NASDAQ: SRAD

Sportradar (SRAD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$12.67+0.18 (+1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Sportradar's week centers on the divestiture of the coaching and scouting business of Synergy Sports to Teamworks Innovations, announced on 7 October. The company frames the move as streamlining its business to sharpen focus on core betting, gaming, and media priorities. This follows a second-quarter report in which revenue rose 19% year-over-year to EUR 378 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20%, though the last earnings reaction was -11.2% against an EPS miss of -0.01 versus an estimate of 0.06.

Shares closed at $12.67, up 1.4%, but remain below both the 50-day average of $12.76 and the 200-day average of $15.61, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex sits at 59.3, in the Neutral zone, down 4.8 over five days. Price stands 17.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $15.31. One-year return is -49.9%, with six-month and three-month returns at -21.5% and -15.7% respectively.

Sportradar next reports earnings on 4 November, 23 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day hold, with an average absolute reaction of 9.3% historically. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, though one billionaire holder is noted. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +3.3% over five years, rising in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus across 21 firms shows 14 buy and 7 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $18.10.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Sportradar price vs fair value

$15.31$12.67Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $12.67200-day averageGekko Fair Value $15.31

Sportradar quick facts

Market cap
$3.75B
P/E ratio
207.3
Forward P/E
30.3
EPS, TTM
$0.06
Revenue, TTM
$1.39B
Profit margin
1.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.59
Volume
1.09M avg 2.11M
1-year return
−49.9%
Typical daily move
±4.3%
Typical 20-day move
±9.8%
50-day average
$12.76
200-day average
$15.61
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
217.5M
52-week range
$11.39$27.85

Sportradar swing-trade checklist

Sportradar scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $12.67 is below the 50-day ($12.76) and 200-day ($15.61) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.3, Neutral

    Reading 59.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    17.2% below

    Price is 17.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +3.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Sportradar stock chart and price history

Sportradar closed at $12.67 on Oct 12, 2026, −49.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.39 to $27.85.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Sportradar share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$20$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct12.67

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.9%
3 months
−15.7%
6 months
−21.5%
1 year
−49.9%
The full SRAD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SRAD in Gekko

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About Sportradar

Sportradar supplies data and technology built around sports betting and media. Working through its subsidiaries, it collects and processes sports data and odds, then turns that information into software, content and tools used across the wagering and broadcasting world. Its Betradar brand is the face of this work for bookmakers, while Sportradar Media Services handles the media side of the business.

The company's products span the full chain of sports betting activity, from drawing in traffic through advertising technology to gathering and refining data, setting odds, visualizing events, managing risk and running platform services. It also provides gaming solutions, entertainment products and live streaming built for online, mobile and retail betting channels. Its customers include sports leagues, betting operators and media organizations, and it operates in markets such as the United Kingdom, the United States, Malta and Switzerland among other locations.

Sportradar was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in St. Gallen, Switzerland. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker SRAD.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
sportradar.com

Sportradar GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Sportradar’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.3, in the Neutral zone, down 4.8 points over five sessions.

010059.3Neutral

Down 4.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying71−0.6%−0.4%−0.3%−4.2%
Accumulation170+0.8%+0.2%+0.2%−3.3%
Neutral (current zone)387+0.1%+0.8%+2.3%+7.0%
Distribution53+1.1%+1.2%−0.3%+7.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average SRAD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SRAD price, zone by zone.Track SRAD in Gekko

Is Sportradar stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Sportradar trades 17.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $15.31, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Sportradar shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$15.31

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

17.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 11.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$15$12Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SRAD in Gekko

Sportradar insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Sportradar, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SRAD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SRAD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SRAD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SRAD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SRAD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SRAD in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SRAD.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Sportradar earnings: next date and track record

