NASDAQ: FFIV

F5 (FFIV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$435.56−7.50 (−1.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

F5 shares moved this week on a strong fiscal Q3 2026 report, with revenue of $865.08 million, up 10.9% year over year, and EPS ahead of consensus, prompting a lifted full-year revenue outlook. Coverage also pointed to a critical BIG-IP APM vulnerability, CVE-2026-94127, under active exploitation, for which F5 has issued emergency hotfixes. Separate commentary noted shares up 75% year-to-date on institutional demand and AI-security momentum, alongside questions over whether the rally already reflects the improved guidance, even as the stock slipped in after-hours trading following the print.

F5 closed at $435.56, down 1.7% on the day, with the price sitting above both its 50-day average of $407.98 and its 200-day average of $341.41, reflecting a supportive longer-term trend. The GekkoIndex reads 50.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 5.3 over the past five sessions. Against a Gekko Fair Value of $396.66, the current price sits 9.8% above that level.

The next earnings date falls on 26 October 2026, 27 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with the last report showing an 8.1% average absolute reaction and eight consecutive EPS beats. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -3.2% across 5 years, with gains in 1 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the consensus target near $436.10.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

F5 price vs fair value

$435.56$396.66Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $435.56200-day averageGekko Fair Value $396.66

F5 quick facts

Market cap
$24.57B
P/E ratio
35.3
Forward P/E
24.6
EPS, TTM
$12.54
Revenue, TTM
$3.31B
Profit margin
22%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.03
Volume
468,436 avg 549,528
1-year return
+34.4%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
50-day average
$407.98
200-day average
$341.41
Next earnings
Oct 26 after close
Shares outstanding
56.63M
52-week range
$223.76$462.00

F5 swing-trade checklist

F5 scores 1 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $435.56 is above the 50-day ($407.98) and 200-day ($341.41) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.9, Neutral

    Reading 50.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    9.8% above

    Price is 9.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 27 days

    Reports on Oct 26, 2026, 27 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.2% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

F5 stock chart and price history

F5 closed at $435.56 on Sep 28, 2026, +34.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $223.76 to $462.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
F5 share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$250$300$350$400NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep435.56

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+6.2%
3 months
+6.1%
6 months
+54.5%
1 year
+34.4%
The full FFIV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FFIV in Gekko

Follow F5 through every session

Put FFIV on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About F5

F5 builds tools that help organizations keep their applications running securely and reliably, whether those applications sit in a company's own data center or in the public cloud. It is known for helping businesses manage the delivery of critical software and network services so that performance and protection are maintained no matter where the workload lives. Its product line covers hardware appliances, software modules, traffic management systems, firewall and access control tools, and offerings under the NGINX name for serving and delivering web applications, along with defenses against fraud and denial-of-service attacks.

Alongside these products, F5 provides consulting, training, installation, maintenance and technical support. Its customers range from large enterprises to public sector and government bodies and service providers, and it reaches them through distributors, resellers, managed service providers and systems integrators across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific. It also works with major public cloud providers including Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud Platform.

F5 was established in Seattle, Washington, in 1996, and was known as F5 Networks, Inc. before adopting its current name in November 2021. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker FFIV.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
f5.com

F5 GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

F5’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.9, in the Neutral zone, up 5.3 points over five sessions.

010050.9Neutral

Up 5.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+1.1%+0.1%−0.3%+9.2%
Accumulation120−0.5%−0.6%+1.1%+6.2%
Neutral (current zone)450+1.0%+2.1%+4.0%+8.3%
Distribution72+1.2%+1.8%+0.5%+4.4%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average FFIV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FFIV price, zone by zone.Track FFIV in Gekko

Is F5 stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

F5 trades 9.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $396.66, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what F5 shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$396.66

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

9.8% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FFIV in Gekko

F5 insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for F5, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FFIV in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FFIV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FFIV in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FFIV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FFIV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FFIV in Gekko

Buybacks

F5 has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$100.0M
As a share of market cap
0.41%
Trailing four quarters
$626.1M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold FFIV.

