NYSE: AI

C3.ai (AI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$11.61+0.08 (+0.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

C3.ai shares gap higher this week after Northland Capital upgraded the stock to Outperform from Market Perform and raised its price target to $16 from $10, with shares last trading near $12.18 after opening at $12.30 following a prior close of $11.53. Coverage notes the move stands apart from peers, with SoundHound AI sliding to fresh lows the same session. Other commentary includes a separate forecast citing a "SELL" rating with a $9.49 target, and general ETF-holdings writeups referencing C3.ai among AI-themed funds.

The stock closes at $11.61, up 0.7%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $10.53 and 200-day average of $10.17, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 43.8, placing it in the Distribution zone, down 7.4 over five days. Price sits 20.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $9.61. Analyst coverage from 7 firms shows 1 buy, 3 hold and 3 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $8.30.

Earnings are scheduled for 2 December 2026, 50 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 2 September showed an EPS beat with a 5.4% reaction, part of a record of 7 beats in 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 8.9%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar shows a 1.9% average return over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, positive in 4 of them.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

C3.ai price vs fair value

$11.61$9.61Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $11.61200-day averageGekko Fair Value $9.61

C3.ai quick facts

Market cap
$1.76B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$3.08
Revenue, TTM
$232.4M
Profit margin
-192.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.10
Volume
11.64M avg 4.72M
1-year return
−38.6%
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±11.5%
50-day average
$10.53
200-day average
$10.17
Next earnings
Dec 2 after close
Shares outstanding
157.3M
52-week range
$7.68$19.80

C3.ai swing-trade checklist

C3.ai scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $11.61 is above the 50-day ($10.53) and 200-day ($10.17) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    43.8, Distribution

    Reading 43.8 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    20.8% above

    Price is 20.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 51 days

    Next report Dec 2, 2026, 51 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

C3.ai stock chart and price history

C3.ai closed at $11.61 on Oct 12, 2026, −38.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.68 to $19.80.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
C3.ai share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct11.61

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+10.2%
3 months
+26.9%
6 months
+37.1%
1 year
−38.6%
The full AI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AI in Gekko

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About C3.ai

C3.ai builds software that lets large organizations create and run artificial intelligence applications across their operations. Its platform gives technical teams the tools to design, launch, and manage AI projects at scale, supported by add-on tools for preparing data, visualizing relationships within it, and handling customer relationship tasks in specific industries. Alongside this, the company offers a set of ready-made AI applications aimed at common operational problems, such as managing inventory, spotting supply chain risks, reducing customer loss, scheduling production, predicting equipment breakdowns, catching fraud, and managing energy use.

These applications are used across a range of fields, including oil and gas, chemicals, utilities, manufacturing, finance, defense, intelligence, aerospace, healthcare, and telecommunications, with customers spread across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. C3.ai also works with outside partners on its offerings, including Baker Hughes in oil and gas, FIS in financial services, Raytheon, and technology companies such as AWS, Intel, Google, and Microsoft.

The company was originally incorporated in 2009 under the name C3 IoT, Inc. and took on its present name in June 2019. It is based in Redwood City, California, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
c3.ai

C3.ai GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

C3.ai’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 43.8, in the Distribution zone, down 7.4 points over five sessions.

010043.8Distribution

Down 7.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying71+0.7%+2.2%+3.0%+6.9%
Accumulation250−1.3%−3.0%−3.5%−2.4%
Neutral322+0.7%+1.0%+0.8%−7.1%
Distribution (current zone)35−1.7%−2.6%−8.1%−17.3%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average AI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AI price, zone by zone.Track AI in Gekko

Is C3.ai stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

C3.ai trades 20.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $9.61, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what C3.ai shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$9.61

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

20.8% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.7% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$10$12Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AI in Gekko

C3.ai insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for C3.ai, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AI in Gekko

Buybacks

C3.ai has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Apr 30, 2025
$1.58M
As a share of market cap
0.09%

From company filings.