Sportradar reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+25.4%Nov ’24+11.1%Mar ’25+1.1%May ’25−3.7%Aug ’25−10.6%Nov ’25−1.8%Mar ’26−9.4%Apr ’26−11.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Sportradar reported strong second-quarter operational results with revenue up 19% year-over-year to EUR 378 million, an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20% and significant free cash flow. Management highlighted continued monetization of IMG ARENA content, product innovation (Playradar, iGaming offerings, foundation models for live data), and early traction in prediction market partnerships (e.g., Kalshi). They accelerated share repurchases (approx. $140m in Q2; $422m total year-to-date under a $1bn program). Management updated full-year guidance downward to reflect timing delays in prediction market deal revenue, moderation in U.S. market growth, and some Rest-of-World tax/regulatory headwinds; they expect a stronger second half and see prediction markets ramping meaningfully in 2027–2028. Management was generally confident and defensive (addressing earlier short-seller allegations and noting recent regulatory approvals), outlining an unchanged long-term strategy focused on rights ownership, product breadth and margin discipline. Key near-term risks discussed were timing of prediction market deal revenue, U.S. market moderation, FX headwinds, and certain tax increases (UK, Brazil); regulatory/legal uncertainty around prediction markets was acknowledged but management emphasized operating only where permitted.
Guidance
Management stated they updated full-year guidance downward (no numerical restatement on the call). The revision was driven by delayed timing of prediction market revenue, softer-than-expected early-year ad revenue, moderation in U.S. sportsbook growth, and FX headwinds. Management expects a stronger back half and significant ramp in prediction market revenue in 2027–2028; the Kalshi/NBA element is embedded in current guidance (if NBA element didn’t occur, it would be a downside).
Risks flagged
Moderating U.S. market growth; timing risk for prediction market deals; FX headwinds (USD vs EUR); increased tax regimes impacting client economics (notably UK and Brazil); regulatory and legal uncertainty around prediction markets and state-level challenges in the U.S.; potential margin pressure in softer quarters due to fixed-cost rights deals.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026−$0.01
est $0.06
−116.7%$431.5M
est $435.9M
−1.0%−11.2%
Apr 28, 2026$0.00
est $0.07
−100.3%$400.4M
est $417.9M
−4.2%−9.4%
Mar 3, 2026$0.20
est $0.09
+125.2%$433.3M
est $434.0M
−0.2%−1.8%
Nov 5, 2025$0.08
est $0.10
−20.0%$342.1M
est $369.5M
−7.4%−10.6%
Aug 5, 2025$0.17
est $0.04
+325.0%$374.2M
est $295.1M
+26.8%−3.7%
May 12, 2025$0.07
est $0.05
+28.5%$341.2M
est $331.5M
+2.9%+1.1%
Mar 19, 2025$0.00
est $0.04
−109.4%$318.0M
est $304.3M
+4.5%+11.1%
Nov 7, 2024$0.11
est $0.03
+279.3%$279.9M
est $292.9M
−4.5%+25.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Sportradar stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Sportradar is $18.10, +42.9% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$18.10consensus 12-month target, +42.9% from the last close
Low $14High $26
Buy14
Hold7
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 5Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$15+18.4%
Oct 5Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$15+18.4%
Sep 28Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$15+18.4%
Sep 21Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$15+18.4%
Sep 8Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$15+18.4%
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Sportradar seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Sportradar averaged +3.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.1%2021+16.9%2022−1.6%2023+17.6%2024−5.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+12.9%3 of 5

For scale, SRAD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.8%.

Sportradar market cap and key statistics

Sportradar’s market cap is $3.75B, with a P/E ratio of 207.3 and revenue of $1.39B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.75B
P/E ratio
207.3
Forward P/E
30.3
EPS, TTM
$0.06
Gekko Fair Value
$15.31

Trading

Volume
1.09M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.11M
52-week high
$27.85
52-week low
$11.39
Shares outstanding
217.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.39B
Profit margin
1.2%
Return on equity
2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−39.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.59
Typical daily move
±4.3%
Typical 20-day move
±9.8%

Sportradar stock news this week

1 headline about Sportradar from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Sportradar peers

Sportradar’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Sportradar stock FAQ

What is Sportradar’s market cap?

Sportradar’s market cap is $3.75B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.67, with 217.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 207.3.

What is the Sportradar stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Sportradar is $18.10, +42.9% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Sportradar stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Sportradar is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.67 is 17.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $15.31. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Sportradar report earnings next?

Sportradar is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.10 per share on revenue of $405.6M. Sportradar beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.3% on average across the report.

What is Sportradar’s 52-week high and low?

Sportradar’s 52-week high is $27.85 and its 52-week low is $11.39; it closed at $12.67 on Oct 12, 2026, −49.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $32.22 on Aug 25, 2025.

Is Sportradar stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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