NASDAQ: TENB

Tenable (TENB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$40.77−0.82 (−2.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Tenable's stock saw strong buying interest this week, driven by several themes. The company launched new AI security features, including the integration of OpenAI's GPT cyber models into its CyberAgents Exchange for agentic security review, and appointed Charles H. Bell to its board. S&P Global Ratings upgraded Tenable's issuer credit rating to 'BB+' from 'BB', citing strong revenue growth and improved margins. Yorkville Ives initiated coverage with an outperform rating and a $45.00 price target, while inclusion in the S&P SmallCap 600 index appeared to drive additional buying from index funds.

Tenable closed at $40.77, down 2% on the day, but remains above both its 50-day ($36.05) and 200-day ($27.35) moving averages, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reading sits at 48.2, placing it in the Neutral zone, with a five-day change of -4.1. Price stands 38.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $29.43.

Over the next 20 trading days, Tenable reports earnings after close on 4 November 2026, falling inside this window; the last report showed EPS of $0.1 against a $0.1 estimate, with a 3.8% reaction, and Tenable has beaten estimates in 7 of 8 recent quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 2.2% from this point, positive in 3 of those years. Consensus among 19 analysts includes 8 buy, 10 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $35.35.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Tenable price vs fair value

$40.77$29.43Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $40.77200-day averageGekko Fair Value $29.43

Tenable quick facts

Market cap
$4.50B
P/E ratio
650.2
Forward P/E
16.3
EPS, TTM
$0.06
Revenue, TTM
$1.04B
Profit margin
0.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.01
Volume
2.29M avg 3.64M
1-year return
+37.7%
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$36.05
200-day average
$27.35
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
110.1M
52-week range
$15.73$43.67

Tenable swing-trade checklist

Tenable scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $40.77 is above the 50-day ($36.05) and 200-day ($27.35) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.2, Neutral

    Reading 48.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    38.5% above

    Price is 38.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Tenable stock chart and price history

Tenable closed at $40.77 on Oct 12, 2026, +37.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $15.73 to $43.67.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Tenable share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$20$25$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct40.77

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+35.4%
3 months
−4.4%
6 months
+134.2%
1 year
+37.7%
The full TENB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TENB in Gekko

Follow Tenable through every session

Put TENB on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Tenable

Tenable helps organizations find and manage their exposure to cyber risk. Its tools scan networks, applications, cloud infrastructure and operational technology to flag vulnerabilities, misconfigurations and weak points before they can be exploited. The company is also known for its Nessus line of vulnerability assessment tools, which range from a full-featured professional edition to a lighter version for smaller environments.

The company's offerings span both cloud-delivered and on-premises products. Some tools focus on specific environments, such as securing Active Directory systems or protecting industrial and operational technology networks, while others give a broader, risk-ranked view across an organization's digital assets, covering IT systems, cloud platforms and web applications. Tenable serves clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific region and Japan.

Tenable was founded in 2002 and is based in Columbia, Maryland. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker TENB.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
tenable.com

Tenable GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Tenable’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.2, in the Neutral zone, down 4.1 points over five sessions.

010048.2Neutral

Down 4.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying51+2.7%+1.4%+1.9%−1.9%
Accumulation294−0.2%−0.6%−1.5%−3.0%
Neutral (current zone)302−0.1%+0.6%+0.6%+2.1%
Distribution24+0.6%−2.5%+2.0%+8.9%
Selling11+0.4%0.0%−0.6%−1.8%

Average TENB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TENB price, zone by zone.Track TENB in Gekko

Is Tenable stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Tenable trades 38.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $29.43, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Tenable shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$29.43

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

38.5% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 32.8% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$29$42Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TENB in Gekko

Tenable insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Tenable, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TENB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TENB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TENB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TENB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TENB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TENB in Gekko

Buybacks

Tenable has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$100.0M
As a share of market cap
2.22%
Trailing four quarters
$352.7M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold TENB.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Tenable earnings: next date and track record

Tenable reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.2%Oct ’24−7.4%Feb ’25−7.7%Apr ’25−4.8%Jul ’25−4.9%Oct ’25−1.4%Feb ’26+2.2%Apr ’26+3.8%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Tenable exceeded all Q2 2026 guided metrics and raised full-year outlook. Tenable One reached a record 50% of new business, with strong adoption of Tenable One Advanced driving higher average deal sizes. Net dollar expansion rate accelerated to 106%, the first acceleration in many quarters. Company is positioning around three core capabilities: exposure understanding, prioritization, and agentic AI security action via its 'Hexa AI' harness framework.
Guidance
Management raised full-year 2026 outlook following Q2 outperformance. Q3 and full-year guidance details were referenced but not yet provided in this excerpt. Growing Tenable One Advanced adoption and larger deal sizes suggest continued revenue acceleration.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$0.10
est $0.10
0.0%$268.5M
est $264.9M
+1.4%+3.8%
Apr 29, 2026$0.47
est $0.41
+15.2%$262.1M
est $258.8M
+1.2%+2.2%
Feb 4, 2026$0.48
est $0.42
+14.3%$260.5M
est $251.8M
+3.5%−1.4%
Oct 29, 2025$0.42
est $0.37
+13.5%$252.4M
est $251.8M
+0.3%−4.9%
Jul 30, 2025$0.34
est $0.30
+13.3%$247.3M
est $245.1M
+0.9%−4.8%
Apr 29, 2025$0.36
est $0.28
+28.6%$239.1M
est $234.0M
+2.2%−7.7%
Feb 5, 2025$0.41
est $0.34
+20.6%$235.7M
est $232.0M
+1.6%−7.4%
Oct 30, 2024$0.32
est $0.29
+10.3%$227.1M
est $231.5M
−1.9%−5.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Tenable stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Tenable is $35.35, −13.3% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$35.35consensus 12-month target, −13.3% from the last close
Low $29High $50
Buy8
Hold10
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12BarclaysHold, maintained$38−6.8%
Sep 10WedbushSell, downgraded$29−28.9%
Aug 27Stifel NicolausHold, maintained$31−24.0%
Jul 30D.A. DavidsonHold, maintained$30−26.4%
Jul 30SusquehannaBuy, maintained$36−11.7%
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Tenable seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Tenable averaged +2.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+17.7%2021+11.9%2022−14.6%2023−0.7%2024−4.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.2%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+7.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.5%2 of 5

For scale, TENB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

Tenable market cap and key statistics

Tenable’s market cap is $4.50B, with a P/E ratio of 650.2 and revenue of $1.04B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.50B
P/E ratio
650.2
Forward P/E
16.3
EPS, TTM
$0.06
Gekko Fair Value
$29.43

Trading

Volume
2.29M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.64M
52-week high
$43.67
52-week low
$15.73
Shares outstanding
110.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.04B
Profit margin
0.7%
Return on equity
2.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.01
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%

Tenable peers

Tenable’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Tenable stock FAQ

What is Tenable’s market cap?

Tenable’s market cap is $4.50B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $40.77, with 110.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 650.2.

What is the Tenable stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Tenable is $35.35, −13.3% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Tenable stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Tenable is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $40.77 is 38.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $29.43. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Tenable report earnings next?

Tenable is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.51 per share on revenue of $271.6M. Tenable beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is Tenable’s 52-week high and low?

Tenable’s 52-week high is $43.67 and its 52-week low is $15.73; it closed at $40.77 on Oct 12, 2026, +37.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $63.61 on Apr 14, 2022.

Is Tenable stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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