NASDAQ: KARO

Karooooo (KARO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$61.66+0.58 (+0.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on Karooooo's upcoming Q2 earnings release, scheduled for October 19. Multiple announcements confirm the date and detail a webinar to follow on October 20. Analysts are forecasting EPS of $0.59 and revenue of $98.81 million, with Karooooo having exceeded expectations last quarter, reporting $0.59 EPS against an estimated $0.51 at that time.

Karooooo closes at $61.66, down 4.8% over the past month though up 6.5% over three months and 21.3% over six months. The close sits between its 50-day average of $63.73 and 200-day average of $53.29. The GekkoIndex reads 60.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though the index has slipped 5.3% over the past five sessions. Price sits 5% above Gekko Fair Value of $58.72.

Earnings arrive 7 days away, inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with past reports showing an average absolute reaction of 8.2% and beats in 7 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 1.8% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 5 firms stands at 4 buy and 1 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $73.40, representing 19% upside. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Karooooo price vs fair value

$61.66$58.72Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $61.66200-day averageGekko Fair Value $58.72

Karooooo quick facts

Market cap
$1.90B
P/E ratio
31.4
Forward P/E
26
EPS, TTM
$1.94
Revenue, TTM
$5.77B
Profit margin
17.8%
Dividend yield
35.70%
Beta
0.89
Volume
38,331 avg 77,783
1-year return
+14.6%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
50-day average
$63.73
200-day average
$53.29
Next earnings
Oct 19
Shares outstanding
30.89M
52-week range
$41.25$68.80

Karooooo swing-trade checklist

Karooooo scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $61.66 sits between the 50-day ($63.73) and 200-day ($53.29) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.4, Accumulation

    Reading 60.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    5.0% above

    Price is 5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 7 days

    Reports on Oct 19, 2026, 7 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Karooooo stock chart and price history

Karooooo closed at $61.66 on Oct 12, 2026, +14.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $41.25 to $68.80.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Karooooo share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct61.66

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.8%
3 months
+6.5%
6 months
+21.3%
1 year
+14.6%
The full KARO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KARO in Gekko

Follow Karooooo through every session

Put KARO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Karooooo

Karooooo builds a software-as-a-service platform for connected vehicles, with customers spanning South Africa, the rest of Africa, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and the United States. It is best known for fleet-focused tools such as Fleet Telematics, LiveVision and MiFleet, which track vehicles, flag risk and support cost control, alongside Karooooo Logistics for managing deliveries and field operations.

Beyond fleet management, the company sells asset tracking and recovery services, insurance telematics that let insurers tailor premiums using usage data, and consumer-facing products like Protector and the Car Watch app for monitoring personal vehicles. It also offers niche mobility tools, including a GPS system for commercial motorbike fleets, credit-monitoring software for vehicle financing, an electronic monitoring tool used in law enforcement, an insurance agency called Carzuka, a rideshare taxi app and other IoT products. These are sold directly to individual drivers, sole proprietors, small and medium businesses, large companies, and connected devices.

Karooooo was established in 2001 and is headquartered in Singapore. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker KARO.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
karooooo.com

Karooooo GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Karooooo’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.3 points over five sessions.

010060.4Accumulation

Down 5.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying6Too few readings yet
Accumulation (current zone)146+1.7%+3.1%+6.9%+15.6%
Neutral487+0.6%+1.3%+2.9%+7.1%
Distribution35+0.8%+0.2%−2.8%+0.7%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average KARO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KARO price, zone by zone.Track KARO in Gekko

Is Karooooo stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Karooooo trades 5.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $58.72, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Karooooo shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$58.72

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

5.0% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 9.4% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$59$61Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KARO in Gekko

Karooooo insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Karooooo, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for KARO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every KARO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KARO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KARO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KARO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KARO in Gekko

Karooooo earnings: next date and track record

Karooooo reports on Oct 19, 2026 (7 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.2%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−14.4%Oct ’24−6.6%Jan ’25+12.7%May ’25−4.3%Jul ’25−10.2%Oct ’25−7.4%Jan ’26−7.9%May ’26+2.4%Jul ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 14, 2026$0.59
est $0.51
+15.7%$95.87M
est $92.11M
+4.1%+2.4%
May 13, 2026$7.18
est $8.66
−17.1%$90.38M
est $89.42M
+1.1%−7.9%
Jan 20, 2026$8.54
est $8.10
+5.4%$81.77M
est $1.37B
−94.0%−7.4%
Oct 14, 2025$8.28
est $7.98
+3.8%$76.16M
est $73.41M
+3.7%−10.2%
Jul 22, 2025$8.55
est $7.16
+19.4%$71.05M
est $73.11M
−2.8%−4.3%
May 14, 2025$9.48
est $6.90
+37.5%$65.43M
est $65.44M
0.0%+12.7%
Jan 14, 2025$7.67
est $6.73
+14.0%$64.12M
est $63.14M
+1.6%−6.6%
Oct 15, 2024$7.35
est $6.85
+7.3%$62.10M
est $61.38M
+1.2%−14.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Karooooo stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Karooooo is $73.40, +19.0% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$73.40consensus 12-month target, +19.0% from the last close
Low $65High $75
Buy4
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 17Freedom Capital MarketsHold, downgraded$65+5.4%
Jul 17Roth MKMBuy, maintained$74+20.0%
Jul 17Raymond JamesBuy, maintained$75+21.6%
Jul 16William BlairBuy, maintained——
Jul 16NeedhamBuy, reiterated$75+21.6%
+6.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Karooooo seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Karooooo averaged +1.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.7%2021+5.3%2022+9.0%2023−0.2%2024−15.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.8%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.1%2 of 5

For scale, KARO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.

Karooooo market cap and key statistics

Karooooo’s market cap is $1.90B, with a P/E ratio of 31.4 and revenue of $5.77B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.90B
P/E ratio
31.4
Forward P/E
26
EPS, TTM
$1.94
Gekko Fair Value
$58.72

Trading

Volume
38,331
Avg volume, 20 days
77,783
52-week high
$68.80
52-week low
$41.25
Shares outstanding
30.89M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.77B
Profit margin
17.8%
Return on equity
29.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+11.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.89
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
Dividend yield
35.70%

Karooooo stock news this week

Coverage of Karooooo this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Karooooo peers

Karooooo’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral21.7% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.1%Distribution22.3% above
ORCLOracle−2.9%Neutral24.3% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−4.2%Neutral21.6% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−4.8%Neutral23.7% above
CRMSalesforce−1.1%Neutral3.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Karooooo stock FAQ

What is Karooooo’s market cap?

Karooooo’s market cap is $1.90B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $61.66, with 30.89M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.4.

What is the Karooooo stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Karooooo is $73.40, +19.0% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Karooooo stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Karooooo is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $61.66 is 5.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $58.72. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Karooooo report earnings next?

Karooooo is expected to report on Oct 19, 2026 (7 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.59 per share on revenue of $98.81M. Karooooo beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.2% on average across the report.

What is Karooooo’s 52-week high and low?

Karooooo’s 52-week high is $68.80 and its 52-week low is $41.25; it closed at $61.66 on Oct 12, 2026, +14.6% over the past year.

Is Karooooo stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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