NYSE: DOCN

DigitalOcean (DOCN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$136.29−3.46 (−2.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

DigitalOcean this week centers on AI momentum and product news. The Q2 2026 earnings call transcript recirculated, highlighting 29% year-over-year revenue growth that exceeded guidance and a 40% adjusted EBITDA margin, with Inference Services up roughly 800% year-over-year and adopted by more than 6,000 customers. The company launched Managed Agents, combining agent execution, tool access, and inference on one cloud, and secured a $725 million equipment financing facility for AI infrastructure. DigitalOcean surged 10.4% in one session amid a sector-wide software infrastructure rally, and analysts issued a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating, with 12 buy recommendations, two strong buys, three holds, and an average price target cited at $152.81.

The stock closed at $136.29, down 2.5%, but remains above both its 50-day average of $124.36 and 200-day average of $103.64, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 55.5, placing it in the Neutral zone, up 6.9 points over five sessions. Price sits 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $125.24.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report falls outside that window, on 4 November. Options activity shows 3 unusual signals in the last 30 days, with put premium of $1,292,850 exceeding call premium of $394,815. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 4.9%, positive in 4 of those years. One billionaire holder and one trailblazer holder are noted, alongside a Form 144 insider filing dated 27 September.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

DigitalOcean price vs fair value

$136.29$125.24Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $136.29200-day averageGekko Fair Value $125.24

DigitalOcean quick facts

Market cap
$15.94B
P/E ratio
63.8
Forward P/E
76.3
EPS, TTM
$2.19
Revenue, TTM
$1.01B
Profit margin
23.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.57
Volume
1.84M avg 2.79M
1-year return
+288.0%
Typical daily move
±7.1%
Typical 20-day move
±11.7%
50-day average
$124.36
200-day average
$103.64
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
116.9M
52-week range
$33.69$187.50

DigitalOcean swing-trade checklist

DigitalOcean scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $136.29 is above the 50-day ($124.36) and 200-day ($103.64) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55.5, Neutral

    Reading 55.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    8.8% above

    Price is 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

DigitalOcean stock chart and price history

DigitalOcean closed at $136.29 on Sep 28, 2026, +288.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.69 to $187.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
DigitalOcean share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$100$150NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep136.29

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+12.0%
3 months
−9.1%
6 months
+67.4%
1 year
+288.0%
The full DOCN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DOCN in Gekko

Follow DigitalOcean through every session

Put DOCN on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track DOCN in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About DigitalOcean

DigitalOcean builds and runs a cloud computing platform that reaches users across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions. It supplies on-demand infrastructure and developer tools aimed at individual coders, early-stage startups, and small to mid-sized businesses, and it is recognized for making cloud resources accessible to smaller and independent users rather than only large enterprises.

Its offerings cover core building blocks such as compute, storage, and networking, alongside managed services for applications, containers, and databases that let developers extend their projects without handling every layer themselves. The customer base spans software engineers, researchers, data scientists, system administrators, students, and hobbyists, who use the platform for tasks like building web and mobile apps, hosting websites, running e-commerce operations, supporting media and gaming projects, and managing personal or professional online work.

DigitalOcean was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker DOCN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
digitalocean.com

DigitalOcean GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

DigitalOcean’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.5, in the Neutral zone, up 6.9 points over five sessions.

010055.5Neutral

Up 6.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26+4.9%+6.9%+13.9%+12.3%
Accumulation194+1.0%+2.4%+3.7%+11.1%
Neutral (current zone)403+2.0%+3.4%+6.5%+18.1%
Distribution47−2.5%−1.5%−0.6%+5.3%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average DOCN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DOCN price, zone by zone.Track DOCN in Gekko

Is DigitalOcean stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

DigitalOcean trades 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $125.24, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what DigitalOcean shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$125.24

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

8.8% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DOCN in Gekko

DigitalOcean insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DigitalOcean, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DOCN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DOCN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DOCN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DOCN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DOCN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DOCN in Gekko

Buybacks

DigitalOcean has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$2.72M
As a share of market cap
0.02%
Trailing four quarters
$84.84M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

3signals, 23% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 18, $395K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold DOCN.

