intelligence as a structural tailwind that continues to expand their competitive advantage.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 10, 2026$0.50
est $0.33		+50.1%$26.72M
est $25.62M		+4.3%+8.7%
May 6, 2026$0.46
est $0.33		+39.4%$25.83M
est $24.63M		+4.9%+21.4%
Mar 4, 2026$0.21
est $0.14		+54.5%$23.40M
est $22.00M		+6.3%+4.6%
Nov 5, 2025$0.39
est $0.32		+21.9%$23.08M
est $22.00M		+4.9%+13.9%
Aug 6, 2025$0.28
est $0.28		0.0%$21.77M
est $22.77M		−4.4%−3.6%
May 7, 2025$0.33
est $0.23		+43.5%$22.00M
est $20.43M		+7.7%+17.8%
Feb 27, 2025$0.09
est $0.09		0.0%$19.57M
est $18.08M		+8.2%+3.2%
Nov 6, 2024$0.22
est $0.23		−4.3%$19.06M
est $18.08M		+5.4%+13.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Red Violet stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Red Violet is $84.50, +5.4% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$84.50consensus 12-month target, +5.4% from the last close
Low $73High $90
Buy4
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17Raymond JamesBuy, initiated$90+12.3%
Sep 1NeedhamBuy, initiated$90+12.3%
Aug 11Lake StreetBuy, reiterated$73−8.9%
Aug 7B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$81+1.0%
Jul 30B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, maintained$81+1.0%
+5.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+8.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Red Violet seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Red Violet averaged +8.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+19.9%2021−11.5%2022−4.3%2023+34.3%2024+13.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.7%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+8.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+19.1%4 of 5

For scale, RDVT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8%.

Red Violet market cap and key statistics

Red Violet’s market cap is $1.13B, with a P/E ratio of 70 and revenue of $99.02M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.13B
P/E ratio
70
EPS, TTM
$1.14
Gekko Fair Value
$69.12

Trading

Volume
99,778
Avg volume, 20 days
183,373
52-week high
$81.80
52-week low
$33.40
Shares outstanding
16.05M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$99.02M
Profit margin
16.5%
Return on equity
15.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+88.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.78
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8%

Red Violet stock news this week

Coverage of Red Violet this week reads positive: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Red Violet peers

Red Violet’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

VZTMUSTBMYINGBCS

Reporting earnings this week

JPMJNJUNHGSWFCC

Popular on Gekko

NVDATSLAMSFTAMZNMETAGOOGL

Red Violet stock FAQ

What is Red Violet’s market cap?

Red Violet’s market cap is $1.13B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $80.17, with 16.05M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 70.

What is the Red Violet stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Red Violet is $84.50, +5.4% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Red Violet stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Red Violet is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $80.17 is 16.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.12. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Red Violet report earnings next?

Red Violet is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.41 per share on revenue of $27.22M. Red Violet beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.8% on average across the report.

What is Red Violet’s 52-week high and low?

Red Violet’s 52-week high is $81.80 and its 52-week low is $33.40; it closed at $80.17 on Oct 12, 2026, +52.8% over the past year.

Is Red Violet stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

Built and overseen by Jared Mann

Founder of Gekko.app. Jared has traded stocks and ETFs for more than 20 years and has a financial industry background.

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