NYSE: BB

BlackBerry (BB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$8.80+0.59 (+7.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

BlackBerry shares climbed this week on record QNX revenue and a raised fiscal 2027 outlook, with the company citing second-quarter revenue growth of 26% year-over-year and adjusted EBITDA growth of 81%, marking a second consecutive Rule of 40 quarter. QNX posted quarterly revenue of $80 million, up 27% year-over-year and ahead of guidance, alongside $29 million in operating cash flow and a sixth consecutive quarter of positive GAAP net income. RBC Capital reiterated a Sector Perform rating with a $9.00 price target, while other coverage pointed to a "Moderate Buy" consensus and highlighted BlackBerry's automotive software momentum in secure embedded systems.

BB closed at $8.80, up 7.2%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $8.31 and its 200-day average of $6.28, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 54.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down slightly over the past five sessions. Price sits 8% above the $8.15 Gekko Fair Value estimate.

The next earnings date falls on 17 December, 79 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report showed EPS of $0.07 against a $0.04 estimate, with a -2% reaction, and eight beats over the last eight quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality is a headwind here, with the next 20 trading days averaging -6.5% over five years and rising in just one of them. The consensus analyst target stands at $9.71.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

BlackBerry price vs fair value

$8.80$8.15Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $8.80200-day averageGekko Fair Value $8.15

BlackBerry quick facts

Market cap
$5.16B
P/E ratio
86.2
Forward P/E
48.1
EPS, TTM
$0.10
Revenue, TTM
$580.3M
Profit margin
10.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.44
Volume
30.08M avg 15.11M
1-year return
+89.2%
Typical daily move
±5.7%
Typical 20-day move
±10.6%
50-day average
$8.31
200-day average
$6.28
Next earnings
Dec 17
Shares outstanding
586.1M
52-week range
$3.12$13.59

BlackBerry swing-trade checklist

BlackBerry scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $8.80 is above the 50-day ($8.31) and 200-day ($6.28) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54.1, Neutral

    Reading 54.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    8.0% above

    Price is 8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 79 days

    Next report Dec 17, 2026, 79 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −6.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6.5% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

BlackBerry stock chart and price history

BlackBerry closed at $8.80 on Sep 28, 2026, +89.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $3.12 to $13.59.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
BlackBerry share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$4$6$8$10$12NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep8.80

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.7%
3 months
−29.5%
6 months
+178.5%
1 year
+89.2%
The full BB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BB in Gekko

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About BlackBerry

BlackBerry provides security-focused software and services for governments and businesses around the world. It is best known for its cybersecurity tools built on artificial intelligence and machine learning, including endpoint protection, threat detection, managed response, network access and identity verification products, along with secure messaging and communication platforms designed for both enterprise and public-sector use.

The company organizes its work into three areas: cybersecurity, internet of things, and licensing and other activities. Its cybersecurity offerings include endpoint management and secure communication tools, while its embedded and IoT work covers operating systems and platforms used in vehicles and connected devices, along with asset monitoring, cryptographic tools, application security testing, and vehicle data platforms. These offerings are supported by consulting services aimed at enterprise and government clients.

Shares of BlackBerry trade on the NYSE under the ticker BB.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
blackberry.com

BlackBerry GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

BlackBerry’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.1, in the Neutral zone, down 2.1 points over five sessions.

