NASDAQ: FA

First Advantage (FA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$19.09+0.05 (+0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

First Advantage trades at $19.09, with no news items reported this week. Analyst coverage currently stands at 8 firms, with 6 at buy and 2 at hold, and a consensus target of $26.25, implying consensus upside of 37.5%.

The stock sits between its 50-day average of $20.48 and 200-day average of $15.97, with a one-month return of -10% and a three-month return of -9.7%, against a six-month return of 63.9% and a one-year return of 31.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 60.8, placing FA in the Accumulation zone, though the index has fallen 6.1 points over the past five sessions. Price sits 45.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.20.

Over the next 20 trading days, First Advantage reports earnings on 5 November 2026 before the open, 24 days away, following a prior quarter in which adjusted diluted EPS of $0.33 beat the $0.27 estimate and shares reacted by 16.8%; the company has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 13.6%. Seasonality over the comparable 5-year window shows an average 20-day return of -6.1%, with gains in 1 of those years. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

First Advantage price vs fair value

▲$35.20$19.09Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $19.09200-day averageGekko Fair Value $35.20

First Advantage quick facts

Market cap
$3.27B
P/E ratio
133.8
Forward P/E
12.9
EPS, TTM
$0.14
Revenue, TTM
$1.66B
Profit margin
1.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.14
Volume
2.04M avg 1.93M
1-year return
+31.7%
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.8%
50-day average
$20.48
200-day average
$15.97
Next earnings
Nov 5 before open
Shares outstanding
171.8M
52-week range
$8.82$25.15

First Advantage swing-trade checklist

First Advantage scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $19.09 sits between the 50-day ($20.48) and 200-day ($15.97) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.8, Accumulation

    Reading 60.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    45.8% below

    Price is 45.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −6.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6.1% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

First Advantage stock chart and price history

First Advantage closed at $19.09 on Oct 12, 2026, +31.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.82 to $25.15.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
First Advantage share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct19.09

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−10.0%
3 months
−9.7%
6 months
+63.9%
1 year
+31.7%
The full FA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FA in Gekko

Follow First Advantage through every session

Put FA on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About First Advantage

First Advantage builds its business around checking and monitoring the people organizations hire. It runs background checks, drug and health screenings, identity and biometric verification, and reviews of education, work history, and driving records, mostly for employers screening candidates before they join. It is also known for staying involved after hiring, tracking criminal records, healthcare sanctions, motor vehicle activity, social media conduct, and sanctions or license status on an ongoing basis.

Its services extend into related areas such as fleet compliance, help with hiring tax credits, tenant and resident screening, and investigative research. Customers span human resources, recruiting, compliance, risk, vendor management, and security teams, ranging from large global companies to smaller and mid-sized businesses.

The company was founded in Atlanta, Georgia, in 2003, and operated for a time under the name Fastball Intermediate before taking its present name in March 2021. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker FA.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
fadv.com

First Advantage GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

First Advantage’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 6.1 points over five sessions.

010060.8Accumulation

Down 6.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying57+0.9%+2.8%+5.6%+13.5%
Accumulation (current zone)200−0.2%−0.9%+1.1%+3.5%
Neutral357+0.8%+1.2%+1.0%+3.1%
Distribution58−0.8%−0.2%0.0%+1.7%
Selling10+0.1%+0.6%+3.5%−2.6%

Average FA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FA price, zone by zone.Track FA in Gekko

Is First Advantage stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

First Advantage trades 45.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.20, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what First Advantage shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$35.20

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

45.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 13.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$35$19Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FA in Gekko

First Advantage insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for First Advantage, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FA in Gekko

Buybacks

First Advantage has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$18.69M
As a share of market cap
0.57%

From company filings.