0added0opened2trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

DigitalOcean earnings: next date and track record

DigitalOcean reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±18.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−12.2%Nov ’24+18.2%Feb ’25−12.6%May ’25+35.0%Aug ’25+21.3%Nov ’25+0.1%Feb ’26+48.0%May ’26−2.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
DigitalOcean reported an outstanding Q2 2026: revenue of $281 million, up 29% year-over-year and above guidance, driven by strong adoption from high-spending customers and rapid traction in AI/inference services. Inference services (launched late April) grew ~800% YoY with >6,000 customers; AI customer ARR reached $234 million, up 212%, and large multi-year customer commitments increased remaining performance obligations to $894 million with a 3.7-year average life. Management highlighted an emerging AI-native flywheel where inference is an entry point that increases attach rates to core cloud services, driving higher-margin and stickier revenue. They secured an incremental 20 MW of capacity, are deploying planned capacity on or ahead of schedule (15 MW remaining to come online H2 2026), and strengthened the balance sheet (pro forma net leverage ~0.7x). Adjusted free cash flow is guided to 11–13% for 2026 and the company expects to be free cash flow positive on any metric. Management raised 2026 outlook (exit growth rate now ~35% vs prior ~30%) but declined to give formal 2027 guidance because of capacity timing uncertainties. Key operational themes: forward-deployed engineering, go-to-market hires (new CRO and CMO), price increases on GPU generations (list prices up ~30%, modest impact to Q2), and software efforts (Model Synthesis, optimization layers) to be hardware-agnostic.
Guidance
Raised 2026 outlook: exit growth rate now expected around ~35% (previously ~30%); adjusted free cash flow 11–13% for 2026; company expects to be free-cash-flow positive on any metric for 2026; pricing increases on GPU list prices (~30%) are included in 2026 guide; pro forma net leverage ~0.7x after equitization; remaining performance obligations $894M with 3.7-year average life; incremental 20 MW secured with 15 MW remaining to come online in H2 2026. Management said 2027 could have upside but gave no formal numeric guidance due to data-center timing uncertainty.
Risks flagged
Supply-chain and capacity timing risks (data center implementation dates remain a material variable); RPO/backlog lumpiness (large multi-year commitments can create lumpy timing of revenue recognition); dependence on converting AI customer traction into durable, highly-attached revenue; competitive pressures from hyperscalers and other specialized AI infrastructure providers (implied); potential pricing and mix shifts (hardware costs and token economics).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.32
est $0.10
+220.0%$281.2M
est $279.0M
+0.8%−2.1%
May 5, 2026$0.44
est $0.26
+69.2%$257.9M
est $249.8M
+3.3%+48.0%
Feb 24, 2026$0.44
est $0.38
+15.8%$242.4M
est $237.7M
+2.0%+0.1%
Nov 5, 2025$0.33
est $0.31
+6.5%$229.6M
est $237.7M
−3.4%+21.3%
Aug 5, 2025$0.59
est $0.47
+25.5%$218.7M
est $226.5M
−3.4%+35.0%
May 6, 2025$0.56
est $0.44
+27.3%$210.7M
est $217.1M
−3.0%−12.6%
Feb 25, 2025$0.49
est $0.34
+43.7%$204.9M
est $207.7M
−1.3%+18.2%
Nov 4, 2024$0.52
est $0.40
+30.0%$198.5M
est $200.4M
−1.0%−12.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

DigitalOcean stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for DigitalOcean is $175.20, +28.5% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$175.20consensus 12-month target, +28.5% from the last close
Low $140High $200
Buy12
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Sep 11Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Aug 27Truist FinancialBuy, initiated$175+28.4%
Aug 5BarclaysBuy, maintained$161+18.1%
Aug 5UBSHold, maintained$140+2.7%
+6.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±7.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

DigitalOcean seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, DigitalOcean averaged +4.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+22.8%2021+2.3%2022−14.5%2023+1.2%2024+14.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.9%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+13.0%3 of 5

For scale, DOCN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.7%.

DigitalOcean market cap and key statistics

DigitalOcean’s market cap is $15.94B, with a P/E ratio of 63.8 and revenue of $1.01B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$15.94B
P/E ratio
63.8
Forward P/E
76.3
EPS, TTM
$2.19
Gekko Fair Value
$125.24

Trading

Volume
1.84M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.79M
52-week high
$187.50
52-week low
$33.69
Shares outstanding
116.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.01B
Profit margin
23.3%
Return on equity
62.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−24.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.57
Typical daily move
±7.1%
Typical 20-day move
±11.7%

DigitalOcean peers

DigitalOcean’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

DigitalOcean stock FAQ

What is DigitalOcean’s market cap?

DigitalOcean’s market cap is $15.94B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $136.29, with 116.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 63.8.

What is the DigitalOcean stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for DigitalOcean is $175.20, +28.5% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is DigitalOcean stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate DigitalOcean is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $136.29 is 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $125.24. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does DigitalOcean report earnings next?

DigitalOcean is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.33 per share on revenue of $306.7M. DigitalOcean beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 18.7% on average across the report.

What is DigitalOcean’s 52-week high and low?

DigitalOcean’s 52-week high is $187.50 and its 52-week low is $33.69; it closed at $136.29 on Sep 28, 2026, +288.0% over the past year.

Is DigitalOcean stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in DigitalOcean?

Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in DigitalOcean over the last 30 days, with $395K of flagged premium in calls and $1.29M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 18, 2026 with $395K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See DigitalOcean the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.