NASDAQ: AVPT

AvePoint (AVPT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$14.57−0.06 (−0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's commentary on AvePoint centers on artificial intelligence positioning, with one piece highlighting the company as a durable cash flow engine benefiting from an AI tailwind, and another pointing to AgentPulse and agentic AI governance as drivers of record net new ARR growth and larger deal sizes. The latter also notes a discounted forward earnings multiple and a sub-1x PEG relative to peers such as Varonis, along with a rising free cash flow yield near 3%.

AVPT closed at $14.57, down 0.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $13.51 and 200-day average of $11.73, within range of its 52-week high of $15.48. The stock's one-month return stands at 15.1% and its six-month return at 53.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 50.4, placing it in the Neutral zone, up 4.6 over five days. Gekko Fair Value is set at $14.81, putting the current price 1.6% below that level.

AvePoint's next earnings date is 5 November 2026, after the close, 24 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 6 August showed EPS of $0.12 against a $0.03 estimate, with a -4.6% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 1% gain across 5 years, positive in 4 of them. Analyst consensus among 13 firms includes 10 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $16.81.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

AvePoint price vs fair value

$14.81$14.57Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $14.57200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.81

AvePoint quick facts

Market cap
$3.09B
P/E ratio
45
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
$0.32
Revenue, TTM
$466.2M
Profit margin
15.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.17
Volume
1.19M avg 2.09M
1-year return
−4.0%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.8%
50-day average
$13.51
200-day average
$11.73
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
211.6M
52-week range
$8.84$15.48

AvePoint swing-trade checklist

AvePoint scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $14.57 is above the 50-day ($13.51) and 200-day ($11.73) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.4, Neutral

    Reading 50.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.6% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.6% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

AvePoint stock chart and price history

AvePoint closed at $14.57 on Oct 12, 2026, −4.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.84 to $15.48.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
AvePoint share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$12$14$16NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct14.57

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+15.1%
3 months
+12.2%
6 months
+53.9%
1 year
−4.0%
The full AVPT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AVPT in Gekko

Follow AvePoint through every session

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About AvePoint

AvePoint builds cloud-native software that helps organizations manage and protect their data. Its tools work alongside major cloud platforms such as Microsoft, Salesforce, Google, AWS, Box, and Dropbox, giving customers a way to oversee information stored across these third-party services. It is particularly known for addressing operational and governance challenges that arise when organizations rely heavily on outside cloud vendors.

The company structures its offerings around a platform-as-a-service model, supported by licensing, support, and maintenance arrangements. Its core product set, the AvePoint Confidence Platform, is divided into suites: one focused on governance, policy enforcement, and SaaS spending oversight; another centered on backup, ransomware recovery, and compliance-driven business continuity; and a third aimed at updating older systems into AI-ready, SaaS-based tools to support digital transformation and workforce productivity. Customers span organizations that depend on multiple cloud ecosystems across different regions.

AvePoint was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Jersey City, New Jersey. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker AVPT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
avepoint.com

AvePoint GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

AvePoint’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.4, in the Neutral zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.

010050.4Neutral

Up 4.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying290.0%+2.1%+3.3%+8.5%
Accumulation1980.0%−0.2%+0.7%+1.1%
Neutral (current zone)411+0.8%+1.7%+3.0%+8.6%
Distribution34+2.8%+2.6%+3.7%+9.2%
Selling10+1.2%+5.2%+8.6%+9.2%

Average AVPT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AVPT price, zone by zone.Track AVPT in Gekko

Is AvePoint stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

AvePoint trades 1.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.81, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what AvePoint shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$14.81

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

1.6% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$15$15Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AVPT in Gekko

AvePoint insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AvePoint, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AVPT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AVPT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AVPT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AVPT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AVPT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AVPT in Gekko

Buybacks

AvePoint has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$50.52M
As a share of market cap
1.64%
Trailing four quarters
$141.1M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AVPT.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

