NYSE: RBLX

Roblox (RBLX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$49.31+3.86 (+8.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Roblox's third quarter brought a mix of strong bookings and weaker engagement. Bookings exceeded the high end of guidance and the company reported a per-share loss of $0.32 against an estimate of -$0.43, improving from a loss of $0.37 a year earlier, while daily active users fell 9% and bookings for the metric cited in coverage dropped 12%. CEO Baszucki highlighted an AI-driven content surge, with AI game volume up 50% quarter over quarter, alongside new initiatives such as Roblox Everywhere and a push into the 18-and-over market. The stock's reaction to the report was sharply negative, with shares reported down as much as 19% in early trading following the print, before recovering some ground since.

Shares now trade at $49.31, up 8.5% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $46.79 and the 200-day average of $51.75. The GekkoIndex reads 60.2, placing RBLX in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 3.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $47.66.

The next earnings date falls on 4 February 2027, outside the next 20 trading days. In the last 30 days, 2 unusual options signals were recorded, with call premium of $1,630,101 against put premium of $1,890,035. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 5.7% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus places the target at $49.28, among 20 firms covering the stock.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Roblox price vs fair value

$49.31$47.66Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $49.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $47.66

Roblox quick facts

Market cap
$33.10B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
192.3
EPS, TTM
−$1.37
Revenue, TTM
$5.90B
Profit margin
-16.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.53
Volume
8.87M avg 10.65M
1-year return
−54.2%
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±12.3%
50-day average
$46.79
200-day average
$51.75
Next earnings
Feb 4 after close
Shares outstanding
671.3M
52-week range
$33.88$108.29

Roblox swing-trade checklist

Roblox scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $49.31 sits between the 50-day ($46.79) and 200-day ($51.75) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.2, Accumulation

    Reading 60.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.5% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 91 days

    Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Roblox stock chart and price history

Roblox closed at $49.31 on Nov 4, 2026, −54.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.88 to $108.29.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Roblox share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$60$80$100$120DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct49.31

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+8.2%
3 months
+36.8%
6 months
+12.7%
1 year
−54.2%
The full RBLX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RBLX in Gekko

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About Roblox

Roblox runs an online platform where people create and explore interactive 3D spaces together. Developers and artists use Roblox Studio, offered free of charge, to build and publish this content, while the Roblox Client is the application people use to enter and experience these digital worlds. The company is best known for this shared virtual environment, which it describes as a human co-experience platform.

Alongside the core platform, Roblox operates Roblox Education for learning-focused uses and Roblox Cloud, which provides the underlying infrastructure and services that keep the wider system running. Its user base spans the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, several European countries, China, the Asia-Pacific region, and other markets worldwide.

The company was incorporated in 2004 and has its main operations in San Mateo, California. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker RBLX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
corp.roblox.com

Roblox GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Roblox’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 8.9 points over five sessions.

010060.2Accumulation

Up 8.9 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying42+2.7%+1.2%−0.5%−2.4%
Accumulation (current zone)241−0.1%+0.4%+1.1%+0.8%
Neutral333+0.4%+0.8%+1.2%+4.5%
Distribution78+1.8%+3.7%+7.8%+21.8%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average RBLX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RBLX price, zone by zone.Track RBLX in Gekko

Is Roblox stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Roblox trades 3.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $47.66, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Roblox shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$47.66

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

3.5% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$48$45Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RBLX in Gekko

Roblox insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Roblox, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RBLX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RBLX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RBLX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RBLX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RBLX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RBLX in Gekko

Buybacks

Roblox has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$201.0M
As a share of market cap
0.61%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 46% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 31, $1.64M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RBLX.

