NASDAQ: NBIS

Nebius (NBIS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nebius Group N.V. Technology services sector, packaged software industry. Market cap $53.65B.

$223.54+5.55 (+2.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Nebius (NBIS) closes at $223.54, up 2.5% on the day and above both its 50-day average of $211.96 and 200-day average of $160.71, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 57.1, placing it in the Neutral zone. Price sits 8.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $243.46.

This week's move centers on pricing power in AI cloud compute. Nebius notified customers of a roughly 20% increase in on-demand GPU rates effective October 1, its second such hike in three months, extending to Nvidia GPUs and AMD CPUs, including older H100 chips. Commentary framed this as a signal of demand outpacing supply amid competition from hyperscalers, while other coverage noted NBIS had fallen to $209 earlier in the month, down over 30% from its 2026 high, tied to broader AI safety concerns before this week's rebound. Analyst consensus target stands at $290.71 across 10 firms, with 7 rated buy and 3 hold.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls outside that window, on 10 November 2026, before the open; the prior report on 12 August showed EPS of -0.12 against a -0.67 estimate, with a 32% reaction, and 5 beats in the last 7 quarters. In the last 30 days, options activity shows 12 unusual signals with call premium of $173.8 million versus put premium of $68.5 million. One billionaire holder and three trailblazer holders are recorded. Typical 20-day price movement runs 20.4%, worth noting given the stock's recent volatility.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $223.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $243.46

Key stats

Market cap
$53.65B
P/E ratio
Forward P/E
42.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.07
Revenue, TTM
$1.36B
Profit margin
3.1%
Dividend yield
Beta
1.44
Volume
21.15M avg 14.77M
1-year return
+137.6%
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±20.4%
50-day average
$211.96
200-day average
$160.71
Next earnings
Nov 10 before open
Shares outstanding
220.4M
52-week range
$73.52$299.86

Nebius swing-trade checklist

Nebius scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $223.54 is above the 50-day ($211.96) and 200-day ($160.71) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    57.1, Neutral

    Reading 57.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    8.2% below

    Price is 8.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 12 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 51 days

    Next report Nov 10, 2026, 51 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Nebius stock chart and price history

Nebius closed at $223.54 on Sep 18, 2026, +137.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $73.52 to $299.86.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.2%
3 months
−22.0%
6 months
+84.0%
1 year
+137.6%
The full NBIS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NBIS in Gekko

Follow Nebius through every session

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About Nebius

Nebius builds infrastructure for artificial intelligence work, with a core cloud platform designed to run heavy AI workloads through large-scale GPU clusters, supporting software, and tools aimed at developers. It is best known for this AI cloud offering, which forms the center of the wider group's activities.

Beyond the cloud business, the group is organised into several distinct units. Toloka AI supplies data services used at different stages of building generative AI systems. TripleTen provides technology education aimed at helping people gain skills for tech careers. Avride works on autonomous driving systems, covering both self-driving cars and delivery robots. Together these units serve customers across AI development, data work, education, and autonomous mobility.

The company traces back to 1989 and was formerly known as Yandex N.V. before taking the Nebius Group N.V. name in August 2024. It is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, with research and development sites in Europe, North America, and Israel. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker NBIS.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
nebius.com

Nebius GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Nebius’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.1, in the Neutral zone, up 0.7 points over five sessions.

010057.1Neutral

Up 0.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying7Too few readings yet
Accumulation122+3.7%+6.9%+14.7%+55.5%
Neutral (current zone)282+4.7%+8.5%+15.0%+36.5%
Distribution58−0.6%+2.6%+13.8%+26.2%
Selling0Not available

Average NBIS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NBIS price, zone by zone.Track NBIS in Gekko

Is Nebius stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Nebius trades 8.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $243.46, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Nebius shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$243.46

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

8.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NBIS in Gekko

Nebius insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nebius, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NBIS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NBIS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NBIS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NBIS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NBIS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NBIS in Gekko

Buybacks

Nebius has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2021
$47.74M
As a share of market cap
0.09%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

12signals, 72% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $35.13M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold NBIS.