AvePoint earnings: next date and track record

AvePoint reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+13.8%Nov ’24−14.3%Feb ’25+9.6%May ’25−19.8%Aug ’25−15.4%Nov ’25+5.4%Feb ’26+11.1%May ’26−4.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
AvePoint reported a strong Q2 2026 with revenue of $124.5M (22% YoY growth; 21% constant currency) and SaaS revenue of $98.5M (27% YoY). Management said they outperformed guided metrics, delivered double-digit net new ARR growth for the 13th straight quarter, produced record KPIs, and achieved their eighth consecutive quarter of GAAP operating profitability with expanding GAAP operating margins. The company highlighted early traction for AgentPulse (now also offered standalone), continued momentum in Control bundles, acceleration in pipeline—particularly around AI governance, resilience, and multi-cloud management—and strong SMB/MSP traction. Management reiterated longer-term targets (including GAAP profitability, Rule of 40 achievement, a path to $1B ARR, and a 25%-30% operating margin target for fiscal 2029) and said they are increasing go-to-market and technology investments to capture the AI trust-layer opportunity. The prepared remarks and Q&A emphasized both opportunity from agentic AI (demand for visibility, governance, resilience) and risks (AI incidents, token cost, shadow AI), while management expressed confidence in execution and conversion of pipeline over time.
Guidance
Company modestly raised full-year guidance by $1 million (reference from management commentary); reaffirmed long-term targets including $1 billion ARR goal and 25%-30% GAAP operating margin target for fiscal 2029. Management also reaffirmed longer-term NRR target of ~115% (current NRR ~110%).
Risks flagged
Risks/discussed headwinds: AI-related security incidents and agent sprawl (88% of companies reported AI security incidents in last 12 months per management); rapidly rising token/AI consumption costs and the need for cost control; competition from hyperscaler offerings (e.g., Microsoft Agent 365/E7); conversion risk because much of AgentPulse demand remains in pipeline; potential short-term operating income impact from increased investments; FX impacts on reported results; general risks and uncertainties referenced in the safe-harbor statement.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.12
est $0.03
+300.0%$124.5M
est $121.4M
+2.6%−4.6%
May 7, 2026$0.10
est $0.08
+25.0%$117.2M
est $116.4M
+0.7%+11.1%
Feb 26, 2026$0.10
est $0.09
+11.1%$114.7M
est $111.0M
+3.4%+5.4%
Nov 6, 2025$0.10
est $0.07
+42.9%$109.7M
est $111.0M
−1.1%−15.4%
Aug 7, 2025$0.06
est $0.06
0.0%$102.0M
est $105.1M
−2.9%−19.8%
May 8, 2025$0.05
est $0.05
0.0%$93.06M
est $92.64M
+0.5%+9.6%
Feb 27, 2025−$0.05
est $0.05
−188.7%$89.18M
est $88.06M
+1.3%−14.3%
Nov 7, 2024$0.06
est $0.05
+20.0%$88.80M
est $88.06M
+0.8%+13.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

AvePoint stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AvePoint is $16.81, +15.4% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$16.81consensus 12-month target, +15.4% from the last close
Low $14High $26
Buy10
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 6BMO CapitalBuy, initiated$17+16.7%
Sep 28D.A. DavidsonBuy, maintained$18+23.5%
Sep 21StephensBuy, reiterated$17+16.7%
Sep 18B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$22+51.0%
Sep 2B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$22+51.0%
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

AvePoint seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, AvePoint averaged +1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+8.2%2021+3.8%2022+4.0%2023+8.6%2024−16.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.5%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.8%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.8%3 of 5

For scale, AVPT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.8%.

AvePoint market cap and key statistics

AvePoint’s market cap is $3.09B, with a P/E ratio of 45 and revenue of $466.2M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.09B
P/E ratio
45
EPS, TTM
$0.32
Gekko Fair Value
$14.81

Trading

Volume
1.19M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.09M
52-week high
$15.48
52-week low
$8.84
Shares outstanding
211.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$466.2M
Profit margin
15.3%
Return on equity
16.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+1,100.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.17
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.8%

AvePoint stock news this week

2 headlines about AvePoint from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

AvePoint peers

AvePoint’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

AvePoint stock FAQ

What is AvePoint’s market cap?

AvePoint’s market cap is $3.09B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.57, with 211.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 45.

What is the AvePoint stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AvePoint is $16.81, +15.4% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is AvePoint stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate AvePoint is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.57 is 1.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.81. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does AvePoint report earnings next?

AvePoint is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.09 per share on revenue of $129.4M. AvePoint beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.7% on average across the report.

What is AvePoint’s 52-week high and low?

AvePoint’s 52-week high is $15.48 and its 52-week low is $8.84; it closed at $14.57 on Oct 12, 2026, −4.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $20.25 on May 13, 2025.

Is AvePoint stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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