0added1opened0trimmed3sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Roblox earnings: next date and track record

Roblox reports on Feb 4, 2027, after the close (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−12.2%Feb ’25+10.5%May ’25+0.1%Jul ’25−15.0%Oct ’25+5.3%Feb ’26−19.8%Apr ’26−29.0%Jul ’26−19.3%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Roblox Q3 2026 call highlighted massive AI-driven creation acceleration: daily asset uploads tripled month-over-month, AI game volume up 50% QoQ, and 80%+ of top 100 games used AI in creation. CEO Baszucki outlined 18-and-over market expansion strategy targeting 10% of global gaming market. Two major initiatives announced: Roblox Everywhere (standalone app store publishing) and a Universal Player enabling game imports from PC/console/mobile.
Guidance
Roblox Everywhere Phase 1 expected to launch H1 2027, enabling direct curation and publishing of select titles to major app stores. Phase 2 will allow any creator to self-publish standalone binaries. No specific revenue or earnings targets disclosed in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 29, 2026−$0.32
est −$0.43
+26.2%$1.57B
est $1.63B
−3.5%−19.3%
Jul 30, 2026−$0.26
est −$0.33
+21.2%$1.56B
est $1.60B
−2.7%−29.0%
Apr 30, 2026−$0.35
est −$0.41
+14.5%$1.73B
est $1.74B
−0.6%−19.8%
Feb 5, 2026−$0.45
est −$0.47
+3.7%$2.22B
est $2.08B
+6.9%+5.3%
Oct 30, 2025−$0.37
est −$0.49
+23.8%$1.36B
est $1.71B
−20.4%−15.0%
Jul 31, 2025−$0.41
est −$0.36
−12.4%$1.08B
est $1.27B
−15.1%+0.1%
May 1, 2025−$0.32
est −$0.40
+19.0%$1.04B
est $1.14B
−9.5%+10.5%
Feb 6, 2025−$0.33
est −$0.45
+26.4%$988.2M
est $1.37B
−28.0%−12.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Roblox stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Roblox is $49.28, −0.1% from the last close, from 20 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$49.28consensus 12-month target, −0.1% from the last close
Low $35High $64
Buy8
Hold10
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 20 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3JefferiesSell, maintained$35−29.0%
Nov 2CitiBuy, maintained$55+11.5%
Nov 2B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, maintained$51+3.4%
Nov 2D.A. DavidsonHold, maintained$48−2.7%
Oct 30UBSHold, reiterated$50+1.4%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Roblox seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Roblox averaged +5.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+37.9%2021−23.0%2022+20.1%2023+7.1%2024−11.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+7.9%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.7%3 of 5

For scale, RBLX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.3%.

Roblox market cap and key statistics

Roblox’s market cap is $33.10B and revenue of $5.90B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$33.10B
Forward P/E
192.3
EPS, TTM
−$1.37
Gekko Fair Value
$47.66

Trading

Volume
8.87M
Avg volume, 20 days
10.65M
52-week high
$108.29
52-week low
$33.88
Shares outstanding
671.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.90B
Profit margin
-16.5%
Return on equity
-540%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.53
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±12.3%

Roblox stock news this week

6 headlines about Roblox from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Roblox peers

Roblox’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+2.2%Neutral17.8% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+4.1%Accumulation4.7% below
ORCLOracle+1.6%Accumulation29.7% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+0.2%Accumulation7.4% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−0.7%Neutral8.1% above
CRMSalesforce−0.8%Accumulation9.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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Roblox stock FAQ

What is Roblox’s market cap?

Roblox’s market cap is $33.10B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $49.31, with 671.3M shares outstanding.

What is the Roblox stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Roblox is $49.28, −0.1% from the last close. Of the 20 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Roblox stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Roblox is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $49.31 is 3.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $47.66. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Roblox report earnings next?

Roblox is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027, after the market closes (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.49 per share on revenue of $1.99B. Roblox beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.9% on average across the report.

What is Roblox’s 52-week high and low?

Roblox’s 52-week high is $108.29 and its 52-week low is $33.88; it closed at $49.31 on Nov 4, 2026, −54.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $150.59 on Jul 31, 2025.

Is Roblox stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Roblox?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Roblox over the last 30 days, with $1.63M of flagged premium in calls and $1.89M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 31, 2026 with $1.64M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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