NYSE: LDOS

Leidos (LDOS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$122.35−1.26 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Leidos slipped this week, closing at $122.35 on 28 September, down about 1% on the day, after trading near $123.35 and $124.73 in the prior sessions. The move follows the company's Q2 2026 earnings call, which detailed record revenue of $4.56 billion, up 7% year over year, a 13.8% adjusted EBITDA margin, and raised full-year guidance for revenue, EPS and operating cash flow. Leidos also secured a $127 million U.S. defense contract, part of continued award activity described on the call, including a 1.1 book-to-bill for the quarter and $5 billion of net awards.

The stock trades well below both its 50-day average of $129.38 and its 200-day average of $148.59, with the shorter average also under the longer one, reflecting a sustained downtrend; the 1-month return stands at -12.5% and the 1-year return at -32.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 65.8, placing Leidos in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 44.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $221.36.

The next earnings date falls on 3 November 2026, 35 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 3.9% return over 5 years, positive in 4 of them. Analyst consensus among 13 firms shows 4 buy and 9 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $157.27.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Leidos price vs fair value

$221.36$122.35Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $122.35200-day averageGekko Fair Value $221.36

Leidos quick facts

Market cap
$15.39B
P/E ratio
11.6
Forward P/E
9.6
EPS, TTM
$10.60
Revenue, TTM
$17.63B
Profit margin
7.8%
Dividend yield
1.36%
Beta
0.57
Volume
961,238 avg 1.29M
1-year return
−32.9%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$129.38
200-day average
$148.59
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
125.5M
52-week range
$98.86$205.77

Leidos swing-trade checklist

Leidos scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $122.35 is below the 50-day ($129.38) and 200-day ($148.59) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.8, Accumulation

    Reading 65.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    44.7% below

    Price is 44.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Leidos stock chart and price history

Leidos closed at $122.35 on Sep 28, 2026, −32.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $98.86 to $205.77.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Leidos share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$140$160$180$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep122.35

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.5%
3 months
+21.8%
6 months
−21.3%
1 year
−32.9%
The full LDOS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LDOS in Gekko

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About Leidos

Leidos supplies technology and engineering services to government bodies and commercial organizations working in defense, intelligence, civil administration and health. Clients include branches of the U.S. military, the Department of Defense, NASA, the intelligence community, allied nations abroad, and agencies such as the FAA, along with health-related customers in both public and private sectors. The company is known for pairing large-scale systems work with mission-critical technology across these fields.

Its activities are grouped into three business areas. One builds security and defense systems spanning air, land, sea, space and cyberspace, offering integration, command platforms, analytics, logistics, cybersecurity and operational intelligence support. Another works mainly with air traffic authorities on programs tied to flight data, route automation and airspace monitoring, while also handling IT-related work such as cloud services, network upgrades, help desk support and infrastructure or environmental projects. The third area serves federal and commercial customers with offerings tied to healthcare management, digital health initiatives, and support for scientific research in the life sciences.

Leidos traces its founding back to 1969 and keeps its headquarters in Reston, Virginia. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker LDOS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
leidos.com

Leidos GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Leidos’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.2 points over five sessions.

010065.8Accumulation

Up 2.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying35−1.0%+1.1%+1.5%+6.9%
Accumulation (current zone)209−0.5%−1.3%−1.3%−3.8%
Neutral331+0.6%+1.5%+2.4%+4.2%
Distribution83+0.4%−0.2%0.0%+2.4%
Selling14+2.3%+3.5%+3.5%+9.7%

Average LDOS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LDOS price, zone by zone.Track LDOS in Gekko

Is Leidos stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Leidos trades 44.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $221.36, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Leidos shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$221.36

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

44.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LDOS in Gekko

Leidos insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Leidos, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LDOS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LDOS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LDOS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LDOS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LDOS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LDOS in Gekko

Buybacks

Leidos has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 3, 2026
$72.00M
As a share of market cap
0.47%
Trailing four quarters
$722.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold LDOS.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Leidos earnings: next date and track record

