Insider buying last 90 days
$58Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | Grimme Arne director | Purchase | $58K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NASDAQ: NBIS
Nebius (NBIS) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$141.52−10.12 (−6.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeNebius shares pulled back this week as neocloud stocks broadly came under pressure after Democratic victories in the US midterm elections raised concerns about tighter regulation of artificial intelligence infrastructure, with Texas election results also stoking fears over a potential data center moratorium that could affect planned power capacity. The stock has swung sharply through the week, falling alongside peers IREN and CoreWeave on financing jitters tied to the broader AI data center buildout, before bouncing as those worries eased, then dipping again on the regulatory overhang. Separate commentary has focused on Nebius's $9 billion ARR goal and its agreements with Microsoft and Meta as the company races to expand its AI cloud business.
NBIS closed at $141.52, down 6.7%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $205.35 and its 200-day average of $178.11. The GekkoIndex reads 65.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. The current price sits 39.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $234.83.
Nebius reports earnings on 12 November 2026, before the open, just 7 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a 32% reaction following an EPS beat. Over the last 90 days there has been 1 open-market insider purchase, while the last 30 days show 4 unusual options signals, with put premium of $51,187,300 against call premium of $26,602,348.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Nebius price vs fair value
Close $141.52200-day averageGekko Fair Value $234.83
Nebius quick facts
- Market cap
- $33.96B
- P/E ratio
- 120.9
- Forward P/E
- 30.8
- EPS, TTM
- $1.17
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.36B
- Profit margin
- 3.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.54
- Volume
- 22.58M avg 22.68M
- 1-year return
- +17.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±10.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±20.3%
- 50-day average
- $205.35
- 200-day average
- $178.11
- Next earnings
- Nov 12 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 238.4M
Nebius swing-trade checklist
Nebius scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $141.52 sits between the 50-day ($205.35) and 200-day ($178.11) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
65.7, Accumulation
Reading 65.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
39.7% below
Price is 39.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneymixed
Mixed
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 4 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 7 days
Reports on Nov 12, 2026, 7 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityno data
No data
Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Nebius stock chart and price history
Nebius closed at $141.52 on Nov 4, 2026, +17.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $73.52 to $299.86.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −43.4%
- 3 months
- −25.5%
- 6 months
- −27.5%
- 1 year
- +17.5%
The full NBIS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NBIS in Gekko
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About Nebius
Nebius builds infrastructure for artificial intelligence work, with a core cloud platform designed to run heavy AI workloads through large-scale GPU clusters, supporting software, and tools aimed at developers. It is best known for this AI cloud offering, which forms the center of the wider group's activities.
Beyond the cloud business, the group is organised into several distinct units. Toloka AI supplies data services used at different stages of building generative AI systems. TripleTen provides technology education aimed at helping people gain skills for tech careers. Avride works on autonomous driving systems, covering both self-driving cars and delivery robots. Together these units serve customers across AI development, data work, education, and autonomous mobility.
The company traces back to 1989 and was formerly known as Yandex N.V. before taking the Nebius Group N.V. name in August 2024. It is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, with research and development sites in Europe, North America, and Israel. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker NBIS.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Packaged software
- Website
- nebius.com
Nebius GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Nebius’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.4 points over five sessions.
65.7Accumulation
Up 3.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 13 | +4.3% | +9.3% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 126 | +3.3% | +14.7% | ||
| Neutral | 307 | +4.1% | +12.3% | ||
| Distribution | 58 | −0.6% | +13.8% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average NBIS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NBIS price, zone by zone.Track NBIS in Gekko
Is Nebius stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Nebius trades 39.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $234.83, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Nebius shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$234.83
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
39.7% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 21.4% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NBIS in Gekko
Nebius insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Nebius worth $58K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NBIS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NBIS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NBIS in Gekko
Buybacks
Nebius has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2021
- $47.74M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.14%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
4signals, 34% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 31, $54.24M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
4of the funds Gekko tracks hold NBIS.
1added2opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Nebius earnings: next date and track record
Nebius reports on Nov 12, 2026, before the open (7 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 7 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 12, 2026
Expected before the open, 7 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$0.71
- Revenue estimate
- $905.8M
5 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±16.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 12, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Nebius Group reported an excellent Q2 2026, closing 4 landmark deals averaging over $1 billion each with Reflection, Cohere, a U.S. AI lab, and a quant trading firm at $20-25M per megawatt yields with 50-60% upfront CapEx coverage. The company launched a successful capacity auction clearing 15% above previous highs. Nebius raised its year-end contracted power target to 5 gigawatts and introduced an asset-light partnership model. Contracted backlog stands at $40 billion.