First Advantage earnings: next date and track record

First Advantage reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.6%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.0%Nov ’24−19.5%Feb ’25+18.0%May ’25+2.6%Aug ’25+2.9%Nov ’25+20.9%Feb ’26+24.7%May ’26+16.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
First Advantage reported a strong Q2 2026: revenue grew 15% year-over-year to $449 million, adjusted EBITDA was $128.5 million (28.6% margin), and adjusted diluted EPS increased ~30% to $0.35. Management attributed performance to go-to-market strength, AI-driven platform capabilities, upsell/cross-sell and new logo wins (20 enterprise bookings in Q2), package density improvements (risk/fraud products and Digital Identity), and several large customer initiatives (rescreening and workforce reshaping) that contributed roughly half of the quarter’s base growth. The company continued deleveraging (voluntary debt prepayments totaling $70 million announced around the quarter) and opportunistic buybacks (nearly $19 million in the quarter; $38 million through July 31). Management raised full-year 2026 guidance (noting they increased the bottom end by $45 million and the top end as well) and reiterated 2028 Investor Day targets (revenue $1.8–2.0B; EBITDA $560–630M; EBITDA margin 31–32%; EPS $1.65–2.00). Management emphasized continued execution on FA 5.0 growth strategy, integration/synergy realization from Sterling (on track to action synergies by Dec 31 and realize more in 2027), continued investments into product and sales (Digital Identity), and focus on balanced capital allocation with deleveraging as top priority. During Q&A, management maintained a confident, measured tone, described the demand environment as neutral-to-positive and broad-based across several verticals (notably high-volume hiring segments), but flagged geopolitical uncertainty (Middle East/Iran) and India-specific softness as potential headwinds. Overall, the company signaled optimism about sustainable growth while remaining cautiously attentive to macro/geopolitical risks.
Guidance
Raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance (management said they raised the bottom end by $45 million and raised the top end as well). Reiterated 2028 Investor Day financial targets: revenue $1.8B–$2.0B; EBITDA $560M–$630M; EBITDA margin 31%–32%; EPS $1.65–$2.00. Management expects second-half momentum but expressed slight conservatism around comps and geopolitical risk.
Risks flagged
Prolonged geopolitical uncertainty (conflict in Iran/Middle East) and associated higher fuel prices that could depress consumer confidence and impact Retail & Transportation volumes; India-specific macro weakness affecting volumes; the episodic nature of large customer initiatives (rescreening/reshaping) which may not repeat and could normalize by Q4; comp challenges from exceptionally strong prior-year wins; integration and synergy realization timing risks (some synergy realization back-end weighted); general forward-looking risks noted in SEC filings.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.33
est $0.27
+22.2%$448.8M
est $415.0M
+8.1%+16.8%
May 7, 2026$0.26
est $0.21
+23.8%$385.2M
est $372.6M
+3.4%+24.7%
Feb 26, 2026$0.30
est $0.27
+11.1%$420.0M
est $391.9M
+7.2%+20.9%
Nov 6, 2025$0.30
est $0.28
+7.1%$409.2M
est $392.5M
+4.2%+2.9%
Aug 7, 2025$0.27
est $0.24
+12.5%$390.6M
est $404.0M
−3.3%+2.6%
May 8, 2025$0.17
est $0.13
+30.8%$354.6M
est $374.4M
−5.3%+18.0%
Feb 27, 2025$0.18
est $0.24
−25.0%$307.1M
est $356.7M
−13.9%−19.5%
Nov 12, 2024$0.26
est $0.25
+2.7%$199.1M
est $204.4M
−2.6%−3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

First Advantage stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for First Advantage is $26.25, +37.5% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$26.25consensus 12-month target, +37.5% from the last close
Low $22High $30
Buy6
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$26+36.2%
Oct 5NeedhamBuy, maintained——
Sep 16BarclaysBuy, maintained$30+57.2%
Sep 11BarclaysBuy, maintained$30+57.2%
Sep 10NeedhamBuy, maintained——
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−6.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

First Advantage seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, First Advantage averaged −6.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+9.5%2021−20.2%2022−6.7%2023−3.8%2024−6.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−5.2%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−6.1%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.2%1 of 5

For scale, FA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.8%.

First Advantage market cap and key statistics

First Advantage’s market cap is $3.27B, with a P/E ratio of 133.8 and revenue of $1.66B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.27B
P/E ratio
133.8
Forward P/E
12.9
EPS, TTM
$0.14
Gekko Fair Value
$35.20

Trading

Volume
2.04M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.93M
52-week high
$25.15
52-week low
$8.82
Shares outstanding
171.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.66B
Profit margin
1.5%
Return on equity
1.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+5,499.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.14
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.8%

First Advantage peers

First Advantage’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

First Advantage stock FAQ

What is First Advantage’s market cap?

First Advantage’s market cap is $3.27B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $19.09, with 171.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 133.8.

What is the First Advantage stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for First Advantage is $26.25, +37.5% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is First Advantage stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate First Advantage is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $19.09 is 45.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does First Advantage report earnings next?

First Advantage is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.34 per share on revenue of $437.6M. First Advantage beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.6% on average across the report.

What is First Advantage’s 52-week high and low?

First Advantage’s 52-week high is $25.15 and its 52-week low is $8.82; it closed at $19.09 on Oct 12, 2026, +31.7% over the past year.

Is First Advantage stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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