010054.1Neutral

Down 2.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying45+0.3%+1.9%+5.0%+18.3%
Accumulation254−0.2%−0.1%+1.5%+26.5%
Neutral (current zone)306+1.6%+3.8%+5.9%+6.4%
Distribution62+4.7%+5.5%+13.4%+22.6%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average BB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BB price, zone by zone.Track BB in Gekko

Is BlackBerry stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

BlackBerry trades 8.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $8.15, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what BlackBerry shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$8.15

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 24, 2026

8.0% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BB in Gekko

BlackBerry insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BlackBerry, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BB in Gekko

Buybacks

BlackBerry has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 31, 2026
$107K
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$41.18M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds BB.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

BlackBerry earnings: next date and track record

BlackBerry reports on Dec 17, 2026 (79 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±15.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+22.6%Dec ’24−15.8%Apr ’25+12.7%Jun ’25+16.2%Sep ’25−11.5%Dec ’25+8.8%Apr ’26+32.3%Jun ’26−2.0%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 24, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BlackBerry reported Q2 FY27 revenue growth of 26% year-over-year with adjusted EBITDA growing 81%, marking their second consecutive Rule of 40 quarter. QNX achieved record quarterly revenue of $80 million (27% YoY growth), exceeding guidance. The company generated $29 million operating cash flow and delivered its 6th consecutive quarter of positive GAAP net income. A landmark Alloy Core design win, described as the largest in company history, was secured.
Guidance
Management is raising full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook following strong H1 performance. QNX's addressable market is projected to more than double over 5 years as centralized compute architectures expand from ~33% to ~75% of global vehicle production.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 24, 2026$0.07
est $0.04
+75.0%$166.6M
est $144.2M
+15.5%−2.0%
Jun 25, 2026$0.03
est $0.02
+50.0%$157.3M
est $139.8M
+12.5%+32.3%
Apr 9, 2026$0.06
est $0.04
+50.0%$158.0M
est $144.7M
+9.2%+8.8%
Dec 18, 2025$0.05
est $0.04
+25.9%$141.8M
est $144.6M
−1.9%−11.5%
Sep 25, 2025$0.04
est $0.01
+300.0%$129.6M
est $137.5M
−5.8%+16.2%
Jun 24, 2025$0.02
est $0.01
+42.9%$121.7M
est $122.9M
−1.0%+12.7%
Apr 2, 2025$0.03
est $0.02
+50.0%$143.9M
est $128.0M
+12.4%−15.8%
Dec 19, 2024$0.02
est −$0.01
+300.0%$143.0M
est $137.3M
+4.2%+22.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

BlackBerry stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BlackBerry is $9.71, +10.3% from the last close.

$9.71consensus 12-month target, +10.3% from the last close
+5.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−6.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

BlackBerry seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, BlackBerry averaged −6.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.1%2021−5.6%2022−27.6%2023−8.0%2024−4.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−6.5%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−9.4%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−5.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−6.5%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−5.3%2 of 5

For scale, BB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.6%.

BlackBerry market cap and key statistics

BlackBerry’s market cap is $5.16B, with a P/E ratio of 86.2 and revenue of $580.3M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.16B
P/E ratio
86.2
Forward P/E
48.1
EPS, TTM
$0.10
Gekko Fair Value
$8.15

Trading

Volume
30.08M
Avg volume, 20 days
15.11M
52-week high
$13.59
52-week low
$3.12
Shares outstanding
586.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$580.3M
Profit margin
10.3%
Return on equity
8.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+216.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.44
Typical daily move
±5.7%
Typical 20-day move
±10.6%

BlackBerry stock news this week

Coverage of BlackBerry this week reads positive: 8 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

BlackBerry peers

BlackBerry’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

BlackBerry stock FAQ

What is BlackBerry’s market cap?

BlackBerry’s market cap is $5.16B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $8.80, with 586.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 86.2.

What is the BlackBerry stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BlackBerry is $9.71, +10.3% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is BlackBerry stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate BlackBerry is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $8.80 is 8.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $8.15. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does BlackBerry report earnings next?

BlackBerry is expected to report on Dec 17, 2026 (79 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.05 per share on revenue of $147.3M. BlackBerry beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 15.2% on average across the report.

What is BlackBerry’s 52-week high and low?

BlackBerry’s 52-week high is $13.59 and its 52-week low is $3.12; it closed at $8.80 on Sep 28, 2026, +89.2% over the past year.

Is BlackBerry stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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