Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RSKD in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every RSKD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RSKD in Gekko
NYSE: RSKD
Riskified (RSKD) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$8.57+0.04 (+0.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeRiskified launched Agent Identity Risk Intelligence this week, a new capability aimed at identifying AI personal assistants such as Muse during checkout and customer service interactions, extending its fraud and risk intelligence product line. Beyond the product news, several routine insider filings show RSKD executives, including CEO Eido Gal, President Ravi Kumaraswami, CFO Aglika Dotcheva and Chief Strategy Officer Assaf Feldman, having shares withheld at $7.93 to cover taxes on vesting restricted stock units.
RSKD closed at $8.57, up 0.5%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $6.58 and 200-day average of $5.14, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at 40.7%, its three-month return at 65.8%, and its one-year return at 84.3%, with the 52-week range spanning $3.70 to $8.78. The GekkoIndex reads 45.4, placing RSKD in the Neutral zone, down 3.9 over the past five readings. Gekko Fair Value sits at $8.92, putting the current price 3.9% below that mark.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 11 November 2026, 30 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 12 August 2026 produced a 22.4% reaction, with an average absolute reaction of 7.1% across the last eight quarters and six beats. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 2.3% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus among 5 firms shows 3 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $7.25.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Riskified price vs fair value
Close $8.57200-day averageGekko Fair Value $8.92
Riskified quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.32B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 117.7
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.11
- Revenue, TTM
- $368.2M
- Profit margin
- -4.2%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.25
- Volume
- 3.43M avg 2.65M
- 1-year return
- +84.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.3%
- 50-day average
- $6.58
- 200-day average
- $5.14
- Next earnings
- Nov 11 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 91.85M
Riskified swing-trade checklist
Riskified scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $8.57 is above the 50-day ($6.58) and 200-day ($5.14) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
45.4, Neutral
Reading 45.4 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.9% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.9% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 30 days
Next report Nov 11, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Riskified stock chart and price history
Riskified closed at $8.57 on Oct 12, 2026, +84.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $3.70 to $8.78.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +40.7%
- 3 months
- +65.8%
- 6 months
- +104.5%
- 1 year
- +84.3%
The full RSKD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RSKD in Gekko
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About Riskified
Riskified builds software that helps online retailers manage fraud risk during checkout, letting them decide with more confidence whether to approve a shopper's order. Merchants across regions including the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa use the platform to screen online purchases. The company is particularly known for a service that reviews transactions and determines whether to approve or decline them, with merchants covered against resulting chargebacks.
Beyond that core offering, Riskified provides tools called Policy Protect and Account Secure, built to catch shoppers misusing merchant policies or attempting to access another customer's account without authorization. It also offers Deco and PSD2, products aimed at reducing failed bank authorizations and cutting down on abandoned shopping carts linked to strict customer authentication steps. Together these form a set of offerings addressing different points in the online purchase process.
Riskified was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker RSKD.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Packaged software
- Website
- riskified.com
Riskified GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Riskified’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.4, in the Neutral zone, down 3.9 points over five sessions.
45.4Neutral
Down 3.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 31 | +3.7% | +2.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 191 | −0.4% | +1.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 414 | +1.0% | +2.3% | ||
| Distribution | 41 | −1.1% | −0.9% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average RSKD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RSKD price, zone by zone.Track RSKD in Gekko
Is Riskified stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Riskified trades 3.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $8.92, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Riskified shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$8.92
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
3.9% below fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 26.4% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RSKD in Gekko
Riskified insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Riskified, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in RSKD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for RSKD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RSKD in Gekko
Buybacks
Riskified has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $66.05M
- As a share of market cap
- 5.01%
- Trailing four quarters
- $159.2M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold RSKD.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Riskified earnings: next date and track record
Riskified reports on Nov 11, 2026, before the open (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 11, 2026
Expected before the open, 30 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.04
- Revenue estimate
- $103.0M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 12, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Riskified reported strong Q2 2026 results with revenue of $98.7M, a 22% year-over-year increase (the strongest growth in over four years), non-GAAP gross profit of $45.4M (up 13%), and adjusted EBITDA of $3.9M (up 84%). Management raised full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlooks, citing accelerating demand driven by a more complex fraud environment and product expansion (identity, account, policy, multi-payment methods). GMV rose 13% to $41.3M with broad-based category growth led by digital finance (≈180% growth) and tickets & travel (~23%). Growth was driven primarily by new merchants and upsells. Management emphasized product-led market share gains, strategic partnerships (e.g., Marqeta), and continued focus on efficiency and leveraging AI. They reiterated net dollar retention guidance around 105% and said expectations for revenue contribution from newer products remain unchanged. Gross margins were affected by mix (ticketing has lower margins) and higher weight from new business, but management expects cohort improvement over time.
