NASDAQ: NTNX

Nutanix (NTNX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$68.70+0.67 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Nutanix draws attention this week mainly through retrospective coverage of its most recent earnings report, with commentary noting the stock has moved since that release, and through a comparison piece weighing Nutanix against Genpact (G) on value grounds within the Computers - IT Services sector. Both pieces are reflective rather than driven by fresh company news, revisiting the prior quarter's results and relative valuation standing rather than introducing new developments.

Nutanix closed at $68.70, up 1%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $64.58 and its 200-day average of $50.04, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 54.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $86.35, putting the current price 20.4% below that level.

The next earnings date falls on 24 November 2026, 56 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed EPS of $0.47 against an estimate of $0.35, with an 8-quarter beat streak and an average absolute reaction of 9.5% historically. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality over 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 2% gain, with gains in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus reflects 8 buy and 6 hold ratings among 14 firms, with a consensus target of $76.41, implying 11.2% upside from current levels.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Nutanix price vs fair value

$86.35$68.70Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $68.70200-day averageGekko Fair Value $86.35

Nutanix quick facts

Market cap
$18.57B
P/E ratio
13.5
Forward P/E
29.9
EPS, TTM
$5.09
Revenue, TTM
$2.85B
Profit margin
52.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.62
Volume
1.82M avg 2.32M
1-year return
−10.1%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±9.3%
50-day average
$64.58
200-day average
$50.04
Next earnings
Nov 24 after close
Shares outstanding
270.6M
52-week range
$34.01$78.45

Nutanix swing-trade checklist

Nutanix scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $68.70 is above the 50-day ($64.58) and 200-day ($50.04) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54.4, Neutral

    Reading 54.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    20.4% below

    Price is 20.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 56 days

    Next report Nov 24, 2026, 56 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +2.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Nutanix stock chart and price history

Nutanix closed at $68.70 on Sep 28, 2026, −10.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $34.01 to $78.45.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Nutanix share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep68.70

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.6%
3 months
+34.5%
6 months
+82.7%
1 year
−10.1%
The full NTNX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NTNX in Gekko

Follow Nutanix through every session

Put NTNX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Nutanix GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Nutanix’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.4, in the Neutral zone, up 5.2 points over five sessions.

010054.4Neutral

Up 5.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying42−2.1%−1.1%+4.0%−5.7%
Accumulation197+1.4%+1.8%+2.6%+3.9%
Neutral (current zone)363+0.6%+1.2%+1.4%+2.8%
Distribution63−2.4%−3.9%−3.6%+0.8%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average NTNX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NTNX price, zone by zone.Track NTNX in Gekko

Is Nutanix stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Nutanix trades 20.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $86.35, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Nutanix shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$86.35

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

20.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NTNX in Gekko

Nutanix insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nutanix, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NTNX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NTNX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NTNX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NTNX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NTNX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NTNX in Gekko

Buybacks

Nutanix has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$750.0M, Apr 7, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026
$50.30M
As a share of market cap
0.27%
Trailing four quarters
$652.9M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold NTNX.

1added0opened3trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Nutanix earnings: next date and track record

Nutanix reports on Nov 24, 2026, after the close (56 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+18.3%Aug ’24−8.4%Nov ’24+14.4%Feb ’25−4.0%May ’25−3.0%Aug ’25−17.1%Nov ’25+5.6%Feb ’26+4.9%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Nutanix reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $703 million, exceeding guidance, with ARR growing 15% YoY to $2.43 billion and strong free cash flow. The company added over 700 new customers in Q3. Key wins included healthcare and financial services clients adopting the cloud platform while retaining external storage. NC2 public cloud deployments and AI/Kubernetes offerings showed increased uptake.
Guidance
Management flagged supply chain challenges creating higher server hardware prices and longer lead times pressuring customer budgets and timelines. Nutanix emphasized customer choice across vendors and deployment options as a mitigation strategy, with continued external storage expansion expected throughout the year.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 27, 2026$0.47
est $0.35
+34.3%$703.1M
est $686.3M
+2.4%+4.9%
Feb 25, 2026$0.56
est $0.44
+27.3%$722.8M
est $709.9M
+1.8%+5.6%
Nov 25, 2025$0.41
est $0.41
+0.1%$670.6M
est $676.6M
−0.9%−17.1%
Aug 27, 2025$0.37
est $0.33
+13.4%$653.3M
est $642.5M
+1.7%−3.0%
May 28, 2025$0.42
est $0.38
+10.1%$639.0M
est $626.0M
+2.1%−4.0%
Feb 26, 2025$0.56
est $0.47
+18.8%$654.7M
est $641.8M
+2.0%+14.4%
Nov 26, 2024$0.42
est $0.31
+35.5%$591.0M
est $571.7M
+3.4%−8.4%
Aug 28, 2024$0.27
est $0.20
+33.9%$548.0M
est $536.9M
+2.0%+18.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Nutanix stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nutanix is $76.41, +11.2% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$76.41consensus 12-month target, +11.2% from the last close
Low $63High $90
Buy8
Hold6
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28NeedhamBuy, maintained$90+31.0%
Sep 1J.P. MorganHold, maintained$75+9.2%
Aug 28Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$78+13.5%
Aug 28BarclaysHold, maintained$75+9.2%
Aug 27William BlairHold, maintained——
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Nutanix seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Nutanix averaged +2.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−9.3%2021+25.9%2022−0.5%2023+8.2%2024−9.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.0%3 of 5

For scale, NTNX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.3%.

Nutanix market cap and key statistics

Nutanix’s market cap is $18.57B, with a P/E ratio of 13.5 and revenue of $2.85B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$18.57B
P/E ratio
13.5
Forward P/E
29.9
EPS, TTM
$5.09
Gekko Fair Value
$86.35

Trading

Volume
1.82M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.32M
52-week high
$78.45
52-week low
$34.01
Shares outstanding
270.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.85B
Profit margin
52.8%
Return on equity
37.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+3,148.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.62
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±9.3%

Nutanix stock news this week

2 headlines about Nutanix from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Nutanix peers

Nutanix’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Nutanix stock FAQ

What is Nutanix’s market cap?

Nutanix’s market cap is $18.57B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $68.70, with 270.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.5.

What is the Nutanix stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nutanix is $76.41, +11.2% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Nutanix stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Nutanix is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $68.70 is 20.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $86.35. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Nutanix report earnings next?

Nutanix is expected to report on Nov 24, 2026, after the market closes (56 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.60 per share on revenue of $762.4M. Nutanix beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.5% on average across the report.

What is Nutanix’s 52-week high and low?

Nutanix’s 52-week high is $78.45 and its 52-week low is $34.01; it closed at $68.70 on Sep 28, 2026, −10.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $83.36 on May 19, 2025.

Is Nutanix stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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