NYSE: RXO

RXO (RXO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$28.69−0.39 (−1.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's move centers on the announced acquisition of RXO by C.H. Robinson Worldwide in a stock-and-cash transaction with an implied value of $5.8 billion, creating a combined company with an enterprise value exceeding $25 billion. RXO will continue to operate independently with its current customer teams, operations and systems until the deal closes. Separately, class action firms including Monteverde & Associates and Kahn Swick & Foti have announced investigations into the adequacy of the price and process of the proposed sale, while at least one piece noted RXO's momentum alongside a reasonable valuation screen.

RXO closed at $28.69, down 1.3% on the day, with the stock sitting above both its 50-day average of $21.93 and 200-day average of $20.01, and the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 37.9, placing RXO in the Distribution zone. Price sits 20.2% above the Gekko Fair Value of $23.87.

RXO's next earnings date falls on 5 November 2026, before the open, 24 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a beat of $0.06 versus a $0.04 estimate with a 3.3% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -6% across 3 years, rising in 1 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 4 buy and 10 hold ratings among 14 firms, with a consensus target of $27.04.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

RXO price vs fair value

$28.69$23.87Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $28.69200-day averageGekko Fair Value $23.87

RXO quick facts

Market cap
$4.73B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
2500
EPS, TTM
−$0.62
Revenue, TTM
$6.09B
Profit margin
-1.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.99
Volume
2.99M avg 3.67M
1-year return
+62.5%
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
50-day average
$21.93
200-day average
$20.01
Next earnings
Nov 5 before open
Shares outstanding
165.0M
52-week range
$10.43$29.90

RXO swing-trade checklist

RXO scores 1 supportive, 0 mixed and 4 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive0 mixed4 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $28.69 is above the 50-day ($21.93) and 200-day ($20.01) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    37.9, Distribution

    Reading 37.9 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    20.2% above

    Price is 20.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −6.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6% over 3 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

RXO stock chart and price history

RXO closed at $28.69 on Oct 12, 2026, +62.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $10.43 to $29.90.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
RXO share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15$20$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct28.69

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+47.2%
3 months
+2.3%
6 months
+78.6%
1 year
+62.5%
The full RXO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RXO in Gekko

Follow RXO through every session

Put RXO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About RXO

RXO arranges full truckload freight shipments across the United States, working as a broker that connects shippers with carriers who have available trailer space. Its best known feature is a digital marketplace that matches these two sides directly, making it easier to move truckload freight without relying solely on traditional manual arrangements.

Beyond matching loads, RXO also brokers a wider set of logistics services. These include managed logistics programs for companies that want to outsource parts of their transportation planning, last-mile delivery for local shipments, and international freight forwarding for goods moving across borders. Together these offerings let RXO serve shippers with varying needs, from single truckload moves to broader supply chain support.

RXO is based in Charlotte, North Carolina. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker RXO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
rxo.com

RXO GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

RXO’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 37.9, in the Distribution zone, up 1.9 points over five sessions.

010037.9Distribution

Up 1.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying51+1.1%+3.9%+7.8%+5.5%
Accumulation237+1.7%+3.4%+2.8%+7.3%
Neutral356−0.1%−1.5%−1.2%+0.8%
Distribution (current zone)32+0.3%+4.4%+9.1%+10.1%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average RXO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RXO price, zone by zone.Track RXO in Gekko

Is RXO stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

RXO trades 20.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $23.87, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what RXO shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$23.87

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

20.2% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 29.7% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$24$29Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RXO in Gekko

RXO insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RXO, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RXO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RXO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RXO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RXO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RXO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RXO in Gekko

Buybacks

RXO has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$1.00M
As a share of market cap
0.02%
Trailing four quarters
$21.00M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RXO.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

RXO earnings: next date and track record

RXO reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.6%Nov ’24−15.0%Feb ’25+4.9%May ’25−5.6%Aug ’25−29.1%Nov ’25−3.2%Feb ’26+10.9%May ’26+3.3%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.06
est $0.04
+67.2%$1.77B
est $1.63B
+8.7%+3.3%
May 7, 2026−$0.09
est −$0.09
0.0%$1.43B
est $1.34B
+6.2%+10.9%
Feb 6, 2026−$0.07
est −$0.04
−75.0%$1.47B
est $1.49B
−1.4%−3.2%
Nov 6, 2025$0.01
est $0.04
−75.0%$1.42B
est $1.52B
−6.2%−29.1%
Aug 7, 2025$0.04
est $0.02
+100.0%$1.42B
est $1.45B
−2.0%−5.6%
May 7, 2025−$0.03
est −$0.02
−50.0%$1.43B
est $1.55B
−7.3%+4.9%
Feb 5, 2025$0.06
est $0.06
0.0%$1.67B
est $1.52B
+9.5%−15.0%
Nov 7, 2024$0.05
est $0.05
0.0%$1.04B
est $975.6M
+6.6%−6.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

RXO stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for RXO is $27.04, −5.8% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$27.04consensus 12-month target, −5.8% from the last close
Low $19High $33
Buy4
Hold10
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 8Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$33+15.0%
Oct 7BarclaysBuy, maintained$28−2.4%
Oct 7Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$30+4.6%
Oct 6BMO CapitalHold, downgraded$30.25+5.4%
Oct 6TD CowenHold, upgraded$30.25+5.4%
+9.1%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
−6.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

RXO seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, RXO averaged −6.0% across the last 3 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−7.5%2023+2.3%2024−24.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.7%2 of 3
Next 10 trading days−0.2%2 of 3
Next 15 trading days−0.1%2 of 3
Next 20 trading days−6.0%1 of 3
Next 30 trading days−10.1%1 of 3

For scale, RXO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8%.

RXO market cap and key statistics

RXO’s market cap is $4.73B and revenue of $6.09B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.73B
Forward P/E
2500
EPS, TTM
−$0.62
Gekko Fair Value
$23.87

Trading

Volume
2.99M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.67M
52-week high
$29.90
52-week low
$10.43
Shares outstanding
165.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.09B
Profit margin
-1.7%
Return on equity
-6.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−93.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.99
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±8%

RXO peers

RXO’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

RXO stock FAQ

What is RXO’s market cap?

RXO’s market cap is $4.73B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.69, with 165.0M shares outstanding.

What is the RXO stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for RXO is $27.04, −5.8% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is RXO stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate RXO is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.69 is 20.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $23.87. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does RXO report earnings next?

RXO is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.08 per share on revenue of $1.82B. RXO beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.8% on average across the report.

What is RXO’s 52-week high and low?

RXO’s 52-week high is $29.90 and its 52-week low is $10.43; it closed at $28.69 on Oct 12, 2026, +62.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $32.82 on Jul 31, 2024.

Is RXO stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend) and 4 as headwinds (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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