- Guidance
- Raised full-year outlook for revenue and adjusted EBITDA (specific numeric guidance not disclosed on the call). Net dollar retention guidance remains ~105%. Company expects tickets & travel, digital finance and fashion & luxury to approximate 80% of total billings for the year; digital finance expected to significantly exceed company average growth for remainder of 2026. Projections for revenue contribution from newer products remain unchanged from earlier guidance.
- Risks flagged
- Management highlighted a more sophisticated and faster-moving fraud environment (including agentic tools creating fake identities and account hijacking) as both a driver of demand and an ongoing operational challenge. Gross margin pressure from mix (ticketing, new business with lower initial margins) and potential fluctuations to take rates/GMV dynamics were cited. Travel has tougher year-over-year comps. Forward-looking statements noted general market and execution risks.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | −$0.06 est −$0.05 | $98.69M est $89.18M | +22.4% |
| May 13, 2026 | $0.05 est $0.03 | $88.27M est $87.72M | +1.3% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | $0.12 est $0.10 | $99.33M est $97.21M | −5.1% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $0.04 est $0.03 | $81.86M est $97.21M | −0.4% |
| Aug 18, 2025 | $0.02 est $0.02 | $81.06M est $80.31M | −15.2% |
| May 14, 2025 | $0.03 est $0.01 | $82.39M est $80.50M | +1.6% |
| Mar 5, 2025 | $0.06 est $0.00 | $93.53M est $79.27M | −2.8% |
| Nov 13, 2024 | $0.03 est −$0.07 | $78.85M est $90.36M | +7.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Riskified stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Riskified is $7.25, −15.4% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$7.25consensus 12-month target, −15.4% from the last close
Now $8.57Avg $7.25
Low $6.25High $9
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | D.A. Davidson | $9 | +5.0% |
| Sep 28 | Truist Financial | $9 | +5.0% |
| Sep 4 | UBS | $6.50 | −24.2% |
| Aug 24 | D.A. Davidson | $7.50 | −12.5% |
| Aug 13 | D.A. Davidson | $7.50 | −12.5% |
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Riskified seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Riskified averaged +2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −4.9% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, RSKD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.3%.
Riskified market cap and key statistics
Riskified’s market cap is $1.32B and revenue of $368.2M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.32B
- Forward P/E
- 117.7
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.11
- Gekko Fair Value
- $8.92
Trading
- Volume
- 3.43M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.65M
- 52-week high
- $8.78
- 52-week low
- $3.70
- Shares outstanding
- 91.85M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $368.2M
- Profit margin
- -4.2%
- Return on equity
- -5.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.25
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.3%
Riskified stock news this week
Coverage of Riskified this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Riskified Launches Agent Identity Risk Intelligence: Know Who Is Behind AI Personal Assistants like Muse at Checkout and in Customer ServiceGuruFocus, Oct 8
- Riskified CEO Eido Gal Withholds 34,391 Shares for RSU Tax PaymentKalkine Media, Oct 7
- At $7.93 per share, Ravi Kumaraswami had 62,581 Riskified (RSKD) shares withheld for taxes.Stock Titan, Oct 6
- 60,487 shares were withheld at $7.93 for Riskified (RSKD) CFO Aglika Dotcheva's vesting taxes.Stock Titan, Oct 6
- Stock grant taxes trigger withholding of 10,975 shares at $7.93 for Riskified (RSKD)'s strategy chief.Stock Titan, Oct 6
- At $7.93 each, 34,391 shares were withheld for CEO Eido Gal’s taxes at Riskified (RSKD).Stock Titan, Oct 6
Riskified peers
Riskified’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSFTMicrosoft | Neutral | 21.7% above |
| PLTRPalantir Technologies | Distribution | 22.3% above |
| ORCLOracle | Neutral | 24.3% below |
| PANWPalo Alto Networks | Neutral | 21.6% above |
| CRWDCrowdStrike | Neutral | 23.7% above |
| CRMSalesforce | Neutral | 3.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Riskified stock FAQ
What is Riskified’s market cap?
Riskified’s market cap is $1.32B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.57, with 91.85M shares outstanding.
What is the Riskified stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Riskified is $7.25, −15.4% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Riskified stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Riskified is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.57 is 3.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $8.92. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Riskified report earnings next?
Riskified is expected to report on Nov 11, 2026, before the market opens (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.04 per share on revenue of $103.0M. Riskified beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.
What is Riskified’s 52-week high and low?
Riskified’s 52-week high is $8.78 and its 52-week low is $3.70; it closed at $8.57 on Oct 12, 2026, +84.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $21.57 on Nov 4, 2021.
Is Riskified stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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