1added2opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

F5 earnings: next date and track record

F5 reports on Oct 26, 2026, after the close (27 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.1%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+10.8%Oct ’24+14.2%Jan ’25−2.7%Apr ’25+4.7%Jul ’25−10.3%Oct ’25+9.3%Jan ’26+10.2%Apr ’26+2.9%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
F5 delivered Q3 fiscal 2026 with 19% product revenue growth and 11% total revenue growth, marking 8 consecutive quarters of double-digit product growth. Non-GAAP earnings grew 14% while the company continued investing in innovation. Growth was driven by hybrid multi-cloud adoption, application security demand, and AI-related wins including AI data delivery, runtime security, and AI factory load balancing.
Guidance
F5 raised fiscal year 2026 revenue growth outlook to approximately 9%-10%, up from prior guidance of 7%-8%, citing strong demand driven by durable tailwinds in hybrid multi-cloud, security, and AI inference.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 27, 2026$3.86
est $3.04
+27.0%$865.1M
est $834.6M
+3.7%+2.9%
Apr 28, 2026$3.90
est $3.46
+12.7%$811.7M
est $783.8M
+3.6%+10.2%
Jan 27, 2026$4.45
est $3.65
+21.9%$822.5M
est $764.2M
+7.6%+9.3%
Oct 27, 2025$4.39
est $3.96
+10.9%$810.1M
est $794.9M
+1.9%−10.3%
Jul 30, 2025$4.16
est $3.54
+17.5%$780.4M
est $753.9M
+3.5%+4.7%
Apr 28, 2025$3.42
est $3.09
+10.7%$731.1M
est $718.5M
+1.8%−2.7%
Jan 28, 2025$3.84
est $3.38
+13.6%$766.5M
est $715.4M
+7.1%+14.2%
Oct 28, 2024$3.67
est $3.45
+6.4%$746.7M
est $730.4M
+2.2%+10.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

F5 stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for F5 is $436.10, +0.1% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$436.10consensus 12-month target, +0.1% from the last close
Low $300High $515
Buy3
Hold5
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 28J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$515+18.2%
Jul 28Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$415−4.7%
Jul 28Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$300−31.1%
Jul 28Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$461+5.8%
Jul 28NeedhamHold, maintained——
+4.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

F5 seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, F5 averaged −3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.7%2021−4.9%2022−7.1%2023−0.8%2024−10.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.4%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.2%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.3%2 of 5

For scale, FFIV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.

F5 market cap and key statistics

F5’s market cap is $24.57B, with a P/E ratio of 35.3 and revenue of $3.31B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$24.57B
P/E ratio
35.3
Forward P/E
24.6
EPS, TTM
$12.54
Gekko Fair Value
$396.66

Trading

Volume
468,436
Avg volume, 20 days
549,528
52-week high
$462.00
52-week low
$223.76
Shares outstanding
56.63M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.31B
Profit margin
22%
Return on equity
19.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+11.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.03
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5%

F5 stock news this week

Coverage of F5 this week reads negative: 6 positive, 7 neutral and 8 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

F5 peers

F5’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

F5 stock FAQ

What is F5’s market cap?

F5’s market cap is $24.57B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $435.56, with 56.63M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 35.3.

What is the F5 stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for F5 is $436.10, +0.1% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is F5 stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate F5 is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $435.56 is 9.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $396.66. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does F5 report earnings next?

F5 is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026, after the market closes (27 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.24 per share on revenue of $884.0M. F5 beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.1% on average across the report.

What is F5’s 52-week high and low?

F5’s 52-week high is $462.00 and its 52-week low is $223.76; it closed at $435.56 on Sep 28, 2026, +34.4% over the past year.

Is F5 stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 3 as headwinds (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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