Leidos reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+9.4%Oct ’24−4.1%Feb ’25+4.6%May ’25+8.4%Aug ’25+1.0%Nov ’25−2.7%Feb ’26−9.3%May ’26+6.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Leidos reported a strong Q2 FY2026 with record revenue of $4.56 billion (up 7% y/y, 4% organic), adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.8%, and record operating cash flow (~$793 million). Management highlighted a 1.1 book-to-bill for the quarter and $5 billion of net awards. Defense and Homeland were key growth drivers: Defense posted a 2.2 book-to-bill in Q2 and management cited accelerating award velocity and several major defense tech program opportunities (munitions, unmanned surface vessel, missile warning payloads). Health contracted due to the full incorporation of a fourth vendor on the VBA Medical Disability Examination (MDE) regions contract and a temporary pause of incentive payments; management expects extensions and a draft RFP soon and remains confident in its ability to re-secure the business. Management raised the midpoint of 2026 revenue guidance by $100 million, EPS midpoint by $0.05, and operating cash flow guidance by $50 million; free cash flow outlook was elevated after a strong quarter and lower-than-expected CapEx. Capital allocation remains balanced across investment in Defense Tech, enterprise needs, share repurchases (new authorization), and M&A (disciplined).
Guidance
Raised midpoint of 2026 revenue guidance by $100 million; raised midpoint of EPS guidance by $0.05; raised operating cash flow guidance by $50 million. Management also signaled elevated full-year free cash flow expectations (after Q2 results and reduced CapEx), and second-half organic growth guidance implied roughly ~4-4.5% (management commentary).
Risks flagged
Temporary removal of VBA incentive payments and uncertainty around the MDE recompete (timing/terms) that could pressure Health revenue and margins; trend toward in-sourcing by government customers reducing systems-integration scope; potential federal funding timing risks (continuing resolutions) that could affect Intel & Digital bookings near fiscal year-end; M&A valuation mismatch and capital deployment uncertainty; execution risks on scaling Defense Tech (manufacturing, program execution).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$3.26
est $2.90
+12.4%$4.56B
est $4.44B
+2.7%+6.8%
May 5, 2026$3.13
est $2.91
+7.6%$4.40B
est $4.28B
+2.8%−9.3%
Feb 17, 2026$2.76
est $2.61
+5.7%$4.21B
est $4.30B
−2.2%−2.7%
Nov 4, 2025$3.05
est $2.71
+12.5%$4.47B
est $4.28B
+4.5%+1.0%
Aug 5, 2025$3.21
est $2.66
+20.7%$4.25B
est $4.23B
+0.4%+8.4%
May 6, 2025$2.97
est $2.50
+18.8%$4.25B
est $4.09B
+3.7%+4.6%
Feb 11, 2025$2.37
est $2.28
+3.9%$4.37B
est $4.13B
+5.6%−4.1%
Oct 29, 2024$2.93
est $2.02
+45.0%$4.19B
est $4.06B
+3.2%+9.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Leidos stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Leidos is $157.27, +28.5% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$157.27consensus 12-month target, +28.5% from the last close
Low $132High $170
Buy4
Hold9
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$135+10.3%
Sep 18Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$135+10.3%
Sep 7TD CowenHold, maintained$135+10.3%
Aug 14Wells FargoHold, maintained$165+34.9%
Aug 11Goldman SachsHold, maintained$132+7.9%
−1.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Leidos seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Leidos averaged +3.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.0%2021+12.5%2022−1.8%2023+4.1%2024+1.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.3%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.6%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.9%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+12.1%4 of 5

For scale, LDOS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Leidos market cap and key statistics

Leidos’s market cap is $15.39B, with a P/E ratio of 11.6 and revenue of $17.63B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$15.39B
P/E ratio
11.6
Forward P/E
9.6
EPS, TTM
$10.60
Gekko Fair Value
$221.36

Trading

Volume
961,238
Avg volume, 20 days
1.29M
52-week high
$205.77
52-week low
$98.86
Shares outstanding
125.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$17.63B
Profit margin
7.8%
Return on equity
27.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−6.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.57
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
1.36%

Leidos peers

Leidos’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Leidos stock FAQ

What is Leidos’s market cap?

Leidos’s market cap is $15.39B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $122.35, with 125.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.6.

What is the Leidos stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Leidos is $157.27, +28.5% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Leidos stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Leidos is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $122.35 is 44.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $221.36. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Leidos report earnings next?

Leidos is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.00 per share on revenue of $4.72B. Leidos beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.8% on average across the report.

What is Leidos’s 52-week high and low?

Leidos’s 52-week high is $205.77 and its 52-week low is $98.86; it closed at $122.35 on Sep 28, 2026, −32.9% over the past year.

Is Leidos stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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