1added2opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Nebius earnings: next date and track record

Nebius reports on Nov 10, 2026, before the open (51 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 7 reports.

5 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±16.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.7%Oct ’24−11.1%Feb ’25+3.6%May ’25+24.9%Aug ’25−14.2%Nov ’25+10.6%Feb ’26+23.5%May ’26+32.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 12, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Nebius Group reported an excellent Q2 2026, closing 4 landmark deals averaging over $1 billion each with Reflection, Cohere, a U.S. AI lab, and a quant trading firm at $20-25M per megawatt yields with 50-60% upfront CapEx coverage. The company launched a successful capacity auction clearing 15% above previous highs. Nebius raised its year-end contracted power target to 5 gigawatts and introduced an asset-light partnership model. Contracted backlog stands at $40 billion.
Guidance
2026 revenue guidance unchanged as new landmark deals and shorter-term premium contracts ($40-50M+ per megawatt) will materially impact 2027 revenue and beyond. Nebius plans to build over 1 gigawatt of new capacity in 2027, with management expressing strong confidence in forward demand and supply visibility.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 12, 2026−$0.12
est −$0.67
+82.1%$582.3M
est $569.9M
+2.2%+32.0%
May 13, 2026−$0.23
est −$0.77
+70.0%$399.0M
est $375.1M
+6.4%+23.5%
Feb 12, 2026−$0.99
est −$0.58
−70.7%$227.7M
est $246.0M
−7.5%+10.6%
Nov 11, 2025−$0.39
est −$0.56
+29.9%$146.1M
est $157.9M
−7.5%−14.2%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.38
est −$0.50
+24.0%$105.1M
est $105.4M
−0.3%+24.9%
May 20, 2025−$0.43
est −$0.44
+2.2%$55.30M
est $57.73M
−4.2%+3.6%
Feb 20, 2025−$0.43
est −$0.39
−9.3%$37.90M
est $58.10M
−34.8%−11.1%
Oct 31, 2024−$0.33$43.30M−8.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Nebius stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nebius is $290.71, +30.0% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$290.71consensus 12-month target, +30.0% from the last close
Low $144High $410
Buy7
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 9Truist FinancialBuy, initiated$355+58.8%
Aug 25Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$328+46.7%
Aug 24Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$328+46.7%
Aug 18D.A. DavidsonHold, reiterated$250+11.8%
Aug 14CitiBuy, maintained$324+44.9%
+15.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±6.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Nebius market cap and key statistics

Nebius’s market cap is $53.65B and revenue of $1.36B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$53.65B
Forward P/E
42.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.07
Gekko Fair Value
$243.46

Trading

Volume
21.15M
Avg volume, 20 days
14.77M
52-week high
$299.86
52-week low
$73.52
Shares outstanding
220.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.36B
Profit margin
3.1%
Return on equity
0.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.44
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±20.4%

Nebius stock news this week

6 headlines about Nebius from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Nebius peers

Nebius’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft−0.8%Neutral13.4% above
ORCLOracle−1.9%Neutral17.7% below
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.3%Neutral11.3% above
PANWPalo Alto Networks−3.1%Neutral8.9% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−3.8%Neutral19.0% above
CRMSalesforce−2.6%Neutral1.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Nebius stock FAQ

What is Nebius’s market cap?

Nebius’s market cap is $53.65B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $223.54, with 220.4M shares outstanding.

What is the Nebius stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nebius is $290.71, +30.0% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Nebius stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Nebius is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $223.54 is 8.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $243.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Nebius report earnings next?

Nebius is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026, before the market opens (51 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.67 per share on revenue of $907.6M. Nebius beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 7 reports, moving 16.1% on average across the report.

What is Nebius’s 52-week high and low?

Nebius’s 52-week high is $299.86 and its 52-week low is $73.52; it closed at $223.54 on Sep 18, 2026, +137.6% over the past year.

Is Nebius stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Nebius?

Gekko flagged 12 unusual options signals in Nebius over the last 30 days, with $173.8M of flagged premium in calls and $68.53M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $35.13M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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