NASDAQ: FROG

JFrog (FROG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$88.81−0.37 (−0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

JFrog shares have swung this week amid a decline that briefly pulled the stock to $89.18 and again to near $92.81, close to its 52-week high, even as commentary points to strong underlying momentum. Coverage highlights the company's Q2 2026 results, which showed increased revenue, improved operating profitability, and a narrower net loss year-over-year, with the stock described as meeting Minervini Trend Template and High Growth Momentum criteria. Analyst commentary maintains a "Moderate Buy" characterization with an average price target cited at $109.48, while separate valuation commentary flagged the shares as overvalued relative to a GF Value estimate of $52.72.

FROG last closed at $88.81, down 0.4%, sitting almost exactly at its 50-day average of $88.89 and well above its 200-day average of $67.86. The GekkoIndex reads 60.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and price sits just 1.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.84.

The next earnings date falls on 5 November 2026, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows, though three trailblazer holders are noted. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +0.8% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a modest historical tendency worth noting alongside the stock's typical 20-day move of 9.8%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

JFrog price vs fair value

$89.84$88.81Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $88.81200-day averageGekko Fair Value $89.84

JFrog quick facts

Market cap
$10.76B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
81.3
EPS, TTM
−$0.38
Revenue, TTM
$600.0M
Profit margin
-7.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.28
Volume
1.55M avg 1.81M
1-year return
+79.2%
Typical daily move
±5.5%
Typical 20-day move
±9.8%
50-day average
$88.89
200-day average
$67.86
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
123.3M
52-week range
$34.05$105.76

JFrog swing-trade checklist

JFrog scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $88.81 sits between the 50-day ($88.89) and 200-day ($67.86) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.7, Accumulation

    Reading 60.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.1% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.1% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

JFrog stock chart and price history

JFrog closed at $88.81 on Sep 28, 2026, +79.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $34.05 to $105.76.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
JFrog share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$60$80$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep88.81

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.6%
3 months
−1.4%
6 months
+104.9%
1 year
+79.2%
The full FROG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FROG in Gekko

Follow JFrog through every session

Put FROG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About JFrog

JFrog provides a set of tools that help organizations manage the process of building, storing, and releasing software. Its core product, Artifactory, acts as a repository where teams can hold and update software packages at any scale. Around this, JFrog builds out tools for automating software delivery, scanning packages for security and quality issues, distributing releases, and transferring only the changed parts of a package to save time and resources. It is best known for this end-to-end approach to handling software from creation through deployment.

The company also offers a dashboard for overseeing the full software supply chain, an analytics tool for tracking DevOps activity, and a device management product for updating and monitoring IoT hardware remotely. Its offerings come in several tiers, from basic to enterprise-level plans, which add features such as cluster setup, replication across sites, and dedicated support agreements. JFrog serves customers across technology, financial services, retail, healthcare, and telecommunications, working with organizations throughout the United States.

JFrog was founded in 2008 and is based in Sunnyvale, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker FROG.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
jfrog.com

JFrog GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

JFrog’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.6 points over five sessions.

010060.7Accumulation

Up 2.6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying29+5.3%+2.0%+3.2%+17.9%
Accumulation (current zone)172+0.4%+1.8%+4.7%+15.1%
Neutral402+1.0%+2.0%+4.0%+9.2%
Distribution56+2.3%+4.8%+6.3%−0.7%
Selling13−2.8%−0.2%+5.6%+6.1%

Average FROG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FROG price, zone by zone.Track FROG in Gekko

Is JFrog stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

JFrog trades 1.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.84, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what JFrog shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$89.84

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

1.1% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FROG in Gekko

JFrog insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for JFrog, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FROG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FROG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FROG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FROG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FROG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FROG in Gekko

Buybacks

JFrog has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$300.0M, Feb 26, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$2.03M
As a share of market cap
0.02%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold FROG.