C3.ai earnings: next date and track record

C3.ai reports on Dec 2, 2026, after the close (51 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.0%Dec ’24−9.3%Feb ’25+16.2%May ’25−8.1%Sep ’25+6.6%Dec ’25−17.0%Feb ’26−5.4%Jun ’26+5.4%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 2, 2026 AI summary

What they said
C3 AI reported Q1 FY2027 results with revenue above guidance, bookings growth of 73% year-over-year, and federal bookings surging 138% YoY. The company closed 22 enterprise agreements with clients including J&J, Ford, and government agencies. CEO Tom Siebel, who returned 3 months ago to lead a turnaround, restructured sales, products, and services while cutting costs to narrow operating losses and generate positive free cash flow.
Guidance
Management signaled the turnaround is on track with refocused strategy around Agentic AI and C3 Code as primary growth drivers. No specific revenue or earnings targets were provided in this excerpt, but cost restructuring and disciplined pipeline development are expected to continue improving financial performance.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 2, 2026−$0.20
est −$0.26
+23.2%$52.38M
est $52.06M
+0.6%+5.4%
Jun 3, 2026−$0.33
est −$0.37
+10.8%$51.60M
est $51.60M
0.0%−5.4%
Feb 25, 2026−$0.40
est −$0.29
−37.9%$53.26M
est $75.56M
−29.5%−17.0%
Dec 3, 2025−$0.25
est −$0.33
+23.6%$75.15M
est $74.87M
+0.4%+6.6%
Sep 3, 2025−$0.37
est −$0.38
+2.6%$70.26M
est $74.86M
−6.1%−8.1%
May 28, 2025−$0.16
est −$0.20
+20.4%$108.7M
est $107.8M
+0.9%+16.2%
Feb 26, 2025−$0.12
est −$0.25
+52.0%$98.78M
est $108.3M
−8.8%−9.3%
Dec 9, 2024−$0.06
est −$0.16
+62.5%$94.34M
est $91.02M
+3.6%+3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

C3.ai stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for C3.ai is $8.30, −28.5% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$8.30consensus 12-month target, −28.5% from the last close
Low $7High $16
Buy1
Hold3
Sell3

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Northland SecuritiesBuy, upgraded$16+37.8%
Sep 18Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$7−39.7%
Sep 3NeedhamHold, maintained——
Sep 3D.A. DavidsonSell, maintained$7−39.7%
Sep 3Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$7−39.7%
−8.1%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+1.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

C3.ai seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, C3.ai averaged +1.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+11.3%2021+2.0%2022+3.5%2023+4.9%2024−13.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.6%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.5%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.9%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.6%3 of 5

For scale, AI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.5%.

C3.ai market cap and key statistics

C3.ai’s market cap is $1.76B and revenue of $232.4M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.76B
EPS, TTM
−$3.08
Gekko Fair Value
$9.61

Trading

Volume
11.64M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.72M
52-week high
$19.80
52-week low
$7.68
Shares outstanding
157.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$232.4M
Profit margin
-192.1%
Return on equity
-59.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.10
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±11.5%

C3.ai stock news this week

Coverage of C3.ai this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

C3.ai peers

C3.ai’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

C3.ai stock FAQ

What is C3.ai’s market cap?

C3.ai’s market cap is $1.76B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.61, with 157.3M shares outstanding.

What is the C3.ai stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for C3.ai is $8.30, −28.5% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is C3.ai stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate C3.ai is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.61 is 20.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $9.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does C3.ai report earnings next?

C3.ai is expected to report on Dec 2, 2026, after the market closes (51 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.22 per share on revenue of $53.15M. C3.ai beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.9% on average across the report.

What is C3.ai’s 52-week high and low?

C3.ai’s 52-week high is $19.80 and its 52-week low is $7.68; it closed at $11.61 on Oct 12, 2026, −38.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $53.82 on Nov 9, 2021.

Is C3.ai stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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