- Guidance
- 2026 revenue guidance unchanged as new landmark deals and shorter-term premium contracts ($40-50M+ per megawatt) will materially impact 2027 revenue and beyond. Nebius plans to build over 1 gigawatt of new capacity in 2027, with management expressing strong confidence in forward demand and supply visibility.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | −$0.12 est −$0.67 | $582.3M est $569.9M | +32.0% |
| May 13, 2026 | −$0.23 est −$0.77 | $399.0M est $375.1M | +23.5% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | −$0.99 est −$0.58 | $227.7M est $246.0M | +10.6% |
| Nov 11, 2025 | −$0.39 est −$0.56 | $146.1M est $157.9M | −14.2% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | −$0.38 est −$0.50 | $105.1M est $105.4M | +24.9% |
| May 20, 2025 | −$0.43 est −$0.44 | $55.30M est $57.73M | +3.6% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | −$0.43 est −$0.39 | $37.90M est $58.10M | −11.1% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | −$0.33 | $43.30M | −8.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Nebius stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nebius is $281.00, +98.6% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$281.00consensus 12-month target, +98.6% from the last close
Now $141.52Avg $281.00
Low $144High $410
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | Citi | $265 | +87.3% |
| Oct 22 | Bank of America Securities | $310 | +119.1% |
| Oct 21 | Piper Sandler | $185 | +30.7% |
| Oct 7 | Rosenblatt Securities | $304 | +114.8% |
| Sep 24 | Exane BNP Paribas | $399 | +181.9% |
+14.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±10.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Nebius market cap and key statistics
Nebius’s market cap is $33.96B, with a P/E ratio of 120.9 and revenue of $1.36B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $33.96B
- P/E ratio
- 120.9
- Forward P/E
- 30.8
- EPS, TTM
- $1.17
- Gekko Fair Value
- $234.83
Trading
- Volume
- 22.58M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 22.68M
- 52-week high
- $299.86
- 52-week low
- $73.52
- Shares outstanding
- 238.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.36B
- Profit margin
- 3.1%
- Return on equity
- 0.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.54
- Typical daily move
- ±10.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±20.3%
Nebius stock news this week
6 headlines about Nebius from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Texas Blue Wave Could Threaten 27% Of Planned U.S. Data Center Power. Here's What It Means For CoreWeave, Iren, Nebius And Other Neocloud Stocks24/7 Wall Street, Nov 4
- IREN Falls 5%, CoreWeave Drops 4% as Texas Election Stokes Data Center Moratorium Fears; Nebius Dips 2%24/7 Wall Street, Nov 4
- CoreWeave, IREN and Nebius crash: why Democrats' victory could hurt neocloudsInvezz, Nov 4
- BigBear.ai vs. Nebius: Which AI Stock Is the Better Buy for 2027?The Motley Fool, Nov 3
- Nebius Stock Is Down 30%. Could Its $9 Billion ARR Goal Spark a Rebound?The Motley Fool, Nov 3
- Applied Digital Surges 9% as AI Data Center Stocks Rebound From Financing Jitters; IREN Jumps 9%, Nebius Climbs 7%24/7 Wall Street, Nov 3
Nebius peers
Nebius’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSFTMicrosoft | Neutral | 17.8% above |
| PLTRPalantir Technologies | Accumulation | 4.7% below |
| ORCLOracle | Accumulation | 29.7% below |
| PANWPalo Alto Networks | Accumulation | 7.4% above |
| CRWDCrowdStrike | Neutral | 8.1% above |
| CRMSalesforce | Accumulation | 9.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Nebius stock FAQ
What is Nebius’s market cap?
Nebius’s market cap is $33.96B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $141.52, with 238.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 120.9.
What is the Nebius stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nebius is $281.00, +98.6% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Nebius stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Nebius is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $141.52 is 39.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $234.83. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Nebius report earnings next?
Nebius is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026, before the market opens (7 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.71 per share on revenue of $905.8M. Nebius beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 7 reports, moving 16.1% on average across the report.
What is Nebius’s 52-week high and low?
Nebius’s 52-week high is $299.86 and its 52-week low is $73.52; it closed at $141.52 on Nov 4, 2026, +17.5% over the past year.
Is Nebius stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and smart money) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Nebius?
Gekko flagged 4 unusual options signals in Nebius over the last 30 days, with $26.60M of flagged premium in calls and $51.19M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 31, 2026 with $54.24M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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