0added0opened3trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

JFrog earnings: next date and track record

JFrog reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.8%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.0%Nov ’24+7.8%Feb ’25+12.9%May ’25+3.8%Aug ’25+30.1%Nov ’25−0.6%Feb ’26+31.1%May ’26+5.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
JFrog reported strong Q2 2026 results, with total revenue of $163.8 million, up 29% year-over-year, and cloud revenue accelerating 53% to $87.5 million, representing 53% of total revenue. Management emphasized that results exceeded the high end of guidance across all metrics, highlighted robust cloud usage and expansion, security product momentum (notably Curation, Xray and Advanced Security), and continued enterprise adoption with higher-value Enterprise Plus subscriptions (59% of revenue). Net dollar retention for the trailing four quarters was 121%. The company reported record RPO/billings strength and continued conversions of usage over commitment into higher annual commitments. Management framed JFrog as the control plane for software supply chains in an AI-driven era and emphasized the growing importance of security and governance for binaries, models and AI agents. The OpenAI-discovered Artifactory zero-day was discussed: management described rapid remediation, close partnership with OpenAI, the SaaS/cloud environment was not breached, and the incident was presented as both a lesson and a demand catalyst for security and cloud adoption. Management remained confident about execution, free cash flow momentum and the strategic positioning of the platform ahead of their swampUP conference.
Guidance
Management stated that Q2 results exceeded the high end of guidance across every key metric and referenced a raised full-year guidance communicated in the press release, and they reiterated their focus on delivering 2026 commitments. No new numeric third-quarter or full-year guidance figures were presented on the call itself.
Risks flagged
Increased frequency and sophistication of software supply chain attacks and AI-enabled attacks; the emergence of vulnerabilities (including the recent Artifactory zero-day) which can prompt customer migration decisions; dependency on converting self-managed customers to cloud; potential regulatory and governance requirements around models and AI agents; and general macro/IT spending uncertainty. These risks may increase costs for remediation, slow some conversions, or require additional product investment.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.01
est −$0.04
+125.0%$163.8M
est $155.6M
+5.2%+5.9%
May 7, 2026$0.27
est $0.21
+28.6%$154.0M
est $147.4M
+4.4%+31.1%
Feb 12, 2026$0.22
est $0.19
+15.8%$145.3M
est $138.1M
+5.2%−0.6%
Nov 6, 2025$0.22
est $0.16
+34.4%$136.9M
est $128.3M
+6.7%+30.1%
Aug 7, 2025$0.18
est $0.16
+12.5%$127.2M
est $128.2M
−0.7%+3.8%
May 8, 2025$0.20
est $0.16
+25.0%$122.4M
est $117.4M
+4.3%+12.9%
Feb 13, 2025$0.19
est $0.14
+35.7%$116.1M
est $114.2M
+1.6%+7.8%
Nov 7, 2024$0.15
est $0.10
+50.0%$109.1M
est $114.2M
−4.5%−2.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

JFrog stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for JFrog is $112.00, +26.1% from the last close, from 22 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$112.00consensus 12-month target, +26.1% from the last close
Low $90High $120
Buy20
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 22 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Sep 4D.A. DavidsonBuy, reiterated$115+29.5%
Sep 4Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Sep 4Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$102+14.9%
Sep 3Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$110+23.9%
+4.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

JFrog seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, JFrog averaged +0.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.0%2021+21.0%2022−15.2%2023+1.0%2024+0.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.0%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+10.8%5 of 5

For scale, FROG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.8%.

JFrog market cap and key statistics

JFrog’s market cap is $10.76B and revenue of $600.0M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.76B
Forward P/E
81.3
EPS, TTM
−$0.38
Gekko Fair Value
$89.84

Trading

Volume
1.55M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.81M
52-week high
$105.76
52-week low
$34.05
Shares outstanding
123.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$600.0M
Profit margin
-7.3%
Return on equity
-4.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.28
Typical daily move
±5.5%
Typical 20-day move
±9.8%

JFrog stock news this week

Coverage of JFrog this week reads positive: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

JFrog peers

JFrog’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

JFrog stock FAQ

What is JFrog’s market cap?

JFrog’s market cap is $10.76B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $88.81, with 123.3M shares outstanding.

What is the JFrog stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for JFrog is $112.00, +26.1% from the last close. Of the 22 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 20 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is JFrog stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate JFrog is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $88.81 is 1.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.84. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does JFrog report earnings next?

JFrog is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.23 per share on revenue of $165.8M. JFrog beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.8% on average across the report.

What is JFrog’s 52-week high and low?

JFrog’s 52-week high is $105.76 and its 52-week low is $34.05; it closed at $88.81 on Sep 28, 2026, +79.2% over the past year.

Is JFrog stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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